Oamaru

NZ • 2026-07-19
Good Rail: Out 3m from 950 to 350m Cutway, Remainder True
Updated: 07:25 AEST
10
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Go Lotte
Best Bet
None
Best Value
99%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Oamaru

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 2200m • Benchmark 75;12:00

PASS
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Miss Enzed
Jack Taplin
7 27% $$8.83 BEST
2 Vamos
Ashlee Strawbridge
9 25% $$8.87 DANGER
3 Cosmetic Virtue
Kylie Williams
4 28% $$8.95
4 Lined Satin
Corey Campbell
6 27% $$9.05
  • Finished 5th last start, 1.9L off the winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 2200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
2200m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
5
9
8
1
7
2
6
4
10
3
None
2
Back
6
Midfield
2
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
10
Cosmetic Virtue
Barrier 4
PRESSER
3
Generation Joy
Barrier 10
PRESSER
8
Miss Enzed
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
1
Vamos
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
7
Lined Satin
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
2
Taimate Diva
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
6
Taramea Lad
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
4
Strobe Light
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
5
Koyama
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
9
Saint Brigid
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Vamos (9) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
25%
2
Taimate Diva (8) J: Sima Mxothwa
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
25%
3
Generation Joy (10) J: Leah Hemi
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
17%
4
Strobe Light (1) J: Brett Murray
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
5
Koyama (3) J: Jasmine Fawcett
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
24%
6
Taramea Lad (5) J: Abdul Najib
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
21%
#4 7
Lined Satin (6) J: Corey Campbell
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#1 8
Miss Enzed (7) J: Jack Taplin
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
9
Saint Brigid (2) J: Triston Moodley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
22%
#3 10
Cosmetic Virtue (4) J: Kylie Williams
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
28%

R2 • 2200m • Benchmark 65;12:00

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Tavi Ann
Hayley Hassman
3 33% $$8.38 BEST
2 Quinto
Corey Campbell
6 28% $$9.59 DANGER
3 Courte Xena
Choon K Kwo
10 25% $$10.60
4 On The Rivet
Leah Hemi
2 27% $$10.64
  • Finished 4th last start, 2.2L off the winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 2200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
WINTab 3 Tavi Ann0.5 units
🔥
SPEED MAP
2200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
3
▲▲
9
▲▲
11
▲▲
1
10
6
12
5
4
7
2
8
3
Back
6
Midfield
1
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
2
Lovelock
Barrier 8
LEADER
8
Secret Wish
Barrier 11
LEADER
7
Strong
Barrier 12
PRESSER
1
Quinto
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
10
Courte Xena
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
6
On The Rivet
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
12
Spring Queen
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
5
O'ceirins Belle
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
4
Sunningdale
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
3
Tavi Ann
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
▲▲
9
La Evita
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
11
Lady's Secret
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Quinto (6) J: Corey Campbell
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
2
Lovelock (8) J: Yogesh Atchamah
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
#1 3
Tavi Ann (3) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, top jockey
33%
4
Sunningdale (4) J: Bridget Grylls
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
15%
5
O'ceirins Belle (5) J: Jack Taplin
top jockey, quality stable
19%
#4 6
On The Rivet (2) J: Leah Hemi
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
7
Strong (12) J: Jasmine Fawcett
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
24%
8
Secret Wish (11) J: Brett Murray
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
23%
9
La Evita (7) J: Abdul Najib
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey
26%
#3 10
Courte Xena (10) J: Choon K Kwo
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
11
Lady's Secret (9) J: Triston Moodley
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
12
Spring Queen (1) J: Rohan Mudhoo
suited to trip, form a concern, proven at level, top jockey
20%

