Sapphire Coast
NSW • 2026-04-13
Soft
Rail: +3m 800m to winning post
Updated: 05:25 AEST
7
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Christmas Star
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Sapphire Coast
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Amy Mc Lucas: 4W from 11 (36.4% win, 72.7% place)
- Pierre Boudvillain: 3W from 8 (37.5% win, 62.5% place)
- Ms J Taylor: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Teaghan Martin: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Caitlin Sinclair: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1005m • Class 2;12:00
PASS
Class 2; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sooo Crazy Damon Budler |
5 | 32% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Falcon Gold Jack Martin |
9 | 31% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Hunter One Jess Taylor |
3 | 21% | $$1.40 | |
| 4 | Sunrise Ridge Amy Mc Lucas |
6 | 25% | $$3.48 |
- Won last start by 0.3L at Wagga over 1000m.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
32%
Sooo Crazy (5) J: Damon Budler
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
2
31%
Falcon Gold (9) J: Jack Martin
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#4
3
25%
Sunrise Ridge (6) J: Amy Mc Lucas
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4
17%
Eltrum (7) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
5
18%
Eternal Ember (8) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#3
6
21%
Hunter One (3) J: Jess Taylor
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
16%
Our Lady Rockstar (4) J: Jessica Brookes
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
14%
Daulton (1) J: Caitlin Sinclair
proven at distance, quality stable
9
20%
Lucky Champion (2) J: Teaghan Martin
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R2 • 1005m • Benchmark 66;12:00
Low Value Bet
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christmas Star Pierre Boudvillain |
8 | 35% | $$5.14 | BEST |
| 2 | Pleasurize Claire Ramsbotham |
5 | 31% | $$65.84 | DANGER |
| 3 | Helluva Teen Billy Owen |
6 | 30% | N/A | |
| 4 | Zoutempus Nick Heywood |
2 | 20% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 6 last start (4.4L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#8 Christmas Star1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
14%
Doogan's Design (4) J: Jessica Brookes
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
2
18%
Loose Love (3) J: Adrian Layt
proven at distance
#2
3
31%
Pleasurize (5) J: Claire Ramsbotham
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
4
19%
Unravel (1) J: Coriah Keatings
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
5
16%
Caravanserai (7) J: Jack Martin
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
24%
Juice Box (9) J: Shaun Guymer
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
7
22%
Sooo Crazy (7) J:
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#1
8
35%
Christmas Star (8) J: Pierre Boudvillain
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#3
9
30%
Helluva Teen (6) J: Billy Owen
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
10
20%
Zoutempus (2) J: Nick Heywood
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
Exotics
Quinella: Christmas Star, Pleasurize
Exacta: Christmas Star / Pleasurize, Helluva Teen
Trifecta: Box: Christmas Star, Pleasurize, Helluva Teen, Zoutempus
First 4: Box: Christmas Star, Pleasurize, Helluva Teen, Zoutempus, Sooo Crazy
R3 • 1005m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reds Express Jack Martin |
8 | 35% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Stormy Reign Teaghan Martin |
6 | 36% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Uytaahkoo Caitlin Sinclair |
1 | 31% | N/A | |
| 4 | Step Quick Coriah Keatings |
9 | 27% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 11 last start (1.0L).
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Stars And Spangles (4) J: Jess Taylor
solid track record, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
27%
Step Quick (9) J: Coriah Keatings
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
3
24%
Stormy Woo (5) J: Damon Budler
top jockey, quality stable
4
9%
Cool As Ted (9) J:
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
5
31%
Uytaahkoo (1) J: Caitlin Sinclair
solid track record, suited to trip
6
12%
Zee Sort (3) J: Shaun Guymer
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
7
20%
Artful Lady (7) J: Claire Ramsbotham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
8
35%
Reds Express (8) J: Jack Martin
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#2
9
36%
Stormy Reign (6) J: Teaghan Martin
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form, top jockey
10
11%
Whoopi Do (10) J:
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
11
12%
Empty Pockets (2) J: Amy Mc Lucas
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R4 • 1605m • Benchmark 58;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire And Gemstone Jessica Brookes |
5 | 34% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Gwennybegg Caitlin Sinclair |
1 | 29% | N/A | DANGER |
| 3 | Star Bling Billy Owen |
10 | 30% | $$4.80 | |
| 4 | Star Empire Quayde Krogh |
9 | 26% | $$47.83 |
- Placed 2nd of 8 last start (0.5L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
19%
Own Them (4) J: Dale Cole
class edge, quality stable
#1
2
34%
Fire And Gemstone (5) J: Jessica Brookes
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#3
3
30%
Star Bling (10) J: Billy Owen
