New Plymouth Raceway

2026-07-18

Good Rail: True

Updated: 10:08 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Palmarow

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — New Plymouth Raceway

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

C Dell: 3W from 8 (37.5% win, 62.5% place)
Toni Davies: 2W from 6 (33.3% win, 50.0% place)
Elle Sole: 2W from 7 (28.6% win, 42.9% place)
T C Moodley: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 100.0% place)
L T Hemi: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 40.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1800m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $40000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Misissipi Gambler Sam McNab	8	27%	$$7.56	BEST
2	Kay's Ruebe Toni Davies	7	28%	$$7.87	DANGER
3	No More Pennies Chris Dell	1	25%	$$8.48
4	Timemakesthewine Kavish Chowdhoory	5	24%	$$8.73

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Hi Yo Fox Rox (4) J: Hayley Hassman

flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

18%

#3 2

No More Pennies (1) J: Chris Dell

solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

25%

Our Darcy (3) J: Sarah Macnab

in good form, top jockey

21%

4Artful Dodger (9)SCR

#1 5

Misissipi Gambler (8) J: Sam McNab

track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

27%

Diva Kingdom (9) J: Courtney Barnes

in good form, top jockey, quality stable

20%

7Romanin (10)SCR

#2 8

Kay's Ruebe (7) J: Toni Davies

solid track record, in good form, top jockey

28%

#4 9

Timemakesthewine (5) J: Kavish Chowdhoory

solid track record, in good form, quality stable

24%

Flor De Cana (2) J: Hyeontaek Oh

form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent

19%

Local Mischief (6) J: Elen Nicholas

form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

19%

R2 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Lacey Luck Floor Moerman	2	30%	$$5.28	BEST
2	Bokushi Craig Grylls	8	25%	$$5.64	DANGER
3	Chill Factor Lynsey Satherley	5	20%	$$6.48
4	Blondmoon Lisa Allpress	6	21%	$$7.23

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Bokushi (8) J: Craig Grylls

track specialist, flying form, top jockey

25%

#3 2

Chill Factor (5) J: Lynsey Satherley

in good form, top jockey, quality stable

20%

Redneck Romeo (7) J: Jonathan Riddell

form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

13%

Sicarius (4) J: Elen Nicholas

form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent

19%

5Unique Valor (3)SCR

#1 6

Lacey Luck (2) J: Floor Moerman

in good form, top jockey

30%

#4 7

Blondmoon (6) J: Lisa Allpress

in good form, top jockey, quality stable

21%

Rosina Veloce (1) J: Joe Doyle

in good form, inconsistent

20%

R3 • 1200m • Benchmark 75;

PASS

Benchmark 75; • Prize: $50000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Bella Timing Floor Moerman	7	29%	$$3.39	BEST
2	Ribkraka Liam Kauri	2	28%	$$3.42	DANGER
3	Brigit Toni Davies	5	20%	$$4.65
4	Cremant Amber Riddell	4	22%	$$5.06

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Ribkraka (2) J: Liam Kauri

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level

28%

2Beauesk (3)SCR

#1 3

Bella Timing (7) J: Floor Moerman

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

29%

#4 4

Cremant (4) J: Amber Riddell

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

22%

5Im Bartholomew (6)SCR

6Tulsa King (1)SCR

7Stewart (7)SCR

#3 8

Brigit (5) J: Toni Davies

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

20%

R4 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $40000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Came True Jim Chung	3	28%	$$8.25	BEST
2	Meisai Ashlee Strawbridge	2	23%	$$8.98	DANGER
3	Drommy Sam McNab	7	25%	$$9.08
4	Go Trigger Jonathan Riddell	10	24%	$$9.73

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Drommy (7) J: Sam McNab

proven at distance, flying form

25%

#4 2

Go Trigger (10) J: Jonathan Riddell

proven at distance, in good form

24%

#1 3

Came True (3) J: Jim Chung

proven at distance, flying form

28%

Tor Ment Tor (9) J: Liam Kauri

proven at distance

24%

Performer (4) J: Craig Grylls

flying form, inconsistent

14%

Flagship (1) J: Amber Riddell

inconsistent

25%

7Unique Valor (7)SCR

#2 8

Meisai (2) J: Ashlee Strawbridge

proven at distance, flying form, inconsistent

23%

Kit Zakat (8) J: Kavish Chowdhoory

place chance

25%

Mrs Flintstone (6) J: Elen Nicholas

looking for others

16%

Herding Cats (11) J: Hayley Hassman

in good form, inconsistent

18%

Azizam (5) J: Chris Dell

inconsistent

20%

R5 • 1600m • Benchmark 65;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 65; • Prize: $50000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Palmarow Leah Hemi	11	33%	$$10.19	BEST
2	Horonuku Hyeontaek Oh	5	29%	$$11.99	DANGER
3	Indian Gold Ashlee Strawbridge	8	27%	$$12.66
4	Dubai's Potiki Liam Kauri	7	27%	$$12.66

