Kyneton
2026-10-20
Good
Updated: 19:54 AEST
7
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Please Me Do
Best Bet
None
Best Value
92%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Kyneton
Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.
Top Jockeys Here:
- Ms A Herrmann: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 100.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1479m
PASS
Prize: $32000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuzemak Daniel Stackhouse |
4 | 33% | $$5.79 | BEST |
| 2 | Golden Rainbow Jake Noonan |
6 | 31% | $$6.09 | DANGER |
| 3 | Teen Torque Carleen Hefel |
2 | 22% | $$9.46 | |
| 4 | Sondera |
3 | 18% | $$9.56 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
16%
Canticle (8) J: Thomas Stockdale
in good form, inconsistent
#2
2
31%
Golden Rainbow (6) J: Jake Noonan
proven at distance, in good form
3
17%
Noir Velocity (7) J: Jason Maskiell
looking for others
4
15%
The Underquoter (9) J: Beau Mertens
in good form, inconsistent
5
16%
High Yield (1) J: Luke Currie
in good form, inconsistent
6
14%
Ruthless Soul (5) J: Chelsea Jokic
in good form, inconsistent
#4
7
18%
Sondera (3) J:
in good form, inconsistent
#3
8
22%
Teen Torque (2) J: Carleen Hefel
inconsistent
#1
9
33%
Tuzemak (4) J: Daniel Stackhouse
in good form
10Pandie Pandie (6)SCR
R2 • 1118m
PASS
Prize: $32000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Better By Far Jett Stanley |
9 | 40% | $$5.76 | BEST |
| 2 | Explosive Magic Jackson Radley |
1 | 31% | $$7.68 | DANGER |
| 3 | Model Gigi Celine Gaudray |
11 | 29% | $$8.19 | |
| 4 | Nautique |
6 | 21% | $$10.07 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
40%
Better By Far (9) J: Jett Stanley
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
2
Confidential Girl (4) J: Thomas Stockdale
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
3
19%
Diamonds For Her (8) J: Holly Durnan
flying form, inconsistent
#2
4
31%
Explosive Magic (1) J: Jackson Radley
in good form
5Fox Phire (11)SCR
6Miss Verona (13)SCR
#3
7
29%
Model Gigi (11) J: Celine Gaudray
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
22%
Moon God (7) J: John Allen
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
9
Mystic River Queen (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
10
15%
Unwavering (10) J: Jordan Childs
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
11
With Benefits (2) J: Beau Mertens
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
12
21%
Nautique (6) J:
in good form, quality stable
13
22%
Chapel Belle (3) J:
inconsistent
14Miss Home Body (6)SCR
R3 • 1218m
PASS
Prize: $32000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens Glow |
11 | 33% | $$7.45 | BEST |
| 2 | Bourne Legacy Michael Dee |
7 | 29% | $$8.42 | DANGER |
| 3 | The Secret Blaike Mc Dougall |
5 | 30% | $$9.13 | |
| 4 | Count Chevalier Damien Thornton |
4 | 24% | $$9.22 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Buffalo Milk (14)SCR
2
24%
Duke Of Oman (2) J: Chelsea Thompson
proven at distance
3
20%
Western Edge (10) J: Liana Wood
inconsistent
#1
4
33%
Ravens Glow (11) J:
flying form
5
Unannounced (3) J: Carleen Hefel
form a concern, inconsistent
6Zouie (13)SCR
7Bohemian Blitz (8)SCR
#2
8
29%
Bourne Legacy (7) J: Michael Dee
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
9
16%
Ciphered (1) J: Jett Stanley
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
10
24%
Count Chevalier (4) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
11
Merry Chase (6) J: Beau Mertens
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
12Sabrina (11)SCR
13
Velvet Reign (9) J:
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
14
30%
The Secret (5) J: Blaike Mc Dougall
suited to trip, quality stable
15Wunderlust (17)SCR
16
29%
All Too Single (12) J: Jackson Radley
place chance
17
19%
Sarazain (8) J: Samantha Noble
suited to trip
R4 • 1218m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Please Me Do Chelsea Thompson |
1 | 39% | $$4.85 | BEST |
| 2 | Kamezali John Allen |
7 | 28% | $$7.43 | DANGER |
| 3 | Bliss Bomb Beau Mertens |
6 | 23% | $$7.89 | |
| 4 | Kulina Jackie Beriman |
5 | 24% | $$9.73 |
WINTab 4 Please Me Do1 units
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
28%
Kamezali (7) J: John Allen
quality stable
2Dancingonmyown (10)SCR
#3
3
23%
Bliss Bomb (6) J: Beau Mertens
in good form
#1
4
39%
Please Me Do (1) J: Chelsea Thompson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
