Seymour
2026-07-19
Heavy
Rail: Out 7m Entire Circuit
Updated: 20:12 AEST
9
Races Analysed
0
Bets Found
N/A
Best Bet
None
Best Value
96%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Seymour
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- C J Parish: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 0.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1425m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lift Net Harry Coffey |
5 | 30% | $$5.41 | BEST |
| 2 | Lady Puissance Jye McNeil |
7 | 27% | $$6.20 | DANGER |
| 3 | And There You Go |
1 | 24% | $$6.69 | |
| 4 | No Friends Blaike Mc Dougall |
9 | 22% | $$7.46 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
30%
Lift Net (5) J: Harry Coffey
flying form
2Expensive Taste (9)SCR
3
Karvecchian (8) J: Ryan Houston
form a concern, inconsistent
#4
4
22%
No Friends (9) J: Blaike Mc Dougall
flying form, inconsistent
5
1%
Upcoming Season (3) J: Craig Newitt
form a concern, inconsistent
6
Victorious Dream (6) J: Lachlan Neindorf
form a concern, inconsistent
7
20%
Soulsease River (2) J: Michael Dee
inconsistent
#3
8
24%
And There You Go (1) J:
flying form
9
Mareenya (4) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
#2
10
27%
Lady Puissance (7) J: Jye McNeil
in good form, inconsistent
R2 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dustee Jett Stanley |
3 | 42% | $$4.30 | BEST |
| 2 | Mirador Luke Currie |
2 | 29% | $$6.32 | DANGER |
| 3 | Exploit Jye McNeil |
4 | 24% | $$7.61 | |
| 4 | Whimsy Smile Akira Sugawara |
7 | 22% | $$7.82 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
2%
Blues Traveler (1) J: Ryan Houston
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2
2%
Caxton Street (5) J: Harry Coffey
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3
2%
Drink Me Pretty (8) J: Jake Noonan
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
4
42%
Dustee (3) J: Jett Stanley
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#3
5
24%
Exploit (4) J: Jye McNeil
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
1%
Imperial Valley (6) J: Jake Duffy
form a concern, inconsistent
7Keen Observer (11)SCR
#4
8
22%
Whimsy Smile (7) J: Akira Sugawara
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
1%
La Reina Vega (9) J: Michael Dee
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
10
29%
Mirador (2) J: Luke Currie
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
11Mistressof Mayfair (3)SCR
12Novamira (11)SCR
R3 • 1100m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathletes Samantha Noble |
6 | 36% | $$8.35 | BEST |
| 2 | Covert Mission Jake Noonan |
10 | 31% | $$9.50 | DANGER |
| 3 | Points For Effort Teodore Nugent |
3 | 29% | $$10.40 | |
| 4 | Shes A Good Cause |
11 | 27% | $$10.65 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
31%
Covert Mission (10) J: Jake Noonan
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
2
21%
Cries And Whispers (1) J: Lachlan King
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
3
29%
Points For Effort (3) J: Teodore Nugent
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4Watten Assett (17)SCR
5
Cool Step (5) J: Hayley Spitse
form a concern, inconsistent
6
13%
He Xiangu (4) J: Olivia East
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
7Ice Ice Daisy (4)SCR
#1
8
36%
Mathletes (6) J: Samantha Noble
proven at distance, in good form
9
My Friend Flo (13) J: Brittany Button
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
10
27%
Spirit Of Gaia (9) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
11
1%
Yellowknife (2) J: Jye McNeil
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12
13%
Millionaire Lover (8) J: Lachlan Neindorf
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
13
26%
Works Dirty (7) J: Ruby Lamont
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
14
18%
Panino (14) J: Dylan Dunn
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
15
19%
Overflirt (12) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
#4
16
27%
Shes A Good Cause (11) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
17Naughty Jamie (4)SCR
R4 • 1300m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $55000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford Zac Spain |
5 | 26% | $$10.74 | BEST |
| 2 | Carry Trade Jason Maskiell |
14 | 29% | $$11.34 | DANGER |
| 3 | Ernie |
7 | 27% | $$11.56 | |
| 4 | Goodello Patrick Moloney |
6 | 24% | $$11.84 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
2%
Higher Command (10) J: John Allen
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
2Iberian Lynx (18)SCR
3
2%
Media Puppet (13) J: Fred W Kersley
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
