Wellington
NSW • 2026-04-12
Soft
Rail: True
Updated: 08:39 AEST
8
Races Analysed
0
Bets Found
N/A
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Wellington
Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.
Top Jockeys Here:
- Izzy Neale: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Zoe Hunt: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 66.7% place)
- K Dunbar: 0W from 5 (0.0% win, 20.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1000m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanuman Braith Nock |
6 | 34% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Head Kahuna Luke Rolls |
3 | 36% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Penciller |
4 | 32% | N/A | |
| 4 | Marinera Izzy Neale |
2 | 20% | N/A |
- Finished 5th last start, 4.8L off winner.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1000m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
34%
Hanuman (6) J: Braith Nock
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
2
19%
Harry (5) J:
flying form, quality stable
3
9%
Corky (2) J: Jordan Quince
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
4
17%
Hard Choice (7) J:
track specialist, flying form, quality stable
#2
5
36%
Head Kahuna (3) J: Luke Rolls
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
6
6%
Life Statement (1) J: Kody Nestor
in good form, top jockey, inconsistent
#3
7
32%
Penciller (4) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
8
12%
Avignon (4) J: Ashleigh McCabe
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
9
20%
Marinera (2) J: Izzy Neale
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
10
17%
Raygun Rocks (7) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
R2 • 1700m • Benchmark 58;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peruno Deep Shanker |
1 | 34% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Just On Fire Mikayla Weir |
6 | 27% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Green Run Jacob Stiff |
10 | 23% | N/A | |
| 4 | Bill Peyto Leeshelle Small |
4 | 21% | N/A |
- Placed 3rd of 7 last start (3.9L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
23%
Green Run (10) J: Jacob Stiff
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
2
21%
Jason Darren (9) J: Gabrielle Johnston
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
3
17%
Jasper's Way (9) J: Kody Nestor
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
17%
Egyptologist (7) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
5
27%
Just On Fire (6) J: Mikayla Weir
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
6
19%
Pickaxe (3) J: Izzy Neale
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
7
34%
Peruno (1) J: Deep Shanker
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8
17%
Lagoon (8) J: Clayton Gallagher
flying form, quality stable
9
24%
Take The Chance (2) J: Ken Dunbar
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
16%
River Rogue (5) J: Braith Nock
top jockey, quality stable
#4
11
21%
Bill Peyto (4) J: Leeshelle Small
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
R3 • 1400m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $50000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Maverick Mikayla Weir |
3 | 33% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Litlfela Izzy Neale |
5 | 32% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Any Questions Leeshelle Small |
4 | 24% | N/A | |
| 4 | Reveillon Deep Shanker |
2 | 30% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 10 last start (2.3L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
32%
Litlfela (5) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable
2
21%
Pluck 'n' Spy (12) J:
proven at distance, inconsistent
3
24%
Strassman (4) J: Clayton Gallagher
proven at distance
#3
4
24%
Any Questions (4) J: Leeshelle Small
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5
16%
Celeman Zor (7) J: Chad Lever
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
18%
Forwarding (10) J:
inconsistent
7
23%
Heroes'n'villains (3) J: Braith Nock
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
8
21%
Cobocco (1) J: Deon Le Roux
top jockey, quality stable
#1
9
33%
Miss Maverick (3) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
17%
More Than Bubbles (11) J: Liam Blanch
quality stable, inconsistent
#4
11
30%
Reveillon (2) J: Deep Shanker
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12
20%
Crismera (12) J:
proven at level, quality stable
13
20%
Castel Critic (8) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
14
15%
Taxonomy (9) J: Jordan Quince
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
15
15%
Moon Dart (6) J:
in good form, quality stable
R4 • 1100m • Class 1;12:00
PASS
Class 1; • Prize: $50000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawatiri Shannen Llewellyn |
6 | 33% | $$71.37 | BEST |
| 2 | Chappolicious Braith Nock |
1 | 31% | $$4.09 | DANGER |
| 3 | Race To Arms Kody Nestor |
2 | 24% | N/A | |
| 4 | Texas Open |
5 | 21% | N/A |
- Placed 3rd of 12 last start (1.1L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1100m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
24%
Race To Arms (2) J: Kody Nestor
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
2
23%
Bounding Bon (3) J: Ken Dunbar
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
3
26%
The Waterman (4) J: Luke Rolls
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
4
17%
Chamber Of Secrets (11) J:
in good form, quality stable
5
19%
Go Commando (6) J: Clayton Gallagher
in good form, quality stable
6
14%
Travelon Dory (2) J:
in good form, quality stable
#2
7
31%
Chappolicious (1) J: Braith Nock
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#4
8
21%
Texas Open (5) J:
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
9
18%
Shine Your Light (8) J:
class edge, quality stable
10
18%
Jamacri (5) J: Jacob Stiff
top jockey, quality stable
11
19%
Teepee Princess (7) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
12
33%
Kawatiri (6) J: Shannen Llewellyn
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13
26%
Dusty Vermeer (10) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
14
19%
Think Pi (1) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
R5 • 900m • Benchmark 66;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolo Miss Mathew Cahill |
5 | 27% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Cumboogle Deon Le Roux |