R3 • 1200m • Maiden;12:00

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $20000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Tinuviel
Triston Moodley
13 32% $$14.31 BEST
2 Honor The Name
Hayley Hassman
7 30% $$15.02 DANGER
3 Shes So Flash
Jasmine Fawcett
5 25% $$15.49
4 Gavel Kat
1 28% $$15.53
  • Well beaten last start (10th, 8.5L) — needs significant improvement.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
1
▲▲
19
▲▲
12
▲▲
14
▲▲
9
6
8
18
15
11
17
16
13
3
7
5
10
4
2
4
Back
9
Midfield
4
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
My Girl Alice
Barrier 4
LEADER
2
Globalist
Barrier 8
LEADER
3
Loose 'n' Vegas
Barrier 6
PRESSER
7
Ribble
Barrier 10
PRESSER
5
Tulsa Turnaround
Barrier 9
PRESSER
10
Cool Cat
Barrier 15
PRESSER
9
Tinuviel
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
6
Honor The Name
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
8
Shes So Flash
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
18
Gavel Kat
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
15
La Furriossa
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
11
Margiela
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
17
Tranquil Eyes
Barrier 17
MIDFIELD
16
Mcqueen's Lass
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
13
Tivaci Diva
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
1
Call To Arms
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
▲▲
19
Dostee
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
▲▲
12
Comic Diva
Barrier 18
BACKMARKER
▲▲
14
Zaida
Barrier 14
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Call To Arms (16) J: Kylie Williams
in good form, top jockey
24%
2
Globalist (8) J: Jack Taplin
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
24%
3
Loose 'n' Vegas (6) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
top jockey, quality stable
27%
4
My Girl Alice (4) J: Krishna Mudhoo
proven at distance
29%
5
Tulsa Turnaround (9) J: Yogesh Atchamah
top jockey
22%
#2 6
Honor The Name (7) J: Hayley Hassman
suited to trip, top jockey
30%
7
Ribble (10) J: Gosen A Jogoo
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
#3 8
Shes So Flash (5) J: Jasmine Fawcett
suited to trip, top jockey, inconsistent
25%
#1 9
Tinuviel (13) J: Triston Moodley
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
32%
10
Cool Cat (15) J: Brett Murray
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
11
Margiela (11) J: Bridget Grylls
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
23%
12
Comic Diva (18) J: Billy Jacobson
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
14%
13
Tivaci Diva (12) J: Rohan Mudhoo
top jockey, inconsistent
16%
14
Zaida (14) J: Corey Campbell
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
15
La Furriossa (11) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
22%
16
Mcqueen's Lass (2) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
19%
17
Tranquil Eyes (17) J:
quality stable
21%
#4 18
Gavel Kat (1) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
28%
19
Dostee (3) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
18%

R4 • 1200m • Open;12:00

PASS
Open; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Miss Twinkle
Kylie Williams
1 35% $$9.71 BEST
2 Four Some
Jasmine Fawcett
8 27% $$9.96 DANGER
3 Doubtable
15 26% $$10.54
4 The Graduate
Amber Riddell
7 25% $$11.45
  • Finished 5th last start, 4.1L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Stepping to 1200m for the first time — distance query.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
5
▲▲
8
▲▲
10
▲▲
11
▲▲
4
7
9
3
1
13
2
15
14
12
6
4
Back
6
Midfield
4
Pressers
1
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
6
Four Some
Barrier 8
LEADER
2
Stuck On You
Barrier 2
PRESSER
15
Golden Upgrade
Barrier 12
PRESSER
14
Vienna Dream
Barrier 4
PRESSER
12
Mysongisforyou
Barrier 5
PRESSER
4
Doubtable
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
7
The Graduate
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
9
Sophisticated Act
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
3
Zain
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
1
Spill It
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
13
Rhythm And Style
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
5
Miss Twinkle
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
▲▲
8
Midnight Oak
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
▲▲
10
Super
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
11
Glamour Extreme
Barrier 14
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Spill It (10) J: Yogesh Atchamah
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3%
2
Stuck On You (2) J: Bridget Grylls
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
19%
3
Zain (9) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
3%
#3 4
Doubtable (15) J:
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
#1 5
Miss Twinkle (1) J: Kylie Williams
in good form, top jockey
35%
#2 6
Four Some (8) J: Jasmine Fawcett
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
27%
#4 7
The Graduate (7) J: Amber Riddell
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
8
Midnight Oak (3) J: Jack Taplin
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
24%
9
Sophisticated Act (6) J: Brett Murray
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
10
Super (11) J: Hayley Hassman
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
11
Glamour Extreme (14) J: Rohan Mudhoo
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2%
12
Mysongisforyou (5) J: Abdul Najib
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
3%
13
Rhythm And Style (13) J: Billy Jacobson
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2%
14
Vienna Dream (4) J: Leah Hemi
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3%
15
Golden Upgrade (12) J: Triston Moodley
top jockey, inconsistent
14%

