Mackay

2026-09-03

Soft Rail: True

Updated: 23:47 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Me Time

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Mackay

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

S Cormack: 5W from 15 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
Tahlia Fenlon: 3W from 16 (18.8% win, 43.8% place)
Nikki Olzard: 2W from 8 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
Adam Sewell: 2W from 9 (22.2% win, 33.3% place)
C Mc Iver: 2W from 10 (20.0% win, 30.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1560m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $23000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Check One Two Raul Silvera Olivera	2	33%	$$6.66	BEST
2	Hot Luci Adam Sewell	9	28%	$$7.67	DANGER
3	Tiger Rocket Nikki Olzard	10	27%	$$8.42
4	Gotcha Moment Chris Mc Iver	5	21%	$$10.36

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Al's A Machine (8) J: Aidan Holt

inconsistent

18%

#4 2

Gotcha Moment (5) J: Chris Mc Iver

quality stable

21%

Shefflin (4) J: Tahlia Fenlon

form a concern, inconsistent

21%

Sneaky Peaky (1) J: Georgina Cartwright

looking for others

19%

#1 5

Check One Two (2) J: Raul Silvera Olivera

proven at distance

33%

#2 6

Hot Luci (9) J: Adam Sewell

proven at distance, quality stable

28%

I Want It All (6) J: Ashley Butler

quality stable, inconsistent

23%

Streamelot (7) J: Amy Graham

inconsistent

22%

#3 9

Tiger Rocket (10) J: Nikki Olzard

place chance

27%

Pearl Du Jour (3) J: Sean Cormack

quality stable, inconsistent

19%

R2 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $23000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Wave Dancer Raul Silvera Olivera	14	30%	$$12.28	BEST
2	Hot Luci Adam Sewell	9	28%	$$12.65	DANGER
3	Mo Spirit Georgina Cartwright	16	25%	$$14.05
4	Elegant Venus Tom Orr	9	25%	$$14.34

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Auzangate (12) J: Aidan Holt

looking for others

15%

Hooroo (2) J: Ryan Wiggins

flying form, inconsistent

20%

Lord Of The Flys (15) J: Ashley Butler

in good form, inconsistent

15%

4Enterprise Valour (12)SCR

Cheers Honey (1) J: Tasha Chambers

flying form, inconsistent

20%

#2 6

Hot Luci (9) J: Adam Sewell

proven at distance

28%

6Queen Of Russia (11)SCR

#1 7

Wave Dancer (14) J: Raul Silvera Olivera

in good form

30%

#4 8

Elegant Venus (9) J: Tom Orr

in good form

25%

Proviseur (5) J: Warwick Satherley

place chance

24%

Cosmic Dynasty (6) J: Tahlia Fenlon

place chance

23%

Our Last Chance (4) J: Chris Mc Iver

inconsistent

17%

Majestic Choice (11) J: Adam Sewell

inconsistent

25%

#3 13

Mo Spirit (16) J: Georgina Cartwright

proven at distance, inconsistent

25%

Powered Right Up (8) J: Amy Graham

inconsistent

24%

Jonker Rocket (10) J: Nikki Olzard

inconsistent

19%

Scotch Rocket (3) J:

place chance

22%

Fillydelphia Miss (13) J:

inconsistent

23%

R3 • 1300m • Class 6;

Low Value Bet

Class 6; • Prize: $21000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Me Time Tahlia Fenlon	2	39%	$$3.47	BEST
2	Regal Judgement Amy Graham	1	27%	$$5.26	DANGER
3	The Extreme Cat Aidan Holt	7	24%	$$6.13
4	Contemporary Adam Sewell	5	18%	$$7.56

WINTab 8 Me Time1 units

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Contemporary (5) J: Adam Sewell

proven at distance, class edge, quality stable

18%

#3 2

The Extreme Cat (7) J: Aidan Holt

proven at distance, quality stable

24%

King's Duty (6) J: Warwick Satherley

proven at distance

18%

#2 4

Regal Judgement (1) J: Amy Graham

proven at distance, flying form

27%

5Outwitted (1)SCR

Betty Boom (3) J: Georgina Cartwright

in good form, quality stable

20%

7Lucky Lass (4)SCR

#1 8

Me Time (2) J: Tahlia Fenlon

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

39%

R4 • 1100m • Class 2;

PASS

Class 2; • Prize: $21000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Lonhy's Fabre Ashley Butler	5	31%	$$5.11	BEST
2	Tara I Am Raul Silvera Olivera	3	28%	$$6.95	DANGER
3	Shipping Lane Nikki Olzard	7	27%	$$7.03
4	Chiaro Di Luna Tasha Chambers	9	26%	$$7.84

