Pinjarra Scarpside

2026-06-04
Soft Rail: +5m entire
Updated: 18:29 AEST
9
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Ellovaman
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Pinjarra Scarpside

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Tasman Queen
Holly Nottle
10 35% $$6.09 BEST
2 Gloranardo
Troy Turner
7 29% $$6.93 DANGER
3 Lady Mayflower
Clint Johnston-Porter
9 26% $$8.82
4 Delicate Warrior
Paul Harvey
1 22% $$9.37
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Gets The Girls (5) J: Natika Riordan
in good form
25%
#4 2
Delicate Warrior (1) J: Paul Harvey
top jockey
22%
#2 3
Gloranardo (7) J: Troy Turner
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
29%
4
Aussie Reactor (8) J: Steven Parnham
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
5
Youanmi (4) J: Lisa Staples
in good form, top jockey
20%
6
Market Snitz (2) J: William Pike
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
13%
#3 7
Lady Mayflower (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
quality stable
26%
8
Blinding Luck (6) J: Natasha Faithfull
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#1 9
Tasman Queen (10) J: Holly Nottle
quality stable
35%
10
Princess Peanut (3) J: Jessica Valas
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
7%

R2 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Gold And Grey
Natika Riordan
8 36% $$6.27 BEST
2 Rear Of Class
Rocky Cheung
2 29% $$7.15 DANGER
3 He'snotallthere
Jessica Valas
5 26% $$7.99
4 Sassy Snippet
William Pike
4 23% $$10.04
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Vervain (13)SCR
2
Major Magnus (11) J: Jarrad Noske
inconsistent
17%
3
Dashon (10) J: Brad Parnham
looking for others
13%
#3 4
He'snotallthere (5) J: Jessica Valas
place chance
26%
5Good Show (16)SCR
6Beston Street (6)SCR
7
Ginger Zinger (6) J: Holly Watson
inconsistent
12%
#2 8
Rear Of Class (2) J: Rocky Cheung
form a concern, inconsistent
29%
9
Yippee Snippee (1) J: Troy Turner
looking for others
12%
10
Tasman Jewel (3) J: Natasha Faithfull
place chance
21%
11
Think She Sparks (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
looking for others
13%
#4 12
Sassy Snippet (4) J: William Pike
in good form
23%
13Lady Money Talk (7)SCR
14
Leg Godt (7) J: Chris Parnham
looking for others
19%
#1 15
Gold And Grey (8) J: Natika Riordan
inconsistent
36%
16War Colours (11)SCR

R3 • 1500m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Divine Currency
Shaun O'Donnell
4 34% $$6.85 BEST
2 Thomas Henry
Jarrad Noske
3 30% $$7.13 DANGER
3 Lord Momo
Lucy F Fiore
11 25% $$9.09
4 Offenbach
Taj Dyson
6 24% $$9.47
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Offenbach (6) J: Taj Dyson
quality stable
24%
#3 2
Lord Momo (11) J: Lucy F Fiore
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
25%
#1 3
Divine Currency (4) J: Shaun O'Donnell
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
34%
4
Big Man Zor (8) J: Jason Whiting
top jockey
19%
5
Playing Messiah (10) J: Chris Parnham
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
#2 6
Thomas Henry (3) J: Jarrad Noske
inconsistent
30%
7
New Monarch (7) J: Holly Watson
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
11%
8
Bhullar (2) J: Steven Parnham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
9
Royal Talk (9) J: Joey Azzopardi
in good form, quality stable
17%
10
Star Assault (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
20%
11War Colours (1)SCR

