Orange

2026-10-19

Good

Updated: 11:31 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Vinari

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Orange

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Ms A McCabe: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
Nick Heywood: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 66.7% place)
Jordan Quince: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
Clayton Gallagher: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 66.7% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1600m

PASS

Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Kojak Clayton Gallagher	3	29%	$$5.56	BEST
2	Grey Belief Jake Pracey-Holmes	7	30%	$$5.65	DANGER
3	Farcolo Winona Costin	1	24%	$$7.36
4	Mr Crowning Moment Glenn Cahill	4	24%	$$7.50

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Flight Sergeant (8)SCR

#1 2

Kojak (3) J: Clayton Gallagher

proven at distance

29%

Iron Rebel (5) J: Pierre Boudvillain

inconsistent

19%

Alideel (6) J: Chad Lever

inconsistent

22%

5Aphelion (5)SCR

#3 6

Farcolo (1) J: Winona Costin

place chance

24%

#2 7

Grey Belief (7) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

proven at distance

30%

#4 8

Mr Crowning Moment (4) J: Glenn Cahill

inconsistent

24%

Woollen (2) J: Jacob Stiff

inconsistent

20%

R2 • 1400m

PASS

Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Macaroon Amber Riddell	3	37%	$$3.87	BEST
2	Memphis Tennessee Glenn Cahill	6	26%	$$6.77	DANGER
3	Devil's Reach Ken Dunbar	2	19%	$$7.25
4	Dundeel Flyer Pierre Boudvillain	8	24%	$$7.29

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1The Contractor (5)SCR

#4 2

Dundeel Flyer (8) J: Pierre Boudvillain

in good form

24%

#1 3

Macaroon (3) J: Amber Riddell

track specialist, flying form, quality stable

37%

Dunwithya (1) J: Damon Budler

quality stable

17%

5Flying Maurice (9)SCR

Argyle Laird (4) J: Jacob Stiff

place chance

22%

#3 7

Devil's Reach (2) J: Ken Dunbar

proven at distance, quality stable

19%

#2 8

Memphis Tennessee (6) J: Glenn Cahill

proven at distance, in good form

26%

Encyclopedia (7) J: Quayde Krogh

track specialist, suited to trip, inconsistent

20%

R3 • 1300m

PASS

Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Three Wishes Louise Day	3	37%	$$2.84	BEST
2	Winter Garden Chad Lever	2	31%	$$3.48	DANGER
3	Too Hot To Handle Winona Costin	4	14%	$$7.48
4	Invasion Pierre Boudvillain	1	17%	$$7.66

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Aerion (5)SCR

2Captain Smoker (5)SCR

3Rawano (9)SCR

4Skeldale House (5)SCR

#1 5

Three Wishes (3) J: Louise Day

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

37%

#2 6

Winter Garden (2) J: Chad Lever

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

31%

#4 7

Invasion (1) J: Pierre Boudvillain

quality stable, inconsistent

17%

Pieripper (5) J: Clayton Gallagher

inconsistent

13%

9Springys Thinken (10)SCR

#3 10

Too Hot To Handle (4) J: Winona Costin

inconsistent

14%

11Let's Engage (8)SCR

R4 • 1000m

PASS

Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Nightwalker Leeshelle Small	3	41%	$$5.53	BEST
2	Isle Of Wight Damon Budler	4	33%	$$5.75	DANGER
3	Eddy The Greyt Clayton Gallagher	5	29%	$$7.13
4	Miss Strategic Winona Costin	6	27%	$$9.06

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Isle Of Wight (4) J: Damon Budler

flying form, quality stable

33%

2Skivvy (9)SCR

Mighty Dancer (2) J: Sairyn Fawke

inconsistent

14%

Comby (8) J: Chad Lever

in good form, quality stable, inconsistent

13%

#3 5

Eddy The Greyt (5) J: Clayton Gallagher

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, inconsistent

29%

Anders Diamond (10) J: Jacob Stiff

inconsistent

10%

7Orchid Boy (3)SCR

Aerialize (7) J: Shannen Llewellyn

in good form, quality stable

22%

9Alotofsoju (1)SCR

#4 10

Miss Strategic (6) J: Winona Costin

proven at distance, quality stable

27%

#1 11

Nightwalker (3) J: Leeshelle Small

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

41%

Pauline's Dream (9) J: Glenn Cahill

quality stable, inconsistent

11%

Timeless Love (1) J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

in good form, inconsistent

12%

R5 • 1300m

Low Value Bet

Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Vinari Coriah Keatings	6	38%	$$4.65	BEST
2	Onyspeed Clayton Gallagher	3	25%	$$7.05	DANGER
3	Champions League Glenn Cahill	2	24%	$$8.31
4	Sweet Treats Pierre Boudvillain	1	22%	$$8.84

