Leading Edge Tips

Te Rapa

NZ • 2026-04-12
Good Rail: Out 9m Rain expected 22°C
Updated: 08:39 AEST
8
Races Analysed
6
Bets Found
My Maebelline Girl
Best Bet
None
Best Value
94%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Te Rapa

Weather: Hamilton, NZ • 18°–22°C • Rain 100% • Wind 38km/h S

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 2400m • Benchmark 65;12:00

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 My Maebelline Girl
Joe Nishizuka		 2 46% N/A BEST
2 Vistown
Matthew Cameron		 3 24% N/A DANGER
3 Squire
Jack Taplin		 4 26% N/A
4 Khando
Hayley Hassman		 9 24% N/A
  • Finished 4th last start, 2.0L off the winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Stepping to 2400m for the first time — distance query.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#6 My Maebelline Girl1% of bank
⚖️
SPEED MAP
2400m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
12
—
8
—
13
—
3
—
7
—
1
—
2
—
10
—
4
—
6
—
9
—
5
—
11
—
7
Back
2
Midfield
3
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
11
Khando
Barrier 9
LEADER
—
6
My Maebelline Girl
Barrier 2
PRESSER
—
9
Squire
Barrier 4
PRESSER
—
5
Up With Ace
Barrier 11
PRESSER
—
10
Blackwaterfoot
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
—
4
Taupo Dancer
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
—
12
Vistown
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
—
8
Barcelona
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
—
13
Spring Queen
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
—
3
Perspective
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
—
7
Lucan
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
—
1
Innocent Victim
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
—
2
Hephaestus
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
—
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Innocent Victim (13) J: Sam McNab
top jockey, quality stable
16%
2
Hephaestus (12) J: George Rooke
top jockey, quality stable
16%
3
Perspective (5) J: Tayla Mitchell
solid track record, top jockey, quality stable
20%
4
Taupo Dancer (1) J: Craig Grylls
proven at distance, quality stable
19%
5
Up With Ace (11) J: Courtney Barnes
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
#1 6
My Maebelline Girl (2) J: Joe Nishizuka
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
46%
7
Lucan (10) J:
quality stable
21%
8
Barcelona (8) J: Corentin Berge
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
23%
#3 9
Squire (4) J: Jack Taplin
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
10
Blackwaterfoot (6) J: Matthew Cartwright
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
24%
#4 11
Khando (9) J: Hayley Hassman
in good form, top jockey
24%
#2 12
Vistown (3) J: Matthew Cameron
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
24%
13
Spring Queen (7) J: Masahiro Hashizume
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
25%

R2 • 2100m • Benchmark 75;12:00

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Perfectmanz
Joe Nishizuka		 5 44% N/A BEST
2 Awhina
Erin M Leighton		 11 27% N/A DANGER
3 Proboy
 12 28% N/A
4 Ortem Legacy
Samantha Collett		 9 27% N/A
  • Won last start by 1.3L at Te Aroha over 2200m.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 2100m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#5 Perfectmanz1% of bank
⚖️
SPEED MAP
2100m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
7
—
9
—
5
—
4
—
2
—
10
—
12
—
11
—
3
—
6
—
8
—
1
—
None
2
Back
8
Midfield
2
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
8
Ortem Legacy
Barrier 9
PRESSER
—
1
The Underbelly
Barrier 8
PRESSER
—
5
Perfectmanz
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
—
4
Awhina
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
—
2
Proboy
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
—
10
Thrilling
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
—
12
Victorious Warrior
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
—
11
Astarte
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
—
3
Altari
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
—
6
Volunteer
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
—
7
Charlbury
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
—
9
Tide And Time
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
—
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
The Underbelly (8) J:
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
22%
#3 2
Proboy (12) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
28%
3
Altari (3) J: Opie Bosson
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#2 4
Awhina (11) J: Erin M Leighton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#1 5
Perfectmanz (5) J: Joe Nishizuka
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
44%
6
Volunteer (7) J: Craig Grylls
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
20%
7
Charlbury (1) J: Corentin Berge
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#4 8
Ortem Legacy (9) J: Samantha Collett
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
9
Tide And Time (10) J: Matthew Cartwright
proven at distance
18%
10
Thrilling (2) J: George Rooke
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
23%
11
Astarte (4) J: Masahiro Hashizume
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
12
Victorious Warrior (6) J: Matthew Cameron
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
20%

