Mt Isa
2026-10-20
Good
Updated: 15:19 AEST
Track Insights — Mt Isa
Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.
Jockey Notes: Leading local riders with recent track wins dominate through superior course knowledge. Jockeys riding multiple winners at the venue in the past month carry momentum and understanding of current biases.
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $17000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Flying Giselle Amie Meissner |
5 |
29% |
$$3.45 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Kelai Kava Aidan Holt |
2 |
24% |
$$5.56 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Foxy Artist Robert Faehr |
6 |
26% |
$$1.98 |
|
| 4 |
Oracle Of Omaha Mitch Goring |
7 |
23% |
$$9.56 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
LONE SPEED
Single leader - soft pace likely
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
3
Oracle Of Omaha
Barrier 7
MIDFIELD
—
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
Foxy Artist (6) J: Robert Faehr
proven at distance
26%
2
Macho Grande (3) J: Jason Miller
proven at distance
21%
#4
3
Oracle Of Omaha (7) J: Mitch Goring
place chance
23%
4
Euphoric Miss (1) J: Hayley Saunders
place chance
22%
#1
5
Flying Giselle (5) J: Amie Meissner
proven at distance, in good form
29%
6
Highwire Flyer (4) J: Caine Stuart
suited to trip, inconsistent
17%
#2
7
Kelai Kava (2) J: Aidan Holt
proven at distance, flying form, inconsistent
24%
R2 • 1200m • Class 1;
Low
Value Bet
Class 1; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Lilii Borea Amie Meissner |
5 |
35% |
$$4.67 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Makeminemilo Mitch Goring |
4 |
28% |
$$6.18 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Cliodhna Maeve Caine Stuart |
2 |
28% |
$$6.19 |
|
| 4 |
Cryptology |
6 |
24% |
$$7.71 |
|
WINTab 7 Lilii Borea1 units
LONE SPEED
Single leader - soft pace likely
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
4
Outcast Soldier
Barrier 1
PRESSER
▲
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
1
Babe Roth (6) J: Aidan Holt
proven at distance
14%
#4
2
Cryptology (6) J:
proven at distance
24%
#2
3
Makeminemilo (4) J: Mitch Goring
suited to trip
28%
4
Outcast Soldier (1) J: Robert Faehr
suited to trip
20%
5
Up To Us (3) J: Hayley Saunders
proven at distance
24%
#3
6
Cliodhna Maeve (2) J: Caine Stuart
track specialist, proven at distance
28%
#1
7
Lilii Borea (5) J: Amie Meissner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
35%
R3 • 1450m • Benchmark 65;
Med
Value Bet
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Zephirine Mitch Goring |
5 |
40% |
$$3.94 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Dark Harmony Hayley Saunders |
6 |
38% |
$$4.06 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Regal Judgement Amie Meissner |
3 |
31% |
$$5.38 |
|
| 4 |
The Wellian Robert Faehr |
7 |
18% |
$$8.82 |
|
WINTab 1 Zephirine1.5 units
LONE SPEED
Single leader - soft pace likely
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
3
Regal Judgement
Barrier 3
BACKMARKER
▼
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
Zephirine (5) J: Mitch Goring
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form
40%
#2
2
Dark Harmony (6) J: Hayley Saunders
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
38%
#3
3
Regal Judgement (3) J: Amie Meissner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
31%
4
Nassau County (2) J:
inconsistent
17%
5
Puligny (1) J: Caine Stuart
proven at distance
14%
#4
6
The Wellian (7) J: Robert Faehr
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
18%
7
Cryptology (4) J:
looking for others
16%
R4 • 1200m • Open;
Low
Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Revolt Mitch Goring |
6 |
38% |
$$4.26 |
BEST |
| 2 |
She Smashes Amie Meissner |
5 |
29% |
$$6.04 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Surfers Royale Hayley Saunders |
3 |
24% |
$$7.32 |
|
| 4 |
Napoleon Strike Jason Miller |
2 |
25% |
$$7.34 |
|
WINTab 2 Revolt1 units
LONE SPEED
Single leader - soft pace likely
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
3
Napoleon Strike
Barrier 2
PRESSER
▲
5
Last Ditch Effort
Barrier 4
MIDFIELD
—
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
1
Contemporary (3) J: Aidan Holt
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
23%
#1
2
Revolt (6) J: Mitch Goring
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
38%
#4
3
Napoleon Strike (2) J: Jason Miller
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