WINTab 4 Vinari1 units

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Champions League (2) J: Glenn Cahill

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

24%

2The Contractor (5)SCR

I Am Mamwaazel (8) J: Michael Heagney

proven at distance

22%

#1 4

Vinari (6) J: Coriah Keatings

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

38%

5Angel In The Wind (6)SCR

#2 6

Onyspeed (3) J: Clayton Gallagher

track specialist, proven at distance

25%

Nannu (7) J: Leeshelle Small

proven at distance, proven at level

24%

Geostorm (4) J: Damon Budler

proven at distance, in good form

18%

#4 9

Sweet Treats (1) J: Pierre Boudvillain

place chance

22%

10Commando Jack (11)SCR

Fantasy Crowned (5) J: Jacob Stiff

proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent

21%

R6 • 1600m

Low Value Bet

Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Naval Officer Jacob Stiff	8	32%	$$8.18	BEST
2	Ferrari Man Glenn Cahill	10	27%	$$9.33	DANGER
3	Boujee Gold Coriah Keatings	9	21%	$$10.24
4	Take The Chance Ken Dunbar	3	27%	$$10.45

WINTab 2 Naval Officer0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

Dunedin (2) J: Leeshelle Small

proven at distance, quality stable

26%

#1 2

Naval Officer (8) J: Jacob Stiff

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

32%

3Shadow Shot (2)SCR

#2 4

Ferrari Man (10) J: Glenn Cahill

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

27%

#4 5

Take The Chance (3) J: Ken Dunbar

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

27%

Dunna Runna (11) J: Pierre Boudvillain

proven at distance

25%

Tillman (6) J: Damon Budler

proven at distance

20%

Grafology (1) J: Winona Costin

proven at distance, in good form

26%

9Splendid Magnus (12)SCR

#3 10

Boujee Gold (9) J: Coriah Keatings

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

21%

Bold Tyrant (5) J: Quayde Krogh

proven at distance, in good form

21%

The Pres (4) J: Michael Heagney

solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level, inconsistent

23%

Anladio (7) J: Clayton Gallagher

track specialist, quality stable

19%

14Bulla Vinaka (6)SCR

R7 • 1000m

PASS

Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Brogans Creek Clayton Gallagher	7	30%	$$8.18	BEST
2	Can Do It Leeshelle Small	3	31%	$$8.65	DANGER
3	Divine Conclusion Jasmine Urquhart-Warren	9	26%	$$9.56
4	Wellspring Jacob Stiff	6	28%	$$9.71

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Divine Conclusion (9) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

track specialist, proven at distance

26%

#2 2

Can Do It (3) J: Leeshelle Small

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

31%

3Arctic Desert (1)SCR

#4 4

Wellspring (6) J: Jacob Stiff

proven at distance, in good form

28%

Bounding Bon (1) J: Ken Dunbar

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

23%

Travelon Dory (5) J: Glenn Cahill

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

22%

7Texas Open (14)SCR

8All Saints (15)SCR

Twin Gift (2) J: Chad Lever

track specialist

21%

10Spring Prospect (14)SCR

Xceptional Spirit (8) J: Emma Ly

flying form, quality stable

18%

#1 12

Brogans Creek (7) J: Clayton Gallagher

track specialist, proven at distance

30%

13There She Goes (8)SCR

Sardonyx (11) J: Shannen Llewellyn

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

22%

15Zaibatsu (6)SCR

Media Coverage (10) J: Damon Budler

track specialist, proven at distance

25%

17Magic Bertie (12)SCR

18Box Of Crackers (6)SCR

Bold Tee (4) J: Quayde Krogh

suited to trip

20%

20Spirited King (11)SCR

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R5: Tab 4 Vinari (Barrier 6)
Model: $4.65
1 units

Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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