Ipswich

2026-06-04

Soft Rail: +10m Entire

Updated: 16:35 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Thee Creek

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Ipswich

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Ben Thompson: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 80.0% place)
M R Du Plessis: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)
Jaden Lloyd: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
Kyle Wilson-Taylor: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
A Mallyon: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 800m • Open;

PASS

Open; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Scartoon Leah Martyn	7	41%	$$5.12	BEST
2	Lonesome Star Amy Graham	10	35%	$$5.91	DANGER
3	Zia Maria Damien Boche	8	21%	$$9.73
4	Inkwell Ben E Thompson	5	18%	$$11.00

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Scartoon (7) J: Leah Martyn

has claims

41%

Harry's Mode (2) J: Cejay Graham

in good form

16%

#4 3

Inkwell (5) J: Ben E Thompson

flying form, inconsistent

18%

4Jet Two Mars (5)SCR

#2 5

Lonesome Star (10) J: Amy Graham

solid track record, proven at distance, flying form

35%

Beelzie (6) J: Benjamin Osmond

flying form, inconsistent

12%

Bellasort (1) J: Emily Lang

flying form, inconsistent

15%

Hen's Night (3) J: Jake Bayliss

flying form, inconsistent

15%

Prestige Austria (9) J:

flying form, inconsistent

12%

#3 10

Zia Maria (8) J: Damien Boche

in good form

21%

Mishani Inferno (4) J: Olivia Kendal

looking for others

16%

R2 • 1710m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Under Arrest Taylor Marshall	7	38%	$$9.05	BEST
2	Gratification Frederick Larson	6	31%	$$11.01	DANGER
3	Ablesheeba Michael Rodd	10	33%	$$11.05
4	Red Cape	9	24%	$$12.24

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Gratification (6) J: Frederick Larson

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

31%

Kalamia King (12) J: Bailey Wheeler

in good form

25%

Steplika Lion (13) J: Jaden Lloyd

top jockey

19%

#3 4

Ablesheeba (10) J: Michael Rodd

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

33%

Boomtown Laddie (3) J: Micheal Hellyer

solid track record

22%

Hopeful Cause (5) J: Boris Thornton

flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

16%

Shawnee Boy (8) J: Wayne O'Connell

quality stable, inconsistent

19%

Show'em Who's King (4) J: Danny Peisley

top jockey, quality stable

14%

#1 9

Under Arrest (7) J: Taylor Marshall

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

38%

10Watchya Language (14)SCR

Blue Poles (1) J: Ben E Thompson

in good form

13%

12Worthy Way (16)SCR

Sealord (15) J:

quality stable, inconsistent

17%

Astern Powers (14) J:

quality stable, inconsistent

25%

#4 15

Red Cape (9) J:

place chance

24%

Polyester Girl (2) J: Jason Taylor

top jockey, inconsistent

19%

Rainbow Glitter (11) J: Robbie Dolan

quality stable, inconsistent

21%

Waves Of Emocean (16) J:

inconsistent

18%

R3 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Our Girl Scarlett Leah Martyn	3	45%	$$5.28	BEST
2	Egyptian Goddess	10	34%	$$7.62	DANGER
3	Lady Milan Daniel Moor	1	25%	$$11.13
4	Red Moon Rising	11	22%	$$11.38

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Mr Biggs (5) J: Micheal Hellyer

in good form

14%

Over Spray (7) J: Ben E Thompson

flying form, quality stable

20%

Rossa Vista (4) J: Mark Du Plessis

flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

11%

Racketeer (6) J: Luke P Dempsey

flying form, quality stable

18%

5Bottles Of Shells (10)SCR

Dancin In Moonlite (9) J: Fiona Sandkuhl

flying form, top jockey

17%

#3 7

Lady Milan (1) J: Daniel Moor

in good form, top jockey

25%

#1 8

Our Girl Scarlett (3) J: Leah Martyn

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

45%

Sirinumu (2) J: Ashley Butler

in good form, top jockey, inconsistent

11%

10Gossamer Glow (13)SCR

11Parading Gus (5)SCR

12Yoweri (3)SCR

#4 13

Red Moon Rising (11) J:

place chance

22%

14Luminous Girl (9)SCR

#2 15

Egyptian Goddess (10) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level, inconsistent

34%

Babushka Doll (8) J: Jason Taylor

top jockey, inconsistent

21%

R4 • 1200m • Class 2;

Med Value Bet

Class 2; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Thee Creek Rob Thorburn	7	47%	$$3.20	BEST
2	Braveheart Leah Martyn	2	27%	$$6.71	DANGER
3	Zoustrology Ben E Thompson	3	27%	$$6.78
4	Swag Jace McMurray	4	22%	$$7.46

WINTab 5 Thee Creek2 units

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Braveheart (2) J: Leah Martyn

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey

27%

Robrick (1) J: Michael Rodd

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

13%

Winchman (5) J: Danny Peisley

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

21%

4Wolfgang (5)SCR

#1 5

Thee Creek (7) J: Rob Thorburn

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

47%

#3 6

Zoustrology (3) J: Ben E Thompson

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

27%

7Adranos (7)SCR

Fire Bomber (6) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

15%

#4 9

Swag (4) J: Jace McMurray

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

22%

Exotics

Exacta: Thee Creek / Braveheart, Zoustrology

Trifecta: Box: Thee Creek, Braveheart, Zoustrology, Swag

First 4: Box: Thee Creek, Braveheart, Zoustrology, Swag, Winchman

R5 • 1350m • Restricted 58;

