LIVE TRACK BIAS DETECTED

STRONG outside barrier bias (80% of winners from outer 1/3). (5 races analysed, confidence: MODERATE)
5 races analysed | Confidence: MODERATE

Port Augusta

SA • 2026-04-12
Good Rail: True
Updated: 08:39 AEST
7
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Wandering Eye
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Port Augusta

Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1100m • Maiden;12:00

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Social Dancer
Alyssa Webb
4 41% N/A BEST
2 Love So Sweet
Sairyn Fawke
2 27% N/A DANGER
3 Gingermac
S H Sit
3 21% N/A
4 Conjoin
Tala Hutchinson
6 17% N/A
  • Finished 11th last start, 4.3L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1100m without placing — distance may not suit.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1100m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
5
3
4
2
1
6
1
Back
1
Midfield
3
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
6
Foxy Gisella
Barrier 1
LEADER
4
Love So Sweet
Barrier 2
PRESSER
2
Gingermac
Barrier 3
PRESSER
1
Conjoin
Barrier 6
PRESSER
3
Liberty London
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
5
Social Dancer
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Conjoin (6) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey
17%
#3 2
Gingermac (3) J: S H Sit
in good form, top jockey
21%
3
Liberty London (5) J: Caitlyn Munro
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#2 4
Love So Sweet (2) J: Sairyn Fawke
quality stable
27%
#1 5
Social Dancer (4) J: Alyssa Webb
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
41%
6
Foxy Gisella (1) J: Andrew Stead
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9%

R2 • 1396m • Maiden;12:00

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Love To Lie
S H Sit
9 30% N/A BEST
2 Nouveau Marche
Jemma Gutte
1 33% N/A DANGER
3 Toast For Becky
Wesley Cave
4 33% N/A
4 It's A Solid Deel
Murray Henderson
2 25% N/A
  • Finished 4th last start, 2.6L off the winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🐢
SPEED MAP
1396m
SLOW PACE
No pressure - leader advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
2
4
8
6
1
3
11
5
10
7
9
None
None
6
Back
5
Midfield
0
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
11
Love To Lie
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
5
Nouveau Marche
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
10
Toast For Becky
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
7
Qatar
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
9
Spicy Ambition
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
2
It's A Solid Deel
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
4
Merchant Of Greece
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
8
Barbie's Pearl
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
6
Johnny The Jet
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
1
Genre
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
3
Macspark
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Genre (8) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey, inconsistent
19%
#4 2
It's A Solid Deel (2) J: Murray Henderson
suited to trip, quality stable
25%
3
Macspark (5) J: Shuichi Terachi
looking for others
16%
4
Merchant Of Greece (3) J: Andrew Stead
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
#2 5
Nouveau Marche (1) J: Jemma Gutte
solid track record, suited to trip, top jockey
33%
6
Johnny The Jet (6) J: Alyssa Webb
top jockey, inconsistent
17%
7
Qatar (10) J: Matthew Chadwick
quality stable, inconsistent
21%
8
Barbie's Pearl (7) J: Sairyn Fawke
quality stable, inconsistent
21%
9
Spicy Ambition (11) J: Caitlyn Munro
flying form, top jockey
13%
#3 10
Toast For Becky (4) J: Wesley Cave
top jockey, inconsistent
33%
#1 11
Love To Lie (9) J: S H Sit
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
30%

R3 • 1396m • Benchmark 62;12:00

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 62; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Toorak Blaze
S H Sit
3 35% N/A BEST
2 Holder Maid
Tala Hutchinson
4 33% N/A DANGER
3 Lava Lad
Sophie Potter
7 29% N/A
4 Aspenado
Shuichi Terachi
2 27% N/A
  • Placed 3rd of 11 last start (0.5L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
WIN#4 Toorak Blaze1% of bank
🎯
SPEED MAP
1396m
LONE SPEED
Single leader - soft pace likely
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
4
7
1
8
5
2
3
6
▲▲
2
Back
4
Midfield
1
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
6
Holder Maid
Barrier 4
LEADER
▲▲
3
Bangerang Redback
Barrier 6
PRESSER
1
Lava Lad
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
8
Aspenado
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
5
Gusmao
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
2
Olive Baguette
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
4
Toorak Blaze
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
7
Sea Roads
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Lava Lad (7) J: Sophie Potter
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
29%
2
Olive Baguette (1) J:
in good form, quality stable
18%
3
Bangerang Redback (6) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, top jockey
17%
#1 4
Toorak Blaze (3) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
35%
5
Gusmao (1) J: Sairyn Fawke
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
#2 6
Holder Maid (4) J: Tala Hutchinson
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
33%
7
Sea Roads (5) J: Alyssa Webb
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
18%
#4 8
Aspenado (2) J: Shuichi Terachi
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
27%

