Gold Coast

2026-07-18

Soft Rail: +4m 1000-W/Post. +1 metre Remainder.

Updated: 14:08 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Metal Man

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Gold Coast

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

N Tomizawa: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
Chelsea Baker: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
S Cormack: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 60.0% place)
Jaden Lloyd: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 80.0% place)
M Hellyer: 1W from 6 (16.7% win, 50.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 2050m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Bomb Perignon Micheal Hellyer	1	30%	$$6.57	BEST
2	O'reilly's Shout McKenzie Apel	6	31%	$$6.59	DANGER
3	Dwaynetheroc Adin Thompson	5	22%	$$9.16
4	Five Of Us Aidan Keeley	2	21%	$$9.46

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Missile Away (3) J: Dale Smith

top jockey, quality stable

20%

Mister Blaze (4) J: Boris Thornton

top jockey, inconsistent

20%

Steplika Lion (9) J: Brooke Ainsworth

in good form

21%

#3 4

Dwaynetheroc (5) J: Adin Thompson

top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

22%

Sealord (7) J: Frederick Larson

top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

19%

#2 6

O'reilly's Shout (6) J: McKenzie Apel

top jockey, inconsistent

31%

Bills Angel (8) J: Anthony Allen

quality stable, inconsistent

22%

#1 8

Bomb Perignon (1) J: Micheal Hellyer

track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

30%

#4 9

Five Of Us (2) J: Aidan Keeley

solid track record, top jockey, quality stable

21%

R2 • 1000m • Class 1;

Low Value Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Metal Man Ryan Wiggins	3	36%	$$4.63	BEST
2	Ciphertext Sean Cormack	6	30%	$$5.69	DANGER
3	Simba's Pride Harrison Shaw	5	24%	$$7.67
4	Gandalf Danny Peisley	7	21%	$$9.08

WINTab 1 Metal Man1 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Metal Man (3) J: Ryan Wiggins

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

36%

2Over Spray (7)SCR

Funky Zebra (1) J: Boris Thornton

looking for others

20%

#4 4

Gandalf (7) J: Danny Peisley

proven at distance

21%

#3 5

Simba's Pride (5) J: Harrison Shaw

proven at distance

24%

#2 6

Ciphertext (6) J: Sean Cormack

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

30%

Autumngirl (8) J: Karl Zechner

looking for others

17%

Charlotte's Here (4) J: Amy Graham

place chance

21%

I Am Gone (2) J: Dylan Turner

in good form

16%

10Hannabana (10)SCR

R3 • 1800m • Benchmark 65;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 65; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Vandevelde Dylan Turner	2	32%	$$4.21	BEST
2	Argentum Rock Aidan Keeley	1	30%	$$4.76	DANGER
3	Bon Riviere Nathan Fazackerley	4	25%	$$5.67
4	Pink Vixen Stacey Callow	6	25%	$$6.26

WINTab 1 Vandevelde0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Vandevelde (2) J: Dylan Turner

track specialist, proven at level, top jockey

32%

#3 2

Bon Riviere (4) J: Nathan Fazackerley

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form

25%

#4 3

Pink Vixen (6) J: Stacey Callow

proven at level, top jockey, quality stable

25%

#2 4

Argentum Rock (1) J: Aidan Keeley

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

30%

Tesstify Trio (5) J: Boris Thornton

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

20%

6Uniquely Famous (3)SCR

7Hideout (10)SCR

Rainbow Glitter (7) J: Sean Cormack

top jockey, quality stable

17%

9Zousain Girl (6)SCR

10Dubble Hussle (9)SCR

R4 • 1000m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Lipizzaner Danny Peisley	7	36%	$$5.84	BEST
2	Geitz Frederick Larson	8	31%	$$6.58	DANGER
3	Reign Of Dame Karl Zechner	1	30%	$$7.37
4	Mildura Lad Amy Graham	4	26%	$$8.33

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Boscatine (5) J: McKenzie Apel

flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

13%

Fawunderpar (2) J: Ryan Wiggins

flying form, top jockey

18%

#1 3

Lipizzaner (7) J: Danny Peisley

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

36%

#4 4

Mildura Lad (4) J: Amy Graham

proven at distance, top jockey

26%

Not Telling (9) J: Bailey Wheeler

flying form, top jockey

23%

6The Grand Duchy (1)SCR

#2 7

Geitz (8) J: Frederick Larson

track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, top jockey

31%

8Inbestigator (5)SCR

9Itzajungleoutthere (11)SCR

Keen To Begin (6) J: Chelsea Baker

in good form, quality stable, inconsistent

11%

#3 11

Reign Of Dame (1) J: Karl Zechner

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

30%

Arctic Whisper (3) J: Adin Thompson

in good form, top jockey, quality stable

21%

13Mongolian Spring (14)SCR

14Gancedo (11)SCR

15Divinelle (15)SCR

16Carpet Ride (3)SCR

R5 • 1400m • Class 3;