Exotics

Exacta: Perfectmanz / Awhina, Proboy
Trifecta: Box: Perfectmanz, Awhina, Proboy, Ortem Legacy
First 4: Box: Perfectmanz, Awhina, Proboy, Ortem Legacy, Thrilling

R3 • 1100m • Maiden;12:00

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $20000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Ka Ron
 1 48% N/A BEST
2 Sir Richie
Jack Taplin		 10 46% N/A DANGER
3 High Goal
George Rooke		 3 30% N/A
4 Rupeni
Matthew Cartwright		 11 27% N/A
  • Well beaten last start (12th, 5.4L) — needs significant improvement.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1100m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1100m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
1
▲▲
4
▲
6
▲
11
▲
10
▲
2
—
7
—
9
—
12
—
3
▼
5
▼
8
▼
1
Back
4
Midfield
4
Pressers
3
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
3
High Goal
Barrier 3
LEADER
▼
5
Fraudster
Barrier 1
LEADER
▼
8
Lady Supido
Barrier 2
LEADER
▼
2
Sir Richie
Barrier 10
PRESSER
—
7
Imperial Rose
Barrier 6
PRESSER
—
9
Semra
Barrier 4
PRESSER
—
12
No Finer Sling
Barrier 5
PRESSER
—
4
Rupeni
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
▲
6
Zafar
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
▲
11
Ignore Me Not
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
▲
10
Timeless Beauty
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
▲
1
Ka Ron
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Ka Ron (1) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
48%
#2 2
Sir Richie (10) J: Jack Taplin
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
46%
#3 3
High Goal (3) J: George Rooke
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
30%
#4 4
Rupeni (11) J: Matthew Cartwright
in good form
27%
5
Fraudster (1) J: Samantha Collett
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
6
Zafar (7) J: Opie Bosson
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
Imperial Rose (6) J: Michael Mc Nab
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
23%
8
Lady Supido (2) J: Joe Doyle
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
Semra (4) J: Warren Kennedy
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
10
Timeless Beauty (9) J: Craig Grylls
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
11
Ignore Me Not (8) J: Courtney Barnes
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
12
No Finer Sling (5) J: Rihaan Goyaram
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

R4 • 1200m • Open;12:00

Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Mazino
Matthew Cartwright		 4 36% N/A BEST
2 Convinced
Corentin Berge		 3 23% N/A DANGER
3 Shameless Star
Michael Mc Nab		 13 28% N/A
4 Tale Of The Gypsy
Sam McNab		 9 28% N/A
  • Placed 2nd of 11 last start (0.7L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#8 Mazino1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
2
▲▲
4
▲
6
▲
5
▲
13
▲
12
▲
8
—
1
—
9
—
3
—
11
▼
7
▼
10
▼
1
Back
5
Midfield
4
Pressers
3
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
11
Convinced
Barrier 3
LEADER
▼
7
Tale Of The Gypsy
Barrier 9
LEADER
▼
10
Rioja
Barrier 8
LEADER
▼
8
Mazino
Barrier 4
PRESSER
—
1
Yokozuna
Barrier 1
PRESSER
—
9
Chatelle Rose
Barrier 10
PRESSER
—
3
Passiflora
Barrier 12
PRESSER
—
4
Shameless Star
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
▲
6
Sibling Rivalry
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
▲
5
Quello Dolce
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
▲
13
Miss Moet All
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
▲
12
Hasstorock
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
▲
2
General Menari
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Yokozuna (1) J: Masahiro Hashizume
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
2
General Menari (11) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
21%
3
Passiflora (12) J: Craig Grylls
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
24%
#3 4
Shameless Star (13) J: Michael Mc Nab
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
28%
5
Quello Dolce (2) J: Samantha Collett
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
6
Sibling Rivalry (7) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, flying form, proven at level, top jockey
23%
#4 7
Tale Of The Gypsy (9) J: Sam McNab
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
28%
#1 8
Mazino (4) J: Matthew Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
36%
9
Chatelle Rose (10) J: Joe Doyle
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
10
Rioja (8) J: Warren Kennedy
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#2 11
Convinced (3) J: Corentin Berge
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey
23%
12
Hasstorock (6) J: George Rooke
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
13
Miss Moet All (5) J: Jack Taplin
top jockey
22%

