Happy Valley
2026-06-03
Good
Rail: Out 8m
Updated: 13:39 AEST
9
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Prince Alex
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Happy Valley
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- A Atzeni: 9W from 33 (27.3% win, 48.5% place)
- Z Purton: 7W from 17 (41.2% win, 52.9% place)
- Jerry Chau: 7W from 44 (15.9% win, 36.4% place)
- J Bowman: 6W from 31 (19.4% win, 51.6% place)
- Luke Ferraris: 5W from 30 (16.7% win, 36.7% place)
Barriers: Inside barriers (1-5) hold a significant edge. Wide barriers make it very hard to find a position.
Pace: Leaders and horses racing on-pace dominate. The tight circuit and short straight make back-marking a low-percentage play. Forward tactics essential.
R1 • 1650m • Class 5;
Low Value Bet
Class 5; • Prize: $875000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prince Alex Brenton Avdulla |
3 | 36% | $$7.61 | BEST |
| 2 | Family Fortune Joao Moreira |
1 | 35% | $$8.08 | DANGER |
| 3 | Setanta Luke Ferraris |
9 | 31% | $$9.17 | |
| 4 | Telecom Power Harry Bentley |
10 | 28% | $$11.03 |
EACH WAYTab 4 Prince Alex (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Master Of Humor (4) J: Vincent Ho
top jockey, inconsistent
#3
2
31%
Setanta (9) J: Luke Ferraris
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
#2
3
35%
Family Fortune (1) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
4
36%
Prince Alex (3) J: Brenton Avdulla
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
5
24%
Happy Buddies (5) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
6
28%
Telecom Power (10) J: Harry Bentley
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
21%
Zetta Force (11) J: Jerry Chau
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
8
22%
Manythanks Forever (12) J: Andrea Atzeni
quality stable
9
24%
Wah May Wai Wai (2) J: Karis Teetan
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
10
22%
Smart Trio (7) J: Lyle Hewitson
quality stable, inconsistent
11
22%
Casa Legend (8) J: Matthew Poon
inconsistent
12
20%
The Way We Win (6) J: Dylan Mo
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: Prince Alex, Family Fortune
Exacta: Prince Alex / Family Fortune, Setanta
Trifecta: Box: Prince Alex, Family Fortune, Setanta, Telecom Power
First 4: Box: Prince Alex, Family Fortune, Setanta, Telecom Power, Wah May Wai Wai
R2 • 1200m • Class 5;
PASS
Class 5; • Prize: $875000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Call To Command Derek Leung |
5 | 29% | $$10.48 | BEST |
| 2 | Tai Victory Alexis Badel |
2 | 25% | $$10.67 | DANGER |
| 3 | Lakeshore Hero Andrea Atzeni |
10 | 28% | $$10.77 | |
| 4 | Thousand Cups Angus Chung |
12 | 28% | $$10.82 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
28%
Lakeshore Hero (10) J: Andrea Atzeni
solid track record, proven at distance
2
26%
Always My Folks (3) J: Zac Purton
solid track record, suited to trip
3
24%
Autumn Vibes (7) J: Karis Teetan
suited to trip
4
28%
Majestic Delight (4) J: James Orman
proven at distance
5
22%
Runjeet (1) J: Harry Bentley
place chance
#1
6
29%
Call To Command (5) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance
#4
7
28%
Thousand Cups (12) J: Angus Chung
suited to trip
#2
8
25%
Tai Victory (2) J: Alexis Badel
place chance
9
23%
Chill Master (9) J: Jerry Chau
place chance
10
21%
Exceed The Wish (6) J: Lyle Hewitson
inconsistent
11
27%
Island Breezes (11) J: Luke Ferraris
place chance
12
27%
Sonic Boom (8) J: Matthew L Chadwick
proven at distance
R3 • 1200m • Class 4;
Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forza Leader Derek Leung |
10 | 34% | $$8.35 | BEST |
| 2 | Free Pony Karis Teetan |
1 | 33% | $$8.73 | DANGER |
| 3 | Leading Agility Lyle Hewitson |
9 | 29% | $$10.05 | |
| 4 | Beauty Glory Angus Chung |
3 | 27% | $$11.38 |
EACH WAYTab 10 Forza Leader (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
26%
Young Arrow (6) J: Ethan Brown
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
#4
2
27%
Beauty Glory (3) J: Angus Chung
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
3
22%
Captain Link (2) J: Joao Moreira
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#3
4
29%
Leading Agility (9) J: Lyle Hewitson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
21%
Golden Empire (11) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
6
13%
Winalot (7) J: Luke Ferraris
quality stable
7
25%
Forerunner (8) J: Alexis Badel
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
8
33%
Free Pony (1) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
9
26%
Marvel And Gold (4) J: Matthew Poon