R5 • 1400m • Maiden;12:00

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $20000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Empress Suiko
Rohan Mudhoo
11 33% $$14.42 BEST
2 Bythesea
Jack Taplin
6 25% $$16.25 DANGER
3 Sorority
Triston Moodley
13 27% $$16.46
4 La Furriossa
Amber Riddell
5 27% $$16.51
  • Well beaten last start (7th, 9.3L) — needs significant improvement.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1400m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
12
▲▲
19
▲▲
8
9
17
2
7
6
20
5
13
4
1
3
18
11
16
14
10
15
2
Back
13
Midfield
3
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
10
The Peony Xpress
Barrier 9
LEADER
15
Bend The Truth
Barrier 17
LEADER
11
Thukela
Barrier 2
PRESSER
16
Noivern
Barrier 20
PRESSER
14
Givemeadance
Barrier 3
PRESSER
8
Empress Suiko
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
9
Sorority
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
17
La Furriossa
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
2
Rockman
Barrier 14
MIDFIELD
7
Dream Romance
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
6
Chataya
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
20
Gavel Kat
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
5
Gota Hunch
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
13
Unshackled
Barrier 16
MIDFIELD
4
Imperial Thinker
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
1
Fast Impact
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
3
Costanza
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
18
Mcqueen's Lass
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
12
Bythesea
Barrier 6
BACKMARKER
▲▲
19
Thee Auld Trick
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Fast Impact (12) J: Brandon May
suited to trip, quality stable
21%
2
Rockman (14) J: Daniel Bothamley
quality stable
23%
3
Costanza (7) J: Corey Campbell
top jockey, inconsistent
19%
4
Imperial Thinker (8) J: Yogesh Atchamah
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
22%
5
Gota Hunch (13) J: Bridget Grylls
top jockey, inconsistent
26%
6
Chataya (10) J: Brett Murray
in good form, top jockey
23%
7
Dream Romance (4) J: Sima Mxothwa
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#1 8
Empress Suiko (11) J: Rohan Mudhoo
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
33%
#3 9
Sorority (13) J: Triston Moodley
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
27%
10
The Peony Xpress (9) J: Billy Jacobson
top jockey
27%
11
Thukela (2) J: Kylie Williams
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
20%
#2 12
Bythesea (6) J: Jack Taplin
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
13
Unshackled (16) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
22%
14
Givemeadance (3) J: Abdul Najib
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
15
Bend The Truth (17) J: Krishna Mudhoo
inconsistent
12%
16
Noivern (20) J:
proven at distance
24%
#4 17
La Furriossa (5) J: Amber Riddell
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
27%
18
Mcqueen's Lass (15) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
17%
19
Thee Auld Trick (16) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
21%
20
Gavel Kat (1) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
22%