20%
Hexed (4) J: Alana Kelly
in good form, quality stable
6Break The Taboo (6)SCR
7
21%
Hidden Comfort (3) J: Damien Thornton
place chance
8
21%
The Birthday Party (9) J: Holly Durnan
place chance
#4
9
24%
Kulina (5) J: Jackie Beriman
proven at distance, in good form
10
17%
Miss Xtravaganza (8) J: Tayla Childs
suited to trip, inconsistent
11
17%
Snow On Her (2) J: Sam Kennedy
suited to trip, inconsistent
R5 • 1218m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego John Allen |
3 | 33% | $$5.88 | BEST |
| 2 | Ryanman Billy Egan |
7 | 33% | $$6.41 | DANGER |
| 3 | Rattle'n'roll Lachlan King |
1 | 31% | $$6.44 | |
| 4 | Onlooker Cian Macredmond |
5 | 21% | $$8.86 |
WINTab 6 Manchego0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
21%
Onlooker (5) J: Cian Macredmond
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
#2
2
33%
Ryanman (7) J: Billy Egan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
3
19%
Colt Forty Five (8) J: Thomas Stockdale
proven at distance, quality stable
4
18%
Bucks Night (4) J: Alana Kelly
quality stable
5Headstock (11)SCR
#1
6
33%
Manchego (3) J: John Allen
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
7Western Lane (5)SCR
#3
8
31%
Rattle'n'roll (1) J: Lachlan King
track specialist, proven at distance
9
21%
Battle Of The Ice (9) J: Zac Moore
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
10Becauseyou're Mine (1)SCR
11
18%
Count Of Anjou (2) J: Valentin Le Boeuf
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
12Kilmister (6)SCR
13
15%
Mahjing (6) J: Sam Kennedy
proven at distance, form a concern, inconsistent
R6 • 1479m
Low Value Bet
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brutify Daniel Stackhouse |
1 | 37% | $$7.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Our Pierro Jackson Radley |
9 | 29% | $$9.26 | DANGER |
| 3 | Russian Front Thomas Stockdale |
8 | 26% | $$10.35 | |
| 4 | Aubaine Beau Mertens |
5 | 22% | $$12.44 |
EACH WAYTab 13 Brutify (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
23%
Savvie Blanc (12) J:
proven at distance, quality stable
2
23%
Seeyou Raider (7) J: Chelsea Thompson
proven at distance, in good form
3
21%
Our Smokeshow (4) J: Toby Atkinson
quality stable
4
22%
Tempt The Gods (3) J: Cian Macredmond
quality stable
5
24%
Earl Of Gloucester (10) J: Ryan Hurdle
track specialist, in good form
#3
6
26%
Russian Front (8) J: Thomas Stockdale
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
7Titan Of Choice (11)SCR
8
19%
Victory Tune (11) J: Luke Currie
proven at level
#2
9
29%
Our Pierro (9) J: Jackson Radley
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
10
18%
Brroosha (6) J: Declan Bates
in good form, quality stable
#4
11
22%
Aubaine (5) J: Beau Mertens
proven at distance, in good form
12
18%
Hurco (2) J: Jason Maskiell
looking for others
#1
13
37%
Brutify (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
R7 • 1887m
PASS
Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tierra Celine Gaudray |
11 | 31% | $$9.28 | BEST |
| 2 | Frostration Caitlin Hollowood |
8 | 25% | $$10.07 | DANGER |
| 3 | Mr Margolin Thomas Stockdale |
3 | 23% | $$10.25 | |
| 4 | The Quiet Immortal Lachlan King |
12 | 24% | $$10.52 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
23%
Slane (4) J: Stephanie Hateley
place chance
2
21%
Sound Of Jura (7) J: Blaike Mc Dougall
in good form, quality stable
3
22%
Kiss My Rock (9) J: Jackson Radley
proven at distance, quality stable
4
23%
Lunar Force (1) J:
place chance
5Haiiro (8)SCR
#4
6
24%
The Quiet Immortal (12) J: Lachlan King
flying form
#3
7
23%
Mr Margolin (3) J: Thomas Stockdale
in good form
8
20%
Biratu (2) J: Luke Currie
looking for others
9
20%
Crown Of Russia (10) J: Damien Thornton
proven at level
10
25%
Mike's Hope (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse
in good form, quality stable
11Super Mirage (10)SCR
#2
12
25%
Frostration (8) J: Caitlin Hollowood
in good form, quality stable
#1
13
31%
Tierra (11) J: Celine Gaudray
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
14
23%
Corona Lad (6) J: Neil Farley
class edge
15Jackand (11)SCR
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R4:
Tab 4 Please Me Do (Barrier 1)
Model: $4.85
1 units
Model: $4.85
1 units
R6:
Tab 13 Brutify (Barrier 1)
Model: $7.00
1 units
Model: $7.00
1 units
Total Stake: 2.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 19/10/2026, 7:54:38 pm