Port Augusta

2026-07-19
Good Rail: True
Updated: 20:45 AEST
7
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Lettemgo
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Port Augusta

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Break The Line
Tala Hutchinson
1 31% $$3.86 BEST
2 Bishop's Choice
S H Sit
3 28% $$5.28 DANGER
3 Stoops
Ashlee Stone
6 20% $$6.49
4 It's A Solid Deel
Campbell Rawiller
5 19% $$6.51
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Bishop's Choice (3) J: S H Sit
place chance
28%
#1 2
Break The Line (1) J: Tala Hutchinson
proven at distance, in good form
31%
#4 3
It's A Solid Deel (5) J: Campbell Rawiller
looking for others
19%
4
Caesour's Tomb (2) J: Stacey Metcalfe
inconsistent
18%
5Karma Queen (6)SCR
6
Copperflange (4) J: Wesley Cave
inconsistent
18%
#3 7
Stoops (6) J: Ashlee Stone
looking for others
20%

R2 • 1498m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Kung Fu Kisses
Jemma Gutte
3 30% $$5.70 BEST
2 Tennessee Fire
Ashlee Stone
1 27% $$5.72 DANGER
3 Sweet Kick
Margaret Collett
6 25% $$6.00
4 Aqua Riva
S H Sit
7 24% $$6.87
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Tennessee Fire (1) J: Ashlee Stone
solid track record, in good form, quality stable
27%
2
Badjawa (2) J: Lauren Stojakovic
top jockey, inconsistent
19%
3Road To The City (2)SCR
4
The Grump (4) J: Wesley Cave
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
5
Sir Aali (5) J: Stacey Metcalfe
solid track record, suited to trip, top jockey, inconsistent
24%
#3 6
Sweet Kick (6) J: Margaret Collett
track specialist, suited to trip
25%
#4 7
Aqua Riva (7) J: S H Sit
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
24%
#1 8
Kung Fu Kisses (3) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
30%

R3 • 1498m • Benchmark 58;

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Star Casino
Dylan Caboche
2 34% $$4.22 BEST
2 Star Decorum
Wesley Cave
4 32% $$4.53 DANGER
3 Our Destrier
Jemma Gutte
5 25% $$6.46
4 Ghemme
S H Sit
1 21% $$7.31
WINTab 1 Star Casino0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Star Casino (2) J: Dylan Caboche
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
34%
#4 2
Ghemme (1) J: S H Sit
solid track record, top jockey
21%
#3 3
Our Destrier (5) J: Jemma Gutte
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
25%
4
Kikorangi (3) J: Lauren Stojakovic
top jockey, quality stable
20%
5
Otto's Dream (6) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#2 6
Star Decorum (4) J: Wesley Cave
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%

R4 • 1200m • Benchmark 56;

PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Inner Sanctum
Wesley Cave
5 41% $$3.87 BEST
2 Samanth
Lauren Stojakovic
2 32% $$5.34 DANGER
3 Zatanna
Jemma Gutte
1 26% $$5.52
4 Lady Tucan
Shuichi Terachi
4 23% $$8.25
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Zatanna (1) J: Jemma Gutte
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
26%
2
Kahlua Girl (3) J: Campbell Rawiller
proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
14%
3
Uncle Barry (7) J: Dylan Caboche
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
20%
#2 4
Samanth (2) J: Lauren Stojakovic
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
5
Scandalist (6) J: Caitlyn Munro
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
13%
#4 6
Lady Tucan (4) J: Shuichi Terachi
track specialist, inconsistent
23%
#1 7
Inner Sanctum (5) J: Wesley Cave
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
41%

R5 • 1498m • Restricted 52;

Low Value Bet
Restricted 52; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Sengoki
Wesley Cave
2 37% $$4.76 BEST
2 Hubristic
Stacey Metcalfe
6 30% $$6.36 DANGER
3 Bad To The Bone
Ashlee Stone
8 26% $$7.43
4 Mistnaces
Caitlyn Munro
7 26% $$7.89
WINTab 4 Sengoki1 units

Full Field Analysis

1
I'm Kenny (1) J: Margaret Collett
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
24%
#3 2
Bad To The Bone (8) J: Ashlee Stone
track specialist, quality stable
26%
3
Valor Bound (4) J: S H Sit
top jockey
20%
#1 4
Sengoki (2) J: Wesley Cave
track specialist, top jockey
37%
5
Hamilton Brown (3) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#2 6
Hubristic (6) J: Stacey Metcalfe
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
30%
7
Zilzie Lad (5) J: Polly Brewster
inconsistent
20%
#4 8
Mistnaces (7) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, top jockey
26%

R6 • 1867m • Benchmark 56;

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Lettemgo
Wesley Cave
4 42% $$4.31 BEST
2 Ichibansan
Polly Brewster
2 27% $$7.27 DANGER
3 Fox Dunnett
Tala Hutchinson
8 25% $$8.24
4 Never Surrender
Lauren Stojakovic
9 24% $$8.67
WINTab 7 Lettemgo1.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Ichibansan (2) J: Polly Brewster
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
27%
#3 2
Fox Dunnett (8) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
#4 3
Never Surrender (9) J: Lauren Stojakovic
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
24%
4
Overloaded (1) J: Alyssa Webb
track specialist, quality stable
18%
5
Taipan Tommy (7) J: Stacey Metcalfe
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
6
Cracken Good Time (5) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
18%
#1 7
Lettemgo (4) J: Wesley Cave
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
42%
8
Unisphere (6) J: Margaret Collett
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
19%
9
Little Outlaw (3) J: Ashlee Stone
inconsistent
14%

Exotics

Exacta: Lettemgo / Ichibansan, Fox Dunnett
Trifecta: Box: Lettemgo, Ichibansan, Fox Dunnett, Never Surrender
First 4: Box: Lettemgo, Ichibansan, Fox Dunnett, Never Surrender, Cracken Good Time

R7 • 1100m • Restricted 52;

Low Value Bet
Restricted 52; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Eastside Diamond
Polly Brewster
1 33% $$6.49 BEST
2 Shikanic
Campbell Rawiller
7 32% $$7.44 DANGER
3 Lord Morton
Stacey Metcalfe
5 30% $$7.85
4 Wandering Eye
S H Sit
6 25% $$8.93
EACH WAYTab 10 Eastside Diamond (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Shikanic (7) J: Campbell Rawiller
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
32%
#3 2
Lord Morton (5) J: Stacey Metcalfe
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
30%
3
Exonumia (2) J: Tala Hutchinson
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
4
Born To Shine (4) J: Margaret Collett
quality stable
18%
5
Sumadartson (3) J: Alyssa Webb
suited to trip, quality stable, inconsistent
24%
#4 6
Wandering Eye (6) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
7
Alpha Street (9) J: Caitlyn Munro
proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
24%
8
Elegant Man (8) J: Lauren Stojakovic
top jockey, quality stable
22%
9
River Clyde (10) J: Ashlee Stone
inconsistent
16%
#1 10
Eastside Diamond (1) J: Polly Brewster
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
33%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R5: Tab 4 Sengoki (Barrier 2)
Model: $4.76
1 units
R6: Tab 7 Lettemgo (Barrier 4)
Model: $4.31
1.5 units
Total Stake: 2.5%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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