Inverell
2026-07-18
Good
Rail: True
Updated: 19:32 AEST
Track Insights — Inverell
Recent Patterns:
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Ms C Williams: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Bon Batan Stephen Cummins |
9 |
32% |
$$5.98 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Territory Dreamer Olivia Dalton |
3 |
30% |
$$6.71 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Pie Chart Jodi Worley |
7 |
28% |
$$7.24 |
|
| 4 |
Boho Belle Peter Graham |
6 |
26% |
$$7.66 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
Bon Batan (9) J: Stephen Cummins
inconsistent
32%
#3
2
Pie Chart (7) J: Jodi Worley
top jockey, quality stable
28%
3
Rips Law (1) J: Kody Nestor
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
25%
4
Telago (2) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12%
#2
5
Territory Dreamer (3) J: Olivia Dalton
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
30%
#4
6
Boho Belle (6) J: Peter Graham
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
26%
7
Decoy (8) J: Ben Looker
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
8
Shrimpton (4) J: Nick Palmer
form a concern, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
9Stryke An Icon (8)SCR
10
Underpin (5) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable
10%
R2 • 1050m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Major Freestone Damien Boutet |
6 |
27% |
$$9.96 |
BEST |
| 2 |
One For Hesko Olivia Dalton |
10 |
25% |
$$10.11 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Beltone Angel Brennan |
9 |
25% |
$$10.28 |
|
| 4 |
Goodfella Finch Peter Graham |
3 |
25% |
$$10.33 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Dormelletto (1) J: Kody Nestor
in good form
16%
#4
2
Goodfella Finch (3) J: Peter Graham
inconsistent
25%
3
Mac Aedo (4) J: Yvette Lewis
inconsistent
16%
4
Money On My Mind (7) J: Izzy Neale
proven at distance
25%
#3
5
Beltone (9) J: Angel Brennan
proven at distance
25%
6
Jigadee (11) J:
place chance
21%
7
Kid Mckinlay (8) J: Ben Looker
in good form, inconsistent
17%
#1
8
Major Freestone (6) J: Damien Boutet
place chance
27%
9
Monaroma (12) J: Isabel Jessop
inconsistent
22%
10
Musumeci (5) J: Grace Palmer
inconsistent
21%
#2
11
One For Hesko (10) J: Olivia Dalton
place chance
25%
12
Pride Of Nations (2) J: Nick Palmer
inconsistent
28%
R3 • 1600m • Benchmark 50;
Low
Value Bet
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Captain Insano Yvette Lewis |
5 |
35% |
$$7.47 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Flash Prince Stephen Cummins |
1 |
37% |
$$7.50 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Dolly Disco Peter Graham |
8 |
26% |
$$10.97 |
|
| 4 |
Carribean King Jasmine Urquhart-Warren |
6 |
26% |
$$11.27 |
|
EACH WAYTab 5 Captain Insano (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
Magic Flyer (7) J: Juliet Partridge
proven at distance, quality stable
22%
#4
2
Carribean King (6) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
inconsistent
26%
3
Advance To Jaffa (12) J: Ben Looker
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
16%
4
Blazed Prince (11) J: Kody Nestor
top jockey
18%
#1
5
Captain Insano (5) J: Yvette Lewis
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
35%
#2
6
Flash Prince (1) J: Stephen Cummins
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
37%
7
Playful Puzzle (4) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
21%
8Annanda (5)SCR
9
Headstream (2) J: Angel Brennan
top jockey
21%
#3
10
Dolly Disco (8) J: Peter Graham
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
26%
11
Griffinstown Girl (3) J: Cassey Williams
top jockey, quality stable
17%
12
Mini Boo (10) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable, inconsistent
19%
13
Valley Of Fame (9) J: Isabel Jessop
in good form, top jockey
16%
Exotics
Quinella: Captain Insano, Flash Prince
Exacta: Captain Insano / Flash Prince, Dolly Disco
Trifecta: Box: Captain Insano, Flash Prince, Dolly Disco, Carribean King
First 4: Box: Captain Insano, Flash Prince, Dolly Disco, Carribean King, Magic Flyer
R4 • 1200m • Benchmark 50;
PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
It's A Written Nick Palmer |
8 |
34% |
$$6.85 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Evocator Jordie Thompson |
