How To Use Leading Edge Tips

Everything you need to know — from finding today's picks to reading speed maps, understanding bets, and tracking results.

Contents

  1. Finding Today's Tips
  2. Reading a Tipsheet
  3. Confidence Levels Explained
  4. Race Classifications
  5. WIN vs Each-Way Bets
  6. Prices & Value Overlays
  7. Speed Maps
  8. Daily Multi Suggestions
  9. Quaddie Selections
  10. Results & Performance

01Finding Today's Tips

There are two ways to get your daily tips depending on how you like to work:

All Picks Summary

One page showing every meeting and every bet recommendation side-by-side. Best for scanning the full day quickly. Tap any race row to expand the detail and speed map.

Individual Tipsheets

A dedicated page per meeting with full race grids, price comparisons, speed maps always visible, and overlay/underlay badges. Best for deep analysis before betting.

  1. Click Today in the top navigation bar.
  2. The meetings page lists every race meeting being analysed today with a link to each tipsheet.
  3. To see all bets at a glance: click the All Picks Summary → button near the top of the page.
  4. From the summary, click Full Tipsheet → in any meeting header to open the full meeting breakdown including speed maps.
Tip: Tips are usually generated overnight and available from 6 am AEST. The system also refreshes live prices during the day — refresh the page if you see "Price pending" labels to get the latest prices.

02Reading a Tipsheet

Each individual tipsheet covers one race meeting and shows all races in order. Here's what each column means:

ColumnWhat it means
Tab NoBarrier draw number for TAB betting.
HorseRunner name. The top pick in each race is highlighted in gold.
BarrierStarting position drawn at barrier. Noted but not a primary factor — good horses with wide draws are still selected.
ConfidenceOur model's conviction score (0–100%). See section 03 for what each level means.
Model $Our fair-value price. If this is higher than the market price, the horse is considered an overlay (value bet).
Market $Best available market price (Betfair exchange, TAB, or starting price).
Overlay %How much higher the market is than our model price. Positive = value; negative = overbet.
Bet TypeWIN or Each-Way (EW). See section 05.
StakeRecommended stake in units (u) as a fraction of your betting bank.
Best Bet of the Day is highlighted at the top of each tipsheet. This is the single selection the model has most conviction on across all meetings. It factors in confidence, value overlay, and form quality.

03Confidence Levels Explained

The confidence score represents how strongly the model believes the selection will win. It incorporates form, class rating, track and distance suitability, pace analysis, and recent performance patterns.

RangeLabelWhat it means
70–100%Very HighThe model has maximum conviction. Form, class, and conditions all align strongly. These are your headline bets.
60–69%HighStrong confidence. Good form match with solid market support. Bread-and-butter selections.
50–59%MediumReasonable confidence. Recommended bet but with smaller stake. Conditions mostly align.
40–49%LowerMarginal. Only selected when overlay is significant. Treat with caution.
< 40%LowNot recommended as a standalone bet. May appear as exotic filler only.
Note: Confidence alone is not enough — always look at overlay too. A 65% confidence horse at fair value is less attractive than a 60% confidence horse at +20% overlay.

04Race Classifications

Every race is classified to tell you how strong the opportunity is:

ClassificationMeaning
LOAD JOBMaximum confidence. Top selection is well clear of the field, conditions suit, and value is present. These are the races to load up on.
STRONG BETHigh-confidence selection with good form match. Standard full-size bet.
STANDARD BETSolid selection worth betting, but slightly less conviction. Normal stake.
EXOTICSThe race is too open or unpredictable to recommend a win bet, but suitable for exotics (trifectas, first-fours). No standalone bet advised.
STAY OUTThe model has found no genuine edge. Skip this race entirely.

05WIN vs Each-Way Bets

The model recommends one of two bet types per selection:

WIN

Full stake on the horse to finish first. Used for short-priced horses and when the place dividend would not provide meaningful additional value. All horses at market odds under $5.00 are WIN only.

Each-Way (EW)

Stake split 50/50 between WIN and PLACE. Only recommended when the market price is $5.00 or higher and the estimated place dividend provides genuine +EV. Requires a real market price (Betfair or TAB) to be confirmed.

Important: If a horse is short in the market (e.g. $2.50–$3.00 TAB) but our model shows a higher fair value price, we still bet it WIN only. Never split the stake on a genuine favourite — the place dividend is too small to justify it.

