Sha Tin

HK • 2026-04-12
Good Rail: Out 9m Fine 29°C
Updated: 08:39 AEST
11
Races Analysed
6
Bets Found
Lightness Of Being
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Sha Tin

Weather: Hong Kong • 25°–29°C • Rain 5% • Wind 19km/h S

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best balance. The wide straight allows scope for all barrier positions to work.

Pace: The track accommodates all running styles. Closers can be very effective with the long straight, but on-pace runners with class prevail most often.

R1 • 1000m • Griffin;12:00

PASS
Griffin; • Prize: $950000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Secret Ingredient
Harry Bentley
6 26% N/A BEST
2 Perfect One
Zac Purton
4 24% N/A DANGER
3 Talents Champion
Keith Yeung
1 22% N/A
4 Ka Ying Grateful
Derek Leung
2 19% N/A
  • Placed 3rd of 8 last start (0.3L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1000m without placing — distance may not suit.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1000m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
1
3
6
5
2
4
None
2
Back
1
Midfield
3
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
5
Secret Ingredient
Barrier 6
PRESSER
2
Perfect One
Barrier 4
PRESSER
4
Glorious Hero
Barrier 5
PRESSER
6
Talents Champion
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
1
Ka Ying Grateful
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
3
Silvery Knight
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Ka Ying Grateful (2) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
19%
#2 2
Perfect One (4) J: Zac Purton
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
3
Silvery Knight (3) J: Lyle Hewitson
top jockey, inconsistent
14%
4
Glorious Hero (5) J: Karis Teetan
quality stable, inconsistent
17%
#1 5
Secret Ingredient (6) J: Harry Bentley
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
#3 6
Talents Champion (1) J: Keith Yeung
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
22%

R2 • 1400m • Class 5;12:00

PASS
Class 5; • Prize: $875000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 He Was Me
Karis Teetan
2 34% $$57.10 BEST
2 Yee Cheong Raider
Lyle Hewitson
12 32% $$14.53 DANGER
3 Panda Legend
James Orman
13 28% $$7.34
4 Setanta
Luke Ferraris
9 27% $$6.51
  • Missed last but has won 1 of past 5 (incl. Sha Tin).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🐢
SPEED MAP
1400m
SLOW PACE
No pressure - leader advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
3
12
10
11
14
8
15
4
2
13
6
1
7
16
5
9
None
1
Back
14
Midfield
1
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
9
Winning Machine
Barrier 1
PRESSER
12
He Was Me
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
10
Yee Cheong Raider
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
11
Panda Legend
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
14
Island Golden
Barrier 14
MIDFIELD
8
Dash
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
15
Giddy Up
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
4
Call To Command
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
2
One Love
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
13
Mr Good Vibes
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
6
Winning Diamond
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
1
Good Fortune
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
7
Basic Instinct
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
16
View All Things
Barrier 16
MIDFIELD
5
Winning Cigar
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
3
Setanta
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Good Fortune (6) J: Britney Wong
top jockey, quality stable
23%
2
One Love (7) J: Andrea Atzeni
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
24%
#4 3
Setanta (9) J: Luke Ferraris
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
27%
4
Call To Command (5) J: Harry Bentley
top jockey, quality stable
25%
5
Winning Cigar (11) J: Brenton Avdulla
quality stable, inconsistent
17%
6
Winning Diamond (3) J: Hugh Bowman
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
23%
7
Basic Instinct (10) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, inconsistent
20%
8
Dash (4) J: Alexis Badel
in good form, top jockey
27%
9
Winning Machine (1) J: Joao Moreira
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
29%
#2 10
Yee Cheong Raider (12) J: Lyle Hewitson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
32%
#3 11
Panda Legend (13) J: James Orman
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
28%
#1 12
He Was Me (2) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, quality stable
34%
13
Mr Good Vibes (8) J: Richard Kingscote
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
24%
14
Island Golden (14) J: Angus Chung
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
29%
15
Giddy Up (15) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
16
View All Things (16) J:
quality stable
20%

