Morphettville Parks
2026-07-18
Heavy
Rail: True
Updated: 08:06 AEST
Track Insights — Morphettville Parks
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- J Holder: 4W from 12 (33.3% win, 58.3% place)
- Teagan Voorham: 3W from 6 (50.0% win, 66.7% place)
- Caitlin Tootell: 3W from 7 (42.9% win, 57.1% place)
- Kayla Crowther: 3W from 11 (27.3% win, 45.5% place)
- A Stead: 2W from 4 (50.0% win, 100.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 2250m • Benchmark 78;
PASS
Benchmark 78; • Prize: $65000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Raw Grunt Shuichi Terachi |
3 |
25% |
$$5.87 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Smiling Assassin Stacey Metcalfe |
2 |
24% |
$$6.19 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Eight On The Dot Caitlin Tootell |
4 |
28% |
$$6.27 |
|
| 4 |
Miracle Spin Shayleigh Ingelse |
7 |
25% |
$$6.74 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
Miracle Spin (7) J: Shayleigh Ingelse
in good form, class edge
25%
2
Placo (1) J: Teagan Voorham
solid track record, in good form
25%
3
Hot Too Go (6) J: Alysha Warren
solid track record, class edge
19%
4
Flash Alice (5) J: Harry Grace
in good form
16%
5Parvati Party (6)SCR
#3
6
Eight On The Dot (4) J: Caitlin Tootell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
28%
#2
7
Smiling Assassin (2) J: Stacey Metcalfe
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
24%
#1
8
Raw Grunt (3) J: Shuichi Terachi
form a concern, inconsistent
25%
R2 • 1000m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $50000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Street Legal Harry Grace |
1 |
32% |
$$4.81 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Mouse In The House Stacey Metcalfe |
5 |
34% |
$$4.89 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Stand Alone Brooke King |
2 |
22% |
$$7.38 |
|
| 4 |
Grand Millesime Kayla Crowther |
7 |
19% |
$$9.96 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Chappa (11)SCR
2
Loyalty Reigns (4) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13%
#2
3
Mouse In The House (5) J: Stacey Metcalfe
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
34%
4
Scooped (6) J: Taylor Johnstone
flying form, quality stable
15%
#1
5
Street Legal (1) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
6
This Is The Day (3) J: Connor Murtagh
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12%
7Torpedoes (9)SCR
8
Sensational Secret (8) J: Jackson Murphy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
9Far More Radiant (2)SCR
#4
10
Grand Millesime (7) J: Kayla Crowther
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#3
11
Stand Alone (2) J: Brooke King
flying form, top jockey
22%
R3 • 1250m • Benchmark 66;
PASS
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $55000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Power Dancer Andrew Stead |
7 |
31% |
$$5.29 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Oak Park Maddison Caitlyn Munro |
4 |
31% |
$$5.84 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Breakfast Jason Holder |
3 |
26% |
$$7.51 |
|
| 4 |
Tempt The Gods Shayleigh Ingelse |
5 |
22% |
$$7.57 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
Oak Park Maddison (4) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
31%
#4
2
Tempt The Gods (5) J: Shayleigh Ingelse
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
22%
3
Golden Horizon (8) J: Connor Murtagh
top jockey, quality stable
18%
#1
4
Power Dancer (7) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
5
Et Tu Kirkliston (1) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
6
Polunin (2) J: Harry Grace
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
15%
#3
7
Breakfast (3) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
26%
8
Miss Sghirripa (6) J: Lauren Stojakovic
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
9Kahlua Girl (2)SCR
10Maldivica (4)SCR
R4 • 1250m • Restricted 64;
Low
Value Bet
Restricted 64; • Prize: $50000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Cork Harbour Alysha Warren |
5 |
32% |
$$7.46 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Speedtail Caitlin Tootell |
7 |
30% |
$$8.27 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Tapinforpar S H Sit |
1 |
30% |
$$8.30 |
|
| 4 |
Percidian Dominic Tourneur |
4 |
23% |
$$9.87 |
|
EACH WAYTab 4 Cork Harbour (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
Big Sue (9) J: Kayla Crowther
top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3
2
Tapinforpar (1) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
3Attain (10)SCR
#1
4
Cork Harbour (5) J: Alysha Warren
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
32%
5Mansiere (2)SCR
#2
6
Speedtail (7) J: Caitlin Tootell
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
7
Grinzinger Halo (8) J: Rochelle Milnes
suited to trip, quality stable
22%
8
Trantoro (6) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9
Koratora (10) J: Ben Price
top jockey, quality stable
21%
#4
10
Percidian (4) J: Dominic Tourneur
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
23%
11
Testa Dexta (3) J: Shuichi Terachi
proven at distance
20%
12Just Like Lisa (3)SCR
13
New York Scandal (2) J: Fred W Kersley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
18%
R5 • 1250m • Benchmark 72;
PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $55000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Sir Leapalot Alysha Warren |
6 |
31% |
$$4.91 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Karacasu Caitlin Tootell |
4 |
30% |
$$5.02 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Tosen Water Teagan Voorham |
7 |
26% |
$$6.26 |
|
| 4 |
Metrical Jackson Murphy |
5 |
21% |
$$8.86 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
Karacasu (4) J: Caitlin Tootell
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
30%
2
The Stalker (1) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
#1
3
Sir Leapalot (6) J: Alysha Warren
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
4Thinxzo (10)SCR
5Bouncing Beyond (5)SCR
#4
6
Metrical (5) J: Jackson Murphy
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
21%
7Nicish (9)SCR
8
Wolfy (3) J: Joe Bowditch
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
19%
9Chipson (11)SCR