Exotics

Quinella: Toorak Blaze, Holder Maid
Exacta: Toorak Blaze / Holder Maid, Lava Lad
Trifecta: Box: Toorak Blaze, Holder Maid, Lava Lad, Aspenado
First 4: Box: Toorak Blaze, Holder Maid, Lava Lad, Aspenado, Gusmao

R4 • 1600m • Benchmark 56;12:00

PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 I'm Kenny
Caitlyn Munro
5 34% N/A BEST
2 Toretto
Wesley Cave
8 27% N/A DANGER
3 The Last Dance
Jemma Gutte
6 30% N/A
4 Sir Panama
Sairyn Fawke
9 26% N/A
  • Well beaten last start (8th, 23.5L) — needs significant improvement.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1600m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
8
▲▲
6
▲▲
1
▲▲
10
▲▲
2
9
7
3
5
4
4
Back
2
Midfield
2
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
5
Sir Panama
Barrier 9
LEADER
4
Me Name's Harry
Barrier 10
LEADER
7
I'm Kenny
Barrier 5
PRESSER
3
Explicable
Barrier 3
PRESSER
2
The Last Dance
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
9
Lion's Instinct
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
8
Toretto
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
▲▲
6
Boom Bang
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
Quick Qudos
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
▲▲
10
Riverside Rock
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Quick Qudos (1) J: Sophie Potter
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#3 2
The Last Dance (6) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
30%
3
Explicable (3) J: Tala Hutchinson
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
4
Me Name's Harry (10) J: Alyssa Webb
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
#4 5
Sir Panama (9) J: Sairyn Fawke
proven at distance, in good form
26%
6
Boom Bang (4) J: S H Sit
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
#1 7
I'm Kenny (5) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
34%
#2 8
Toretto (8) J: Wesley Cave
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
27%
9
Lion's Instinct (2) J: Shuichi Terachi
quality stable
20%
10
Riverside Rock (7) J:
quality stable
20%

R5 • 1200m • Benchmark 56;12:00

PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Retrospection
Alyssa Webb
7 34% N/A BEST
2 Uncle Barry
Sophie Potter
2 30% N/A DANGER
3 Castlecomer
S H Sit
1 25% N/A
4 Lady Tucan
Jemma Gutte
6 23% N/A
  • Placed 3rd of 4 last start (3.2L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
2
▲▲
1
10
7
5
9
6
8
3
4
1
Back
4
Midfield
4
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
Hot Off
Barrier 4
LEADER
9
Castlecomer
Barrier 1
PRESSER
6
Eastside Diamond
Barrier 9
PRESSER
8
Belle Inferno
Barrier 5
PRESSER
3
Elegant Man
Barrier 8
PRESSER
1
Uncle Barry
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
10
Lady Tucan
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
7
Lady Memphis
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
5
Sumadartson
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
2
Retrospection
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Uncle Barry (2) J: Sophie Potter
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
30%
#1 2
Retrospection (7) J: Alyssa Webb
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
34%
3
Elegant Man (8) J: Sairyn Fawke
proven at distance, quality stable
18%
4
Hot Off (4) J: Wesley Cave
proven at distance, top jockey
27%
5
Sumadartson (3) J: Shuichi Terachi
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
22%
6
Eastside Diamond (9) J: Matthew Chadwick
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
22%
7
Lady Memphis (10) J: Tala Hutchinson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
8
Belle Inferno (5) J: Caitlyn Munro
top jockey, quality stable
20%
#3 9
Castlecomer (1) J: S H Sit
track specialist, form a concern, proven at level, top jockey
25%
#4 10
Lady Tucan (6) J: Jemma Gutte
track specialist, form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
23%

