Grafton
2026-07-19
Soft
Rail: +3m Entire
Updated: 19:12 AEST
7
Races Analysed
0
Bets Found
N/A
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Grafton
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- J Grisedale: 3W from 5 (60.0% win, 60.0% place)
- Bailie Baker: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 60.0% place)
- B Looker: 2W from 18 (11.1% win, 33.3% place)
- Ms J Worley: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 75.0% place)
- Justin P Stanley: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 60.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1700m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finding Elle Raymond Spokes |
9 | 30% | $$9.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Durness Ben Looker |
8 | 27% | $$9.36 | DANGER |
| 3 | Turpin's Torment Cassey Williams |
7 | 30% | $$9.88 | |
| 4 | Cook My Goose Grady Spokes |
5 | 24% | $$12.14 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
21%
Habib Albi (10) J: Mikayla Weir
place chance
#4
2
24%
Cook My Goose (5) J: Grady Spokes
place chance
3
19%
Taga Smile (1) J: Nick Heywood
looking for others
4
21%
At Church (2) J: Archie Mc Colm
inconsistent
#2
5
27%
Durness (8) J: Ben Looker
solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent
6
15%
Esther Mary (11) J: Dylan Turner
looking for others
#1
7
30%
Finding Elle (9) J: Raymond Spokes
proven at distance, inconsistent
8
24%
Happy Coffee (3) J: Bailey Wheeler
place chance
9
18%
Lagavulin (4) J: Frederick Larson
looking for others
10
21%
Play It Cool (12) J: Danny Peisley
place chance
11
21%
Sajjetti (6) J: Harrison Shaw
inconsistent
#3
12
30%
Turpin's Torment (7) J: Cassey Williams
proven at distance
13Tuscanado (13)SCR
R2 • 1100m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mongolian Spring Bailie Baker |
6 | 28% | $$8.30 | BEST |
| 2 | The Blue Swan Lake Grace Palmer |
9 | 25% | $$8.84 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sea Turtle Bailey Wheeler |
2 | 23% | $$9.02 | |
| 4 | Lady Tuatara Frederick Larson |
4 | 26% | $$10.16 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
14%
Babe Roth (7) J: Siabh Rigley
inconsistent
2
21%
Checks'n'balances (11) J: Dylan Turner
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
3
28%
Mongolian Spring (6) J: Bailie Baker
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
18%
Morebar (1) J: Raymond Spokes
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5
18%
Rum And Kirk (8) J: Nick Heywood
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
23%
Savanna Golden Boy (5) J: Harrison Shaw
top jockey
#3
7
23%
Sea Turtle (2) J: Bailey Wheeler
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8Kirishima (6)SCR
#4
9
26%
Lady Tuatara (4) J: Frederick Larson
top jockey
10
13%
Lotsa Lollies (10) J: Archie Mc Colm
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
11
25%
The Blue Swan Lake (9) J: Grace Palmer
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12
18%
Stingeri (3) J: Ben Looker
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
R3 • 1100m • Benchmark 58;
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tryanza Olivia Dalton |
6 | 34% | $$8.96 | BEST |
| 2 | Beer Baron Nick Heywood |
2 | 30% | $$10.88 | DANGER |
| 3 | Benriach Grace Palmer |
9 | 25% | $$11.90 | |
| 4 | Custo Grady Spokes |
3 | 24% | $$12.27 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
24%
Custo (3) J: Grady Spokes
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
2
24%
Mofeed (11) J: Siabh Rigley
suited to trip, in good form
3
24%
Zucchero (13) J: Archie Mc Colm
top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
30%
Beer Baron (2) J: Nick Heywood
suited to trip, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
34%
Tryanza (6) J: Olivia Dalton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
6Beyond The Sky (9)SCR
7
23%
Funky Zebra (8) J: Amelia Heinrich
proven at distance, quality stable
8
22%
The Lupercal (10) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
9
25%
Vendemmia (12) J: Ben Looker
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
18%
Here's Beau (5) J: Bailey Wheeler
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
11
25%
Benriach (9) J: Grace Palmer
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12
22%
Cosmic Coco (7) J: Dylan Turner
top jockey, quality stable
13
21%
Lord Seymour (4) J: Danny Peisley
top jockey, quality stable
14
20%
Barron (1) J: Frederick Larson
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
R4 • 1100m • Benchmark 58;
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Personal Space Dylan Turner |
2 | 27% | $$13.25 | BEST |
| 2 | Desert Cougar Madeline Owen |
7 | 27% | $$14.60 | DANGER |
| 3 | Ausbred Yahoo Olivia Dalton |
6 | 25% | $$14.65 | |
| 4 | Fancy Shoulder Grady Spokes |
14 | 22% | $$15.64 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
26%
Snow Falcon (12) J: Siabh Rigley
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
2
20%
Sequel (16) J:
suited to trip, in good form, proven at level, quality stable
3Gerety (20)SCR
4Cat Empire (3)SCR
#2
5
27%
Desert Cougar (7) J: Madeline Owen
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
6
26%
Gold Puma (9) J: Ben Looker
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
27%
Parana River (8) J: Nick Heywood
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8Autumngirl (16)SCR
9
23%
Red Chick (4) J: Archie Mc Colm
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
23%
Hayley's Rocket (10) J: Mikayla Weir
