Morphettville Parks

2026-07-18
Heavy Rail: True
Updated: 08:06 AEST
9
Races Analysed
0
Bets Found
Cork Harbour
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Morphettville Parks

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 2250m • Benchmark 78;

PASS
Benchmark 78; • Prize: $65000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Raw Grunt
Shuichi Terachi
3 25% $$5.87 BEST
2 Smiling Assassin
Stacey Metcalfe
2 24% $$6.19 DANGER
3 Eight On The Dot
Caitlin Tootell
4 28% $$6.27
4 Miracle Spin
Shayleigh Ingelse
7 25% $$6.74
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Miracle Spin (7) J: Shayleigh Ingelse
in good form, class edge
25%
2
Placo (1) J: Teagan Voorham
solid track record, in good form
25%
3
Hot Too Go (6) J: Alysha Warren
solid track record, class edge
19%
4
Flash Alice (5) J: Harry Grace
in good form
16%
5Parvati Party (6)SCR
#3 6
Eight On The Dot (4) J: Caitlin Tootell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
28%
#2 7
Smiling Assassin (2) J: Stacey Metcalfe
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
24%
#1 8
Raw Grunt (3) J: Shuichi Terachi
form a concern, inconsistent
25%

R2 • 1000m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $50000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Street Legal
Harry Grace
1 32% $$4.81 BEST
2 Mouse In The House
Stacey Metcalfe
5 34% $$4.89 DANGER
3 Stand Alone
Brooke King
2 22% $$7.38
4 Grand Millesime
Kayla Crowther
7 19% $$9.96
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Chappa (11)SCR
2
Loyalty Reigns (4) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13%
#2 3
Mouse In The House (5) J: Stacey Metcalfe
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable
34%
4
Scooped (6) J: Taylor Johnstone
flying form, quality stable
15%
#1 5
Street Legal (1) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
6
This Is The Day (3) J: Connor Murtagh
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12%
7Torpedoes (9)SCR
8
Sensational Secret (8) J: Jackson Murphy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
9Far More Radiant (2)SCR
#4 10
Grand Millesime (7) J: Kayla Crowther
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#3 11
Stand Alone (2) J: Brooke King
flying form, top jockey
22%

R3 • 1250m • Benchmark 66;

PASS
Benchmark 66; • Prize: $55000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Power Dancer
Andrew Stead
7 31% $$5.29 BEST
2 Oak Park Maddison
Caitlyn Munro
4 31% $$5.84 DANGER
3 Breakfast
Jason Holder
3 26% $$7.51
4 Tempt The Gods
Shayleigh Ingelse
5 22% $$7.57
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Oak Park Maddison (4) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
31%
#4 2
Tempt The Gods (5) J: Shayleigh Ingelse
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
22%
3
Golden Horizon (8) J: Connor Murtagh
top jockey, quality stable
18%
#1 4
Power Dancer (7) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
5
Et Tu Kirkliston (1) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
6
Polunin (2) J: Harry Grace
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
15%
#3 7
Breakfast (3) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
26%
8
Miss Sghirripa (6) J: Lauren Stojakovic
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
16%
9Kahlua Girl (2)SCR
10Maldivica (4)SCR

R4 • 1250m • Restricted 64;

Low Value Bet
Restricted 64; • Prize: $50000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Cork Harbour
Alysha Warren
5 32% $$7.46 BEST
2 Speedtail
Caitlin Tootell
7 30% $$8.27 DANGER
3 Tapinforpar
S H Sit
1 30% $$8.30
4 Percidian
Dominic Tourneur
4 23% $$9.87
EACH WAYTab 4 Cork Harbour (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

1
Big Sue (9) J: Kayla Crowther
top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3 2
Tapinforpar (1) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
3Attain (10)SCR
#1 4
Cork Harbour (5) J: Alysha Warren
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
32%
5Mansiere (2)SCR
#2 6
Speedtail (7) J: Caitlin Tootell
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
30%
7
Grinzinger Halo (8) J: Rochelle Milnes
suited to trip, quality stable
22%
8
Trantoro (6) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9
Koratora (10) J: Ben Price
top jockey, quality stable
21%
#4 10
Percidian (4) J: Dominic Tourneur
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
23%
11
Testa Dexta (3) J: Shuichi Terachi
proven at distance
20%
12Just Like Lisa (3)SCR
13
New York Scandal (2) J: Fred W Kersley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
18%

R5 • 1250m • Benchmark 72;

PASS
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $55000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Sir Leapalot
Alysha Warren
6 31% $$4.91 BEST
2 Karacasu
Caitlin Tootell
4 30% $$5.02 DANGER
3 Tosen Water
Teagan Voorham
7 26% $$6.26
4 Metrical
Jackson Murphy
5 21% $$8.86
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Karacasu (4) J: Caitlin Tootell
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
30%
2
The Stalker (1) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
#1 3
Sir Leapalot (6) J: Alysha Warren
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
4Thinxzo (10)SCR
5Bouncing Beyond (5)SCR
#4 6
Metrical (5) J: Jackson Murphy
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
21%
7Nicish (9)SCR
8
Wolfy (3) J: Joe Bowditch
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
19%
9Chipson (11)SCR
#3 10
Tosen Water (7) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
11
Cielao (2) J: Todd Pannell
track specialist, flying form, top jockey
18%