R3 • 1600m • Class 5;12:00

PASS
Class 5; • Prize: $875000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Casa Legend
Karis Teetan
2 32% $$4.85 BEST
2 Dashing Maurison
Britney Wong
6 31% $$9.67 DANGER
3 Iron Legion
Angus Chung
7 31% N/A
4 Soaring Bronco
James Orman
16 27% N/A
  • Finished 7th last start, 2.3L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1600m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
12
2
11
13
7
6
3
16
9
10
1
5
8
15
4
14
None
6
Back
8
Midfield
2
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
Rattan Galaxy
Barrier 11
PRESSER
14
The Way We Win
Barrier 14
PRESSER
3
Iron Legion
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
16
Soaring Bronco
Barrier 16
MIDFIELD
9
Windicator Family
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
10
Gold Tack
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
1
Beauty Missile
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
5
Bling Bling Genius
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
8
Speedy Trident
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
15
Smiling Emperor
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
12
Casa Legend
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
2
Dashing Maurison
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
11
Harry's Hero
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
13
Mr Aladdin
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
7
Cool Blue
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
6
General Smart
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Beauty Missile (9) J: Hugh Bowman
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
#2 2
Dashing Maurison (6) J: Britney Wong
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
31%
#3 3
Iron Legion (7) J: Angus Chung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
4
Rattan Galaxy (11) J: Vincent Ho
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
5
Bling Bling Genius (3) J: Brenton Avdulla
in good form
25%
6
General Smart (13) J: Zac Purton
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
7
Cool Blue (10) J: Matthew L Chadwick
quality stable
24%
8
Speedy Trident (12) J: Keith Yeung
top jockey, inconsistent
21%
9
Windicator Family (8) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
28%
10
Gold Tack (5) J: Jerry Chau
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
28%
11
Harry's Hero (4) J: Harry Bentley
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
#1 12
Casa Legend (2) J: Karis Teetan
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
32%
13
Mr Aladdin (1) J: Alexis Badel
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
27%
14
The Way We Win (14) J: Dylan Mo
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
15
Smiling Emperor (15) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
20%
#4 16
Soaring Bronco (16) J: James Orman
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%

R4 • 1400m • Class 4;12:00

Med Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Lightness Of Being
Angus Chung
4 43% N/A BEST
2 Happy Boss
Luke Ferraris
13 37% N/A DANGER
3 The Concentration
Andrea Atzeni
3 36% $$8.16
4 Top Time
James Orman
2 30% $$40.22
  • Finished 12th last start, 4.5L off winner.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#4 Lightness Of Being1% of bank
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1400m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
7
5
13
6
9
4
2
3
11
12
10
16
15
14
1
8
None
5
Back
8
Midfield
3
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
14
The Concentration
Barrier 3
PRESSER
1
Eighty Light Years
Barrier 10
PRESSER
8
Cheerful Wongchoy
Barrier 5
PRESSER
4
Lightness Of Being
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
2
Happy Boss
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
3
Top Time
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
11
Sweet Briar
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
12
Supreme Feeling
Barrier 14
MIDFIELD
10
Golden Win
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
16
Polar Patch
Barrier 16
MIDFIELD
15
Z Prince
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
7
Invictus Dragon
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
5
Gallant Design
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
13
Amazing Fun
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
6
Massive Glory
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
9
Tycoon Express
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Eighty Light Years (10) J: Lyle Hewitson
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
#2 2
Happy Boss (13) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
37%
#4 3
Top Time (2) J: James Orman
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
#1 4
Lightness Of Being (4) J: Angus Chung
proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
43%
5
Gallant Design (9) J: Brenton Avdulla
in good form, quality stable
21%
6
Massive Glory (12) J: Jerry Chau
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
7
Invictus Dragon (8) J: Zac Purton
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
8
Cheerful Wongchoy (5) J: Karis Teetan
quality stable
13%
9
Tycoon Express (11) J: Joao Moreira
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
19%
10
Golden Win (1) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, quality stable
22%
11
Sweet Briar (7) J: Richard Kingscote
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey
24%
12
Supreme Feeling (14) J: Harry Bentley
top jockey, quality stable
24%
13
Amazing Fun (6) J: Matthew L Chadwick
solid track record, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
#3 14
The Concentration (3) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
36%
15
Z Prince (15) J:
quality stable
9%
16
Polar Patch (16) J:
quality stable
12%

