Terang
VIC • 2026-04-12
Good
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Updated: 08:39 AEST
8
Races Analysed
3
Bets Found
Luna Cat
Best Bet
None
Best Value
95%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Terang
Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.
Jockey Notes: Leading local riders with recent track wins dominate through superior course knowledge. Jockeys riding multiple winners at the venue in the past month carry momentum and understanding of current biases.
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1000m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celestaria Jack Hill |
2 | 27% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Ladhar Fred W Kersley |
3 | 28% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Firm'n'high Teodore Nugent |
1 | 23% | N/A | |
| 4 | Fox Phire Craig Newitt |
5 | 23% | N/A |
- Finished 4th last start, 4.8L off winner.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Blue Meteor (7) J: John Allen
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2
Crank (4) J: Jamie Mott
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3
19%
Nitro Sonic (6) J: Adam Mc Cabe
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
4
21%
Senza Nome (5) J: Declan Bates
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
5
27%
Celestaria (2) J: Jack Hill
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
6
23%
Firm'n'high (1) J: Teodore Nugent
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
15%
Flash Inquiry (10) J: Dean Yendall
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
8
23%
Fox Phire (5) J: Craig Newitt
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
19%
Howcani Resistyou (3) J: Linda Meech
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
10
28%
Ladhar (3) J: Fred W Kersley
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R2 • 1850m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zikron Neil Farley |
5 | 28% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Fire Type Jamie Mott |
9 | 30% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Belle Flamme John Allen |
1 | 31% | N/A | |
| 4 | Libby Ann Kate Walters |
10 | 33% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 8 last start (0.2L).
- Dropping in grade from recent campaigns — well suited at this level.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
12%
Royal Gala (9) J: Neil Farley
inconsistent
2
28%
Something Super (7) J: Fred W Kersley
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
3
28%
Zikron (5) J: Neil Farley
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form
#2
4
30%
Fire Type (9) J: Jamie Mott
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5
Gumdrop Buttons (4) J: Declan Bates
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
18%
Iron Legacy (2) J: Dean Yendall
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
20%
Eismond (9) J: Linda Meech
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
25%
Honeyjoy (11) J: Tom Madden
in good form, quality stable
#4
9
33%
Libby Ann (10) J: Kate Walters
in good form
#3
10
31%
Belle Flamme (1) J: John Allen
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
11
14%
Greystone (11) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
12
18%
Miss Camelot (8) J: Teodore Nugent
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
13
16%
Freshwater Fox (14) J:
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
14
16%
Catch The Moon (6) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
15
13%
Burn For You (1) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
16
17%
Lillard (3) J: Jack Hill
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R3 • 1200m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $55000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Col Klink Fred W Kersley |
2 | 45% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | I'm Da Boss Mitchell Aitken |
1 | 28% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Menzies Creek John Allen |
5 | 28% | N/A | |
| 4 | Toomanysteps Teodore Nugent |
6 | 27% | N/A |
- Won last start by 0.2L at Geelong over 1212m.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
20%
Big Rooster (9) J: Jamie Mott
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2
19%
Brother Quickie (11) J: Amy Herrmann
quality stable
#2
3
28%
I'm Da Boss (1) J: Mitchell Aitken
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
4
19%
Min Kiata (4) J: Kate Walters
flying form
#1
5
45%
Col Klink (2) J: Fred W Kersley
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
6
Jack Will (7) J: Melissa Julius
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
7
17%
Makarim (8) J: Harry Grace
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
8
28%
Menzies Creek (5) J: John Allen
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
9
23%
Atomova (2) J: Tom Madden
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
10
21%
Fromrussiawithlove (10) J: Jack Hill
top jockey, inconsistent
#4
11
27%
Toomanysteps (6) J: Teodore Nugent
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12
Buchan Outkast (3) J: Brendon Newport
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
13
11%
Cascata Spritz (11) J: Alana Kelly
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R4 • 1400m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vieux Riche Declan Bates |
2 | 29% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | There Were Roses |
6 | 28% | $$5.33 | DANGER |
| 3 | Le Plus Rapide Teodore Nugent |
6 | 27% | N/A | |
| 4 | Belgian Chocolate Melissa Julius |
5 | 25% | N/A |
- Placed 3rd of 11 last start (1.8L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
19%
Dunleer Lad (2) J: Amy Herrmann
inconsistent
2
22%
Infer (1) J: Neil Farley
track specialist, quality stable
#3
3
27%
Le Plus Rapide (6) J: Teodore Nugent
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
4
20%
Boggy Creek Boys (6) J: Jack Hill
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
5
17%
No No No No No (8) J: Fred W Kersley
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
6
18%
Sadlers Symphony (4) J: John Allen
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
14%
Soldier Boi (5) J: Lucinda Boyd
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
8
29%
Vieux Riche (2) J: Declan Bates
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
9
25%
Belgian Chocolate (5) J: Melissa Julius
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
10
13%
Blue Valentine (5) J: Tom Madden
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
11
22%
Holiday Surcharge (3) J: Mitchell Aitken
quality stable, inconsistent
#2
12
28%
There Were Roses (6) J:
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
R5 • 1600m • Benchmark 66;12:00
Low Value Bet
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eleanor Dumont Dean Yendall |