proven at distance
#1
10
34%
Forza Leader (10) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
11
27%
Awesome Treasure (12) J: Matthew L Chadwick
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, class edge
12
25%
Same To You (5) J: Andrea Atzeni
solid track record, proven at distance
R4 • 1650m • Class 4;
PASS
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Glorioso Andrea Atzeni |
2 | 31% | $$8.74 | BEST |
| 2 | Flying Fortune Ethan Brown |
11 | 32% | $$9.14 | DANGER |
| 3 | Run Run Timing Zac Purton |
1 | 31% | $$9.22 | |
| 4 | Dashing Maurison Harry Bentley |
6 | 29% | $$9.52 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
19%
Exceed The Limit (5) J: Lyle Hewitson
class edge, quality stable
2
17%
Star Mac (8) J: James Orman
track specialist, class edge, inconsistent
#2
3
32%
Flying Fortune (11) J: Ethan Brown
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
4
18%
Gazeley (9) J: Luke Ferraris
form a concern, quality stable
5
26%
Take Action (10) J: Hugh Bowman
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#4
6
29%
Dashing Maurison (6) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
7
27%
Smiling One (7) J: Derek Leung
top jockey, inconsistent
8
20%
Savvy Warrior (3) J: Vincent Ho
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
28%
Can't Go Wong (4) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge
#3
10
31%
Run Run Timing (1) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
11
31%
King Glorioso (2) J: Andrea Atzeni
solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable
12
14%
Conrad The Great (12) J: Alexis Badel
top jockey, quality stable
R5 • 1200m • Class 4;
Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgian Sigma Matthew Poon |
4 | 32% | $$9.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Everstar James Orman |
10 | 32% | $$9.02 | DANGER |
| 3 | Podium Jerry Chau |
6 | 30% | $$9.74 | |
| 4 | Iron Security Derek Leung |
2 | 30% | $$10.02 |
WINTab 5 Georgian Sigma0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
20%
Flashing Fighter (12) J: Hugh Bowman
proven at distance, in good form
2
20%
Glory B (7) J: Lyle Hewitson
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#4
3
30%
Iron Security (2) J: Derek Leung
proven at distance, top jockey
4
21%
Danica's Choice (5) J: Britney Wong
top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
32%
Georgian Sigma (4) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
#2
6
32%
Everstar (10) J: James Orman
track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable
7
28%
Brownneedsfurther (3) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
8
16%
Forever Fancy (11) J: Vincent Ho
top jockey, quality stable
9
21%
Star Figure (9) J: Brenton Avdulla
proven at distance, quality stable
#3
10
30%
Podium (6) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
27%
Loving Vibes (1) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
12
28%
Yee Cheong Spirit (8) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
Exotics
Quinella: Georgian Sigma, Everstar
Exacta: Georgian Sigma / Everstar, Podium
Trifecta: Box: Georgian Sigma, Everstar, Podium, Iron Security
First 4: Box: Georgian Sigma, Everstar, Podium, Iron Security, Brownneedsfurther
R6 • 1200m • Class 4;
Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $1170000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meowth Luke Ferraris |
5 | 34% | $$8.30 | BEST |
| 2 | The Heir Joao Moreira |
2 | 33% | $$8.76 | DANGER |
| 3 | Bright Day Derek Leung |
7 | 30% | $$9.80 | |
| 4 | Healthy Healthy Harry Bentley |
8 | 30% | $$9.85 |
WINTab 4 Meowth0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
33%
The Heir (2) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#3
2
30%
Bright Day (7) J: Derek Leung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#4
3
30%
Healthy Healthy (8) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
4
34%
Meowth (5) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
5
29%
Vigor Eye (1) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
6
10%
Spirited Steed (10) J: Jerry Chau
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
26%
Nebraskan (4) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
24%
The Perfect Match (11) J: Hugh Bowman
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
9
22%
Phoenix Light (12) J: Matthew Poon
proven at distance
10
21%
Glorious Ryder (9) J: Britney Wong
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
11
19%
Winning Now (3) J: Angus Chung
top jockey
12
25%
Heroic Master (6) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
Exotics