Exotics

Quinella: Lightness Of Being, Happy Boss
Exacta: Lightness Of Being / Happy Boss, The Concentration
Trifecta: Box: Lightness Of Being, Happy Boss, The Concentration, Top Time
First 4: Box: Lightness Of Being, Happy Boss, The Concentration, Top Time, Eighty Light Years

R5 • 1200m • Class 4;12:00

Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Spicy Standard
Andrea Atzeni
11 39% $$5.16 BEST
2 Conrad Patch
Hugh Bowman
4 39% $$51.88 DANGER
3 Call Me Sparkle
Keith Yeung
5 35% $$14.86
4 Ruby Sailing
Britney Wong
1 34% $$6.65
  • Missed last but has won 1 of past 5 (incl. Sha Tin).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#1 Spicy Standard1% of bank
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1200m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
6
9
4
12
8
2
10
11
5
7
3
14
1
13
2
Back
8
Midfield
2
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
1
Spicy Standard
Barrier 11
LEADER
13
Lucky Twenty
Barrier 13
LEADER
3
Conrad Patch
Barrier 4
PRESSER
14
Brilliant Winner
Barrier 14
PRESSER
4
Call Me Sparkle
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
12
Ruby Sailing
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
8
Supreme Voyager
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
2
Victor The Rapid
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
10
Gorgeous Victory
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
11
Full Of Laughter
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
5
Flashing Fighter
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
7
Smiling Champion
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
6
Jubilant Star
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
9
Chater Flash
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Spicy Standard (11) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
39%
2
Victor The Rapid (10) J: Jerry Chau
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#2 3
Conrad Patch (4) J: Hugh Bowman
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
39%
#3 4
Call Me Sparkle (5) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
35%
5
Flashing Fighter (2) J: Nichola Yuen
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12%
6
Jubilant Star (12) J: Zac Purton
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
7
Smiling Champion (3) J: James Orman
top jockey, inconsistent
14%
8
Supreme Voyager (9) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, quality stable
29%
9
Chater Flash (6) J: Luke Ferraris
top jockey, quality stable
23%
10
Gorgeous Victory (8) J: Angus Chung
top jockey, quality stable
21%
11
Full Of Laughter (7) J: Richard Kingscote
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
20%
#4 12
Ruby Sailing (1) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
34%
13
Lucky Twenty (13) J:
quality stable
20%
14
Brilliant Winner (14) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
10%

Exotics

Quinella: Spicy Standard, Conrad Patch
Exacta: Spicy Standard / Conrad Patch, Call Me Sparkle
Trifecta: Box: Spicy Standard, Conrad Patch, Call Me Sparkle, Ruby Sailing
First 4: Box: Spicy Standard, Conrad Patch, Call Me Sparkle, Ruby Sailing, Supreme Voyager