R6 • 1400m • Benchmark 75;12:00

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 75; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Go Lotte
Sima Mxothwa
9 39% $$9.43 BEST
2 Move On
Jack Taplin
16 30% $$14.14 DANGER
3 Canasta
Billy Jacobson
8 28% $$15.13
4 Atullibigeal
Daniel Bothamley
5 26% $$16.16
  • Placed 2nd of 8 last start (1.7L).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1400m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
EACH WAYTab 3 Go Lotte (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
🔥
SPEED MAP
1400m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
3
▲▲
5
▲▲
2
▲▲
10
▲▲
9
1
7
11
14
18
16
6
8
4
13
12
15
17
None
4
Back
7
Midfield
7
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
6
Megalomaniac
Barrier 13
PRESSER
8
Shawshank
Barrier 14
PRESSER
4
Where's Wally
Barrier 6
PRESSER
13
Deciphering Me
Barrier 10
PRESSER
12
Monte Civetta
Barrier 15
PRESSER
15
Captain Upham
Barrier 17
PRESSER
17
Hanalei Star
Barrier 12
PRESSER
9
Canasta
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
1
Quintabelle
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
7
Tralee Bay
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
11
Annia Aurelia
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
14
Vitebsk
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
18
Fablue
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
16
Sacred Rose
Barrier 16
MIDFIELD
3
Go Lotte
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
▲▲
5
Move On
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
▲▲
2
Atullibigeal
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
▲▲
10
Vino Valentino
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Quintabelle (4) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
26%
#4 2
Atullibigeal (5) J: Daniel Bothamley
proven at distance, class edge
26%
#1 3
Go Lotte (9) J: Sima Mxothwa
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
39%
4
Where's Wally (6) J: Kylie Williams
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
22%
#2 5
Move On (16) J: Jack Taplin
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
6
Megalomaniac (13) J: Amber Riddell
proven at distance, top jockey
24%
7
Tralee Bay (3) J: Yogesh Atchamah
proven at distance, top jockey
22%
8
Shawshank (14) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
proven at distance, top jockey
26%
#3 9
Canasta (8) J: Billy Jacobson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
10
Vino Valentino (1) J: Krishna Mudhoo
proven at distance, quality stable
22%
11
Annia Aurelia (11) J: Leah Hemi
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
12
Monte Civetta (15) J: Bridget Grylls
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
13
Deciphering Me (10) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
14
Vitebsk (2) J: Abdul Najib
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
21%
15
Captain Upham (17) J:
quality stable
20%
16
Sacred Rose (16) J:
proven at distance
16%
17
Hanalei Star (12) J:
proven at distance, inconsistent
17%
18
Fablue (7) J:
proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
19%

R7 • 1200m • Benchmark 65;12:00

PASS
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Sympathique
Abdul Najib
18 31% $$15.86 BEST
2 Magnastar
Ashlee Strawbridge
2 28% $$16.20 DANGER
3 So Brassy
Billy Jacobson
8 23% $$17.35
4 Knockingatthedoor
Sima Mxothwa
7 27% $$17.37
  • Finished 6th last start, 2.1L off the winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
6
▲▲
2
▲▲
7
▲▲
1
▲▲
19
▲▲
15
▲▲
16
▲▲
18
▲▲
3
11
4
5
8
12
9
20
13
17
14
10
8
Back
5
Midfield
5
Pressers
2
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
14
Tears Of Victory
Barrier 12
LEADER
10
Maria Pilar
Barrier 15
LEADER
12
So Brassy
Barrier 8
PRESSER
9
Lethal Roc
Barrier 14
PRESSER
20
Sailor Girl
Barrier 15
PRESSER
13
Explosive Lass
Barrier 5
PRESSER
17
The Fed Express
Barrier 16
PRESSER
3
Magnastar
Barrier 2
MIDFIELD
11
Solar Saint
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
4
Explode
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
5
Ready Response
Barrier 17
MIDFIELD
8
Celestial Flame
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
6
Sympathique
Barrier 18
BACKMARKER
▲▲
2
Knockingatthedoor
Barrier 7
BACKMARKER
▲▲
7
Litteral
Barrier 11
BACKMARKER
▲▲
1
De Russian Rocket
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
▲▲
19
I'm Feeling Lucky
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲
15
Movie Girl
Barrier 13
BACKMARKER
▲▲
16
Overstate
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
▲▲
18
Murch
Barrier 9
BACKMARKER
▲▲
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
De Russian Rocket (4) J: Jack Taplin
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
#4 2
Knockingatthedoor (7) J: Sima Mxothwa
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#2 3
Magnastar (2) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
28%
4
Explode (3) J: Brandon May
proven at distance, quality stable
24%
5
Ready Response (17) J: Daniel Bothamley
proven at distance, quality stable
16%
#1 6
Sympathique (18) J: Abdul Najib
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
31%
7
Litteral (11) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
8
Celestial Flame (1) J: Amber Riddell
in good form, top jockey
20%
9
Lethal Roc (14) J: Triston Moodley
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
23%
10
Maria Pilar (15) J: Leah Hemi
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
11
Solar Saint (6) J: Rohan Mudhoo
track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey
29%
#3 12
So Brassy (8) J: Billy Jacobson
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
23%
13
Explosive Lass (5) J: Yogesh Atchamah
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
21%
14
Tears Of Victory (12) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
21%
15
Movie Girl (13) J:
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
22%
16
Overstate (10) J:
proven at distance
23%
17
The Fed Express (16) J:
proven at distance
20%
18
Murch (9) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
19%
19
I'm Feeling Lucky (13) J:
quality stable
24%
20
Sailor Girl (15) J:
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
26%

