Muswellbrook
2026-10-19
Soft
Updated: 16:56 AEST
7
Races Analysed
0
Bets Found
Crime Of Passion
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Yesterday's Performance
0.0%
Strike Rate
-100.0%
ROI
0/3
Winners
$-4.00
Net Profit
Based on 3 races | Staked: $4.00
Track Insights — Muswellbrook
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Top Jockeys Here:
- Mitchell Bell: 1W from 7 (14.3% win, 57.1% place)
- A Farragher: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
- Gabrielle Johnston: 0W from 4 (0.0% win, 75.0% place)
- Jean Van Overmeire: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
- Clayton Gallagher: 0W from 4 (0.0% win, 25.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1500m
PASS
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imelda Aaron Bullock |
1 | 37% | $$4.04 | BEST |
| 2 | Irish Accolade Anna Weatherlake |
2 | 24% | $$7.38 | DANGER |
| 3 | Crispy Leaves Lee Magorrian |
6 | 21% | $$8.63 | |
| 4 | Mission Strike Jack Baker |
4 | 20% | $$8.69 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
14%
Eldiron (8) J: Adam Farragher
quality stable, inconsistent
#4
2
20%
Mission Strike (4) J: Jack Baker
quality stable, inconsistent
#1
3
37%
Imelda (1) J: Aaron Bullock
track specialist, flying form, quality stable
#3
4
21%
Crispy Leaves (6) J: Lee Magorrian
quality stable
6
21%
Sheer Shame (7) J: Jess Taylor
quality stable, inconsistent
7
18%
Cool Art (3) J: Olivia Dalton
quality stable, inconsistent
#2
8
24%
Irish Accolade (2) J: Anna Weatherlake
place chance
9
15%
Madame Rebel (5) J: Andrew Gibbons
in good form
R2 • 900m
PASS
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Motive Mitchell Bell |
6 | 30% | $$3.77 | BEST |
| 2 | Simply Sonnet Andrew Gibbons |
4 | 21% | $$5.87 | DANGER |
| 3 | Suns Out Girls Out Serg Lisnyy |
1 | 20% | $$6.13 | |
| 4 | All Too Mysterious Daniel A Northey |
3 | 18% | $$6.44 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
2
18%
All Too Mysterious (3) J: Daniel A Northey
quality stable, inconsistent
#1
3
30%
Pure Motive (6) J: Mitchell Bell
flying form
4
12%
Starfire Rocket (2) J: Gabrielle Johnston
quality stable, inconsistent
6
24%
Hot Chestnut (7) J: Izzy Neale
quality stable, inconsistent
7Morpeth (5)SCR
#2
9
21%
Simply Sonnet (4) J: Andrew Gibbons
place chance
#3
10
20%
Suns Out Girls Out (1) J: Serg Lisnyy
flying form, quality stable
R3 • 1450m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crime Of Passion Ashley Morgan |
1 | 32% | $$6.11 | BEST |
| 2 | Sutton Storm Grant Buckley |
6 | 26% | $$7.77 | DANGER |
| 3 | Interro Heavelon Van Der Hoven |
4 | 20% | $$8.48 | |
| 4 | Purple Prince Reece Jones |
3 | 22% | $$8.90 |
WINTab 3 Crime Of Passion0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
26%
Sutton Storm (6) J: Grant Buckley
flying form
2
21%
Heta (9) J: Braith Nock
place chance
#1
3
32%
Crime Of Passion (1) J: Ashley Morgan
in good form, proven at level
#3
4
20%
Interro (4) J: Heavelon Van Der Hoven
in good form, quality stable
5
20%
Ole Miss (7) J: Olivia Dalton
quality stable
6
19%
Ghayoor (2) J: Kacie Adams
quality stable
7
20%
Pepperina (5) J: Mitchell Bell
track specialist
8
20%
Rosie I Am (8) J: Liberty Smyth
looking for others
#4
9
22%
Purple Prince (3) J: Reece Jones
proven at distance, in good form
R4 • 1280m
PASS
Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Del Sol Aaron Bullock |
8 | 29% | $$6.51 | BEST |
| 2 | Divine Blessing Adam Farragher |
1 | 22% | $$8.88 | DANGER |
| 3 | Arandas Mikayla Weir |
9 | 22% | $$9.09 | |
| 4 | Post Mark Izzy Neale |
2 | 20% | $$9.59 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
29%
Costa Del Sol (8) J: Aaron Bullock
flying form, quality stable
2
20%
Dekka's Latest (5) J: Zac Wadick
quality stable, inconsistent
3
21%
I'm Flexible (7) J: Mitchell Bell
inconsistent
4
21%
Scattering (3) J: Paige Fergusson-Smith
proven at distance, quality stable
5
16%
Take It On (4) J: Daniel A Northey
in good form, inconsistent
11
14%
Moongleam (6) J: Braith Nock
in good form, quality stable
#4
13
20%
Post Mark (2) J: Izzy Neale
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