R6 • 1200m • Class 4;12:00

PASS
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Baby Sakura
Vincent Ho
3 38% $$11.68 BEST
2 Papaya Brose
Joao Moreira
13 36% $$2.35 DANGER
3 Elite Golf
Harry Bentley
5 35% $$17.15
4 Island Buddy
Karis Teetan
12 30% $$49.70
  • Placed 3rd of 13 last start (1.5L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
4
▲▲
12
▲▲
11
▲▲
1
13
9
8
6
14
2
5
7
3
10
3
Back
6
Midfield
3
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
3
Island Buddy
Barrier 12
LEADER
10
Leading Dragon
Barrier 1
LEADER
2
Elite Golf
Barrier 5
PRESSER
5
Flying Sniper
Barrier 6
PRESSER
7
Lucky Bid
Barrier 4
PRESSER
1
Baby Sakura
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
13
Papaya Brose
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
9
Top Throne
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
8
Super Rubick Kid
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
6
Heroic Vanguard
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
14
Diamond Sparkle
Barrier 14
MIDFIELD
4
Lo Pan Spirit
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
▲▲
12
Aquaman
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
▲▲
11
Kingdom Of Riches
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Baby Sakura (3) J: Vincent Ho
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
38%
#3 2
Elite Golf (5) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
35%
#4 3
Island Buddy (12) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
30%
4
Lo Pan Spirit (8) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey
29%
5
Flying Sniper (6) J: Zac Purton
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12%
6
Heroic Vanguard (7) J: Alexis Badel
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
14%
7
Lucky Bid (4) J: Brenton Avdulla
flying form, quality stable
13%
8
Super Rubick Kid (2) J: James Orman
top jockey
15%
9
Top Throne (11) J: Lyle Hewitson
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
10
Leading Dragon (1) J: Nichola Yuen
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
11
Kingdom Of Riches (9) J: Keith Yeung
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
24%
12
Aquaman (10) J: Matthew L Chadwick
quality stable
25%
#2 13
Papaya Brose (13) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
36%
14
Diamond Sparkle (14) J:
quality stable
15%

R7 • 1400m • Class 4;12:00

Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Shotgun
Zac Purton
5 36% N/A BEST
2 Super Mastermind
15 35% $$5.39 DANGER
3 Run Run Smart
Nichola Yuen
1 32% N/A
4 Star Satyr
Angus Chung
8 29% $$5.58
  • Won last start by 1.8L at Sha Tin over 1400m.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
LONE SPEED
WIN#9 Shotgun1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1400m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
15
▲▲
3
▲▲
8
▲▲
1
▲▲
10
▲▲
7
▲▲
5
13
11
4
12
2
6
16
14
9
6
Back
5
Midfield
4
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
9
Shotgun
Barrier 5
LEADER
2
Run Run Smart
Barrier 1
PRESSER
6
Fun Together
Barrier 7
PRESSER
16
Chill Partners
Barrier 16
PRESSER
14
Wave Garden
Barrier 6
PRESSER
5
Star Satyr
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
13
Alabama Song
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
11
Just Follow Me
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
4
Master Phoenix
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
12
Lucky Secret
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
15
Super Mastermind
Barrier 15
BACKMARKER
▲▲
3
Forza Toro
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
▲▲
8
Lucky Gibs
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
Flying Fortune
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
▲▲
10
Super Dragon
Barrier 14
BACKMARKER
▲▲
7
President Pegasus
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Flying Fortune (2) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, quality stable
20%
#3 2
Run Run Smart (1) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
3
Forza Toro (10) J: Joao Moreira
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
4
Master Phoenix (13) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
#4 5
Star Satyr (8) J: Angus Chung
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
6
Fun Together (7) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
7
President Pegasus (4) J: Lyle Hewitson
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
11%
8
Lucky Gibs (12) J: Vincent Ho
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
19%
#1 9
Shotgun (5) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
36%
10
Super Dragon (14) J: Andrea Atzeni
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
11
Just Follow Me (3) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
24%
12
Lucky Secret (11) J: E C W Wong
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
13
Alabama Song (9) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
14
Wave Garden (6) J: Keith Yeung
proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
23%
#2 15
Super Mastermind (15) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
35%
16
Chill Partners (16) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%

Exotics

Quinella: Shotgun, Super Mastermind
Exacta: Shotgun / Super Mastermind, Run Run Smart
Trifecta: Box: Shotgun, Super Mastermind, Run Run Smart, Star Satyr
First 4: Box: Shotgun, Super Mastermind, Run Run Smart, Star Satyr, Fun Together