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
11
22%
Fancy Shoulder (14) J: Grady Spokes
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
12
27%
Personal Space (2) J: Dylan Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
13
24%
Rainbow Lass (15) J:
suited to trip, quality stable
14
24%
Love For Asher (13) J: Raymond Spokes
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
15
27%
Ardonaugh (11) J: Peter Graham
track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey
16
22%
Diamondsaremio (3) J: Bailey Wheeler
top jockey, quality stable
#3
17
25%
Ausbred Yahoo (6) J: Olivia Dalton
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
18
23%
Copenhagen Cat (5) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
19
24%
Saskatoon Berry (1) J:
quality stable
20
21%
Exceed The Sky (17) J:
quality stable, inconsistent
R5 • 3120m • Benchmark 58;
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentine John |
9 | 27% | $$9.29 | BEST |
| 2 | Bright The Sun Archie Mc Colm |
2 | 27% | $$10.93 | DANGER |
| 3 | Papal Miss Bailey Wheeler |
7 | 24% | $$11.02 | |
| 4 | Balmierro Grady Spokes |
3 | 27% | $$11.23 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
27%
Valentine John (9) J:
quality stable
2
22%
Final Chapter (11) J: Leanne Boyd
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#4
3
27%
Balmierro (3) J: Grady Spokes
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
27%
Bright The Sun (2) J: Archie Mc Colm
track specialist, top jockey
5
24%
Thundering Falcon (10) J: Cassey Williams
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
6
25%
Mimessi (8) J: Nathan Thomas
in good form, quality stable
7
25%
Koojan (6) J: Ben Looker
top jockey, quality stable
#3
8
24%
Papal Miss (7) J: Bailey Wheeler
top jockey, quality stable
9
23%
You Think So (5) J: Jason Taylor
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
10
19%
Legs Power (4) J: Mikayla Weir
top jockey, quality stable
11
17%
Smelter (12) J: Frederick Larson
top jockey, inconsistent
12
24%
Memumza Diva (1) J: Stephen Cummins
track specialist, quality stable, inconsistent
R6 • 1400m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Badgers Nuts Danny Peisley |
1 | 29% | $$11.50 | BEST |
| 2 | Xtra Approval Bailie Baker |
12 | 25% | $$12.22 | DANGER |
| 3 | Prancing With Fire Dylan Turner |
10 | 28% | $$12.57 | |
| 4 | Awaygoesthebunny Archie Mc Colm |
7 | 28% | $$12.88 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
29%
Badgers Nuts (1) J: Danny Peisley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
2
19%
Bodhi Boy (6) J: Nick Heywood
top jockey, quality stable
3
26%
Shamedy (13) J: Ben Looker
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
23%
Capo Strada (11) J: Frederick Larson
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
5
26%
Northern Decree (9) J: Bailey Wheeler
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#3
6
28%
Prancing With Fire (10) J: Dylan Turner
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#4
7
28%
Awaygoesthebunny (7) J: Archie Mc Colm
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
21%
Run Rory Run (4) J: Madeline Owen
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
9
24%
Ronny Rock Art (5) J: Grady Spokes
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
10Speed Map (1)SCR
#2
11
25%
Xtra Approval (12) J: Bailie Baker
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
12
22%
Dark Chill (14) J: Violet Soulsby
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
13
22%
Torovista (2) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, top jockey
14
26%
Spills (3) J: Amelia Heinrich
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
15
19%
Master Of Rewards (8) J:
track specialist, quality stable
R7 • 1700m • Benchmark 58;
PASS
Benchmark 58; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Awarded Glory Olivia Dalton |
2 | 31% | $$10.64 | BEST |
| 2 | Queen Of Tayrona Yvette Lewis |
6 | 29% | $$13.50 | DANGER |
| 3 | Flaming Genesis Nozi Tomizawa |
14 | 28% | $$13.59 | |
| 4 | Dupont Teighan Worsnop |
13 | 28% | $$14.14 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
20%
Sound And Vision (1) J: Grady Spokes
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
2
20%
Sinatra (8) J: Nick Heywood
top jockey, quality stable
3
22%
Strobing (12) J: Bailie Baker
top jockey, quality stable
4
21%
Gavin (3) J: Archie Mc Colm
solid track record, top jockey
#1
5
31%
Awarded Glory (2) J: Olivia Dalton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#2
6
29%
Queen Of Tayrona (6) J: Yvette Lewis
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
24%
Venom Wolf (5) J: Raymond Spokes
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
#3
8
28%
Flaming Genesis (14) J: Nozi Tomizawa
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
9
23%
Prestige Ice (9) J: Dylan Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
10
27%
Ottoman Empire (16) J: Jodi Worley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
11
19%
Ourlegseleven (10) J: Noriyuki Masuda
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
12
21%
Seething Chuck (11) J: Madeline Owen
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13
23%
Mr Villa (7) J: Ben Looker
solid track record, top jockey, quality stable
14
25%
Tara Koda (4) J: Mikayla Weir
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
#4
15
28%
Dupont (13) J: Teighan Worsnop
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
16
24%
Flash Prince (15) J:
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Generated 18/07/2026, 7:12:23 pm