Flemington
2026-07-18
Soft
Rail: Out 3m Entire Circuit
Updated: 07:34 AEST
9
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Leopard Shark
Best Bet
None
Best Value
97%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Flemington
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Jabez Johnstone: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
- Jett Stanley: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
- H Coffey: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 40.0% place)
- D Yendall: 1W from 9 (11.1% win, 33.3% place)
- Jye McNeil: 0W from 12 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) are ideal in most races. Wide barriers can be advantageous in staying races with access to the better going on the outside.
Pace: On-pace runners and those who can sustain a strong gallop have a clear edge. The track rewards horses that can hold their position and finish strongly through the long straight.
R1 • 1800m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ko Phangan Craig Williams |
1 | 27% | $$4.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Stunning Kitty Jett Stanley |
4 | 27% | $$4.08 | DANGER |
| 3 | Delahra Zac Spain |
2 | 22% | $$4.70 | |
| 4 | Notified Harry Coffey |
5 | 19% | $$6.25 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
27%
Ko Phangan (1) J: Craig Williams
solid track record, in good form, top jockey
#4
2
19%
Notified (5) J: Harry Coffey
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
3
18%
Achy Breaky Heart (3) J: Jye McNeil
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
4
22%
Delahra (2) J: Zac Spain
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
5
27%
Stunning Kitty (4) J: Jett Stanley
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R2 • 1000m • Open;
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leopard Shark Luke Cartwright |
3 | 39% | $$4.57 | BEST |
| 2 | The Troubleshooter Luke Nolen |
1 | 28% | $$5.43 | DANGER |
| 3 | Hard Kick Jackson Radley |
6 | 22% | $$6.93 | |
| 4 | Dark Matter Jye McNeil |
7 | 21% | $$7.35 |
WINTab 2 Leopard Shark1 units
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
22%
Hard Kick (6) J: Jackson Radley
solid track record, flying form, inconsistent
#1
2
39%
Leopard Shark (3) J: Luke Cartwright
proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#2
3
28%
The Troubleshooter (1) J: Luke Nolen
solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent
4
Almontego (4) J: Jett Stanley
form a concern, inconsistent
#4
5
21%
Dark Matter (7) J: Jye McNeil
flying form
6Pocketfullofcash (9)SCR
7
Riverina Lulu (2) J: Harry Coffey
form a concern, inconsistent
8
Veneto Street (5) J: Teodore Nugent
form a concern, inconsistent
9
19%
Panchenko (8) J: Craig Williams
proven at distance, flying form, inconsistent
Exotics
Exacta: Leopard Shark / The Troubleshooter, Hard Kick
Trifecta: Box: Leopard Shark, The Troubleshooter, Hard Kick, Dark Matter
First 4: Box: Leopard Shark, The Troubleshooter, Hard Kick, Dark Matter, Panchenko
R3 • 1600m • Benchmark 78;
Low Value Bet
Benchmark 78; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbie'sdreamworld Dakotah Keane |
9 | 32% | $$8.24 | BEST |
| 2 | Lake Vostok Bailey Kinninmont |
1 | 30% | $$8.81 | DANGER |
| 3 | Madiyya Jackson Radley |
8 | 30% | $$9.16 | |
| 4 | Street Lark Emily Pozman |
5 | 27% | $$10.62 |
WINTab 2 Barbie'sdreamworld0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
25%
Sweet Jasmine (10) J: Dylan Dean
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
2
32%
Barbie'sdreamworld (9) J: Dakotah Keane
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
3
20%
Changing Colours (3) J: Luke Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
4I Am Velvet (5)SCR
#3
5
30%
Madiyya (8) J: Jackson Radley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
6
19%
Storm Season (7) J: Olivia East
proven at distance, top jockey
#2
7
30%
Lake Vostok (1) J: Bailey Kinninmont
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
8
22%
Impending Shadow (11) J: Rose Hammond
in good form
9
25%
Cat Noir (6) J: Ryan Houston
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
22%
Marine Empress (4) J: Caitlin Hollowood
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
11
27%
Street Lark (5) J: Emily Pozman
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
23%
Ataegina (2) J: Brittany Button
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
R4 • 1400m • Open;
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cherish Me Jabez Johnstone |
7 | 34% | $$9.69 | BEST |
| 2 | Davida Michael Dee |
2 | 28% | $$12.33 | DANGER |
| 3 | Duntulm Lass Jett Stanley |
6 | 28% | $$12.70 | |
| 4 | Zuppa Inglese Dakotah Keane |
3 | 26% | $$13.51 |