R8 • 1600m • Class 3;12:00

Low Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $2050000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Endued
Andrea Atzeni
1 37% $$4.67 BEST
2 Flying Luck
Joao Moreira
5 33% $$78.02 DANGER
3 Amazing Partners
Vincent Ho
4 29% $$2.49
4 Shanwah
Hugh Bowman
7 27% N/A
  • Placed 2nd of 14 last start (0.1L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#4 Endued1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1600m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
5
▲▲
8
▲▲
9
▲▲
4
7
3
11
6
1
2
10
12
3
Back
4
Midfield
4
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
12
Withallmyfaith
Barrier 9
LEADER
6
Shanwah
Barrier 7
PRESSER
1
Mister Dapper
Barrier 3
PRESSER
2
Prestige Good
Barrier 12
PRESSER
10
Legend Winner
Barrier 10
PRESSER
4
Endued
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
7
Amazing Partners
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
3
Windlord
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
11
Rising Phoenix
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
5
Flying Luck
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲
8
Happy Tercentenary
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
▲▲
9
Hymnbook
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Mister Dapper (3) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
24%
2
Prestige Good (12) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
23%
3
Windlord (6) J: Jerry Chau
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
26%
#1 4
Endued (1) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
37%
#2 5
Flying Luck (5) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
33%
#4 6
Shanwah (7) J: Hugh Bowman
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
27%
#3 7
Amazing Partners (4) J: Vincent Ho
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
29%
8
Happy Tercentenary (8) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, top jockey
25%
9
Hymnbook (11) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, quality stable
15%
10
Legend Winner (10) J: Luke Ferraris
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
11
Rising Phoenix (2) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
24%
12
Withallmyfaith (9) J: Keith Yeung
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
21%

R9 • 1400m • Class 3;12:00

Low Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $1860000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Positive Smile
Keith Yeung
7 36% $$4.53 BEST
2 All's Well
Vincent Ho
4 34% N/A DANGER
3 Charming Legend
Joao Moreira
5 30% $$3.22
4 Endeared
Zac Purton
8 30% $$76.68
  • Missed last but has won 1 of past 5 (incl. Sha Tin).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#11 Positive Smile1% of bank
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1400m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
11
10
5
3
1
2
12
9
6
7
8
4
2
Back
7
Midfield
2
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
Outgate
Barrier 3
LEADER
7
Fortune Link
Barrier 12
PRESSER
8
Ghorgan
Barrier 6
PRESSER
5
All's Well
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
3
Charming Legend
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
1
Endeared
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
2
Heaving
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
12
Refusetobeenglish
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
9
Pray For Justice
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
6
Complete Unknown
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
11
Positive Smile
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
10
Flash Current
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Endeared (8) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
30%
2
Heaving (9) J: Luke Ferraris
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
#3 3
Charming Legend (5) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
30%
4
Outgate (3) J: Angus Chung
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#2 5
All's Well (4) J: Vincent Ho
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
34%
6
Complete Unknown (1) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, quality stable
12%
7
Fortune Link (12) J: Nichola Yuen
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
8
Ghorgan (6) J: Jerry Chau
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
25%
9
Pray For Justice (2) J: Richard Kingscote
top jockey, quality stable
15%
10
Flash Current (11) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
#1 11
Positive Smile (7) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
36%
12
Refusetobeenglish (10) J: Andrea Atzeni
top jockey, quality stable
18%

Exotics

Quinella: Positive Smile, All's Well
Exacta: Positive Smile / All's Well, Charming Legend
Trifecta: Box: Positive Smile, All's Well, Charming Legend, Endeared
First 4: Box: Positive Smile, All's Well, Charming Legend, Endeared, Flash Current

