Warwick Farm
2026-06-03
Heavy
Rail: +3m Entire
Updated: 15:38 AEST
Track Insights — Warwick Farm
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Top Jockeys Here:
- N Rawiller: 5W from 11 (45.5% win, 72.7% place)
- K Mc Evoy: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
- J B Mc Donald: 1W from 6 (16.7% win, 33.3% place)
- C Schofield: 1W from 11 (9.1% win, 36.4% place)
- J R Collett: 0W from 7 (0.0% win, 42.9% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1100m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Krasina Ashley Morgan |
6 |
28% |
$$7.30 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Helldeeva Tom Sherry |
9 |
27% |
$$7.56 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Excelluna Jason Collett |
10 |
26% |
$$8.18 |
|
| 4 |
Kinetic Kiss Tim Clark |
3 |
22% |
$$8.77 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Demerzel (4) J: Rachel King
in good form
18%
2
Explosive Express (7) J: Nash Rawiller
flying form, inconsistent
17%
3Hatsumomo (1)SCR
4
Infinite Sky (5) J: Sam Clipperton
inconsistent
13%
#4
5
Kinetic Kiss (3) J: Tim Clark
flying form
22%
#1
6
Krasina (6) J: Ashley Morgan
in good form
28%
7
Perla Iberica (2) J: Jay Ford
inconsistent
15%
8
Profit Calling (8) J: Andrew Calder
flying form, inconsistent
12%
9Satin Serenade (12)SCR
10
Coral (1) J: Tommy Berry
in good form
17%
#3
11
Excelluna (10) J: Jason Collett
in good form
26%
#2
12
Helldeeva (9) J: Tom Sherry
in good form
27%
R2 • 1300m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Our Huntress Tommy Berry |
4 |
24% |
$$4.87 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Solar Dance Siena Grima |
6 |
25% |
$$5.38 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Beneath The Rock Tyler Schiller |
1 |
21% |
$$5.94 |
|
| 4 |
Merini Jason Collett |
7 |
22% |
$$6.46 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
Beneath The Rock (1) J: Tyler Schiller
flying form
21%
2Claudel (3)SCR
3
Extra Special (2) J: Reece Jones
in good form
18%
4I Am Overs (6)SCR
5Lorrie Belle (6)SCR
#4
6
Merini (7) J: Jason Collett
flying form
22%
7Miss Supernova (4)SCR
#1
8
Our Huntress (4) J: Tommy Berry
solid track record, in good form
24%
9
Presumptuous Gal (5) J: Jay Ford
looking for others
19%
10Royal Botanic (9)SCR
#2
11
Solar Dance (6) J: Siena Grima
place chance
25%
R3 • 1100m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $100000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Samaka Tim Clark |
5 |
26% |
$$7.02 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Unleash Harry Louise Day |
6 |
25% |
$$7.43 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Crescent King Tom Sherry |
4 |
24% |
$$8.79 |
|
| 4 |
Saloon Passage Siena Grima |
8 |
22% |
$$9.54 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Demonstrator (14)SCR
2
Hard Liner (9) J: Sam Clipperton
inconsistent
15%
3
King For A Day (10) J: Ashley Morgan
flying form, inconsistent
15%
4Northy Lad (5)SCR
5Royal Air Force (9)SCR
#1
6
Samaka (5) J: Tim Clark
flying form
26%
7Southport (9)SCR
#2
8
Unleash Harry (6) J: Louise Day
proven at distance, flying form
25%
9
Appin Opal (7) J: Jason Collett
flying form
20%
#4
10
Saloon Passage (8) J: Siena Grima
place chance
22%
11
Yattazou (3) J: Tommy Berry
proven at distance
21%
#3
12
Crescent King (4) J: Tom Sherry
flying form
24%
13Klocke (15)SCR
14Rebel Royal (13)SCR
15
Arizona Loner (1) J: Brock Ryan
inconsistent
17%
16
Lady Invictus (2) J: Regan Bayliss
flying form
19%
17Capone (9)SCR
18Claudel (16)SCR
R4 • 1600m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
A Pound Of Salt Braith Nock |
5 |
28% |
$$5.94 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Elle Hudson Sam Clipperton |
3 |
28% |
$$6.20 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Hovland Tommy Berry |
7 |
29% |
$$6.41 |
|
| 4 |
Stellar Rhonda Alysha Collett |
8 |
26% |
$$7.45 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Portsmouth (6) J: Tom Sherry
looking for others
14%
#3
2
Hovland (7) J: Tommy Berry
solid track record, proven at distance
29%
3
Ornithology (4) J: Tim Clark
looking for others
17%
4
Viewpoint (2) J: Andrew Adkins
proven at distance
19%
#2
5
Elle Hudson (3) J: Sam Clipperton
proven at distance, inconsistent