4
29%
Carry Trade (14) J: Jason Maskiell
solid track record, in good form, quality stable
5
24%
Crystallise (4) J: Tom Madden
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
21%
Dolce Carolina (2) J: Luke Nolen
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
7Estival (17)SCR
8
3%
Isle Aroha (9) J: Jye McNeil
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
27%
Ravens Glow (3) J: Lachlan King
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
10
2%
Sharp Remark (1) J: Jake Duffy
form a concern, inconsistent
11
14%
Independant Lad (15) J: Craig Newitt
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12
2%
Courting (12) J: Harry Coffey
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
13
24%
Goodello (6) J: Patrick Moloney
top jockey, quality stable
#1
14
26%
Bradford (5) J: Zac Spain
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
15
25%
Sheza Raveela (8) J: Damien Thornton
inconsistent
16Haunted Kynexion (15)SCR
17
19%
Marley Namoi (11) J:
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
18
27%
Ernie (7) J:
inconsistent
R5 • 1600m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $42500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tornado Anwa Cassidy Hill |
7 | 33% | $$8.23 | BEST |
| 2 | Dandynomite Teodore Nugent |
5 | 31% | $$8.80 | DANGER |
| 3 | Long Shot Jake Duffy |
4 | 25% | $$11.65 | |
| 4 | Boss Boy John Allen |
6 | 25% | $$11.82 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
21%
A Long Story Short (12) J: Luke Currie
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
25%
Boss Boy (6) J: John Allen
suited to trip, top jockey
3Deltakai (7)SCR
4
24%
Gottacookacurry (11) J: Fred W Kersley
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
5
21%
King Tagaloa (3) J: Jake Noonan
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
6
25%
Long Shot (4) J: Jake Duffy
proven at distance
7
13%
Maranoa Boy (2) J: Dylan Dunn
top jockey, quality stable
8
20%
Rainy Night (10) J: Damien Thornton
quality stable, inconsistent
9
21%
Where Eagles Dare (1) J: Alana Kelly
top jockey, inconsistent
10
21%
Elegant Force (8) J: Luke Nolen
top jockey, quality stable
#1
11
33%
Tornado Anwa (7) J: Cassidy Hill
suited to trip, top jockey
12
21%
Venus Shock (9) J: Harry Coffey
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
13
31%
Dandynomite (5) J: Teodore Nugent
top jockey, inconsistent
R6 • 1600m • Benchmark 62;
PASS
Benchmark 62; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Too Big Caitlin Hollowood |
11 | 30% | $$14.10 | BEST |
| 2 | Moscow Red |
6 | 27% | $$14.31 | DANGER |
| 3 | Torn Teodore Nugent |
8 | 29% | $$15.31 | |
| 4 | Annotate Alana Kelly |
14 | 27% | $$15.96 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
One Long Day (9) J: Luke Nolen
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
2
24%
Enchanted Jenni (18) J: Jett Stanley
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
3
24%
Kiss My Rock (5) J: John Allen
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
24%
Sir Rockford (7) J: Tom Madden
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
30%
Too Big (11) J: Caitlin Hollowood
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#4
6
27%
Annotate (14) J: Alana Kelly
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
18%
Russian Roni (3) J: Jake Duffy
proven at distance, quality stable
#3
8
29%
Torn (8) J: Teodore Nugent
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
9
14%
Staphani (1) J: Jamie Mott
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
10
23%
Fenestella (10) J: Jye McNeil
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
11
17%
Princess Painton (4) J: Lachlan Neindorf
in good form, top jockey
12
18%
Baywatch (2) J: Luke Currie
top jockey, quality stable
13
26%
Queen Of The Surf (13) J: Ryan Houston
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
14
25%
Pick Wisely (16) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
15
28%
Square Deal (12) J: Stephanie Hateley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
16
21%
Azeola (15) J: Patrick Moloney
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17
24%
Treasury Place (17) J: Brad Rawiller
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#2
18
27%
Moscow Red (6) J:
track specialist, proven at distance
R7 • 2040m • Benchmark 62;
PASS
Benchmark 62; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Power Pivot Craig Newitt |
11 | 26% | $$11.59 | BEST |
| 2 | Ceremonious Teodore Nugent |
10 | 26% | $$13.64 | DANGER |
| 3 | Earth Dance Damien Thornton |
2 | 24% | $$14.23 | |
| 4 | Timeonlees Harry Coffey |
3 | 24% | $$14.28 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