14
22%
Divine Blessing (1) J: Adam Farragher
in good form, quality stable
#3
15
22%
Arandas (9) J: Mikayla Weir
in good form
16
21%
Bosca Bullet (10) J: Jenny Duggan
place chance
R5 • 1500m
PASS
Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wandjad Andrew Gibbons |
5 | 31% | $$7.20 | BEST |
| 2 | Rebel's Edge Liberty Smyth |
8 | 23% | $$9.48 | DANGER |
| 3 | Disco Prince Jordie Thompson |
1 | 24% | $$9.62 | |
| 4 | Pappiana Billy Cray |
3 | 19% | $$9.98 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
25%
Ring Ahoy (9) J: Zac Wadick
in good form, quality stable
#3
2
24%
Disco Prince (1) J: Jordie Thompson
in good form, quality stable
#1
3
31%
Wandjad (5) J: Andrew Gibbons
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#2
4
23%
Rebel's Edge (8) J: Liberty Smyth
track specialist, proven at distance, inconsistent
5
24%
Hinto (4) J: Mikayla Weir
solid track record, in good form, quality stable
6
24%
Nugget Smart (10) J: Gabrielle Johnston
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
7
20%
Akauwheo (2) J: Molly Bourke
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
8
19%
Pappiana (3) J: Billy Cray
solid track record, proven at distance
9
20%
Supreme Statement (6) J: Heavelon Van Der Hoven
solid track record, quality stable, inconsistent
10
25%
Smart Jazz (7) J: Braith Nock
track specialist, proven at distance, inconsistent
R6 • 1000m
PASS
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Dane Liberty Smyth |
7 | 30% | $$9.71 | BEST |
| 2 | Love You Anyway Mikayla Weir |
4 | 31% | $$10.03 | DANGER |
| 3 | City Gold Speed Adam Farragher |
13 | 28% | $$11.27 | |
| 4 | Harvey's Turn Aaron Bullock |
8 | 23% | $$11.37 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
23%
Manage The Cycle (9) J: Olivia Dalton
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, inconsistent
#4
2
23%
Harvey's Turn (8) J: Aaron Bullock
proven at distance, in good form
3
27%
Solar Blast (5) J: Jenny Duggan
proven at distance, class edge
4
26%
The Dux Nuts (10) J: Zac Wadick
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
20%
Executive Decision (11) J: Jack Baker
track specialist, quality stable, inconsistent
#1
7
30%
Blue Dane (7) J: Liberty Smyth
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#3
8
28%
City Gold Speed (13) J: Adam Farragher
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
9
27%
Kermitisapet (2) J: Reece Jones
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
10
31%
Love You Anyway (4) J: Mikayla Weir
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
11
20%
Our Emily (1) J: Anna Weatherlake
proven at distance
12
20%
What A Scandal (6) J: Gabrielle Johnston
proven at distance, flying form
15
18%
Sir Freddie (12) J: Braith Nock
proven at distance, inconsistent
16
18%
Killimicat (3) J: Grant Buckley
looking for others
R7 • 1280m
PASS
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ode So Much Daniel A Northey |
10 | 29% | $$8.36 | BEST |
| 2 | Jason Darren Liberty Smyth |
4 | 29% | $$8.52 | DANGER |
| 3 | Currumbin Alley Mikayla Weir |
1 | 28% | $$10.12 | |
| 4 | Flamboyant Lad Anna Weatherlake |
9 | 26% | $$10.27 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
26%
Flamboyant Lad (9) J: Anna Weatherlake
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
20%
Etoile Filante (11) J: Aaron Bullock
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#3
4
28%
Currumbin Alley (1) J: Mikayla Weir
suited to trip, in good form
#2
5
29%
Jason Darren (4) J: Liberty Smyth
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form
7
22%
In Spades (5) J: Adam Farragher
track specialist
#1
8
29%
Ode So Much (10) J: Daniel A Northey
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
9
22%
Amarone (7) J: Madeline Owen
solid track record, in good form
11
24%
Cassiere (3) J: Mitchell Bell
track specialist, in good form
12
17%
Clifton Springs (8) J: Jenny Duggan
inconsistent
13
27%
Myalaby (6) J: Reece Jones
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
14
22%
Fire 'n' Stone (2) J: Braith Nock
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 19/10/2026, 4:56:01 pm