WINTab 2 Cherish Me0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Palm Angel (12) J: Jackson Radley
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#1
2
34%
Cherish Me (7) J: Jabez Johnstone
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#2
3
28%
Davida (2) J: Michael Dee
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
4
20%
Miss Maranda (14) J: Luke Cartwright
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
5
22%
Angel In Black (4) J: Ryan Houston
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
6
28%
Duntulm Lass (6) J: Jett Stanley
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
7
19%
Licentious (1) J: Holly Durnan
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
20%
Missapprehend (10) J: Jabez Johnstone
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
9
22%
Off Their Perch (8) J: Neil Farley
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
10
22%
Pravaha (13) J: Harry Coffey
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
11
18%
Salizou (11) J: Jye McNeil
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
12
21%
Sky Watcher (5) J: Dean Yendall
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#4
13
26%
Zuppa Inglese (3) J: Dakotah Keane
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
14
18%
Laura Eliza (9) J: Craig Williams
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
R5 • 1700m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prestige Forever Jamie Mott |
13 | 30% | $$11.60 | BEST |
| 2 | Siriusly Hot Michael Dee |
5 | 28% | $$12.49 | DANGER |
| 3 | Kaleo Jabez Johnstone |
11 | 28% | $$13.09 | |
| 4 | Flying Done Dean Yendall |
15 | 28% | $$13.76 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
30%
Prestige Forever (13) J: Jamie Mott
track specialist, in good form, class edge, top jockey
#3
2
28%
Kaleo (11) J: Jabez Johnstone
track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#4
3
28%
Flying Done (15) J: Dean Yendall
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
28%
Siriusly Hot (5) J: Michael Dee
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
5Censori (1)SCR
6
22%
Chowdown (10) J: Harry Coffey
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
20%
Emperor Tzu (2) J: Dakotah Keane
top jockey, quality stable
8
23%
Flying Khan (1) J: Teodore Nugent
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
9
25%
Lucky Lucky Boom (3) J: Zac Spain
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
10
20%
Mr Avery (6) J: Jett Stanley
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
11
23%
Overpriced (7) J: Sheridan Clarke
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
12
23%
Oyster Lane (8) J: Jackson Radley
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13
22%
Zebra Finch (9) J: Craig Williams
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
14
20%
The Mean Fiddler (14) J: Jye McNeil
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
15Jimmy Beans (8)SCR
16
21%
Don't Doubt Dare (4) J:
quality stable
17
22%
Watt On Earth (12) J: Ryan Houston
flying form, top jockey
R6 • 2800m • Open;
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $150000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highland Blaze Tom Madden |
9 | 34% | $$6.89 | BEST |
| 2 | Samuel Langhorne Luke Cartwright |
10 | 31% | $$7.76 | DANGER |
| 3 | Bold Soul Jake Noonan |
4 | 26% | $$9.15 | |
| 4 | Urban Outlook Jett Stanley |
1 | 25% | $$9.33 |
WINTab 6 Highland Blaze0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
26%
Bold Soul (4) J: Jake Noonan
track specialist, in good form, class edge, top jockey
2
23%
Tempesti (7) J: Harry Coffey
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
3
20%
Black Run (5) J: Ryan Houston
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
4
24%
Tajanis (2) J: Lachlan Neindorf
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
5
20%
Virtuous Circle (8) J: Jye McNeil
solid track record, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#1
6
34%
Highland Blaze (9) J: Tom Madden
track specialist, in good form, class edge, top jockey
7
18%
Parvati Party (6) J: Craig Williams
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
8
16%
Stern Idol (3) J: Jabez Johnstone
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
9
31%
Samuel Langhorne (10) J: Luke Cartwright
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#4
10
25%
Urban Outlook (1) J: Jett Stanley
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
R7 • 1200m • Benchmark 88;
PASS
Benchmark 88; • Prize: $130000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barari Jabez Johnstone |
5 | 33% | $$9.97 | BEST |
| 2 | Moby Dick Jett Stanley |
4 | 29% | $$11.89 | DANGER |
| 3 | Great Maximus Emily Pozman |
1 | 29% | $$12.19 | |
| 4 | Zethus Teodore Nugent |