26%
Ceremonious (10) J: Teodore Nugent
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
2
22%
Durban Harbour (16) J: Dylan Dunn
top jockey, quality stable
3
19%
Perfuse (7) J: Jake Noonan
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
4
25%
High Tempo (13) J: Brittany Button
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5Mickio (8)SCR
6
23%
The Charlatan (9) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#3
7
24%
Earth Dance (2) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance, form a concern, inconsistent
8
23%
Governor King (6) J: John Allen
track specialist, top jockey
9
19%
Outdrive (14) J: Jamie Mott
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
21%
Salt Spray (8) J: Jye McNeil
top jockey, quality stable
#4
11
24%
Timeonlees (3) J: Harry Coffey
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12First Day (18)SCR
#1
13
26%
Power Pivot (11) J: Craig Newitt
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
14
25%
Spietata (15) J: Alana Kelly
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
15
19%
Hard To Go Wrong (12) J: Jake Duffy
quality stable
16
18%
Knee Deep (5) J:
quality stable
17
22%
Blue Ismay (1) J: Jett Stanley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
18
20%
Ideelistic (4) J:
suited to trip, quality stable
R8 • 1000m • Benchmark 62;
PASS
Benchmark 62; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Induction Jake Duffy |
8 | 28% | $$11.36 | BEST |
| 2 | Ourzacracker |
10 | 29% | $$12.24 | DANGER |
| 3 | Swift Hit Thomas Spillane |
6 | 26% | $$12.74 | |
| 4 | Cumboogle Chelsea Thompson |
1 | 25% | $$13.14 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Orlabent (12) J: John Allen
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
25%
Cumboogle (1) J: Chelsea Thompson
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
3
23%
Frosted In Time (7) J: Luke Currie
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4
26%
Meisho (5) J: Olivia East
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey
5
24%
Scoobartie (14) J: Brad Rawiller
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
6
19%
Sonic Surge (4) J: Jye McNeil
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7Struggle Street (11)SCR
8
23%
Forever With Ned (9) J: Luke Nolen
top jockey, quality stable
#1
9
28%
Induction (8) J: Jake Duffy
proven at distance, in good form
10
22%
Lonstar (13) J: Jamie Mott
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
11
24%
Sheila (2) J: Brittany Button
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#3
12
26%
Swift Hit (6) J: Thomas Spillane
track specialist, quality stable
13Lack Of Restraint (13)SCR
14
23%
Moaksun (11) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
15
21%
Adki (3) J: Holly Durnan
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
16Fortyfour Magnum (11)SCR
#2
17
29%
Ourzacracker (10) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
R9 • 1300m • Benchmark 62;
PASS
Benchmark 62; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Homeward Jye McNeil |
10 | 29% | $$11.91 | BEST |
| 2 | Naval Force |
3 | 28% | $$12.99 | DANGER |
| 3 | Gobbo's Mate Brittany Button |
4 | 27% | $$13.66 | |
| 4 | Tijuana Cassidy Hill |
5 | 25% | $$14.18 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Zourain (16) J: Ruby Lamont
top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
25%
Tijuana (5) J: Cassidy Hill
form a concern, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
3
24%
Capricorn Star (9) J: Caitlin Hollowood
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
4
24%
Gunado (12) J: John Allen
track specialist, top jockey
5
19%
Hawk Power (2) J: Luke Currie
top jockey, inconsistent
6Is That All (18)SCR
7
18%
Best Of The Best (14) J: Damien Thornton
quality stable
#3
8
27%
Gobbo's Mate (4) J: Brittany Button
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
9
22%
Cashout (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
10
21%
Our Justify (6) J: Craig Newitt
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
11
29%
Homeward (10) J: Jye McNeil
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12
23%
Bardia's Dream (13) J: Ryan Houston
track specialist, top jockey
13
19%
Acheter (15) J: Jake Noonan
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
14Boulder Jack (12)SCR
15
21%
Friendzoned (11) J: Jett Stanley
top jockey, quality stable
#2
16
28%
Naval Force (3) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
17
17%
Belmia (7) J:
suited to trip, form a concern, proven at level, quality stable
18
23%
True Prophet (8) J: Teodore Nugent
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Generated 18/07/2026, 8:12:17 pm