Sha Tin
2026-10-19
Good
Updated: 20:26 AEST
11
Races Analysed
7
Bets Found
Shotgun
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Yesterday's Performance
12.5%
Strike Rate
-90.6%
ROI
1/8
Winners
$-7.70
Net Profit
Based on 8 races | Staked: $8.50
Track Insights — Sha Tin
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Z Purton: 20W from 66 (30.3% win, 48.5% place)
- K Teetan: 11W from 73 (15.1% win, 41.1% place)
- A Atzeni: 10W from 61 (16.4% win, 37.7% place)
- H Bentley: 7W from 46 (15.2% win, 41.3% place)
- James Orman: 7W from 49 (14.3% win, 40.8% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best balance. The wide straight allows scope for all barrier positions to work.
Pace: The track accommodates all running styles. Closers can be very effective with the long straight, but on-pace runners with class prevail most often.
R1 • 1800m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $875000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingly Demeanor Nichola Yuen |
5 | 35% | $$7.91 | BEST |
| 2 | Golden Fortune Brenton Avdulla |
3 | 35% | $$8.51 | DANGER |
| 3 | Special Hedge Dylan Mo |
13 | 29% | $$11.41 | |
| 4 | Can't Go Wong Derek Leung |
4 | 28% | $$11.45 |
EACH WAYTab 4 Kingly Demeanor (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
27%
Star Brose (8) J: Zac Purton
quality stable
#2
2
35%
Golden Fortune (3) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
3
28%
Can't Go Wong (4) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, class edge
#1
4
35%
Kingly Demeanor (5) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
5
19%
Young Fighter (7) J: Luke Ferraris
quality stable, inconsistent
6
25%
I Excelle (2) J: Vincent Ho
quality stable
7
19%
Fighting Machine (10) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, form a concern, inconsistent
8
24%
Fortune Kingo (11) J: Jerry Chau
in good form
9
20%
Circuit Duffy (1) J: Keith Yeung
inconsistent
10
18%
Young Striker (12) J: James Orman
quality stable
11
23%
Smart City (6) J: Matthew L Chadwick
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
12
29%
Special Hedge (13) J: Dylan Mo
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
13
25%
Perfect Pairing (9) J: Andrea Atzeni
proven at distance, inconsistent
R2 • 1400m
Med Value Bet
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shotgun Matthew Poon |
1 | 40% | $$7.22 | BEST |
| 2 | Positive Smile Keith Yeung |
14 | 32% | $$10.40 | DANGER |
| 3 | Chill Partners Derek Leung |
5 | 31% | $$10.85 | |
| 4 | Ghorgan Andrea Atzeni |
4 | 29% | $$12.28 |
EACH WAYTab 11 Shotgun (0.75 unit win + 0.75 unit place)1.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
23%
True Brothers (7) J: Britney Wong
place chance
#3
2
31%
Chill Partners (5) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance
#2
3
32%
Positive Smile (14) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
4
13%
Island Highflyer (13) J: Vincent Ho
quality stable
5
18%
Lean General (8) J: Richard Kingscote
quality stable, inconsistent
6
14%
Pegasus Elite (6) J: Luke Ferraris
looking for others
7
16%
Shannon Glow (12) J: Jerry Chau
in good form, quality stable
#4
8
29%
Ghorgan (4) J: Andrea Atzeni
proven at distance, class edge
9
24%
Joker Orbit (2) J: E C W Wong
class edge, quality stable, inconsistent
10
25%
Invictus (3) J: Zac Purton
proven at distance, in good form
#1
11
40%
Shotgun (1) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
12
25%
Trendy Rush (11) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, quality stable
13
27%
Illuminous (10) J: Matthew L Chadwick
solid track record, proven at distance
14
18%
Healthy Pony (9) J: Angus Chung
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
R3 • 1800m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Win Matthew L Chadwick |
1 | 35% | $$9.34 | BEST |
| 2 | Victor Supreme Vincent Ho |
7 | 31% | $$10.82 | DANGER |
| 3 | Volcanic Spark Richard Kingscote |
3 | 31% | $$11.00 | |
| 4 | Dreaming Together Karis Teetan |
9 | 29% | $$11.82 |
EACH WAYTab 3 Double Win (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
29%