4 | 36% | $$9.76 | BEST |
| 2 | Cat Noir Teodore Nugent |
2 | 30% | $$1.52 | DANGER |
| 3 | Move The Torana Fred W Kersley |
4 | 27% | N/A | |
| 4 | Takemetothemoon Alana Kelly |
7 | 29% | N/A |
- Won last start by 0.1L at Terang over 1406m.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#5 Eleanor Dumont1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
17%
Shahzad (1) J: Rhys Mc Leod
proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
2
26%
Boga Legend (5) J: John Allen
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
3
20%
Ghetto Supastar (3) J: Neil Farley
proven at distance, quality stable
#2
4
30%
Cat Noir (2) J: Teodore Nugent
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
36%
Eleanor Dumont (4) J: Dean Yendall
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#4
6
29%
Takemetothemoon (7) J: Alana Kelly
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
18%
Heironaut (1) J: Declan Bates
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
8
27%
Move The Torana (4) J: Fred W Kersley
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
9
17%
Jenny The Beaver (3) J: Linda Meech
top jockey
10
21%
Designs Of Eight (6) J: Harry Grace
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
Exotics
Quinella: Eleanor Dumont, Cat Noir
Exacta: Eleanor Dumont / Cat Noir, Move The Torana
Trifecta: Box: Eleanor Dumont, Cat Noir, Move The Torana, Takemetothemoon
First 4: Box: Eleanor Dumont, Cat Noir, Move The Torana, Takemetothemoon, Boga Legend
R6 • 1200m • Benchmark 78;12:00
Low Value Bet
Benchmark 78; • Prize: $40000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luna Cat Dean Yendall |
3 | 35% | $$5.28 | BEST |
| 2 | Bedourie |
7 | 29% | $$9.12 | DANGER |
| 3 | Salsa Fellow Mitchell Aitken |
7 | 29% | $$1.85 | |
| 4 | Alero John Allen |
4 | 27% | $$72.94 |
- Finished 5th last start, 1.8L off the winner.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#4 Luna Cat1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Raikoke (8) J: Olivia East
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#3
2
29%
Salsa Fellow (7) J: Mitchell Aitken
proven at distance, quality stable
#4
3
27%
Alero (4) J: John Allen
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
4
35%
Luna Cat (3) J: Dean Yendall
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
5
16%
Always Hapi (6) J: Harry Grace
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
24%
Silver Cliff (5) J: Fred W Kersley
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
7
29%
Bedourie (7) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
23%
Frose (2) J: Alana Kelly
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
9
22%
Sunburnt (4) J: Brendon Newport
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
10
24%
Thunderanlightning (1) J: Teodore Nugent
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
R7 • 2150m • Open;12:00
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alder Jamie Mott |
12 | 37% | $$6.27 | BEST |
| 2 | Zulu Angel Jackson Radley |
2 | 27% | $$20.23 | DANGER |
| 3 | Wuddzz Alana Kelly |
5 | 27% | $$2.29 | |
| 4 | Antrim Coast Christine Puls |
7 | 26% | $$8.30 |
- Placed 2nd of 12 last start (2.8L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Stepping to 2150m for the first time — distance query.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#5 Alder1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Post Impressionist (11) J: Tom Madden
class edge, quality stable
2
24%
Monbaher (1) J: John Allen
in good form, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
3
15%
Hit The Road Jack (3) J: Dylan Dunn
in good form, class edge, quality stable
#4
4
26%
Antrim Coast (7) J: Christine Puls
class edge, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
5
37%
Alder (12) J: Jamie Mott
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
6
24%
Foujita San (4) J: Declan Bates
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
7
22%
Jimi Hendrix (14) J: Fred W Kersley
class edge, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
8
27%
Zulu Angel (2) J: Jackson Radley
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, quality stable
9
26%
Unseen Ruler (8) J: Dean Yendall
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
24%
Any Luck (6) J: Kate Walters
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
11
20%
Khor (10) J: Linda Meech
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
12
27%
Wuddzz (5) J: Alana Kelly
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
13
13%
Embezzler (9) J:
quality stable
14
21%
Enchanted Elle (7) J:
flying form, class edge, quality stable
15
17%
Staunch (1) J:
in good form, class edge, quality stable
R8 • 1400m • Benchmark 66;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prestige Ole Jamie Mott |
3 | 29% | $$6.40 | BEST |
| 2 | Frosty Night Amy Herrmann |
6 | 26% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Docinthe John Allen |
9 | 29% | N/A | |
| 4 | Montjeuify Olivia East |
8 | 27% | N/A |
- Well beaten last start (7th, 18.6L) — needs significant improvement.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
27%
Montjeuify (8) J: Olivia East
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
2
27%
Allinthetiming (5) J: Neil Farley
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
3
25%
Stay Silent (14) J:
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
4
26%
Wichitall (3) J: Dean Yendall
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
5
29%
Prestige Ole (3) J: Jamie Mott
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
6
21%
Governor King (3) J: Declan Bates
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
7
29%
Docinthe (9) J: John Allen
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8
23%
Papal Army (1) J: Rhys Mc Leod
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
9
26%
Salsbury Hill (5) J: Kate Walters
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
10
27%
Easy Dun (6) J: Tom Madden
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
11
27%
Geffina (4) J: Linda Meech
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
23%
Hide Your Assets (8) J: Alana Kelly
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
13
20%
Harmony (1) J: Fred W Kersley
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
14
23%
Pee Bee Noir (2) J: Teodore Nugent
in good form, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#2
15
26%
Frosty Night (6) J: Amy Herrmann
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R5:
#5 Eleanor Dumont (Barrier 4) UNDERLAY -48%
Model: $9.76
1% of bank
Model: $9.76
1% of bank
R6:
#4 Luna Cat (Barrier 3)
Model: $5.28
1% of bank
Model: $5.28
1% of bank
R7:
#5 Alder (Barrier 12)
Model: $6.27
1% of bank
Model: $6.27
1% of bank
Total Stake: 3.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 12/04/2026, 8:39:09 am