R4 • 1800m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Beautiful Ghost
Taj Dyson
3 35% $$6.12 BEST
2 Miss Santa Corrs
Holly Watson
6 32% $$8.44 DANGER
3 Savvy Ruler
William Pike
8 26% $$10.38
4 Cangrande
Steven Parnham
10 25% $$11.45
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Macho Arquero (6)SCR
2
Yalda Night (11) J: Holly Nottle
proven at distance, quality stable
24%
3
Rocking In Broome (12) J: Brayden Gaerth
top jockey
20%
4
Bend It Like Becks (9) J: Chris Parnham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
#4 5
Cangrande (10) J: Steven Parnham
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
25%
6
Alaskan Nugget (7) J: Rocky Cheung
top jockey, inconsistent
23%
7
Great Reception (1) J: Brad Parnham
quality stable
18%
#2 8
Miss Santa Corrs (6) J: Holly Watson
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
32%
#3 9
Savvy Ruler (8) J: William Pike
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
10
Miss Jimmada (5) J: Jason Whiting
top jockey, inconsistent
13%
11
Flag High (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
inconsistent
13%
12
Barraquito (2) J: Lucy F Fiore
in good form, quality stable
19%
#1 13
Beautiful Ghost (3) J: Taj Dyson
inconsistent
35%

R5 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Lucifer's Lady
Jessica Valas
7 27% $$7.92 BEST
2 Radiant Light
Jason Brown
2 30% $$8.10 DANGER
3 Northerly Lady
Jason Whiting
4 24% $$8.31
4 Mercury Rising
Shaun O'Donnell
6 26% $$8.79
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Radiant Light (2) J: Jason Brown
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
30%
2
Sylva Jack (10) J: Chloe Azzopardi
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#4 3
Mercury Rising (6) J: Shaun O'Donnell
top jockey, inconsistent
26%
4Good Show (8)SCR
5
Zero To Sixty (5) J: Steven Parnham
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
6
Last Rendezvous (11) J: Holly Nottle
quality stable, inconsistent
19%
7Premium Boy (13)SCR
8
Victory Wave (13) J: Joey Azzopardi
in good form
16%
9
Onyaken (9) J: Paul Harvey
top jockey
10%
10
Perfectly Proper (12) J: Chris Parnham
class edge, top jockey
16%
11Lady Money Talk (1)SCR
12
Mystic Chaos (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
quality stable, inconsistent
16%
#1 13
Lucifer's Lady (7) J: Jessica Valas
inconsistent
27%
#3 14
Northerly Lady (4) J: Jason Whiting
top jockey
24%

R6 • 1200m • Class 1;

Low Value Bet
Class 1; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Ellovaman
Natasha Faithfull
6 39% $$5.17 BEST
2 Zenique
Jessica Valas
9 28% $$6.72 DANGER
3 Toronado Rocket
Chris Parnham
3 23% $$8.96
4 Morf
Holly Nottle
4 22% $$9.68
EACH WAYTab 9 Ellovaman (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

Full Field Analysis

1Spirited Strike (6)SCR
2
Catch Carter (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly
top jockey, quality stable
22%
3
Awesome Force (1) J: Joey Azzopardi
in good form
15%
4
Guarantor (7) J: Brad Parnham
suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
25%
#4 5
Morf (4) J: Holly Nottle
in good form, quality stable
22%
#3 6
Toronado Rocket (3) J: Chris Parnham
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
23%
7
Flying Flynn (8) J: William Pike
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
8
Kings Park (2) J: Steven Parnham
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
15%
#1 9
Ellovaman (6) J: Natasha Faithfull
proven at distance, top jockey
39%
#2 10
Zenique (9) J: Jessica Valas
solid track record, form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
28%

R7 • 1200m • Class 1;

PASS
Class 1; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Rosentrea
Natika Riordan
8 31% $$10.32 BEST
2 Where's Brittany
Clint Johnston-Porter
6 28% $$11.64 DANGER
3 Saigon Dancer
Chris Parnham
7 26% $$11.91
4 Mamma Says So
Brad Parnham
12 25% $$11.92
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Saigon Dancer (7) J: Chris Parnham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
2
Miss Finkmeyer (3) J: Holly Nottle
suited to trip, in good form
27%
3
Lady Kiki (1) J: Lucy F Fiore
in good form
15%
#4 4
Mamma Says So (12) J: Brad Parnham
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
5
Rock The Market (11) J: William Pike
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
#1 6
Rosentrea (8) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
31%
7
Luna Ascending (9) J: Brayden Gaerth
in good form, top jockey
22%
8
Solar Crest (2) J: Steven Parnham
top jockey, quality stable
18%
9
Riveting Rosie (5) J: Paul Harvey
top jockey
15%
10
Swansee (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly
proven at distance, top jockey
24%
11
Lotsamerit (13) J: Victoria Corver
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
19%
12
Tokyo Fire (14) J: Shaun O'Donnell
top jockey, quality stable
19%
#2 13
Where's Brittany (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
suited to trip
28%
14
Line Of Thought (10) J: Rocky Cheung
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
18%