Dreaming Together (9) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, class edge
#2
2
31%
Victor Supreme (7) J: Vincent Ho
solid track record, proven at distance
#1
3
35%
Double Win (1) J: Matthew L Chadwick
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form
4
20%
Sugar Goodson (13) J: Derek Leung
inconsistent
5
27%
Amazing Gaze (5) J: Zac Purton
place chance
6
23%
Lucky Balerion (6) J: Matthew Poon
place chance
#3
7
31%
Volcanic Spark (3) J: Richard Kingscote
solid track record, proven at distance
8
29%
Romantic Fantasy (14) J: Alexis Badel
solid track record, proven at distance
9
25%
Lucky Year (4) J: Harry Bentley
place chance
10
18%
Big Big World (10) J: Keith Yeung
form a concern, inconsistent
11
24%
Supreme Mastermind (12) J: Luke Ferraris
class edge
12
20%
King Of Selection (11) J: Andrea Atzeni
inconsistent
13
22%
Good Good (8) J: Angus Chung
solid track record, suited to trip, form a concern, inconsistent
14
26%
On The Lash (2) J: Britney Wong
solid track record, proven at distance
R4 • 1400m
PASS
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiu Chow Golf Harry Bentley |
13 | 32% | $$9.59 | BEST |
| 2 | Leslie Richard Kingscote |
2 | 33% | $$10.14 | DANGER |
| 3 | California Waves Brenton Avdulla |
5 | 32% | $$10.64 | |
| 4 | Just Follow Me Karis Teetan |
3 | 29% | $$11.78 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
26%
Excellence Value (4) J: Dylan Mo
form a concern, class edge, inconsistent
2
19%
Watch Legend (8) J: Matthew L Chadwick
looking for others
#1
3
32%
Chiu Chow Golf (13) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
#3
4
32%
California Waves (5) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
5
16%
Comic (12) J: Matthew Poon
quality stable
6
21%
Mr Invincible (7) J: Jerry Chau
in good form, quality stable
7
18%
Not Usual Double (10) J: Zac Purton
quality stable, inconsistent
#2
8
33%
Leslie (2) J: Richard Kingscote
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
9
22%
Coogee Bay (9) J: E C W Wong
quality stable, inconsistent
10
21%
Dragon Generation (1) J: Lyle Hewitson
inconsistent
11
21%
Hot Air Ballon (11) J: James Orman
place chance
#4
12
29%
Just Follow Me (3) J: Karis Teetan
suited to trip, quality stable
13
25%
Lakeshore Hero (14) J: Andrea Atzeni
quality stable
14
25%
Star Satyr (6) J: Angus Chung
proven at distance, inconsistent
R5 • 1200m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolf Coming Lyle Hewitson |
2 | 36% | $$7.62 | BEST |
| 2 | Cirrus Speed Matthew Poon |
1 | 32% | $$8.89 | DANGER |
| 3 | Navas G Luke Ferraris |
3 | 29% | $$10.21 | |
| 4 | Real Gentleman Derek Leung |
9 | 28% | $$10.80 |
EACH WAYTab 2 Wolf Coming (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
28%
Real Gentleman (9) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#1
2
36%
Wolf Coming (2) J: Lyle Hewitson
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
10%
Cosmo Dragon (12) J: Dylan Mo
flying form, inconsistent
4
22%
Happy Special (10) J: Andrea Atzeni
quality stable
5
23%
Sharp Planet (8) J: E C W Wong
quality stable
6
22%
Smiling Sky (6) J: Jerry Chau
place chance
7
18%
Voyage Captain (7) J: Nichola Yuen
quality stable
8
27%
Gutsy Bravo (11) J: James Orman
proven at distance
9
28%
Never Settle (4) J: Keith Yeung
proven at distance, in good form
#3
10
29%
Navas G (3) J: Luke Ferraris
proven at distance
11
25%
Thunder Prince (5) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
#2
12
32%
Cirrus Speed (1) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
R6 • 1000m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruby Thrive Zac Purton |
14 | 37% | $$8.69 | BEST |
| 2 | Zouper Fellow Britney Wong |
2 | 33% | $$10.15 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sunny Q Alexis Badel |
6 | 33% | $$10.25 | |
| 4 | Sparkling Fellow Brenton Avdulla |
12 | 32% | $$10.46 |
EACH WAYTab 3 Ruby Thrive (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
27%
Argento Ocean (9) J: Nichola Yuen
in good form
2
25%
High Praise (3) J: Derek Leung
quality stable
#1
3
37%
Ruby Thrive (14) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
4
32%
Sparkling Fellow (12) J: Brenton Avdulla