R6 • 1400m • Open;

PASS
Open; • Prize: $150000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Neveu
Andrew Stead
6 26% $$8.27 BEST
2 Brevitas
Harry Grace
10 28% $$8.38 DANGER
3 Expensive Taste
Fred W Kersley
5 26% $$8.88
4 Tweeter
Tala Hutchinson
11 24% $$9.75
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Neveu (6) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
2
Put To The Sword (9) J: Damien Thornton
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
3
Shivouac (8) J: Matthew Chadwick
flying form, quality stable
18%
4
Spain (1) J: Winona Costin
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
14%
5
Power Plan (4) J: Jason Holder
solid track record, in good form, top jockey
21%
6
Mountain Devil (3) J: Jackson Murphy
in good form, top jockey
20%
#2 7
Brevitas (10) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, proven at level
28%
#3 8
Expensive Taste (5) J: Fred W Kersley
proven at distance, flying form, proven at level, top jockey
26%
9
Burning Heartz (2) J: Joe Bowditch
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#4 10
Tweeter (11) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
11Tully Hart (8)SCR
12
And There You Go (7) J: Ben Price
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
15%
13Glitzy Golden Girl (7)SCR
14Ocean Gait (8)SCR

R7 • 1550m • Restricted 68;

PASS
Restricted 68; • Prize: $50000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Canny Defense
Campbell Rawiller
6 27% $$8.31 BEST
2 Just A Brother
Brooke King
5 27% $$9.19 DANGER
3 Chilko Lake
Shuichi Terachi
10 27% $$9.61
4 Crown Mint
Taylor Johnstone
1 25% $$10.75
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Just A Brother (5) J: Brooke King
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
27%
#1 2
Canny Defense (6) J: Campbell Rawiller
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
3
Showrunner (9) J: Ben Price
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
4
Calypso King (4) J: Fred W Kersley
top jockey
16%
5
Capulet (2) J: Dominic Tourneur
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
17%
6
Imposing Suspect (3) J: Connor Murtagh
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
20%
#4 7
Crown Mint (1) J: Taylor Johnstone
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
25%
8
Maxildo (8) J: Caitlin Tootell
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
9Mr George (8)SCR
10
Stolen Kiss (11) J: Teagan Voorham
in good form, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
16%
11
Stratum Pride (12) J: Stacey Metcalfe
suited to trip, top jockey, inconsistent
24%
12
France's Boy (7) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
24%
#3 13
Chilko Lake (10) J: Shuichi Terachi
track specialist, form a concern, class edge, inconsistent
27%

R8 • 1400m • Class 2;

Low Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $55000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Bold Secret
Jason Holder
10 34% $$7.48 BEST
2 Took Gardner
Tala Hutchinson
5 24% $$10.08 DANGER
3 Full Commitment
Dominic Tourneur
6 24% $$10.19
4 Dreams Fulfilled
Fred W Kersley
4 28% $$10.57
WINTab 1 Bold Secret0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Bold Secret (10) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
34%
2
Taxing (3) J: Rochelle Milnes
quality stable
15%
3Wind Rush (3)SCR
#2 4
Took Gardner (5) J: Tala Hutchinson
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
5
Gazelle (9) J: Alysha Warren
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
6
Regal Ripper (1) J: Harry Grace
top jockey
25%
7
Fast Tempo (8) J: Taylor Johnstone
quality stable
20%
8Prince Lucifer (6)SCR
#4 9
Dreams Fulfilled (4) J: Fred W Kersley
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
28%
10
Aramoso (2) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
#3 11
Full Commitment (6) J: Dominic Tourneur
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
12Otto's Dream (9)SCR
13
She Rex (12) J: Jackson Murphy
suited to trip, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
14
Caer Ibormeith (7) J: Teagan Voorham
top jockey
17%
15
Aixoise (11) J: Joe Bowditch
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
22%

R9 • 1000m • Benchmark 76;

PASS
Benchmark 76; • Prize: $65000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Bristler
S H Sit
4 32% $$9.07 BEST
2 Omaha Dawn
Jason Holder
9 29% $$9.43 DANGER
3 Halliwell
Teagan Voorham
5 28% $$9.83
4 Daisydoo
Alysha Warren
1 25% $$11.23
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Omaha Dawn (9) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
29%
2
Shining Smile (11) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
20%
3Deepfloat Diva (13)SCR
4Super Alana (13)SCR
5
Vexatious Dancer (2) J: Connor Murtagh
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
23%
#1 6
Bristler (4) J: S H Sit
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
32%
7
Zanthron (6) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
24%
#3 8
Halliwell (5) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
9
Pure Bliss (3) J: Ben Price
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
24%
10
Vintage Star (10) J: Caitlyn Munro
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
11Invertational (10)SCR
#4 12
Daisydoo (1) J: Alysha Warren
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
13
Real Deluxe (12) J: Stacey Metcalfe
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, top jockey
21%
14
La Roux (8) J: Brooke King
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
22%
15Grand Host (12)SCR
16
Mesrour (7) J: Dominic Tourneur
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
17%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

No confident bets for this meeting

Total Stake: 0.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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💹 PRICES UPDATED 08:13 am