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
4
26%
Star Empire (9) J: Quayde Krogh
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
5
29%
Gwennybegg (1) J: Caitlin Sinclair
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
24%
Evokes (3) J: Shaun Guymer
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
7
26%
Exceed Success (8) J: Pierre Boudvillain
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
8
16%
Timeless Grace (7) J:
quality stable
9
22%
I Doubt It (6) J: Amy Mc Lucas
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
21%
Zouwase (2) J: Claire Ramsbotham
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
R5 • 1405m • Benchmark 58;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hello Jack Dale Cole |
8 | 32% | N/A | BEST |
| 2 | Chairman's List Quayde Krogh |
3 | 29% | $$8.68 | DANGER |
| 3 | Spiele Adrian Layt |
1 | 30% | $$29.65 | |
| 4 | Walk Up Start Jess Taylor |
5 | 28% | $$3.20 |
- Well beaten last start (8th, 6.5L) — needs significant improvement.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Stepping to 1405m for the first time — distance query.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
19%
Villa Seventynine (11) J: Nick Heywood
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
2
20%
Walk The Pier (9) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
25%
Cossack Warrior (2) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#1
4
32%
Hello Jack (8) J: Dale Cole
proven at distance, quality stable
5
18%
Shyamalan (4) J:
flying form, quality stable
#2
6
29%
Chairman's List (3) J: Quayde Krogh
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
23%
Miss Scoop (3) J: Claire Ramsbotham
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
23%
Casino Shaw (4) J: Amy Mc Lucas
solid track record, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
9
17%
Kockibitoo (7) J: Richard Bensley
proven at distance, quality stable
#3
10
30%
Spiele (1) J: Adrian Layt
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
#4
11
28%
Walk Up Start (5) J: Jess Taylor
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
12
19%
Vinari (10) J: Coriah Keatings
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
13
25%
Urjuwaan (6) J: Jessica Brookes
solid track record, proven at distance, form a concern, proven at level
R6 • 1205m • Maiden;12:00
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hold My Drink Jack Martin |
5 | 44% | $$1.94 | BEST |
| 2 | Initiate Billy Owen |
10 | 29% | $$85.46 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sacred Inferno |
2 | 27% | $$15.92 | |
| 4 | Assertive Sway Shaun Guymer |
11 | 26% | N/A |
- Placed 2nd of 8 last start (0.6L).
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
44%
Hold My Drink (5) J: Jack Martin
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#3
2
27%
Sacred Inferno (2) J:
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
15%
Maxis Legacy (10) J:
in good form, quality stable
#2
4
29%
Initiate (10) J: Billy Owen
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
28%
Setta Icon (8) J: Pierre Boudvillain
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
18%
Cable King (9) J: Nick Heywood
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
11%
Bikini Babe (7) J: Jess Taylor
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
8
10%
Iconic Prestige (4) J: Richard Bensley
quality stable, inconsistent
9
13%
Ladylike (6) J: Claire Ramsbotham
flying form, top jockey
10
12%
Fields Unite (1) J: Adrian Layt
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
11
21%
Passing Through (3) J: Damon Budler
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
12
26%
Assertive Sway (11) J: Shaun Guymer
quality stable, inconsistent
13
16%
On The Fly (6) J:
quality stable
R7 • 1205m • Benchmark 58;12:00
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inchyra Pierre Boudvillain |
6 | 41% | $$75.64 | BEST |
| 2 | Kool Bird Nick Heywood |
10 | 32% | $$6.09 | DANGER |
| 3 | Bon's Your Back Jessica Brookes |
3 | 23% | $$5.35 | |
| 4 | Lantau Island Jess Taylor |
9 | 23% | $$4.08 |
- Won last start by 1.0L at Sapphire Coast over 1000m.
- Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
- Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
23%
Bon's Your Back (3) J: Jessica Brookes
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
23%
Lantau Island (9) J: Jess Taylor
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
3
22%
Shyamalan (7) J: Billy Owen
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
4
15%
Treasure Hunter (5) J:
flying form, quality stable
5
11%
Eltrum (10) J:
solid track record, flying form, quality stable
6
17%
Jalmari (2) J: Amy Mc Lucas
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#2
7
32%
Kool Bird (10) J: Nick Heywood
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
8
21%
Go Commando (4) J: Shaun Guymer
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#1
9
41%
Inchyra (6) J: Pierre Boudvillain
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
10
14%
One More Bout (8) J: Damon Budler
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
11
22%
Royal Memory (7) J: Coriah Keatings
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
22%
Ciao Bella Mia (1) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
#8 Christmas Star (Barrier 8)
Model: $5.14
1% of bank
Model: $5.14
1% of bank
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
Gamble Responsibly • 1800 858 858 • gamblinghelponline.org.au
Tips are analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 12/04/2026, 5:25:22 am