Low Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Chicago King Boris Thornton	8	34%	$$5.96	BEST
2	Scoundrel Aidan Keeley	3	28%	$$7.46	DANGER
3	Davikar Adin Thompson	2	24%	$$8.05
4	Out Of Luck Sean Cormack	4	25%	$$8.77

WINTab 1 Chicago King0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Chicago King (8) J: Boris Thornton

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

34%

#2 2

Scoundrel (3) J: Aidan Keeley

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

28%

#3 3

Davikar (2) J: Adin Thompson

track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

24%

Hermione Prancer (7) J: Danny Peisley

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

25%

5Bole Le (3)SCR

#4 6

Out Of Luck (4) J: Sean Cormack

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

25%

Dushenka (6) J: Karl Zechner

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey

23%

Keiko Say (9) J: McKenzie Apel

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

21%

All Too Foxy (1) J: Anthony Allen

in good form, proven at level

20%

Water Lad (5) J: Frederick Larson

top jockey, inconsistent

18%

11Coco Jewel (7)SCR

R6 • 1800m • Benchmark 62;

PASS

Benchmark 62; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Contreras Noriyuki Masuda	3	27%	$$9.06	BEST
2	Notes Ryan Wiggins	1	31%	$$9.18	DANGER
3	Carnegie Hill Boris Thornton	4	28%	$$10.02
4	Watermelon McKenzie Apel	2	24%	$$11.22

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Carnegie Hill (4) J: Boris Thornton

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

28%

2Cigar Man (12)SCR

#4 3

Watermelon (2) J: McKenzie Apel

proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey

24%

Bovidae (13) J: Adin Thompson

suited to trip, top jockey

25%

5Alfa Dundee (9)SCR

Kalkanli (8) J: Dylan Turner

track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable

22%

Maple Door (7) J: Karl Zechner

top jockey

22%

Wowit's Willywonka (5) J: Aidan Keeley

top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent

17%

Need For Spieth (10) J: Chelsea Baker

in good form

24%

#2 10

Notes (1) J: Ryan Wiggins

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

31%

O'caldino (12) J: Bailey Wheeler

solid track record, suited to trip, in good form, top jockey

22%

12Uniquely Famous (3)SCR

13Hideout (11)SCR

Aboveforty (9) J: Anthony Allen

track specialist

22%

Triple Time (6) J: Nick Heywood

top jockey, quality stable

17%

#1 16

Contreras (3) J: Noriyuki Masuda

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

27%

17Coco Jewel (10)SCR

R7 • 1200m • Benchmark 65;

PASS

Benchmark 65; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	I Stole It Frederick Larson	5	31%	$$5.79	BEST
2	Boondocks Dale Smith	4	27%	$$6.74	DANGER
3	Baltray Ryan Wiggins	8	29%	$$6.74
4	Count Nicholas McKenzie Apel	1	27%	$$7.06

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Count Nicholas (1) J: McKenzie Apel

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

27%

Surfers Royale (7) J: Danny Peisley

proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable

23%

#2 3

Boondocks (4) J: Dale Smith

solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

27%

4Sistine Explorer (12)SCR

5Barello (10)SCR

#1 6

I Stole It (5) J: Frederick Larson

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

31%

#3 7

Baltray (8) J: Ryan Wiggins

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

29%

Birmingham (6) J: Adin Thompson

suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable

18%

Capzinzi (2) J: Karl Zechner

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

16%

10Anarita (8)SCR

11Cantankerous (5)SCR

Atomic Selfie (3) J: Anthony Allen

proven at distance

22%

R8 • 1000m • Open;

Low Value Bet

Open; • Prize: $28000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Spirit Of Brodie Karl Zechner	1	32%	$$5.75	BEST
2	Thelwell Montana Philpot	4	30%	$$6.65	DANGER
3	Muschialli Stacey Callow	5	28%	$$6.73
4	Chakra Boy McKenzie Apel	3	26%	$$7.87

WINTab 7 Spirit Of Brodie0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Chakra Boy (3) J: McKenzie Apel

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

26%

2Maximum Output (12)SCR

Holy Racket (6) J: Bailey Wheeler

proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

26%

#3 4

Muschialli (5) J: Stacey Callow

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey

28%

State In Texas (2) J: Anthony Allen

in good form

18%

6Arisphere (2)SCR

#1 7

Spirit Of Brodie (1) J: Karl Zechner

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey

32%

8Lady Wardell (8)SCR

Bring Me Kash (7) J: Dale Smith

track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable

20%

#2 10

Thelwell (4) J: Montana Philpot

proven at distance, class edge, quality stable

30%

11King Jester (2)SCR

12Sistine Explorer (6)SCR

Harbour Gold (8) J: Frederick Larson

proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent

17%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R2: Tab 1 Metal Man (Barrier 3)
Model: $4.63
1 units

Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

Gamble Responsibly • 1800 858 858 • gamblinghelponline.org.au

Tips are analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.