R5 • 1400m • Open;12:00

PASS
Open; • Prize: $40000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Dream Of The Moon
Hayley Hassman		 2 29% N/A BEST
2 Financier
Michael Mc Nab		 8 30% N/A DANGER
3 Little Bit Of Love
Masahiro Hashizume		 5 27% N/A
4 Chattahoochee
Opie Bosson		 6 26% N/A
  • Finished 4th last start, 4.3L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1400m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
5
—
11
—
6
—
4
—
10
—
12
—
7
—
2
—
13
—
9
—
3
—
1
—
8
—
2
Back
7
Midfield
3
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
8
Pacheco
Barrier 1
LEADER
—
9
Dream Of The Moon
Barrier 2
PRESSER
—
3
Chattahoochee
Barrier 6
PRESSER
—
1
Leroy Brown
Barrier 3
PRESSER
—
6
Financier
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
—
4
Uderzo
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
—
10
Old Bill Bone
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
—
12
Rudyard
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
—
7
El Viento
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
—
2
Habana
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
—
13
Suavetta
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
—
5
Little Bit Of Love
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
—
11
Platinum Diamond
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
—
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Leroy Brown (3) J: Jack Taplin
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
27%
2
Habana (9) J:
proven at distance, class edge
22%
#4 3
Chattahoochee (6) J: Opie Bosson
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
26%
4
Uderzo (11) J: Joe Doyle
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
28%
#3 5
Little Bit Of Love (5) J: Masahiro Hashizume
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
27%
#2 6
Financier (8) J: Michael Mc Nab
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
30%
7
El Viento (13) J: Craig Grylls
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
22%
8
Pacheco (1) J: Elen Nicholas
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#1 9
Dream Of The Moon (2) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
29%
10
Old Bill Bone (12) J: Samantha Collett
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
25%
11
Platinum Diamond (7) J: George Rooke
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
18%
12
Rudyard (4) J: Tayla Mitchell
track specialist, form a concern, class edge, top jockey
25%
13
Suavetta (10) J:
track specialist, suited to trip, proven at level, quality stable
18%

