Ruakaka
2026-09-02
Good
Rail: Out 2m
Updated: 07:21 AEST
8
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Perfectmanz
Best Bet
None
Best Value
92%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Ruakaka
Recent Patterns:
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- M J Mc Nab: 2W from 6 (33.3% win, 50.0% place)
- J Nishizuka: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)
- Jack Taplin: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)
- E M Leighton: 1W from 7 (14.3% win, 42.9% place)
- B E Grylls: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1600m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Pen Is Mighty Matthew Cameron |
6 | 44% | $$4.81 | BEST |
| 2 | Prominere Joe Doyle |
10 | 26% | $$6.59 | DANGER |
| 3 | One Up Ashlee Strawbridge |
1 | 19% | $$7.89 | |
| 4 | Midnight Fury Rihaan Goyaram |
11 | 21% | $$8.00 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
44%
The Pen Is Mighty (6) J: Matthew Cameron
suited to trip
2
21%
Kairos (8) J: Jasmine Fawcett
place chance
3Magee (10)SCR
4
21%
Just Go Boom (7) J: Warren Kennedy
inconsistent
5
Boom Town (9) J: Tom Wigram
form a concern, inconsistent
6
16%
Loose Thinking (12) J: Erin M Leighton
form a concern, inconsistent
#3
7
19%
One Up (1) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
inconsistent
8Djibouti (2)SCR
9Long Island (5)SCR
10Choreomania (12)SCR
#2
11
26%
Prominere (10) J: Joe Doyle
place chance
12Chicflix (4)SCR
13Cheerful Smile (3)SCR
#4
14
21%
Midnight Fury (11) J: Rihaan Goyaram
in good form, inconsistent
15Four Leaf Clover (5)SCR
R2 • 1600m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rippin Along George Rooke |
1 | 39% | $$4.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Bonus Bond Masahiro Hashizume |
6 | 24% | $$4.64 | DANGER |
| 3 | Wedding Belle Joe Doyle |
8 | 25% | $$5.52 | |
| 4 | Topeka Kyle Wilson-Taylor |
7 | 13% | $$8.34 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
24%
Bonus Bond (6) J: Masahiro Hashizume
proven at distance, flying form
2Djibouti (9)SCR
3Long Island (6)SCR
#1
4
39%
Rippin Along (1) J: George Rooke
track specialist, proven at distance
5Choreomania (2)SCR
#3
6
25%
Wedding Belle (8) J: Joe Doyle
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
7Chicflix (9)SCR
8Able Dancer (10)SCR
9Cheerful Smile (7)SCR
10
19%
Viva L'amour (4) J: Erin M Leighton
form a concern, inconsistent
11Four Leaf Clover (3)SCR
12
12%
Marmocchia (5) J: Lynsey Satherley
form a concern, inconsistent
#4
13
13%
Topeka (7) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
in good form, inconsistent
R3 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceasars Palace Wiremu Pinn |
5 | 42% | $$4.84 | BEST |
| 2 | Angels Halo Masahiro Hashizume |
3 | 24% | $$5.89 | DANGER |
| 3 | Lean On Me Ashlee Strawbridge |
10 | 38% | $$6.08 | |
| 4 | Rossella Tom Wigram |
9 | 24% | $$6.31 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
42%
Ceasars Palace (5) J: Wiremu Pinn
quality stable
2Proteus (5)SCR
3All On Black (13)SCR
4
1%
Endless Night (4) J: George Rooke
form a concern, inconsistent
5
1%
Johnny Fitz (11) J: Matthew Cameron
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
6
1%
Steed Of Speed (6) J: Erin M Leighton
form a concern, inconsistent
7
The Mulligan (2) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
8
24%
Angels Halo (3) J: Masahiro Hashizume
flying form, inconsistent
9Lofty Wind (1)SCR
#4
10
24%