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
16%
Aurora Phoenix (10) J: Keith Yeung
flying form, quality stable
6
18%
Break Heaven (5) J: Jerry Chau
quality stable, inconsistent
7
26%
Ever Wealth (13) J: James Orman
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
8
33%
Zouper Fellow (2) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
9
15%
Daily Fun (11) J: Angus Chung
looking for others
#3
10
33%
Sunny Q (6) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
11
24%
Precision Mind (4) J: Karis Teetan
place chance
12
24%
Supreme Voyager (8) J: Harry Bentley
in good form
13
23%
Goldentronicmighty (7) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, quality stable, inconsistent
14
20%
Zeta Hedge (1) J: Dylan Mo
quality stable, inconsistent
R7 • 1200m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Island Buddy Karis Teetan |
1 | 34% | $$7.37 | BEST |
| 2 | Ace Eagle Zac Purton |
3 | 33% | $$8.17 | DANGER |
| 3 | Solid Car James Orman |
7 | 34% | $$8.44 | |
| 4 | Flowing Riches Jerry Chau |
12 | 33% | $$8.63 |
EACH WAYTab 1 Island Buddy (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
34%
Island Buddy (1) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
2
33%
Flowing Riches (12) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#3
3
34%
Solid Car (7) J: James Orman
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#2
4
33%
Ace Eagle (3) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
19%
Flying Hunter (2) J: Dylan Mo
inconsistent
6
20%
Prime Ace (11) J: Andrea Atzeni
solid track record, proven at distance
7
31%
Incredible Moment (10) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
17%
Dancing Blaze (5) J: Vincent Ho
quality stable
9
16%
Green Field Pearl (6) J: Derek Leung
form a concern, inconsistent
10
27%
Ka Ying Radiance (8) J: Matthew Poon
suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
11
24%
Star Figure (4) J: Lyle Hewitson
suited to trip, quality stable
12
17%
Heroic Vanguard (9) J: Keith Yeung
inconsistent
R8 • 1600m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $5350000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Wish Zac Purton |
3 | 36% | $$7.19 | BEST |
| 2 | Light Years Charm Karis Teetan |
2 | 30% | $$9.02 | DANGER |
| 3 | Beauty Joy Brenton Avdulla |
10 | 27% | $$10.24 | |
| 4 | Sky Jewellery Alexis Badel |
4 | 25% | $$10.85 |
EACH WAYTab 2 My Wish (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
25%
Voyage Bubble (11) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
#1
2
36%
My Wish (3) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, class edge
3
23%
Helios Express (7) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge
4Invincible Ibis (10)SCR
#3
5
27%
Beauty Joy (10) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, class edge
6
23%
Patch Of Theta (1) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#2
7
30%
Light Years Charm (2) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
8
24%
Stormy Grove (8) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
9
20%
Soleil Fighter (5) J: Harry Bentley
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
#4
10
25%
Sky Jewellery (4) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
11
25%
Sagacious Life (9) J: E C W Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
12
21%
Winning Wing (6) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
R9 • 1200m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1860000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motor Derek Leung |
5 | 34% | $$7.52 | BEST |
| 2 | Mr Incredible Karis Teetan |
10 | 33% | $$7.84 | DANGER |
| 3 | Smart Golf Harry Bentley |
3 | 32% | $$8.22 | |
| 4 | Happy Shooter Lyle Hewitson |
1 | 31% | $$8.71 |
EACH WAYTab 3 Motor (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
33%
Mr Incredible (10) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#3
2
32%
Smart Golf (3) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
#1
3
34%
Motor (5) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
4
18%
Make You Smile (9) J: Luke Ferraris
class edge
5
23%
Precision Time (7) J: Matthew L Chadwick
in good form
6