R6 • 1200m • Benchmark 75;12:00

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Egyptian Queen
Sam McNab		 2 39% N/A BEST
2 Nicconi County
Rihaan Goyaram		 13 29% N/A DANGER
3 Miss Bo Peep
Masahiro Hashizume		 9 27% N/A
4 Midori Glory
Tayla Mitchell		 7 25% N/A
  • Missed last but has won 1 of past 5 (incl. Te Rapa).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#1 Egyptian Queen1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
6
▲▲
11
▲▲
1
▲
5
▲
3
▲
16
▲
2
▲
10
▲
12
▲
17
▲
15
▲
8
—
7
—
9
—
14
—
4
▼
13
▼
2
Back
9
Midfield
4
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
Miss Bo Peep
Barrier 9
LEADER
▼
13
Grinzinger Moon
Barrier 1
LEADER
▼
8
Midori Glory
Barrier 7
PRESSER
—
7
Magice
Barrier 12
PRESSER
—
9
Sista Sugar
Barrier 14
PRESSER
—
14
Live On Air
Barrier 15
PRESSER
—
1
Egyptian Queen
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
▲
5
Nicconi County
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
▲
3
Overdrawn
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
▲
16
Mo Charaid
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
▲
2
Sense Of Timing
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
▲
10
Vieni Su
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
▲
12
Part Time Lover
Barrier 17
MIDFIELD
▲
17
Suavetta
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
▲
15
The Perfect One
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
▲
6
Beast Of Burden
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
▲▲
11
Chante Moi
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Egyptian Queen (2) J: Sam McNab
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
39%
2
Sense Of Timing (3) J: Hayley Hassman
track specialist, in good form, proven at level, top jockey
23%
3
Overdrawn (5) J: Joe Doyle
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3 4
Miss Bo Peep (9) J: Masahiro Hashizume
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
27%
#2 5
Nicconi County (13) J: Rihaan Goyaram
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
6
Beast Of Burden (8) J: Hyeontaek Oh
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
27%
7
Magice (12) J: Michael Mc Nab
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#4 8
Midori Glory (7) J: Tayla Mitchell
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
9
Sista Sugar (14) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
26%
10
Vieni Su (11) J: Warren Kennedy
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
11
Chante Moi (16) J: Craig Grylls
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
27%
12
Part Time Lover (17) J: Samantha Collett
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
13
Grinzinger Moon (1) J: Ethan Jones
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
23%
14
Live On Air (15) J: Joe Nishizuka
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
15
The Perfect One (10) J:
in good form, quality stable
17%
16
Mo Charaid (6) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
26%
17
Suavetta (4) J:
track specialist, proven at level, quality stable
21%

R7 • 1300m • Benchmark 65;12:00

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Opaea Joe
Sam McNab		 3 39% N/A BEST
2 Cosmopolitan
Samantha Collett		 9 25% N/A DANGER
3 Esternay
Warren Kennedy		 6 28% N/A
4 Skymax
George Rooke		 1 28% N/A
  • Placed 3rd of 8 last start (2.5L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1300m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#6 Opaea Joe1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1300m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
8
▲▲
1
▲▲
12
▲▲
9
▲▲
14
▲▲
15
▲
5
▲
6
—
11
—
4
—
16
—
3
—
2
—
7
—
13
—
10
—
None
5
Back
2
Midfield
9
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
6
Opaea Joe
Barrier 3
PRESSER
—
11
Cosmopolitan
Barrier 9
PRESSER
—
4
Skymax
Barrier 1
PRESSER
—
16
Ashoka
Barrier 14
PRESSER
—
3
Track Tester
Barrier 10
PRESSER
—
2
Fleeting Star
Barrier 12
PRESSER
—
7
Smooth Warrior
Barrier 4
PRESSER
—
13
Amusement
Barrier 8
PRESSER
—
10
She'll Be Right
Barrier 15
PRESSER
—
15
Frosbie
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
▲
5
Bharnstorm
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
▲
8
Esternay
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
Pukana
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
▲▲
12
Thumbelina
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
9
Bamboozle
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲
14
Prudentia
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Pukana (16) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
28%
2
Fleeting Star (12) J: Joe Nishizuka
in good form, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
21%
3
Track Tester (10) J: Joe Doyle
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
#4 4
Skymax (1) J: George Rooke
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
28%
5
Bharnstorm (2) J: Jack Taplin
flying form, top jockey
21%
#1 6
Opaea Joe (3) J: Sam McNab
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
39%
7
Smooth Warrior (4) J: Matthew Cameron
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3 8
Esternay (6) J: Warren Kennedy
top jockey, quality stable
28%
9
Bamboozle (13) J: Corentin Berge
top jockey, quality stable
22%
10
She'll Be Right (15) J: Lynsey Satherley
in good form
19%
#2 11
Cosmopolitan (9) J: Samantha Collett
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
25%
12
Thumbelina (11) J: Craig Grylls
flying form, quality stable
24%
13
Amusement (8) J: Tayla Mitchell
top jockey, quality stable
21%
14
Prudentia (7) J: Masahiro Hashizume
top jockey, quality stable
19%
15
Frosbie (5) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
23%
16
Ashoka (14) J:
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
25%