3 |
30% |
$$8.29 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Risk Assessment Ben Looker |
10 |
26% |
$$8.55 |
|
| 4 |
Glitterscript Yvette Lewis |
1 |
24% |
$$8.79 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
Evocator (3) J: Jordie Thompson
proven at distance, inconsistent
30%
2Reprisal (4)SCR
3
Celestial Bell (11) J: Jodi Worley
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
4
Sky Blue (7) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
proven at distance, quality stable
20%
5Final Voyage (2)SCR
#1
6
It's A Written (8) J: Nick Palmer
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
34%
7
Etoiles (4) J: Cassey Williams
top jockey
16%
8
Sashabella (9) J: Grace Palmer
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
22%
9
Little Show (6) J: Damien Boutet
proven at distance, inconsistent
24%
#3
10
Risk Assessment (10) J: Ben Looker
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
26%
11
Skates On (5) J: Olivia Dalton
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
21%
#4
12
Glitterscript (1) J: Yvette Lewis
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
24%
R5 • 1400m • Benchmark 50;
PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Kool Bruce Isabel Jessop |
11 |
30% |
$$9.22 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Eaglescliffe Olivia Dalton |
12 |
27% |
$$9.42 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Master Of Rewards Stephen Cummins |
7 |
24% |
$$10.81 |
|
| 4 |
Sharpen The Knives Cassey Williams |
8 |
27% |
$$10.91 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Whittaker (9) J: Peter Graham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
2
Ezeiza (4) J: Kody Nestor
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
25%
3
Thief By Night (6) J: Yvette Lewis
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, inconsistent
22%
4Final Voyage (8)SCR
#1
5
Kool Bruce (11) J: Isabel Jessop
track specialist, top jockey
30%
#2
6
Eaglescliffe (12) J: Olivia Dalton
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
7
She's Brutal (1) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
25%
#4
8
Sharpen The Knives (8) J: Cassey Williams
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
27%
9
Cascan (5) J: Nick Palmer
proven at distance, top jockey
26%
10
Powerful Warrior (3) J: Angel Brennan
proven at distance, top jockey
26%
11
Bianco Nero (10) J: Izzy Neale
proven at level, top jockey
19%
#3
12
Master Of Rewards (7) J: Stephen Cummins
solid track record, quality stable
24%
13
Hurricane Hank (2) J: Damien Boutet
quality stable, inconsistent
15%
R6 • 1050m • Benchmark 50;
PASS
Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Rare Beauty Olivia Dalton |
8 |
28% |
$$9.10 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Powerstone Yvette Lewis |
7 |
32% |
$$9.17 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Irish Arthur Cassey Williams |
1 |
28% |
$$10.33 |
|
| 4 |
She's A Wild One Ben Looker |
4 |
26% |
$$10.46 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Gandalf (7)SCR
2
Snitzond (5) J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren
quality stable
26%
#1
3
Rare Beauty (8) J: Olivia Dalton
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
28%
4
Southampton Nicco (2) J: Nick Palmer
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
25%
#3
5
Irish Arthur (1) J: Cassey Williams
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
28%
6
La Narradora (9) J: Jordie Thompson
quality stable, inconsistent
18%
#4
7
She's A Wild One (4) J: Ben Looker
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
26%
8
Taylor's Rage (3) J: Izzy Neale
top jockey, quality stable
24%
#2
9
Powerstone (7) J: Yvette Lewis
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
32%
10
Shifa (11) J: Kody Nestor
top jockey
23%
11
Miss Indi (10) J: Jodi Worley
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
23%
12
Kipyegon (6) J: Peter Graham
top jockey, inconsistent
16%
13
Clan D'oro (12) J: Stephen Cummins
quality stable, inconsistent
16%
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R3:
Tab 5 Captain Insano (Barrier 5)
Model: $7.47
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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