Low Value Bet

Restricted 58; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	In Great Spirit Corey Sutherland	10	36%	$$7.64	BEST
2	Clubhouse Ryan Maloney	8	34%	$$8.40	DANGER
3	Bertus Mark Du Plessis	12	27%	$$10.46
4	Bokuden Boris Thornton	6	24%	$$10.88

EACH WAYTab 7 In Great Spirit (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Clubhouse (8) J: Ryan Maloney

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

34%

Rupestris (1) J: Ben E Thompson

in good form, quality stable

22%

Summit (4) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

quality stable

25%

#3 4

Bertus (12) J: Mark Du Plessis

in good form, top jockey, quality stable

27%

Youcompleteme (7) J: Ryan Wiggins

top jockey

20%

Supairo (5) J: Robbie Dolan

looking for others

20%

#1 7

In Great Spirit (10) J: Corey Sutherland

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

36%

Jupiter Hills (3) J: Frederick Larson

quality stable

18%

Save The Roses (2) J: Ashley Butler

top jockey

22%

Port River Billie (11) J: Cejay Graham

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

26%

#4 11

Bokuden (6) J: Boris Thornton

solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

24%

Jerome (9) J: Aidan Keeley

top jockey

15%

R6 • 1350m • Restricted 58;

Low Value Bet

Restricted 58; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Bee Exact Olivia Kendal	1	36%	$$7.16	BEST
2	Perri Lass Cejay Graham	2	31%	$$8.22	DANGER
3	Yes I'm Ugly Stacey Callow	4	25%	$$9.71
4	King Cobama Kyle Wilson-Taylor	10	25%	$$10.00

WINTab 6 Bee Exact1 units

Full Field Analysis

1Jacks And Soda (1)SCR

Silver Spoon (11) J: Leah Martyn

top jockey, quality stable

20%

#3 3

Yes I'm Ugly (4) J: Stacey Callow

in good form, quality stable

25%

#4 4

King Cobama (10) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

25%

Donegal Bay (3) J: Jaden Lloyd

top jockey

20%

#1 6

Bee Exact (1) J: Olivia Kendal

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

36%

Mister Selfie (8) J: Paul Hamblin

place chance

23%

#2 8

Perri Lass (2) J: Cejay Graham

track specialist, proven at distance

31%

Torvecchio (9) J: Kenji Yoshida

flying form

16%

Lukey Blue (7) J:

solid track record, in good form

25%

Penseur Positif (5) J: Rob Thorburn

looking for others

18%

Rock Lobster (6) J: Frederick Larson

looking for others

17%

R7 • 1200m • Class 2;

PASS

Class 2; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Boomshanka Ben E Thompson	1	30%	$$6.03	BEST
2	Cherrabah Damien Boche	4	26%	$$6.65	DANGER
3	Trafalgar Square Martin Harley	8	26%	$$7.14
4	Breezin' Jaden Lloyd	5	26%	$$7.86

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Bollinger Miss (1)SCR

#2 2

Cherrabah (4) J: Damien Boche

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

26%

3Esprit Du Jour (10)SCR

Every Heart (3) J: Jace McMurray

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

22%

#3 5

Trafalgar Square (8) J: Martin Harley

proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey

26%

6Champagne Lane (7)SCR

7Financially Famous (9)SCR

#1 8

Boomshanka (1) J: Ben E Thompson

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

30%

Jada Rose (6) J: Boris Thornton

track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable

21%

Seismic Boom (2) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester

in good form

17%

#4 11

Breezin' (5) J: Jaden Lloyd

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

26%

Fortysecondstreet (7) J:

in good form, quality stable

23%

13Cryptic Sound (10)SCR

R8 • 1710m • Restricted 58;

Low Value Bet

Restricted 58; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Classique Gal Benjamin Osmond	4	37%	$$7.41	BEST
2	Flying Rothe Aidan Keeley	12	28%	$$9.30	DANGER
3	Gold Merchant Micheal Hellyer	3	26%	$$11.20
4	Dragon Song Olivia Kendal	6	27%	$$11.52

EACH WAYTab 6 Classique Gal (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

Full Field Analysis

Ninjitzou (7) J: Ashley Butler

top jockey, quality stable

21%

Headstrong (2) J: Dylan Turner

in good form, top jockey

20%

Notes (5) J: Jaden Lloyd

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

24%

Sugarfire (11) J: Robbie Dolan

in good form

18%

You And I (8) J: Jace McMurray

top jockey

23%

#1 6

Classique Gal (4) J: Benjamin Osmond

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

37%

#2 7

Flying Rothe (12) J: Aidan Keeley

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

28%

Makamae (1) J: Corey Sutherland

in good form, quality stable

20%

#4 9

Dragon Song (6) J: Olivia Kendal

suited to trip, quality stable

27%

Always Delivers (9) J: Damien Boche

flying form, top jockey, quality stable

22%

Rocked (10) J: Kayla Johnston

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

20%

#3 12

Gold Merchant (3) J: Micheal Hellyer

proven at distance, inconsistent

26%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R4: Tab 5 Thee Creek (Barrier 7)
Model: $3.20
2 units

R5: Tab 7 In Great Spirit (Barrier 10)
Model: $7.64
1 units

R6: Tab 6 Bee Exact (Barrier 1)
Model: $7.16
1 units

R8: Tab 6 Classique Gal (Barrier 4)
Model: $7.41
1 units

Total Stake: 5.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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