R6 • 1100m • Restricted 52;12:00

Med Value Bet
Restricted 52; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Wandering Eye
Alyssa Webb
8 41% N/A BEST
2 Strasbeau
Wesley Cave
1 24% N/A DANGER
3 The Streaker
Sairyn Fawke
3 25% N/A
4 Samanth
Jemma Gutte
5 24% N/A
  • Placed 2nd of 4 last start (0.8L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1100m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WIN#1 Wandering Eye1% of bank
🔥
SPEED MAP
1100m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
9
▲▲
4
7
8
11
2
6
10
3
1
5
1
Back
5
Midfield
3
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
1
Wandering Eye
Barrier 8
LEADER
5
River Clyde
Barrier 6
LEADER
6
The Streaker
Barrier 3
PRESSER
10
Agressive Bee
Barrier 10
PRESSER
3
The Last Stand
Barrier 4
PRESSER
4
Strasbeau
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
7
Samanth
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
8
Hateschoolconcerts
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
11
Inner Sanctum
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
2
Hamilton Brown
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
9
Avanzo
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Wandering Eye (8) J: Alyssa Webb
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
41%
2
Hamilton Brown (7) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey, quality stable
18%
3
The Last Stand (4) J: Shuichi Terachi
looking for others
20%
#2 4
Strasbeau (1) J: Wesley Cave
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
24%
5
River Clyde (6) J: Andrew Stead
top jockey, quality stable
16%
#3 6
The Streaker (3) J: Sairyn Fawke
track specialist, proven at distance
25%
#4 7
Samanth (5) J: Jemma Gutte
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
24%
8
Hateschoolconcerts (2) J: Caitlyn Munro
top jockey, quality stable
26%
9
Avanzo (5) J: Matthew Chadwick
proven at distance, quality stable
20%
10
Agressive Bee (10) J: S H Sit
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
25%
11
Inner Sanctum (9) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
20%

R7 • 1498m • Restricted 54;12:00

PASS
Restricted 54; • Prize: $19500
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Star Decorum
Caitlyn Munro
11 33% N/A BEST
2 Star Casino
S H Sit
10 34% N/A DANGER
3 Funny Legs
Andrew Stead
12 28% N/A
4 Mr Trafficanti
Alyssa Webb
3 26% N/A
  • Finished 4th last start, 6.9L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1498m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
9
▲▲
7
▲▲
4
12
6
10
5
3
8
1
11
2
2
Back
3
Midfield
5
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
11
Star Decorum
Barrier 11
LEADER
2
Star Casino
Barrier 10
LEADER
10
Funny Legs
Barrier 12
PRESSER
5
Notmeanttobe
Barrier 6
PRESSER
3
Lysander
Barrier 1
PRESSER
8
Flying Step
Barrier 4
PRESSER
1
Arlo's Dream
Barrier 5
PRESSER
4
Mr Trafficanti
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
12
Royalz
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
6
My Crackling
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
9
Fox Dunnett
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
▲▲
7
Peerless Lad
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Arlo's Dream (5) J: Murray Henderson
looking for others
20%
#2 2
Star Casino (10) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
34%
3
Lysander (1) J: Wesley Cave
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#4 4
Mr Trafficanti (3) J: Alyssa Webb
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
5
Notmeanttobe (6) J: Sairyn Fawke
proven at distance, inconsistent
21%
6
My Crackling (8) J:
suited to trip
23%
7
Peerless Lad (7) J: Matthew Chadwick
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
19%
8
Flying Step (4) J: Shuichi Terachi
proven at distance, quality stable
21%
9
Fox Dunnett (2) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey, quality stable
22%
#3 10
Funny Legs (12) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
#1 11
Star Decorum (11) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
33%
12
Royalz (9) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R3: #4 Toorak Blaze (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R6: #1 Wandering Eye (Barrier 8)
1% of bank
Total Stake: 2.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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