Quinella: Meowth, The Heir
Exacta: Meowth / The Heir, Bright Day
Trifecta: Box: Meowth, The Heir, Bright Day, Healthy Healthy
First 4: Box: Meowth, The Heir, Bright Day, Healthy Healthy, Vigor Eye
R7 • 1200m • Class 3;
Low Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $1860000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Joy N Fun Jerry Chau |
12 | 32% | $$9.13 | BEST |
| 2 | Amazing Kid Andrea Atzeni |
5 | 28% | $$10.70 | DANGER |
| 3 | Jubilant Winner James Orman |
3 | 27% | $$11.10 | |
| 4 | Symbol Of Strength Luke Ferraris |
4 | 27% | $$11.13 |
EACH WAYTab 9 Super Joy N Fun (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Happy Index (9) J: Hugh Bowman
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
2
27%
Symbol Of Strength (4) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge
#3
3
27%
Jubilant Winner (3) J: James Orman
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
4
25%
Harmony N Blessed (11) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#2
5
28%
Amazing Kid (5) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
25%
Igor Stravinsky (2) J: Britney Wong
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
26%
King Profit (7) J: E C W Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
21%
Dancing Classics (8) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
9
32%
Super Joy N Fun (12) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
10
21%
Ace Champion (1) J: Vincent Ho
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
26%
Power Koepp (6) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
12
22%
Tactical Ace (10) J: Keith Yeung
proven at distance, quality stable
R8 • 1800m • Class 2;
PASS
Class 2; • Prize: $3120000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helene Feeling E C W Wong |
10 | 31% | $$8.27 | BEST |
| 2 | Californiatotality Alexis Badel |
5 | 30% | $$8.78 | DANGER |
| 3 | Soleil Fighter Hugh Bowman |
3 | 29% | $$9.14 | |
| 4 | Liveandletlive Angus Chung |
11 | 28% | $$9.94 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
31%
Helene Feeling (10) J: E C W Wong
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#3
2
29%
Soleil Fighter (3) J: Hugh Bowman
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
3
19%
Packing Angel (8) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
30%
Californiatotality (5) J: Alexis Badel
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
5
25%
Awesome Fluke (9) J: Ethan Brown
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge
6
21%
Silvery Breeze (1) J: Zac Purton
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
28%
Beauty Alliance (2) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8
18%
Pocketing (4) J: Lyle Hewitson
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
9
22%
Armor Golden Eagle (6) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, flying form, top jockey
10
26%
Joy Of Spring (7) J: Joao Moreira
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#4
11
28%
Liveandletlive (11) J: Angus Chung
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R9 • 1650m • Class 3;
PASS
Class 3; • Prize: $2050000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Class E C W Wong |
6 | 28% | $$9.24 | BEST |
| 2 | Fivefortwo Luke Ferraris |
7 | 30% | $$9.72 | DANGER |
| 3 | All Round Winner Harry Bentley |
8 | 29% | $$10.17 | |
| 4 | Stormi Karis Teetan |
1 | 28% | $$10.74 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Smart Avenue (5) J: Zac Purton
in good form, top jockey
2
18%
Mister Dapper (3) J: Brenton Avdulla
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
3
30%
Fivefortwo (7) J: Luke Ferraris
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
4
25%
Without Compare (11) J: Jerry Chau
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
5
25%
Keefy (9) J: Matthew Poon
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge
#3
6
29%
All Round Winner (8) J: Harry Bentley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
7
28%
Class (6) J: E C W Wong
form a concern
8
18%
Casa Rochester (10) J: Angus Chung
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
9
28%
California Moxie (2) J: Andrea Atzeni
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#4
10
28%
Stormi (1) J: Karis Teetan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
19%
Yee Cheong Glory (12) J: Alexis Badel
top jockey, quality stable
12
26%
Another Zonda (4) J: Matthew L Chadwick
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R1:
Tab 4 Prince Alex (Barrier 3)
Model: $7.61
1 units
Model: $7.61
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 02/06/2026, 1:39:33 pm