R8 • 1700m • Class 3;

Low Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Exquisite Taste
Holly Watson
6 34% $$10.61 BEST
2 Worcester
Chloe Azzopardi
5 28% $$11.21 DANGER
3 Artistry In Motion
Jarrad Noske
4 32% $$11.78
4 I'm Nipote
Clint Johnston-Porter
8 22% $$15.87
EACH WAYTab 2 Exquisite Taste (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Artistry In Motion (4) J: Jarrad Noske
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
32%
#1 2
Exquisite Taste (6) J: Holly Watson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
34%
3
Strapping Prophet (10) J: Jason Whiting
in good form, top jockey
21%
#4 4
I'm Nipote (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
proven at distance, quality stable
22%
5
Space Academy (7) J: Brayden Gaerth
in good form, top jockey
19%
6
Cape Leeuwin (11) J: Chris Parnham
track specialist, top jockey
23%
7
Highly Spoken (15) J: Victoria Corver
top jockey, quality stable
16%
8
Flaming Ronda (14) J: William Pike
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9
Shaula (2) J: Lucy F Fiore
proven at distance, inconsistent
19%
10
Dandy Flirt (16) J: Bailey Webster
top jockey
17%
#2 11
Worcester (5) J: Chloe Azzopardi
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
28%
12
Vancouver Storm (1) J: Joey Azzopardi
track specialist, quality stable
18%
13
Angel Shame (9) J: Rocky Cheung
top jockey, quality stable
19%
14
Gingers Sister (12) J: Holly Nottle
quality stable
18%
15
Bella Violetta (17) J: Shaun O'Donnell
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
18%
16
Anna's Boy (13) J:
proven at distance
17%
17
Maximum Impact (3) J: Natika Riordan
proven at distance
18%

Exotics

Exacta: Exquisite Taste / Worcester, Artistry In Motion
Trifecta: Box: Exquisite Taste, Worcester, Artistry In Motion, I'm Nipote
First 4: Box: Exquisite Taste, Worcester, Artistry In Motion, I'm Nipote, Shaula

R9 • 1400m • Class 5;

PASS
Class 5; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Linchpin
Clint Johnston-Porter
7 27% $$11.66 BEST
2 Pond Master
Natika Riordan
13 29% $$12.91 DANGER
3 Miss Esprit
Taj Dyson
12 26% $$14.15
4 Our Mate Archie
William Pike
15 27% $$14.56
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Pond Master (13) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
29%
#4 2
Our Mate Archie (15) J: William Pike
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
3
One Punch (5) J: Natasha Faithfull
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
26%
4
Otheroneson (4) J: Alex Hearn
proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
5
Flying South (8) J: Jason Whiting
top jockey, quality stable
21%
#1 6
Linchpin (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
proven at distance, in good form
27%
#3 7
Miss Esprit (12) J: Taj Dyson
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
26%
8
Vomo Island (6) J: Brandon Louis
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
19%
9
Cherokee Miss (1) J: Troy Turner
proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
23%
10
No Peer (9) J: Joey Azzopardi
track specialist, suited to trip, quality stable
20%
11Secricity (15)SCR
12
State Of Fury (3) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
23%
13
Three Grand (11) J: Holly Nottle
suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
22%
14
Time Connection (10) J: Lucy F Fiore
place chance
21%
15
Looks (14) J: Chloe Azzopardi
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
16
Olden (2) J: Rocky Cheung
top jockey, quality stable
19%
17
He's Archie (16) J: Cassey Martinan
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
24%
18Get Out Mick (8)SCR

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R6: Tab 9 Ellovaman (Barrier 6)
Model: $5.17
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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