Rossella (9) J: Tom Wigram
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
11
38%
Lean On Me (10) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
quality stable, inconsistent
12Lumumba (7)SCR
13She's A Diva (9)SCR
14Wahine Toa (15)SCR
15Deema Tina Magic (8)SCR
R4 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urchella Wiremu Pinn |
6 | 48% | $$7.30 | BEST |
| 2 | Boomstruck George Rooke |
1 | 44% | $$8.41 | DANGER |
| 3 | Foo Foo Matthew Cartwright |
4 | 28% | $$10.88 | |
| 4 | Triple Threat Samantha Collett |
12 | 24% | $$11.62 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
44%
Boomstruck (1) J: George Rooke
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
#4
2
24%
Triple Threat (12) J: Samantha Collett
proven at distance, quality stable
3
24%
Bunker Hill (11) J: Joe Doyle
in good form, quality stable
#3
4
28%
Foo Foo (4) J: Matthew Cartwright
suited to trip, flying form
5
17%
Civil War (8) J: Craig Grylls
in good form, inconsistent
6
22%
Kinross (2) J:
in good form, inconsistent
7
22%
Tsunami Sue (3) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
in good form, quality stable
8
Skitso (14) J: Courtney Barnes
form a concern, inconsistent
9
Literacy (5) J: Warren Kennedy
form a concern, inconsistent
10
1%
Mazzy Star (7) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
11
Sierra Nevada (10) J: Jasmine Fawcett
form a concern, inconsistent
12
Unleash Yourself (13) J: Masahiro Hashizume
form a concern, inconsistent
#1
13
48%
Urchella (6) J: Wiremu Pinn
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
14Deema Tina Magic (13)SCR
15
21%
Water Catcher (9) J:
place chance
16Mimoso (5)SCR
17Lofty Wind (11)SCR
18Cisco (7)SCR
19Lumumba (1)SCR
20She's A Diva (15)SCR
R5 • 2100m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escape Room George Rooke |
9 | 26% | $$11.90 | BEST |
| 2 | Heavenly Lady Masahiro Hashizume |
8 | 29% | $$12.17 | DANGER |
| 3 | Paper Romance Matthew Cartwright |
11 | 23% | $$12.20 | |
| 4 | Outrageous A Lawson-Carroll |
3 | 25% | $$13.13 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
26%
Escape Room (9) J: George Rooke
solid track record, in good form
#3
2
23%
Paper Romance (11) J: Matthew Cartwright
proven at distance, in good form
3
26%
Tall Timber (5) J: Erin M Leighton
inconsistent
4
22%
Concise (12) J: Courtney Barnes
quality stable, inconsistent
5
21%
Sacred Sin (2) J: Samantha Collett
quality stable, inconsistent
6
24%
Just A Littletipsy (4) J: Matthew Cameron
form a concern, inconsistent
7
20%
Piston Broke (7) J: Wiremu Pinn
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
8The Tumbling Paddy (15)SCR
#2
9
29%
Heavenly Lady (8) J: Masahiro Hashizume
proven at distance
#4
10
25%
Outrageous (3) J: A Lawson-Carroll
proven at distance, inconsistent
11
20%
Linious (10) J: Tom Wigram
inconsistent
12
23%
Dido Belle (1) J: Craig Grylls
quality stable, inconsistent
13
24%
Seduire (6) J: Joe Doyle
quality stable, inconsistent
14
22%
She Has Legs (14) J: Ethan Jones
quality stable, inconsistent
15
18%
Thatsawrap (13) J: Lynsey Satherley
form a concern, inconsistent
16Beau Ondago (12)SCR
R6 • 2100m • Benchmark 75;
Med Value Bet
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perfectmanz Joe Nishizuka |
3 | 41% | $$4.02 | BEST |
| 2 | Dancin In The Dark Erin M Leighton |
2 | 30% | $$4.59 | DANGER |
| 3 | Awhina Tom Wigram |
1 | 28% | $$5.06 | |
| 4 | Super Rosa Samantha Collett |
6 | 27% | $$5.41 |