WINTab 10 Palmarow0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Dubai's Potiki (7) J: Liam Kauri

proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey

27%

#2 2

Horonuku (5) J: Hyeontaek Oh

solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

29%

Illustrious (12) J: Floor Moerman

flying form, top jockey

18%

#3 4

Indian Gold (8) J: Ashlee Strawbridge

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

27%

Don's Legacy (2) J: Hayley Hassman

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

25%

Can Do (3) J: Jonathan Riddell

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

25%

Malachy (1) J: Sam McNab

track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable

25%

On Shaw (14) J: Joe Doyle

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

18%

Belles Fate (9) J: Craig Grylls

solid track record, top jockey

22%

#1 10

Palmarow (11) J: Leah Hemi

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

33%

Black Betty (6) J: Toni Davies

proven at distance, top jockey

23%

Bellezor (10) J: Amber Riddell

track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable

20%

Marriage Vows (13) J: Kelly Myers

track specialist, top jockey, quality stable

20%

Summer Breeze (4) J: Kavish Chowdhoory

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

24%

15Crafty Colin (3)SCR

16Rosesrred (16)SCR

17Highly Anticipated (9)SCR

R6 • 1600m • Benchmark 75;

PASS

Benchmark 75; • Prize: $50000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Loch Katrine Floor Moerman	8	30%	$$9.93	BEST
2	Wire Rope Toni Davies	4	25%	$$10.34	DANGER
3	Liquid Les Elen Nicholas	12	25%	$$10.47
4	Jungle Love Masahiro Hashizume	7	24%	$$10.85

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Liquid Les (12) J: Elen Nicholas

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

25%

Principled (6) J: Craig Grylls

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

26%

#2 3

Wire Rope (4) J: Toni Davies

track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

25%

4Skattebo (14)SCR

Zanzibar (2) J: Jonathan Riddell

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

28%

#4 6

Jungle Love (7) J: Masahiro Hashizume

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

24%

Scarlet Temple (5) J: Ashlee Strawbridge

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

22%

Jack In The Box (10) J: Hyeontaek Oh

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

22%

#1 9

Loch Katrine (8) J: Floor Moerman

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

30%

Afterglo (9) J: George Rooke

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

21%

Charm Zafarm (1) J: Leah Hemi

track specialist, top jockey, quality stable

22%

My Alibi (11) J: Kavish Chowdhoory

proven at distance, quality stable

20%

13Fulla Grace (9)SCR

Ballroom Blitz (3) J: Jim Chung

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey

20%

R7 • 1400m • Open;

PASS

Open; • Prize: $120000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Spencer Lisa Allpress	6	29%	$$10.04	BEST
2	Joshua Brown Lynsey Satherley	12	26%	$$11.22	DANGER
3	Tavis Court Jim Chung	5	27%	$$11.24
4	Bonnard Amber Riddell	4	21%	$$13.44

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Spencer (6) J: Lisa Allpress

track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

29%

Belardo Boy (3) J: Jonathan Riddell

proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

23%

Mr Mojo Risin' (14) J: Kelly Myers

proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey

26%

Turn The Ace (7) J: Liam Kauri

proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey

24%

#2 5

Joshua Brown (12) J: Lynsey Satherley

track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

26%

#3 6

Tavis Court (5) J: Jim Chung

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

27%

Chajaba (13) J: Chris Dell

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

23%

Prioress (11) J: Masahiro Hashizume

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

24%

#4 9

Bonnard (4) J: Amber Riddell

proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable

21%

Gospodin (10) J: Hayley Hassman

proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey

21%

Kaimai Queen (2) J: Elen Nicholas

proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey

25%

Thooza (9) J: George Rooke

track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey

26%

Benefactor (1) J: Kavish Chowdhoory

solid track record, suited to trip, proven at level, inconsistent

18%

Platinum Diamond (8) J: Joe Doyle

suited to trip, proven at level

19%

15Electric Time (9)SCR

16Tolstoy (4)SCR

17Rocking (14)SCR

18Beauesk (16)SCR

19Im Bartholomew (3)SCR

20Tulsa King (2)SCR

R8 • 1800m • Open;

Low Value Bet

Open; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Ayteem Chris Dell	3	32%	$$6.77	BEST
2	Rosetown Princess Ashlee Strawbridge	10	26%	$$6.92	DANGER
3	Wheelitin Jim Chung	9	29%	$$7.36
4	Tobias Floor Moerman	5	26%	$$8.71

WINTab 10 Ayteem0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

1Dusty Road (3)SCR

2Urenui (10)SCR

3What A Charma (8)SCR

#4 4

Tobias (5) J: Floor Moerman

track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable

26%

Astoria Brooke (4) J: Craig Grylls

in good form, class edge, top jockey

21%

#2 6

Rosetown Princess (10) J: Ashlee Strawbridge

track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

26%

#3 7

Wheelitin (9) J: Jim Chung

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

29%

Identikit (7) J: Leah Hemi

proven at level, top jockey

19%

Pick Of The Litter (1) J: Masahiro Hashizume

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

26%

#1 10

Ayteem (3) J: Chris Dell

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

32%

Deadly Pony (6) J: Kelly Myers

top jockey

15%

12Fulla Grace (2)SCR

Hidalgo (8) J: Amber Riddell

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

17%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

No confident bets for this meeting

Total Stake: 0.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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