Warwick Farm
2026-09-02
Good
Rail: +3m Entire
Updated: 07:53 AEST
7
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Leica Storm
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Warwick Farm
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Tim Clark: 2W from 8 (25.0% win, 75.0% place)
- N Rawiller: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 60.0% place)
- Tommy Berry: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 80.0% place)
- C Schofield: 1W from 10 (10.0% win, 30.0% place)
- A Hyeronimus: 0W from 6 (0.0% win, 66.7% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1200m • Benchmark 64;
PASS
Benchmark 64; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bring Me Chocolate Chad Schofield |
3 | 28% | $$2.80 | BEST |
| 2 | Blessed Eagle Tim Clark |
2 | 23% | $$3.40 | DANGER |
| 3 | Katoto James Mc Donald |
5 | 20% | $$4.75 | |
| 4 | Sequinned Zac Lloyd |
4 | 14% | $$7.27 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
23%
Blessed Eagle (2) J: Tim Clark
solid track record, flying form
#3
2
20%
Katoto (5) J: James Mc Donald
looking for others
3Suasion (5)SCR
4Thrill Hunter (2)SCR
#1
5
28%
Bring Me Chocolate (3) J: Chad Schofield
flying form
6Demerzel (3)SCR
#4
7
14%
Sequinned (4) J: Zac Lloyd
looking for others
8Saffron Veil (1)SCR
R2 • 1400m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $100000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albert Palais Nash Rawiller |
10 | 33% | $$8.02 | BEST |
| 2 | Waiheke Rose Tim Clark |
1 | 24% | $$8.96 | DANGER |
| 3 | Nomadic Regan Bayliss |
9 | 27% | $$9.36 | |
| 4 | Wonka Tommy Berry |
4 | 22% | $$9.56 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
27%
Nomadic (9) J: Regan Bayliss
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, quality stable
#1
2
33%
Albert Palais (10) J: Nash Rawiller
solid track record, in good form, quality stable
3Crimsonor (17)SCR
4Great Times Ahead (19)SCR
5Hillbilly Elegy (13)SCR
6
15%
Hozumi (5) J: Siena Grima
looking for others
7
12%
Iron Age (3) J: Tyler Schiller
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
8
14%
Northcote King (7) J: Mollie Fitzgerald
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
9Tiger Turf (12)SCR
#4
10
22%
Wonka (4) J: Tommy Berry
in good form
11Satin Serenade (10)SCR
12
24%
Sing Your Song (11) J: James Mc Donald
place chance
13Boston Glide (17)SCR
14
25%
Sumac (8) J: Zac Lloyd
class edge
#2
15
24%
Waiheke Rose (1) J: Tim Clark
flying form
16
15%
Your Colour (2) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
inconsistent
17
20%
Moonlit Wings (6) J: Rachel King
in good form
18Stateroom (7)SCR
19Saffron Veil (11)SCR
R3 • 2200m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spenzalot Mikayla Weir |
2 | 28% | $$5.67 | BEST |
| 2 | Appeared Dylan Gibbons |
6 | 23% | $$5.70 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sunburnt Country Rebecca Bronett Prag |
5 | 26% | $$5.71 | |
| 4 | County Kilkenny Tim Clark |
1 | 23% | $$6.23 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
23%
Appeared (6) J: Dylan Gibbons
flying form
2
20%
Forbidden Riff (4) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
quality stable, inconsistent
#1
3
28%
Spenzalot (2) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
4
23%
County Kilkenny (1) J: Tim Clark
in good form, quality stable
5Steel Blaze (8)SCR
#3
6
26%
Sunburnt Country (5) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag
flying form, quality stable
7
19%
Proxima Centauri (7) J: Andrew Adkins
in good form, quality stable
8
16%
Valentine John (3) J: Alysha Collett
quality stable
R4 • 1600m • Benchmark 72;
Low Value Bet
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leica Storm Jason Collett |
2 | 35% | $$5.12 | BEST |
| 2 | Think Itz You James Mc Donald |
3 | 26% | $$7.16 | DANGER |
| 3 | Natural Ruler William A Stanley |
7 | 27% | $$8.52 | |
| 4 | Savoonga Zac Lloyd |
9 | 25% | $$9.55 |
EACH WAYTab 3 Leica Storm (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1Mazis (8)SCR
#3
2
27%
Natural Ruler (7) J: William A Stanley
proven at distance, in good form
#1
3
35%
Leica Storm (2) J: Jason Collett
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
4
16%
Winston Hills (8) J: Ashley Morgan
track specialist, quality stable
5
21%
Storm Season (4) J: Dylan Gibbons
suited to trip, quality stable
6
22%
Flying From Above (1) J: Jett Newman
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#2
7
26%
Think Itz You (3) J: James Mc Donald
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