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Emilia Jane (6) J: Ryan Wiggins

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

19%

Adranos (1) J: Aidan Holt

proven at distance, quality stable

17%

#1 3

Lonhy's Fabre (5) J: Ashley Butler

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

31%

#3 4

Shipping Lane (7) J: Nikki Olzard

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

27%

#2 5

Tara I Am (3) J: Raul Silvera Olivera

proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

28%

Egyptian Lass (4) J: Amy Graham

in good form

16%

#4 7

Chiaro Di Luna (9) J: Tasha Chambers

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

26%

Silent Angel (8) J: Tahlia Fenlon

in good form

18%

9Making History (2)SCR

R5 • 1560m • Open;

PASS

Open; • Prize: $21000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Red Hot Lizzie Ryan Wiggins	3	29%	$$6.24	BEST
2	The Driller Georgina Cartwright	2	26%	$$7.27	DANGER
3	Upstart Legend Adam Sewell	4	27%	$$7.34
4	The Penske File Raul Silvera Olivera	6	26%	$$7.43

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Red Hot Lizzie (3) J: Ryan Wiggins

track specialist, flying form, quality stable

29%

Acrophobic (8) J: Aidan Holt

track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, inconsistent

25%

3Odegaard (9)SCR

#3 4

Upstart Legend (4) J: Adam Sewell

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

27%

#4 5

The Penske File (6) J: Raul Silvera Olivera

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

26%

#2 6

The Driller (2) J: Georgina Cartwright

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

26%

7Raetihi (7)SCR

Mr Shorty (1) J: Ashley Butler

quality stable

22%

Settat (5) J: Nikki Olzard

proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

19%

Rajnish (7) J: Nathan Thomas

proven at distance, inconsistent

17%

R6 • 1200m • Restricted 55;

PASS

Restricted 55; • Prize: $21000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	The Defender Chris Mc Iver	3	30%	$$7.22	BEST
2	Spec Of Silver Ashley Butler	4	27%	$$8.41	DANGER
3	Supid Date Sean Cormack	5	28%	$$8.61
4	Heroic Talent Raul Silvera Olivera	8	28%	$$9.05

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Sujeed (6) J: Warwick Satherley

proven at distance, proven at level

23%

#1 2

The Defender (3) J: Chris Mc Iver

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

30%

#4 3

Heroic Talent (8) J: Raul Silvera Olivera

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

28%

Masali Raffa (2) J: Tasha Chambers

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

28%

#2 5

Spec Of Silver (4) J: Ashley Butler

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

27%

6Super Talon (13)SCR

#3 7

Supid Date (5) J: Sean Cormack

suited to trip, in good form

28%

Tell Us Toll (9) J: Amy Graham

proven at distance, in good form

18%

9Enterprise Valour (11)SCR

10Luxor Prince (9)SCR

She's Got Lyrics (10) J: Nathan Thomas

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

27%

12Making History (9)SCR

Chalkley (1) J: Georgina Cartwright

proven at distance

22%

Whiskey Glasses (7) J: Tom Orr

proven at distance, quality stable

17%

R7 • 1100m • Benchmark 68;

PASS

Benchmark 68; • Prize: $21000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Dalt Jaz Ryan Wiggins	5	30%	$$6.94	BEST
2	Humble Hero Natalea Summers	6	30%	$$7.58	DANGER
3	Fabulean Adam Sewell	9	29%	$$8.66
4	La Petite Maison Tahlia Fenlon	4	28%	$$9.19

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Dalt Jaz (5) J: Ryan Wiggins

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form

30%

Dragon's Snip (10) J: Ashley Butler

proven at distance, quality stable

18%

Sir Rocket (7) J: Tasha Chambers

track specialist, proven at distance, inconsistent

18%

4Lucky Lass (10)SCR

Flying Shamus (2) J: Amy Graham

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

25%

#4 6

La Petite Maison (4) J: Tahlia Fenlon

track specialist, proven at distance

28%

#2 7

Humble Hero (6) J: Natalea Summers

track specialist, suited to trip, flying form, quality stable

30%

8Our Eagle Rock (12)SCR

9Out Of Aces (6)SCR

He's The One (8) J: Sean Cormack

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

27%

Triple Triple (1) J: Warwick Satherley

proven at distance

16%

#3 12

Fabulean (9) J: Adam Sewell

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

29%

Zaya (3) J: Georgina Cartwright

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

27%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R3: Tab 8 Me Time (Barrier 2)
Model: $3.47
1 units

Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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