#3
10
Tosen Water (7) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
11
Cielao (2) J: Todd Pannell
track specialist, flying form, top jockey
18%
R6 • 1400m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Neveu Andrew Stead |
6 |
26% |
$$8.27 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Brevitas Harry Grace |
10 |
28% |
$$8.38 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Expensive Taste Fred W Kersley |
5 |
26% |
$$8.88 |
|
| 4 |
Tweeter Tala Hutchinson |
11 |
24% |
$$9.75 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
Neveu (6) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
2
Put To The Sword (9) J: Damien Thornton
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
3
Shivouac (8) J: Matthew Chadwick
flying form, quality stable
18%
4
Spain (1) J: Winona Costin
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
14%
5
Power Plan (4) J: Jason Holder
solid track record, in good form, top jockey
21%
6
Mountain Devil (3) J: Jackson Murphy
in good form, top jockey
20%
#2
7
Brevitas (10) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, proven at level
28%
#3
8
Expensive Taste (5) J: Fred W Kersley
proven at distance, flying form, proven at level, top jockey
26%
9
Burning Heartz (2) J: Joe Bowditch
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#4
10
Tweeter (11) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
11Tully Hart (8)SCR
12
And There You Go (7) J: Ben Price
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
15%
13Glitzy Golden Girl (7)SCR
14Ocean Gait (8)SCR
R7 • 1550m • Restricted 68;
PASS
Restricted 68; • Prize: $50000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Canny Defense Campbell Rawiller |
6 |
27% |
$$8.31 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Just A Brother Brooke King |
5 |
27% |
$$9.19 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Chilko Lake Shuichi Terachi |
10 |
27% |
$$9.61 |
|
| 4 |
Crown Mint Taylor Johnstone |
1 |
25% |
$$10.75 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
Just A Brother (5) J: Brooke King
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
27%
#1
2
Canny Defense (6) J: Campbell Rawiller
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
3
Showrunner (9) J: Ben Price
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
4
Calypso King (4) J: Fred W Kersley
top jockey
16%
5
Capulet (2) J: Dominic Tourneur
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
17%
6
Imposing Suspect (3) J: Connor Murtagh
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
20%
#4
7
Crown Mint (1) J: Taylor Johnstone
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
25%
8
Maxildo (8) J: Caitlin Tootell
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9Mr George (8)SCR
10
Stolen Kiss (11) J: Teagan Voorham
in good form, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
16%
11
Stratum Pride (12) J: Stacey Metcalfe
suited to trip, top jockey, inconsistent
24%
12
France's Boy (7) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
24%
#3
13
Chilko Lake (10) J: Shuichi Terachi
track specialist, form a concern, class edge, inconsistent
27%
R8 • 1400m • Class 2;
Low
Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $55000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Bold Secret Jason Holder |
10 |
34% |
$$7.48 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Took Gardner Tala Hutchinson |
5 |
24% |
$$10.08 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Full Commitment Dominic Tourneur |
6 |
24% |
$$10.19 |
|
| 4 |
Dreams Fulfilled Fred W Kersley |
4 |
28% |
$$10.57 |
|
WINTab 1 Bold Secret0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
Bold Secret (10) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
34%
2
Taxing (3) J: Rochelle Milnes
quality stable
15%
3Wind Rush (3)SCR
#2
4
Took Gardner (5) J: Tala Hutchinson
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
5
Gazelle (9) J: Alysha Warren
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
6
Regal Ripper (1) J: Harry Grace
top jockey
25%
7
Fast Tempo (8) J: Taylor Johnstone
quality stable
20%
8Prince Lucifer (6)SCR
#4
9
Dreams Fulfilled (4) J: Fred W Kersley
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
28%
10
Aramoso (2) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
#3
11
Full Commitment (6) J: Dominic Tourneur
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
12Otto's Dream (9)SCR
13
She Rex (12) J: Jackson Murphy
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
14
Caer Ibormeith (7) J: Teagan Voorham
top jockey
17%
15
Aixoise (11) J: Joe Bowditch
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
R9 • 1000m • Benchmark 76;
PASS
Benchmark 76; • Prize: $65000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Bristler S H Sit |
4 |
32% |
$$9.07 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Omaha Dawn Jason Holder |
9 |
29% |
$$9.43 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Halliwell Teagan Voorham |
5 |
28% |
$$9.83 |
|
| 4 |
Daisydoo Alysha Warren |
1 |
25% |
$$11.23 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
Omaha Dawn (9) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
29%
2
Shining Smile (11) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
20%
3Deepfloat Diva (13)SCR
4Super Alana (13)SCR
5
Vexatious Dancer (2) J: Connor Murtagh
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
23%
#1
6
Bristler (4) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
7
Zanthron (6) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3
8
Halliwell (5) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
9
Pure Bliss (3) J: Ben Price
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
24%
10
Vintage Star (10) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
11Invertational (10)SCR
#4
12
Daisydoo (1) J: Alysha Warren
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
13
Real Deluxe (12) J: Stacey Metcalfe
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey
21%
14
La Roux (8) J: Brooke King
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
22%
15Grand Host (12)SCR
16
Mesrour (7) J: Dominic Tourneur
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
17%
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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