8It's A Wonder (2)SCR
9
16%
Motoscafo (6) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
proven at level, quality stable
10
23%
Sneaky Choice (5) J: Rachel King
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
11
25%
Savoonga (9) J: Zac Lloyd
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
R5 • 1400m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Gamble James Mc Donald |
7 | 28% | $$7.25 | BEST |
| 2 | Samarelle Zac Lloyd |
10 | 26% | $$8.01 | DANGER |
| 3 | Kwirky Smile Rachel King |
1 | 22% | $$8.50 | |
| 4 | Burn The Sky Anna Roper |
4 | 24% | $$8.80 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Hellbent On You (5) J: Nash Rawiller
track specialist, class edge, quality stable
#4
2
24%
Burn The Sky (4) J: Anna Roper
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, quality stable
#2
3
26%
Samarelle (10) J: Zac Lloyd
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
4
18%
Oakfield Neptune (9) J: William A Stanley
in good form, quality stable
5Written Scandal (10)SCR
6
21%
Lunaite (6) J: Chad Schofield
in good form, quality stable
7
26%
Kakadu Sunset (2) J: Tim Clark
track specialist, in good form, proven at level
8It's A Wonder (11)SCR
9Varuni (13)SCR
10Aura (5)SCR
#1
11
28%
Queen's Gamble (7) J: James Mc Donald
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
12Thrill Hunter (3)SCR
13
22%
Asilah (8) J: Jason Collett
in good form
#3
14
22%
Kwirky Smile (1) J: Rachel King
flying form
R6 • 1400m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monte Veebee Grant Buckley |
5 | 30% | $$6.51 | BEST |
| 2 | Gus The Great Nash Rawiller |
2 | 33% | $$6.55 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sociable Tim Clark |
4 | 31% | $$7.08 | |
| 4 | Waerea Chad Schofield |
7 | 22% | $$8.80 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Yoshinobu (11)SCR
#1
2
30%
Monte Veebee (5) J: Grant Buckley
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, class edge
3
26%
Cavalry (1) J: Tyler Schiller
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
4
24%
Clancy (9) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
track specialist, suited to trip, quality stable
5
21%
Without Peer (3) J: Shannen Llewellyn
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
#2
6
33%
Gus The Great (2) J: Nash Rawiller
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
7
16%
Extra Heights (6) J: Tom Sherry
in good form
8Oakfield Alaska (9)SCR
9Silencio Porfavor (9)SCR
#4
10
22%
Waerea (7) J: Chad Schofield
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#3
11
31%
Sociable (4) J: Tim Clark
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
12Demmo Dermy (11)SCR
13
12%
Anthropoid (8) J: Zac Lloyd
in good form, proven at level, quality stable
R7 • 1000m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manukau Tim Clark |
10 | 32% | $$9.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Action King Siena Grima |
6 | 28% | $$9.53 | DANGER |
| 3 | Spartus Zac Lloyd |
12 | 29% | $$10.52 | |
| 4 | She's Extra William A Stanley |
8 | 23% | $$11.07 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Vella's Best (15)SCR
#2
2
28%
Action King (6) J: Siena Grima
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
24%
Fuadee (3) J: Adam Hyeronimus
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
4
27%
Sea Admiral (1) J: Alysha Collett
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
5Shaggy (12)SCR
#3
6
29%
Spartus (12) J: Zac Lloyd
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#1
7
32%
Manukau (10) J: Tim Clark
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
23%
Sunday Tycoon (7) J: Keagan Latham
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
9
23%
Rhia (4) J: James Mc Donald
proven at distance, flying form
10
23%
Flightcrew (11) J: Chad Schofield
proven at distance, in good form
#4
11
23%
She's Extra (8) J: William A Stanley
track specialist, in good form, class edge, quality stable
12
18%
Where's The Circus (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
13
23%
Abuse Of Power (9) J: Molly Bourke
proven at distance, quality stable
14
24%
Beau Bandit (5) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
in good form, quality stable
15Just Awesome (16)SCR
16Shalaa Gold (6)SCR
17Gambler (10)SCR
18Ballet Encore (14)SCR
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R4:
Tab 3 Leica Storm (Barrier 2)
Model: $5.12
1 units
Model: $5.12
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 02/09/2026, 7:53:18 am