06Prices & Value Overlays

Finding value is the cornerstone of long-term profitability. We calculate an independent model price for every runner and compare it to what the market offers:

Example: Our model says a horse should be $5.00. The TAB has it at $6.50. That's a +30% overlay — the market is giving us 30% more than fair value. These are the bets that generate long-term profit.

The Best Value of the Day callout on the summary page highlights the selection with the largest positive overlay across all meetings, regardless of confidence level.

Price pending means the market price has not yet been confirmed from Betfair or TAB data. Tips are still valid but treat the model price only — check your bookmaker before betting.

07Speed Maps

Speed maps show the expected pace shape of a race — where each runner is likely to be positioned in the early stages. This helps identify horses that may be disadvantaged by a fast pace or advantaged by a soft lead.

Speed maps require enough verified pace data across the field to be displayed. Where insufficient data exists, the speed map is omitted for that race.

Where to find speed maps:
  • Summary page: Tap or click any race row to expand it — the speed map appears below the runner table. The Best Bet race is always expanded by default.
  • Full Tipsheet: Speed maps are always visible, no tapping required. Click "Full Tipsheet →" in any meeting header to go there.
  • Turn off Compact mode (button in the summary control bar) to expand all race rows at once.

08Daily Multi Suggestions

Each day we generate a suggested cross-meeting multi combining 2–3 top picks from different venues. This is found on the Multi Suggestions page (accessible from the Today meetings page) and summarised at the bottom of the All Picks Summary.

How legs are chosen:

Staking guidance: Multis are high-risk, high-reward. Use 1–2% of your betting bank for a 2-leg multi, 0.5–1% for a 3-leg multi. Never bet more than you can afford to lose on a multi — even strong picks fail to land all legs regularly.

A 2-leg multi wins roughly 10–15% of the time with good selections. A 3-leg multi wins less often but pays significantly more. We track every multi result on the Results page so you can see historical strike rates.

09Quaddie Selections

When conditions warrant it, we suggest a quaddie (picking the winner of four consecutive races at a single meeting). Quaddies are only suggested for major meetings where we have strong confidence across all four legs.

Entry requirements for a quaddie suggestion:

Fluid leg selections — the number of horses per leg adapts to the race:

Leg RatingSelectionsWhen it applies
BANKER1 horseShort favourite with a clear confidence gap over the field — don't dilute this leg
STRONG2 horsesHigh confidence pick, some gap to the next best — back both to be safe
OPEN3 horsesCompetitive race with a leaning — three-way coverage
MAIDEN4–5 horsesMaiden race, notoriously hard to read — go wider
WIDE5–6 horsesReally open race with no standout — cover the field to stay alive
How it works in practice: A quaddie might have one BANKER leg (1 horse), one STRONG leg (2 horses), one OPEN leg (3 horses), and one WIDE leg (5 horses). That's 1 × 2 × 3 × 5 = 30 combinations. A $1 per combination investment costs $30 for 100% of the dividend. You can reduce the cost by taking fewer horses in the flexible legs — but never cut the BANKER.
When quaddies are skipped: If a meeting has no anchor legs (no BANKER or at least 2 STRONG legs), or if 3 or more legs are all wide-open, the quaddie is not suggested — there's no structural foundation even with wide coverage.

10Results & Performance

The Results page (in the top navigation) tracks every reviewed day back to the start of the v4 era (March 1, 2026). Key metrics shown:

MetricWhat it means
BetsNumber of non-STAY-OUT bet recommendations (WIN + EW selections). Does not include races classified STAY OUT.
W (Wins)Selections that won the race outright.
P (Places)Selections that finished in the top 2–3 (EW bets only).
StakedTotal units staked across all bets that day.
ReturnsTotal units returned from winning bets.
P/LProfit or loss for the day in units. Positive = green, negative = red.
ROIReturn on investment: profit ÷ staked. A positive ROI means the system is returning more than it costs to bet.
Running TotalCumulative profit/loss since the start of the current era.
Performance benchmark: A win rate of 28–33% is expected over a large sample. Strike rates above 35% in a week are excellent; below 20% in a week is not unusual in a losing run. Always evaluate over a minimum of 30 days.

Multi and quaddie results are tracked separately below the main table so you can assess exotic bet performance independently of straight bets.