25%
#2
4
She Smashes (5) J: Amie Meissner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
29%
5
Last Ditch Effort (4) J: Caine Stuart
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
22%
6
Demitasse (1) J: Robert Faehr
proven at distance, in good form
21%
#3
7
Surfers Royale (3) J: Hayley Saunders
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
24%
R5 • 900m • Benchmark 50;
PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Polly Hoffa Hayley Saunders |
7 |
34% |
$$5.55 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Xingxing Mitch Goring |
3 |
27% |
$$6.89 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Leucaena Caine Stuart |
5 |
27% |
$$7.50 |
|
| 4 |
Madam Borodina Aidan Holt |
2 |
26% |
$$7.89 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
7
Outcast Soldier
Barrier 6
PRESSER
—
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
Madam Borodina (2) J: Aidan Holt
in good form
26%
#2
2
Xingxing (3) J: Mitch Goring
in good form
27%
3
Egyptian Lass (6) J: Amie Meissner
looking for others
19%
#1
4
Polly Hoffa (7) J: Hayley Saunders
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
34%
#3
5
Leucaena (5) J: Caine Stuart
solid track record, proven at distance
27%
6
Wholelottalove (4) J:
suited to trip
22%
7
Outcast Soldier (6) J:
proven at distance
23%
8
It's A Power (1) J: Robert Faehr
suited to trip, in good form
24%
R6 • 1000m • Class 3;
Low
Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Whiskey River Hayley Saunders |
5 |
33% |
$$6.56 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Instigate Caine Stuart |
4 |
33% |
$$6.57 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Buz Fuz Robert Faehr |
7 |
30% |
$$7.31 |
|
| 4 |
Jimmyinthejungle Aidan Holt |
6 |
29% |
$$7.56 |
|
WINTab 6 Whiskey River0.5 units
HOT PACE
Multiple early speed - closers advantaged
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
1
Jimmyinthejungle
Barrier 6
LEADER
▼
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
Jimmyinthejungle (6) J: Aidan Holt
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
29%
2
The Hamo (8) J: Mitch Goring
suited to trip, in good form
17%
3
Red Code (9) J: Jason Miller
looking for others
18%
4
Champonnet (1) J:
looking for others
17%
5
Jamacri (3) J: Amie Meissner
in good form
20%
#1
6
Whiskey River (5) J: Hayley Saunders
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
33%
#2
7
Instigate (4) J: Caine Stuart
track specialist, suited to trip, in good form
33%
8
Perrieres (2) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
23%
#3
9
Buz Fuz (7) J: Robert Faehr
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
30%
R7 • 1200m • Benchmark 58;
Med
Value Bet
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $15000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Viking Valour Aidan Holt |
4 |
45% |
$$4.85 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Dance Wizzard Caine Stuart |
8 |
28% |
$$8.83 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Ricallen Amie Meissner |
1 |
28% |
$$8.98 |
|
| 4 |
Allezizzy Hayley Saunders |
5 |
28% |
$$9.14 |
|
WINTab 2 Viking Valour2 units
EVEN PACE
True run race - genuine test
START ←
→ FINISH 🏁
Back
Midfield
Pressers
Leaders
Running Style Breakdown
5
A Bar In Paris
Barrier 10
BACKMARKER
—
▲▲ Strong advantage
▲ Slight advantage
— Neutral
▼ Disadvantaged
Full Field Analysis
1
Hollerloud (9) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
23%
#1
2
Viking Valour (4) J: Aidan Holt
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form
45%
#2
3
Dance Wizzard (8) J: Caine Stuart
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
28%
4
Getty (3) J:
track specialist, proven at distance
22%
5
A Bar In Paris (10) J: Mitch Goring
in good form, quality stable
22%
6
Autumn Miss (7) J: Jason Miller
in good form
17%
#4
7
Allezizzy (5) J: Hayley Saunders
track specialist, proven at distance
28%
8
Tigon Princess (2) J:
proven at distance
19%
9
Sir Lunchalots (6) J: Robert Faehr
proven at distance
21%
#3
10
Ricallen (1) J: Amie Meissner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
28%
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
Tab 7 Lilii Borea (Barrier 5)
Model: $4.67
1 units
R3:
Tab 1 Zephirine (Barrier 5)
Model: $3.94
1.5 units
R4:
Tab 2 Revolt (Barrier 6)
Model: $4.26
1 units
R7:
Tab 2 Viking Valour (Barrier 4)
Model: $4.85
2 units
Total Stake: 5.5%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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