8 | 28% | $$12.31 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
29%
Great Maximus (1) J: Emily Pozman
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
2
25%
Home Rule (10) J: John Allen
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
3
20%
Royal Insignia (13) J: Luke Cartwright
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#2
4
29%
Moby Dick (4) J: Jett Stanley
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
5
27%
Steel Move (2) J: Harry Coffey
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
25%
Betwitchery (11) J: Holly Durnan
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
20%
Bullets High (3) J: Neil Farley
class edge, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
8
23%
Flyer (6) J: Zac Spain
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
9
20%
Mr Verse (12) J: Jamie Mott
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
10
22%
Sixteen Reasons (9) J: Tom Madden
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#1
11
33%
Barari (5) J: Jabez Johnstone
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
21%
Piastri (14) J: Craig Williams
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
13Wolfy (1)SCR
14
27%
Jugiong (7) J: Jye McNeil
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
15
28%
Zethus (8) J: Teodore Nugent
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
R8 • 2000m • Benchmark 100;
PASS
Benchmark 100; • Prize: $130000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flash Feeling Teodore Nugent |
5 | 30% | $$10.78 | BEST |
| 2 | Saint George Emily Pozman |
9 | 29% | $$10.99 | DANGER |
| 3 | Smokin' Romans Jabez Johnstone |
13 | 28% | $$11.10 | |
| 4 | Bankers Choice Jackson Radley |
11 | 28% | $$11.43 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
28%
Bankers Choice (11) J: Jackson Radley
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
#2
2
29%
Saint George (9) J: Emily Pozman
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#3
3
28%
Smokin' Romans (13) J: Jabez Johnstone
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
4
27%
Brayden Star (1) J: Luke Cartwright
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
5
25%
Freedom Rally (12) J: Jett Stanley
class edge, top jockey, quality stable
6
23%
Glory Daze (3) J: Thomas Stockdale
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
7
22%
Nellie Leylax (4) J: Ryan Houston
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
8
23%
Star Of India (6) J: Jye McNeil
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
9
25%
Thedoctoroflove (2) J: Michael Dee
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
10
19%
Smokin' Princess (7) J: Lucinda Boyd
track specialist, suited to trip, class edge, top jockey
11
15%
Chief Little Rock (10) J: Neil Farley
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
12
16%
Think Giant (8) J: Craig Williams
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
#1
13
30%
Flash Feeling (5) J: Teodore Nugent
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
R9 • 1000m • Benchmark 78;
PASS
Benchmark 78; • Prize: $130000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Street Artist Jamie Mott |
10 | 30% | $$9.86 | BEST |
| 2 | Landmark Lachlan Neindorf |
9 | 28% | $$10.10 | DANGER |
| 3 | Per Sempre Neil Farley |
3 | 28% | $$10.77 | |
| 4 | Along The River Ryan Houston |
8 | 28% | $$10.91 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
28%
Along The River (8) J: Ryan Houston
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
2
26%
Nimbustwothousand (12) J: Jett Stanley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
3
24%
Harry Got Styles (6) J: Michael Dee
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
4
22%
Prima Bella (4) J: Harry Coffey
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5
21%
Charmed Run (2) J: Luke Currie
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6Martial Music (7)SCR
7Shining Smile (10)SCR
#3
8
28%
Per Sempre (3) J: Neil Farley
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#2
9
28%
Landmark (9) J: Lachlan Neindorf
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
10
24%
One Hard Lady (1) J: Blaike Mc Dougall
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#1
11
30%
Street Artist (10) J: Jamie Mott
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
12
21%
El Pibe De Oro (7) J: Luke Cartwright
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13
23%
Next Step Iowa (11) J: Craig Williams
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
14
25%
Bring Me Power (5) J: Akira Sugawara
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
Tab 2 Leopard Shark (Barrier 3)
Model: $4.57
1 units
Model: $4.57
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Generated 18/07/2026, 7:34:34 am