WINTab 2 Perfectmanz1.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
28%
Awhina (1) J: Tom Wigram
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#1
2
41%
Perfectmanz (3) J: Joe Nishizuka
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
#2
3
30%
Dancin In The Dark (2) J: Erin M Leighton
track specialist, proven at distance
#4
4
27%
Super Rosa (6) J: Samantha Collett
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
5Because (1)SCR
6
11%
Gina Rosa (5) J: Joe Doyle
quality stable
7Impaired Vision (7)SCR
8
14%
Verdi's Opera (4) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, form a concern, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: Perfectmanz, Dancin In The Dark
Exacta: Perfectmanz / Dancin In The Dark, Awhina
Trifecta: Box: Perfectmanz, Dancin In The Dark, Awhina, Super Rosa
R7 • 1400m • Benchmark 65;
PASS
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elysian Fields Tom Wigram |
1 | 29% | $$5.93 | BEST |
| 2 | Super Wraith Erin M Leighton |
3 | 26% | $$6.04 | DANGER |
| 3 | Chicago Jack George Rooke |
6 | 29% | $$6.14 | |
| 4 | Uptown Wiremu Pinn |
8 | 20% | $$7.14 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
26%
Super Wraith (3) J: Erin M Leighton
proven at distance
#3
2
29%
Chicago Jack (6) J: George Rooke
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
3
15%
Rock Ice (5) J: Masahiro Hashizume
proven at distance, in good form
#1
4
29%
Elysian Fields (1) J: Tom Wigram
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level
5
20%
Robbie Burns (4) J: Ethan Jones
proven at distance
#4
6
20%
Uptown (8) J: Wiremu Pinn
flying form
7
23%
Fraudster (2) J: Samantha Collett
track specialist, flying form, quality stable
8Starlit Express (7)SCR
R8 • 1400m • Restricted 60;
Low Value Bet
Restricted 60; • Prize: $18500
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horrie A Lawson-Carroll |
4 | 36% | $$10.13 | BEST |
| 2 | Good Spot Wiremu Pinn |
9 | 28% | $$11.61 | DANGER |
| 3 | Poppa Dennis Jasmine Fawcett |
2 | 24% | $$12.09 | |
| 4 | Sir Fergus Warren Kennedy |
10 | 27% | $$12.44 |
EACH WAYTab 5 Horrie (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
20%
Kuroko (1) J: Samantha Collett
looking for others
2
23%
Taylor Square (13) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
proven at distance, class edge
3
22%
Chasing Warrior (5) J: Krishi Ramdhun
proven at distance
#4
4
27%
Sir Fergus (10) J: Warren Kennedy
quality stable
#1
5
36%
Horrie (4) J: A Lawson-Carroll
solid track record, proven at distance
6
22%
Notabadbergs (11) J: Joe Doyle
track specialist
#3
7
24%
Poppa Dennis (2) J: Jasmine Fawcett
track specialist, quality stable
8
21%
Gold Card (6) J: Lynsey Satherley
suited to trip, inconsistent
9
23%
Izola (3) J: Erin M Leighton
place chance
10
23%
La Parisienne (7) J: Rihaan Goyaram
track specialist, inconsistent
11
23%
Brian Lamont (14) J: Joe Nishizuka
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
12
28%
Good Spot (9) J: Wiremu Pinn
proven at distance
13Cisco (8)SCR
14Ellendale (14)SCR
15
23%
Saltburn (12) J: Courtney Barnes
solid track record, suited to trip
16Starlit Express (16)SCR
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R6:
Tab 2 Perfectmanz (Barrier 3)
Model: $4.02
1.5 units
Model: $4.02
1.5 units
R8:
Tab 5 Horrie (Barrier 4)
Model: $10.13
1 units
Model: $10.13
1 units
Total Stake: 2.5%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 02/09/2026, 7:21:10 am