R8 • 1200m • Open;12:00

PASS
Open; • Prize: $40000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Penvose Lad
Corey Campbell
1 28% $$7.78 BEST
2 Candle
Sima Mxothwa
10 31% $$7.80 DANGER
3 Express Coup
Abdul Najib
9 28% $$8.92
4 Tomasina
Amber Riddell
3 25% $$9.80
  • Missed last but has won 1 of past 5 (incl. Wingatui).
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1200m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🔥
SPEED MAP
1200m
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
None
5
4
1
8
2
3
6
7
9
10
0
Back
4
Midfield
3
Pressers
3
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
7
Graeme John
Barrier 5
LEADER
9
Mr Fortrus
Barrier 2
LEADER
10
Miss Harley Quinn
Barrier 4
LEADER
2
Tomasina
Barrier 3
PRESSER
3
Sir Sterling
Barrier 6
PRESSER
6
Undisputed
Barrier 7
PRESSER
5
Penvose Lad
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
4
Candle
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
1
Express Coup
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
8
Victorian Charm
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Express Coup (9) J: Abdul Najib
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
28%
#4 2
Tomasina (3) J: Amber Riddell
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
25%
3
Sir Sterling (6) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
24%
#2 4
Candle (10) J: Sima Mxothwa
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
#1 5
Penvose Lad (1) J: Corey Campbell
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
6
Undisputed (7) J: Billy Jacobson
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
7
Graeme John (5) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
8
Victorian Charm (8) J: Bridget Grylls
proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9
Mr Fortrus (2) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
19%
10
Miss Harley Quinn (4) J: Jack Taplin
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
18%

R9 • 1600m • Open;12:00

PASS
Open; • Prize: $40000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Royal Valour
Bridget Grylls
5 31% $$8.22 BEST
2 Lord Darci
Yogesh Atchamah
1 26% $$10.00 DANGER
3 Lombardi
Leah Hemi
9 24% $$10.57
4 Flash Roca
Jasmine Fawcett
10 25% $$11.44
  • Finished 4th last start, 4.2L off winner.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
⚖️
SPEED MAP
1600m
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
3
5
11
8
7
4
1
9
6
12
2
10
None
5
Back
5
Midfield
2
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
2
Lombardi
Barrier 9
PRESSER
10
Flash Roca
Barrier 10
PRESSER
4
Lord Darci
Barrier 1
MIDFIELD
1
Betty Spaghetti
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
9
Bella Luce
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
6
Prince Alby
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
12
Fablue
Barrier 8
MIDFIELD
3
Royal Valour
Barrier 5
BACKMARKER
5
The Hangover
Barrier 12
BACKMARKER
11
Queen Of Kings
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
8
He's Tunza Grunt
Barrier 4
BACKMARKER
7
Canheroc
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Betty Spaghetti (6) J: Jack Taplin
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3 2
Lombardi (9) J: Leah Hemi
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
24%
#1 3
Royal Valour (5) J: Bridget Grylls
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
31%
#2 4
Lord Darci (1) J: Yogesh Atchamah
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
26%
5
The Hangover (12) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
24%
6
Prince Alby (11) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
20%
7
Canheroc (2) J: Amber Riddell
suited to trip, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
17%
8
He's Tunza Grunt (4) J: Brandon May
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, quality stable
21%
9
Bella Luce (7) J: Triston Moodley
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#4 10
Flash Roca (10) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
11
Queen Of Kings (3) J: Brett Murray
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
12
Fablue (8) J: Rohan Mudhoo
proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
19%

