Inverell

2026-07-18
Good Rail: True
Updated: 19:32 AEST
6
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Captain Insano
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Inverell

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Bon Batan
Stephen Cummins
9 32% $$5.98 BEST
2 Territory Dreamer
Olivia Dalton
3 30% $$6.71 DANGER
3 Pie Chart
Jodi Worley
7 28% $$7.24
4 Boho Belle
Peter Graham
6 26% $$7.66
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Bon Batan (9) J: Stephen Cummins
inconsistent
32%
#3 2
Pie Chart (7) J: Jodi Worley
top jockey, quality stable
28%
3
Rips Law (1) J: Kody Nestor
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
4
Telago (2) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12%
#2 5
Territory Dreamer (3) J: Olivia Dalton
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
30%
#4 6
Boho Belle (6) J: Peter Graham
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
7
Decoy (8) J: Ben Looker
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
8
Shrimpton (4) J: Nick Palmer
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
9Stryke An Icon (8)SCR
10
Underpin (5) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable
10%

R2 • 1050m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Major Freestone
Damien Boutet
6 27% $$9.96 BEST
2 One For Hesko
Olivia Dalton
10 25% $$10.11 DANGER
3 Beltone
Angel Brennan
9 25% $$10.28
4 Goodfella Finch
Peter Graham
3 25% $$10.33
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Dormelletto (1) J: Kody Nestor
in good form
16%
#4 2
Goodfella Finch (3) J: Peter Graham
inconsistent
25%
3
Mac Aedo (4) J: Yvette Lewis
inconsistent
16%
4
Money On My Mind (7) J: Izzy Neale
proven at distance
25%
#3 5
Beltone (9) J: Angel Brennan
proven at distance
25%
6
Jigadee (11) J:
place chance
21%
7
Kid Mckinlay (8) J: Ben Looker
in good form, inconsistent
17%
#1 8
Major Freestone (6) J: Damien Boutet
place chance
27%
9
Monaroma (12) J: Isabel Jessop
inconsistent
22%
10
Musumeci (5) J: Grace Palmer
inconsistent
21%
#2 11
One For Hesko (10) J: Olivia Dalton
place chance
25%
12
Pride Of Nations (2) J: Nick Palmer
inconsistent
28%

R3 • 1600m • Benchmark 50;

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Captain Insano
Yvette Lewis
5 35% $$7.47 BEST
2 Flash Prince
Stephen Cummins
1 37% $$7.50 DANGER
3 Dolly Disco
Peter Graham
8 26% $$10.97
4 Carribean King
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
6 26% $$11.27
EACH WAYTab 5 Captain Insano (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

Full Field Analysis

1
Magic Flyer (7) J: Juliet Partridge
proven at distance, quality stable
22%
#4 2
Carribean King (6) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
inconsistent
26%
3
Advance To Jaffa (12) J: Ben Looker
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
4
Blazed Prince (11) J: Kody Nestor
top jockey
18%
#1 5
Captain Insano (5) J: Yvette Lewis
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
35%
#2 6
Flash Prince (1) J: Stephen Cummins
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
37%
7
Playful Puzzle (4) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
8Annanda (5)SCR
9
Headstream (2) J: Angel Brennan
top jockey
21%
#3 10
Dolly Disco (8) J: Peter Graham
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
11
Griffinstown Girl (3) J: Cassey Williams
top jockey, quality stable
17%
12
Mini Boo (10) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable, inconsistent
19%
13
Valley Of Fame (9) J: Isabel Jessop
in good form, top jockey
16%

Exotics

Quinella: Captain Insano, Flash Prince
Exacta: Captain Insano / Flash Prince, Dolly Disco
Trifecta: Box: Captain Insano, Flash Prince, Dolly Disco, Carribean King
First 4: Box: Captain Insano, Flash Prince, Dolly Disco, Carribean King, Magic Flyer

R4 • 1200m • Benchmark 50;

PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 It's A Written
Nick Palmer
8 34% $$6.85 BEST
2 Evocator
Jordie Thompson
3 30% $$8.29 DANGER
3 Risk Assessment
Ben Looker
10 26% $$8.55
4 Glitterscript
Yvette Lewis
1 24% $$8.79
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Evocator (3) J: Jordie Thompson
proven at distance, inconsistent
30%
2Reprisal (4)SCR
3
Celestial Bell (11) J: Jodi Worley
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
4
Sky Blue (7) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
proven at distance, quality stable
20%
5Final Voyage (2)SCR
#1 6
It's A Written (8) J: Nick Palmer
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
34%
7
Etoiles (4) J: Cassey Williams
top jockey
16%
8
Sashabella (9) J: Grace Palmer
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
22%
9
Little Show (6) J: Damien Boutet
proven at distance, inconsistent
24%
#3 10
Risk Assessment (10) J: Ben Looker
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
26%
11
Skates On (5) J: Olivia Dalton
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
21%
#4 12
Glitterscript (1) J: Yvette Lewis
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
24%

R5 • 1400m • Benchmark 50;

PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Kool Bruce
Isabel Jessop
11 30% $$9.22 BEST
2 Eaglescliffe
Olivia Dalton
12 27% $$9.42 DANGER
3 Master Of Rewards
Stephen Cummins
7 24% $$10.81
4 Sharpen The Knives
Cassey Williams
8 27% $$10.91
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Whittaker (9) J: Peter Graham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
2
Ezeiza (4) J: Kody Nestor
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
3
Thief By Night (6) J: Yvette Lewis
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, inconsistent
22%
4Final Voyage (8)SCR
#1 5
Kool Bruce (11) J: Isabel Jessop
track specialist, top jockey
30%
#2 6
Eaglescliffe (12) J: Olivia Dalton
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
7
She's Brutal (1) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
#4 8
Sharpen The Knives (8) J: Cassey Williams
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
27%
9
Cascan (5) J: Nick Palmer
proven at distance, top jockey
26%
10
Powerful Warrior (3) J: Angel Brennan
proven at distance, top jockey
26%
11
Bianco Nero (10) J: Izzy Neale
proven at level, top jockey
19%
#3 12
Master Of Rewards (7) J: Stephen Cummins
solid track record, quality stable
24%
13
Hurricane Hank (2) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable, inconsistent
15%

R6 • 1050m • Benchmark 50;

PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Rare Beauty
Olivia Dalton
8 28% $$9.10 BEST
2 Powerstone
Yvette Lewis
7 32% $$9.17 DANGER
3 Irish Arthur
Cassey Williams
1 28% $$10.33
4 She's A Wild One
Ben Looker
4 26% $$10.46
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Gandalf (7)SCR
2
Snitzond (5) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
quality stable
26%
#1 3
Rare Beauty (8) J: Olivia Dalton
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
28%
4
Southampton Nicco (2) J: Nick Palmer
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#3 5
Irish Arthur (1) J: Cassey Williams
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
6
La Narradora (9) J: Jordie Thompson
quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#4 7
She's A Wild One (4) J: Ben Looker
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
26%
8
Taylor's Rage (3) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable
24%
#2 9
Powerstone (7) J: Yvette Lewis
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
32%
10
Shifa (11) J: Kody Nestor
top jockey
23%
11
Miss Indi (10) J: Jodi Worley
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
23%
12
Kipyegon (6) J: Peter Graham
top jockey, inconsistent
16%
13
Clan D'oro (12) J: Stephen Cummins
quality stable, inconsistent
16%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R3: Tab 5 Captain Insano (Barrier 5)
Model: $7.47
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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💹 PRICES UPDATED 08:34 pm