20%
Grand Eagle (2) J: Jerry Chau
class edge
7Super Strong Kid (5)SCR
8
25%
Gloryspeed (4) J: Zac Purton
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
9
18%
La Forza (11) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
10
31%
Happy Shooter (1) J: Lyle Hewitson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
11
26%
Thousand Spirit (8) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance
12
19%
Honest Witness (6) J: Britney Wong
proven at distance, quality stable
R10 • 1600m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $2050000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Packing Fighter Zac Purton |
9 | 38% | $$8.30 | BEST |
| 2 | Smart Avenue Nichola Yuen |
13 | 31% | $$10.77 | DANGER |
| 3 | Joyful Joy James Orman |
3 | 29% | $$11.79 | |
| 4 | Master Lucky Alexis Badel |
2 | 28% | $$12.57 |
WINTab 1 Packing Fighter1 units
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
38%
Packing Fighter (9) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#2
2
31%
Smart Avenue (13) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance
3
21%
Windlord (14) J: Vincent Ho
proven at distance, class edge
4
23%
Mister Dapper (7) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
5
28%
Complete Unknown (11) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
6
22%
So Naive (8) J: Jerry Chau
class edge, quality stable
#3
7
29%
Joyful Joy (3) J: James Orman
track specialist, in good form
8
27%
Fortune Boy (1) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
9
21%
Sonic Liner (4) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, quality stable
10
16%
Prime Success (6) J: Richard Kingscote
proven at distance
11
22%
Shamus Storm (10) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
12
21%
Natural Numbers (5) J: Matthew L Chadwick
inconsistent
13
25%
Hymnbook (12) J: Andrea Atzeni
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
14
28%
Master Lucky (2) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, in good form
R11 • 1400m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $1860000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baby Sakura Vincent Ho |
2 | 34% | $$9.17 | BEST |
| 2 | Nyx Gluck Zac Purton |
10 | 30% | $$10.57 | DANGER |
| 3 | Mighty Masts Karis Teetan |
11 | 30% | $$10.73 | |
| 4 | Sky Heart E C W Wong |
4 | 26% | $$11.49 |
WINTab 8 Baby Sakura0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
23%
Beauty Bolt (1) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, proven at distance
2Salon S (7)SCR
#3
3
30%
Mighty Masts (11) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
4
23%
Emblazon (9) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
5
25%
Endued (3) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance
6
25%
Aeroinvincible (6) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
7
16%
Garrix (7) J: Luke Ferraris
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#1
8
34%
Baby Sakura (2) J: Vincent Ho
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form
9
24%
Geneva (5) J: James Orman
track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
10
27%
Chill Buddy (8) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
11
26%
Sky Heart (4) J: E C W Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
12
20%
Akashvani (13) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
13
30%
Nyx Gluck (10) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
14
24%
King Of Fighters (12) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R1:
Tab 4 Kingly Demeanor (Barrier 5)
Model: $7.91
1 units
Model: $7.91
1 units
R2:
Tab 11 Shotgun (Barrier 1)
Model: $7.22
1.5 units
Model: $7.22
1.5 units
R3:
Tab 3 Double Win (Barrier 1)
Model: $9.34
1 units
Model: $9.34
1 units
R5:
Tab 2 Wolf Coming (Barrier 2)
Model: $7.62
1 units
Model: $7.62
1 units
R6:
Tab 3 Ruby Thrive (Barrier 14)
Model: $8.69
1 units
Model: $8.69
1 units
R8:
Tab 2 My Wish (Barrier 3)
Model: $7.19
1 units
Model: $7.19
1 units
R10:
Tab 1 Packing Fighter (Barrier 9)
Model: $8.30
1 units
Model: $8.30
1 units
Total Stake: 7.5%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 19/10/2026, 8:26:35 pm