R10 • 1600m • Benchmark 65;12:00

PASS
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $35000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Divine Spirit
Ashlee Strawbridge
7 31% $$15.60 BEST
2 Speed Dial
Sima Mxothwa
15 29% $$16.18 DANGER
3 Crackbones
Rohan Mudhoo
10 24% $$17.72
4 Flying Celebration
6 26% $$17.99
  • Well beaten last start (9th, 10.8L) — needs significant improvement.
  • Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
  • Has tried 1600m without placing — distance may not suit.
  • Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
No edge detected — race passed.
🐢
SPEED MAP
1600m
SLOW PACE
No pressure - leader advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
4
17
11
14
16
12
10
3
20
2
8
13
1
7
6
19
5
15
9
18
None
None
5
Back
15
Midfield
0
Pressers
0
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
12
Divine Spirit
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
10
Speed Dial
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
3
Crackbones
Barrier 10
MIDFIELD
20
Flying Celebration
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
2
Call Me Al
Barrier 9
MIDFIELD
8
Ruffhouse Rosie
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
13
Moor
Barrier 13
MIDFIELD
1
Ferdie's Secret
Barrier 5
MIDFIELD
7
Iffin Doubt Dance
Barrier 12
MIDFIELD
6
Woodlands
Barrier 17
MIDFIELD
19
Zadane
Barrier 3
MIDFIELD
5
Taihoro
Barrier 15
MIDFIELD
15
Shamel Express
Barrier 6
MIDFIELD
9
Out Of The Picture
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
18
Winter Blaze
Barrier 11
MIDFIELD
4
Proclamation
Barrier 16
BACKMARKER
17
David Moss
Barrier 2
BACKMARKER
11
Corcaigh
Barrier 1
BACKMARKER
14
Mininjagirl
Barrier 8
BACKMARKER
16
I Hope I Never
Barrier 14
BACKMARKER
▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

1
Ferdie's Secret (5) J: Jack Taplin
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
2
Call Me Al (9) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, top jockey
27%
#3 3
Crackbones (10) J: Rohan Mudhoo
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
4
Proclamation (16) J: Daniel Bothamley
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
25%
5
Taihoro (15) J: Triston Moodley
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
6
Woodlands (17) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
22%
7
Iffin Doubt Dance (12) J: Abdul Najib
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
8
Ruffhouse Rosie (4) J: Kylie Williams
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
9
Out Of The Picture (11) J: Krishna Mudhoo
proven at distance, quality stable
21%
#2 10
Speed Dial (15) J: Sima Mxothwa
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
29%
11
Corcaigh (1) J: Amber Riddell
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
#1 12
Divine Spirit (7) J: Ashlee Strawbridge
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
31%
13
Moor (13) J: Corey Campbell
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
24%
14
Mininjagirl (8) J: Bridget Grylls
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
15
Shamel Express (6) J: Brett Murray
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
21%
16
I Hope I Never (14) J:
track specialist, quality stable
20%
17
David Moss (2) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
22%
18
Winter Blaze (11) J:
quality stable
19%
19
Zadane (3) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
25%
#4 20
Flying Celebration (6) J:
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
26%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R6: Tab 3 Go Lotte (Barrier 9)
Model: $9.43
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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