R8 • 1600m • Benchmark 75;12:00

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Nancy She Wrote
Sam McNab		 17 41% N/A BEST
2 Zantabulous
Hayley Hassman		 10 29% N/A DANGER
3 Peerless
Craig Grylls		 9 38% N/A
4 Confesara
George Rooke		 5 28% N/A
  • Finished 6th last start, 5.2L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#3 Nancy She Wrote1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1600m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
11
▲▲
4
▲▲
17
▲▲
3
▲
1
▲
2
▲
9
▲
12
▲
16
▲
7
▲
10
▲
14
▲
15
—
6
—
18
—
8
▼
5
▼
13
▼
3
Back
9
Midfield
3
Pressers
3
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
8
Greenwich
Barrier 15
LEADER
▼
5
El Arish
Barrier 6
LEADER
▼
13
Opera Belle
Barrier 4
LEADER
▼
15
Lotus
Barrier 2
PRESSER
—
6
One Bold Gigolo
Barrier 14
PRESSER
—
18
Up The Anti
Barrier 16
PRESSER
—
3
Nancy She Wrote
Barrier 17
MIDFIELD
▲
1
Zantabulous
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
▲
2
Peerless
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
▲
9
Confesara
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
▲
12
Dubai Gold
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
▲
16
Desert Mystic
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
▲
7
The Prophet
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
▲
10
Amira D'argento
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
▲
14
Imperial Empress
Barrier 18
MIDFIELD
▲
11
Sweet But Psycho
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
▲▲
4
On The Town
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲
17
Delz Abeel
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Zantabulous (10) J: Hayley Hassman
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
29%
#3 2
Peerless (9) J: Craig Grylls
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
38%
#1 3
Nancy She Wrote (17) J: Sam McNab
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
41%
4
On The Town (13) J: Michael Mc Nab
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
24%
5
El Arish (6) J: Matthew Cartwright
proven at distance, in good form
25%
6
One Bold Gigolo (14) J: A Lawson-Carroll
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
18%
7
The Prophet (1) J: Matthew Cameron
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
8
Greenwich (15) J: Courtney Barnes
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
#4 9
Confesara (5) J: George Rooke
track specialist, flying form, proven at level, top jockey
28%
10
Amira D'argento (12) J: Joe Nishizuka
in good form, top jockey
18%
11
Sweet But Psycho (8) J: Warren Kennedy
solid track record, suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
25%
12
Dubai Gold (3) J: Rihaan Goyaram
proven at distance, form a concern, class edge, top jockey
28%
13
Opera Belle (4) J: Elen Nicholas
top jockey, quality stable
19%
14
Imperial Empress (18) J: Tayla Mitchell
solid track record, top jockey
17%
15
Lotus (2) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
23%
16
Desert Mystic (7) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
25%
17
Delz Abeel (11) J:
quality stable
17%
18
Up The Anti (16) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
22%

Exotics

Exacta: Nancy She Wrote / Zantabulous, Peerless
Trifecta: Box: Nancy She Wrote, Zantabulous, Peerless, Confesara
First 4: Box: Nancy She Wrote, Zantabulous, Peerless, Confesara, Dubai Gold

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R1: #6 My Maebelline Girl (Barrier 2)
1% of bank
R2: #5 Perfectmanz (Barrier 5)
1% of bank
R4: #8 Mazino (Barrier 4)
1% of bank
R6: #1 Egyptian Queen (Barrier 2)
1% of bank
R7: #6 Opaea Joe (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R8: #3 Nancy She Wrote (Barrier 17)
1% of bank
Total Stake: 6.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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Leading Edge Tips

Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 12/04/2026, 8:39:09 am