7 | 27% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Line Of Law Mikayla Weir |
6 | 25% | N/A | |
| 4 | Selhurst Park Deep Shanker |
4 | 27% | N/A |
- Won last start by 1.0L at Dubbo over 1000m.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 900m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
19%
Not Written Off (4) J:
flying form, quality stable
2
20%
Obsessive Nature (3) J: Jacob Stiff
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
3
20%
Kantishna (11) J: Leeshelle Small
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
22%
Ditterich (8) J: Clayton Gallagher
proven at distance, in good form
#3
5
25%
Line Of Law (6) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
6
25%
Hayek (9) J: Chad Lever
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
23%
Ran Na Lady (1) J: Izzy Neale
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8
23%
Sorrento Palace (12) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
9
22%
Echelon (8) J: Luke Rolls
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
10
27%
Bolo Miss (5) J: Mathew Cahill
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
11
17%
Denman Force (2) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
12
27%
Selhurst Park (4) J: Deep Shanker
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
13
27%
Cumboogle (7) J: Deon Le Roux
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R6 • 1700m • Open;12:00
PASS
Open; • Prize: $100000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indifference Luke Rolls |
1 | 30% | $$10.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Aimpoint Jake Pracey-Holmes |
6 | 29% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Instead Braith Nock |
4 | 29% | $$1.89 | |
| 4 | Perfumist Liberty Smyth |
3 | 28% | N/A |
- Finished 6th last start, 2.3L off the winner.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
28%
Perfumist (3) J: Liberty Smyth
in good form, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
2
21%
Zouatica (9) J: Billy Owen
in good form, quality stable
#1
3
30%
Indifference (1) J: Luke Rolls
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
4
18%
Taipan Legend (2) J: Mikayla Weir
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5
20%
Cosmic Lad (13) J: Grant Buckley
in good form, class edge, quality stable
6
21%
Slinky (12) J: Chad Lever
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
23%
Associate (12) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
23%
Toes In The Water (8) J: Coriah Keatings
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
9
29%
Aimpoint (6) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
10
21%
Fiorsum Fred (7) J: Leeshelle Small
top jockey, quality stable
#3
11
29%
Instead (4) J: Braith Nock
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
12
16%
Blue Guitar (10) J: Clayton Gallagher
track specialist, quality stable
13
16%
Wealthy Investor (9) J:
class edge, quality stable
14
19%
Green Run (5) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
R7 • 1100m • Open;12:00
PASS
Open; • Prize: $200000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Better Off Alone Mathew Cahill |
10 | 37% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Hellenic Belle Braith Nock |
9 | 33% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | I'm A Beaut Chad Lever |
1 | 25% | N/A | |
| 4 | Bar Jester Coriah Keatings |
14 | 28% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 11 last start (0.5L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Stepping to 1100m for the first time — distance query.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
28%
Bar Jester (14) J: Coriah Keatings
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
2
13%
Mazort (8) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3
19%
Raguel (6) J:
flying form
4
21%
Words Of Fire (6) J: Shannen Llewellyn
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
5
37%
Better Off Alone (10) J: Mathew Cahill
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
6
18%
Cosmic Jinks (4) J: Luke Rolls
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
7
33%
Hellenic Belle (9) J: Braith Nock
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
8
20%
Hulaland (5) J: Mikayla Weir
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
#3
9
25%
I'm A Beaut (1) J: Chad Lever
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
10
14%
Mary Bones (11) J: Serg Lisnyy
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
11
14%
Piratess (16) J:
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
12
14%
Rubelin (13) J: Izzy Neale
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
13
13%
Simply Sonnet (14) J:
flying form, quality stable
14
23%
Tricia's Rainbow (12) J: Leeshelle Small
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
15
10%
Maryvale (7) J: Clayton Gallagher
quality stable, inconsistent
16
15%
Gay Tarantella (3) J:
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
17
17%
Ponzi Scheme (2) J: Grant Buckley
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
R8 • 1100m • Open;12:00
PASS
Open; • Prize: $75000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivkin Leeshelle Small |
6 | 28% | $$14.21 | BEST |
| 2 | Pride To Follow Mikayla Weir |
9 | 29% | $$2.82 | DANGER |
| 3 | Cougars Coriah Keatings |
1 | 29% | $$8.65 | |
| 4 | Chandon Star Shannen Llewellyn |
4 | 26% | $$13.70 |
- Finished 5th last start, 1.9L off the winner.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
21%
Saratoga Power (10) J: Nick Palmer
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
26%
Chandon Star (4) J: Shannen Llewellyn
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
3
24%
Hellcibell (5) J: Luke Rolls
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
29%
Pride To Follow (9) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
28%
Rivkin (6) J: Leeshelle Small
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
6
29%
Cougars (1) J: Coriah Keatings
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
18%
Cumboogle (12) J:
track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
8
17%
Metallic Ruler (7) J: Clayton Gallagher
class edge
9
25%
Starros (3) J: Chad Lever
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
23%
King Larry (7) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
11
24%
Cumnock (8) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
25%
Press Forward (2) J: Izzy Neale
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Generated 12/04/2026, 8:39:09 am