28%
#1
6
A Pound Of Salt (5) J: Braith Nock
proven at distance
28%
#4
7
Stellar Rhonda (8) J: Alysha Collett
proven at distance, in good form
26%
8Hammoon Heroine (3)SCR
9
Tillman (1) J: Jay Ford
proven at distance
19%
R5 • 1100m • Benchmark 64;
PASS
Benchmark 64; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Nandina Kerrin Mc Evoy |
8 |
28% |
$$8.30 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Last Druid Alysha Collett |
4 |
25% |
$$8.52 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Nullarbor Jane Shannen Llewellyn |
10 |
25% |
$$9.18 |
|
| 4 |
Graphic Sight Tim Clark |
7 |
24% |
$$9.50 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
President (3) J: Rachel King
suited to trip, class edge
24%
2Astronomix (6)SCR
3Hello Captain (10)SCR
4
Sociable (2) J: Adam Hyeronimus
proven at distance, in good form
21%
5Alphard (7)SCR
#1
6
Nandina (8) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
solid track record, proven at distance
28%
#3
7
Nullarbor Jane (10) J: Shannen Llewellyn
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
25%
8Silencio Porfavor (14)SCR
9
Capture Me (1) J: Andrew Adkins
proven at distance, in good form
24%
10Roma Green (14)SCR
#4
11
Graphic Sight (7) J: Tim Clark
proven at distance
24%
12
Mrs Maree (6) J: Nash Rawiller
solid track record, in good form
21%
13Jarrito (11)SCR
14
Gamp (5) J: Jay Ford
proven at distance, in good form
20%
15Luskintyre (10)SCR
16Ivy Diva (13)SCR
#2
17
Last Druid (4) J: Alysha Collett
proven at distance, in good form
25%
18
Prorata (9) J: Jason Collett
looking for others
15%
R6 • 2200m • Benchmark 72;
Low
Value Bet
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Majorian Braith Nock |
4 |
33% |
$$6.91 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Black Babylon Tom Sherry |
5 |
32% |
$$7.13 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
California Grass Alysha Collett |
3 |
28% |
$$8.01 |
|
| 4 |
Blacklist Tim Clark |
2 |
23% |
$$9.64 |
|
EACH WAYTab 4 Majorian (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
Solar Army (10) J: Adam Hyeronimus
looking for others
14%
2
Cormac T (6) J: Mollie Fitzgerald
solid track record, proven at distance
24%
#2
3
Black Babylon (5) J: Tom Sherry
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
32%
#1
4
Majorian (4) J: Braith Nock
solid track record, proven at distance
33%
5Claim The Crown (5)SCR
#4
6
Blacklist (2) J: Tim Clark
proven at distance
23%
7
Natoya (8) J: Jason Collett
solid track record
20%
8
Stay Tuned (7) J: Andrew Calder
looking for others
19%
9
War Ribbon (1) J: Ashley Morgan
class edge
18%
10
Le Troisir (9) J: Tommy Berry
solid track record, proven at distance
21%
#3
11
California Grass (3) J: Alysha Collett
solid track record, suited to trip, class edge, inconsistent
28%
R7 • 1300m • Benchmark 72;
Low
Value Bet
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Hot Bandit Brodie Loy |
11 |
34% |
$$7.40 |
BEST |
| 2 |
The Replicant Nash Rawiller |
10 |
31% |
$$8.68 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Cape Byron Olivia Chambers |
4 |
24% |
$$9.91 |
|
| 4 |
Formal Shannen Llewellyn |
8 |
23% |
$$10.76 |
|
WINTab 1 Hot Bandit0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
Hot Bandit (11) J: Brodie Loy
proven at distance
34%
2Winston Hills (12)SCR
3
Metaphorically (2) J: Anna Roper
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
18%
#3
4
Cape Byron (4) J: Olivia Chambers
solid track record, proven at distance
24%
5Crop Duster (15)SCR
#4
6
Formal (8) J: Shannen Llewellyn
solid track record, in good form
23%
7
Mamushka (7) J: Dylan Gibbons
solid track record, proven at distance
24%
8Rimbaud (10)SCR
9Lockdown Gamble (5)SCR
10
Aye Aye Captain (9) J: Kerrin Mc Evoy
looking for others
17%
#2
11
The Replicant (10) J: Nash Rawiller
solid track record, proven at distance
31%
12
Twisted Queen (5) J: Regan Bayliss
place chance
22%
13
Abuse Of Power (3) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag
proven at distance
24%
14
Emballee (6) J: Tommy Berry
looking for others
19%
15
Miss Capitale (1) J: Ashley Morgan
proven at distance
19%
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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