Everything you need to know — from finding today's picks to reading speed maps, understanding bets, and tracking results.
There are two ways to get your daily tips depending on how you like to work:
One page showing every meeting and every bet recommendation side-by-side. Best for scanning the full day quickly. Tap any race row to expand the detail and speed map.
A dedicated page per meeting with full race grids, price comparisons, speed maps always visible, and overlay/underlay badges. Best for deep analysis before betting.
Each individual tipsheet covers one race meeting and shows all races in order. Here's what each column means:
| Column | What it means |
|---|---|
| Tab No | Barrier draw number for TAB betting. |
| Horse | Runner name. The top pick in each race is highlighted in gold. |
| Barrier | Starting position drawn at barrier. Noted but not a primary factor — good horses with wide draws are still selected. |
| Confidence | Our model's conviction score (0–100%). See section 03 for what each level means. |
| Model $ | Our fair-value price. If this is higher than the market price, the horse is considered an overlay (value bet). |
| Market $ | Best available market price (Betfair exchange, TAB, or starting price). |
| Overlay % | How much higher the market is than our model price. Positive = value; negative = overbet. |
| Bet Type | WIN or Each-Way (EW). See section 05. |
| Stake | Recommended stake in units (u) as a fraction of your betting bank. |
The confidence score represents how strongly the model believes the selection will win. It incorporates form, class rating, track and distance suitability, pace analysis, and recent performance patterns.
| Range | Label | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| 70–100% | Very High | The model has maximum conviction. Form, class, and conditions all align strongly. These are your headline bets. |
| 60–69% | High | Strong confidence. Good form match with solid market support. Bread-and-butter selections. |
| 50–59% | Medium | Reasonable confidence. Recommended bet but with smaller stake. Conditions mostly align. |
| 40–49% | Lower | Marginal. Only selected when overlay is significant. Treat with caution. |
| < 40% | Low | Not recommended as a standalone bet. May appear as exotic filler only. |
Every race is classified to tell you how strong the opportunity is:
| Classification | Meaning |
|---|---|
| LOAD JOB | Maximum confidence. Top selection is well clear of the field, conditions suit, and value is present. These are the races to load up on. |
| STRONG BET | High-confidence selection with good form match. Standard full-size bet. |
| STANDARD BET | Solid selection worth betting, but slightly less conviction. Normal stake. |
| EXOTICS | The race is too open or unpredictable to recommend a win bet, but suitable for exotics (trifectas, first-fours). No standalone bet advised. |
| STAY OUT | The model has found no genuine edge. Skip this race entirely. |
The model recommends one of two bet types per selection:
Full stake on the horse to finish first. Used for short-priced horses and when the place dividend would not provide meaningful additional value. All horses at market odds under $5.00 are WIN only.
Stake split 50/50 between WIN and PLACE. Only recommended when the market price is $5.00 or higher and the estimated place dividend provides genuine +EV. Requires a real market price (Betfair or TAB) to be confirmed.
Finding value is the cornerstone of long-term profitability. We calculate an independent model price for every runner and compare it to what the market offers:
The Best Value of the Day callout on the summary page highlights the selection with the largest positive overlay across all meetings, regardless of confidence level.
Speed maps show the expected pace shape of a race — where each runner is likely to be positioned in the early stages. This helps identify horses that may be disadvantaged by a fast pace or advantaged by a soft lead.
Speed maps require enough verified pace data across the field to be displayed. Where insufficient data exists, the speed map is omitted for that race.
Each day we generate a suggested cross-meeting multi combining 2–3 top picks from different venues. This is found on the Multi Suggestions page (accessible from the Today meetings page) and summarised at the bottom of the All Picks Summary.
How legs are chosen:
A 2-leg multi wins roughly 10–15% of the time with good selections. A 3-leg multi wins less often but pays significantly more. We track every multi result on the Results page so you can see historical strike rates.
When conditions warrant it, we suggest a quaddie (picking the winner of four consecutive races at a single meeting). Quaddies are only suggested for major meetings where we have strong confidence across all four legs.
Entry requirements for a quaddie suggestion:
Fluid leg selections — the number of horses per leg adapts to the race:
| Leg Rating | Selections | When it applies |
|---|---|---|
| BANKER | 1 horse | Short favourite with a clear confidence gap over the field — don't dilute this leg |
| STRONG | 2 horses | High confidence pick, some gap to the next best — back both to be safe |
| OPEN | 3 horses | Competitive race with a leaning — three-way coverage |
| MAIDEN | 4–5 horses | Maiden race, notoriously hard to read — go wider |
| WIDE | 5–6 horses | Really open race with no standout — cover the field to stay alive |
The Results page (in the top navigation) tracks every reviewed day back to the start of the v4 era (March 1, 2026). Key metrics shown:
| Metric | What it means |
|---|---|
| Bets | Number of non-STAY-OUT bet recommendations (WIN + EW selections). Does not include races classified STAY OUT. |
| W (Wins) | Selections that won the race outright. |
| P (Places) | Selections that finished in the top 2–3 (EW bets only). |
| Staked | Total units staked across all bets that day. |
| Returns | Total units returned from winning bets. |
| P/L | Profit or loss for the day in units. Positive = green, negative = red. |
| ROI | Return on investment: profit ÷ staked. A positive ROI means the system is returning more than it costs to bet. |
| Running Total | Cumulative profit/loss since the start of the current era. |
Multi and quaddie results are tracked separately below the main table so you can assess exotic bet performance independently of straight bets.