R10 • 1200m • Class 3;12:00

Low Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $1860000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Smart Golf
Harry Bentley
4 37% N/A BEST
2 Yee Cheong Glory
Alexis Badel
2 34% $$12.74 DANGER
3 Chill Buddy
Andrea Atzeni
1 29% N/A
4 Jumbo Treasure
Nichola Yuen
5 26% N/A
  • Won last start by 0.1L at Sha Tin over 1200m.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#2 Smart Golf1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
12
▲▲
1
▲▲
3
▲▲
14
▲▲
9
10
8
11
7
2
5
4
6
13
4
Back
2
Midfield
3
Pressers
5
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
2
Smart Golf
Barrier 4
LEADER
5
Chill Buddy
Barrier 1
LEADER
4
Jumbo Treasure
Barrier 5
LEADER
6
Turquoise Velocity
Barrier 9
LEADER
13
Do You Just
Barrier 13
LEADER
8
Master Of All
Barrier 3
PRESSER
11
My Mars
Barrier 8
PRESSER
7
The Unique Star
Barrier 12
PRESSER
9
New Future Folks
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
10
Quantum Legend
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
12
Yee Cheong Glory
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
Crossborderpegasus
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
3
Young Emperor
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
▲▲
14
Cornerstone
Barrier 14
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Crossborderpegasus (11) J: James Orman
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
28%
#1 2
Smart Golf (4) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
37%
3
Young Emperor (6) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
#4 4
Jumbo Treasure (5) J: Nichola Yuen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
26%
#3 5
Chill Buddy (1) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
29%
6
Turquoise Velocity (9) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
20%
7
The Unique Star (12) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
20%
8
Master Of All (3) J: Dylan Mo
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
25%
9
New Future Folks (10) J: Vincent Ho
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
10
Quantum Legend (7) J: Zac Purton
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
11
My Mars (8) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
17%
#2 12
Yee Cheong Glory (2) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
34%
13
Do You Just (13) J:
quality stable
18%
14
Cornerstone (14) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
17%

R11 • 1200m • Class 2;12:00

PASS
Class 2; • Prize: $2840000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Rising Force
Richard Kingscote
8 32% N/A BEST
2 Galactic Voyage
Alexis Badel
5 32% $$2.20 DANGER
3 Chateauneuf
Lyle Hewitson
6 31% N/A
4 Pakistan Legacy
Karis Teetan
1 29% N/A
  • Won last start by 2.5L at Sha Tin over 1200m.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
11
▲▲
1
▲▲
13
▲▲
10
14
7
5
3
6
12
8
4
2
9
3
Back
6
Midfield
4
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
9
Rising Force
Barrier 8
LEADER
12
Pakistan Legacy
Barrier 1
PRESSER
8
Victor The Winner
Barrier 4
PRESSER
4
Self Improvement
Barrier 2
PRESSER
2
Sky Trust
Barrier 9
PRESSER
10
Chateauneuf
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
14
Patch Of Stars
Barrier 14
MIDFIELD
7
Young Champion
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
5
Crimson Flash
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
3
Gorgeous Win
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
6
Magic Control
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
11
Galactic Voyage
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
Colourful King
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
▲▲
13
Son Pak Fu
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Colourful King (12) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, class edge
23%
2
Sky Trust (9) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
22%
3
Gorgeous Win (11) J: James Orman
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
24%
4
Self Improvement (2) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
24%
5
Crimson Flash (3) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
6
Magic Control (10) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
19%
7
Young Champion (7) J: Hugh Bowman
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
27%
8
Victor The Winner (4) J: Keith Yeung
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
28%
#1 9
Rising Force (8) J: Richard Kingscote
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
32%
#3 10
Chateauneuf (6) J: Lyle Hewitson
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
31%
#2 11
Galactic Voyage (5) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
#4 12
Pakistan Legacy (1) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
29%
13
Son Pak Fu (13) J:
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
19%
14
Patch Of Stars (14) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
28%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R4: #4 Lightness Of Being (Barrier 4)
1% of bank
R5: #1 Spicy Standard (Barrier 11)
Model: $5.16
1% of bank
R7: #9 Shotgun (Barrier 5)
1% of bank
R8: #4 Endued (Barrier 1)
Model: $4.67
1% of bank
R9: #11 Positive Smile (Barrier 7)
Model: $4.53
1% of bank
R10: #2 Smart Golf (Barrier 4)
1% of bank
Total Stake: 6.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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Tips are analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.