Doomben
2026-07-18
Soft
Rail: +2.5m Entire
Updated: 07:44 AEST
9
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Dirty Dancing
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Doomben
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Ben Thompson: 5W from 17 (29.4% win, 58.8% place)
- Tahlia Fenlon: 3W from 6 (50.0% win, 50.0% place)
- Angela Jones: 3W from 9 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Cejay Graham: 3W from 13 (23.1% win, 76.9% place)
- M Rodd: 2W from 6 (33.3% win, 83.3% place)
Barriers: Low barriers (1-5) are critical. Outside draws face significant challenges getting into position.
Pace: Leaders and on-pace runners completely dominate. Back-markers face a nearly impossible task. Forward running is essential for success.
R1 • 1200m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Girl Marley Taylor Marshall |
4 | 32% | $$5.94 | BEST |
| 2 | Fearless Win Mark Du Plessis |
8 | 29% | $$7.25 | DANGER |
| 3 | Tengun Tommy Ben E Thompson |
9 | 28% | $$7.72 | |
| 4 | Doubtwilly |
7 | 23% | $$8.90 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
28%
Tengun Tommy (9) J: Ben E Thompson
solid track record, flying form
#2
2
29%
Fearless Win (8) J: Mark Du Plessis
solid track record, in good form, proven at level
3
17%
High Prophet (6) J: Ashley Butler
flying form
4
18%
Jungle Rhythm (5) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
in good form
5
20%
Syrian Diamond (2) J: Jake Bayliss
flying form
#4
6
23%
Doubtwilly (7) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
7Sky Jest (6)SCR
8
12%
Hidden Whisper (3) J: Leah Martyn
solid track record, in good form
9True Intent (5)SCR
10By Force (9)SCR
#1
11
32%
My Girl Marley (4) J: Taylor Marshall
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
12
21%
Cascading (1) J: Cejay Graham
flying form
R2 • 1350m • Benchmark 70;
PASS
Benchmark 70; • Prize: $75000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detrimental Jasper Franklin |
3 | 31% | $$6.27 | BEST |
| 2 | Moonan Quartz Jace McMurray |
8 | 30% | $$6.62 | DANGER |
| 3 | Puff 'n' Harry Craig Newitt |
6 | 28% | $$7.15 | |
| 4 | Tornado Express Corey Sutherland |
4 | 26% | $$7.87 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Mirra Impact (2)SCR
#1
2
31%
Detrimental (3) J: Jasper Franklin
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
#3
3
28%
Puff 'n' Harry (6) J: Craig Newitt
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4
22%
Seneschal (7) J: Jake Bayliss
proven at distance, quality stable
#4
5
26%
Tornado Express (4) J: Corey Sutherland
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
6
30%
Moonan Quartz (8) J: Jace McMurray
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
7
22%
Contilda's Love (1) J: Taylor Marshall
top jockey, quality stable
8Ariat (12)SCR
9
21%
Can't Getwhatiwant (9) J: Leah Martyn
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
10Crusader Voyage (9)SCR
11Electric Arrow (8)SCR
12
23%
In Society (5) J: Robbie Dolan
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
R3 • 1200m • Open;
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moshulu Spirit Ben E Thompson |
7 | 33% | $$7.63 | BEST |
| 2 | Point Vega Michael Rodd |
4 | 28% | $$8.88 | DANGER |
| 3 | Secret Sort Fiona Sandkuhl |
10 | 27% | $$10.24 | |
| 4 | Fire Bomber Jake Bayliss |
2 | 26% | $$11.31 |
WINTab 2 Moshulu Spirit0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
27%
Secret Sort (10) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#1
2
33%
Moshulu Spirit (7) J: Ben E Thompson
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#2
3
28%
Point Vega (4) J: Michael Rodd
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4
21%
Too Hot To Torque (9) J: Jace McMurray
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#4
5
26%
Fire Bomber (2) J: Jake Bayliss
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
6
23%
Destinys Summit (6) J: Benjamin Osmond
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
7Metal Man (9)SCR
8
24%
Venom Rush (11) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
9
24%
The Torque Xpress (5) J: Craig Newitt
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
10
23%
Over Spray (8) J: Robbie Dolan
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
11
24%
Toro Chase (1) J: Montana Philpot
proven at distance, in good form
12
24%
Rhetoric (3) J: Taylor Marshall
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R4 • 2020m • Benchmark 70;
PASS
Benchmark 70; • Prize: $75000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demarcay Fiona Sandkuhl |
3 | 31% | $$11.12 | BEST |
| 2 | Connecticut Jake Bayliss |
8 | 30% | $$11.38 | DANGER |
| 3 | Stranglehold Benjamin Osmond |
7 | 28% | $$12.78 | |
| 4 | Artful Girl Taylor Marshall |
4 | 28% | $$13.39 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
30%
Connecticut (8) J: Jake Bayliss
suited to trip, quality stable
2Cormac T (3)SCR
3
23%
Divakara (1) J: Craig Newitt
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
26%
Enterprise Private (13) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
5
20%
Farnborough (12) J: Corey Sutherland
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6Marenaro (9)SCR
#3
7
28%
Stranglehold (7) J: Benjamin Osmond
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
8
24%
Blacklist (11) J: Jasper Franklin
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#1
9
31%
Demarcay (3) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
10Dracena (17)SCR
11Fioprospero (16)SCR
12
24%
San Gabriel (9) J: Michael Rodd
track specialist, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
13Cigar Man (14)SCR
14
25%
Grey Northern (10) J: Nozi Tomizawa
solid track record, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#4
15
28%
Artful Girl (4) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
16
22%
Techna (2) J: Robbie Dolan
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17
14%
Kiroro Peak (14) J: Scott Sheargold
quality stable
18
20%
Rugby (5) J: Craig Newitt
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
19
27%
Benzino (6) J:
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
20
21%
Alfa Dundee (15) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21Notes (11)SCR
R5 • 1200m • Open;
Low Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragonne Rouge Michael Rodd |
7 | 32% | $$8.83 | BEST |
| 2 | Stein Mark Du Plessis |
2 | 29% | $$9.12 | DANGER |
| 3 | Carbonara Taylor Marshall |
10 | 28% | $$10.88 | |
| 4 | La Bella Boom Robbie Dolan |
8 | 28% | $$10.99 |
WINTab 2 Dragonne Rouge0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1Sword Of Legacy (5)SCR
#1
2
32%
Dragonne Rouge (7) J: Michael Rodd
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
3
25%
Don'tdoubthelady (3) J: Craig Newitt
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#4
4
28%
La Bella Boom (8) J: Robbie Dolan
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
5
22%
Spirit Of Barty (6) J: Cejay Graham
in good form, quality stable
6
21%
Grinzinger Champ (12) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
23%
Ekhidna (4) J: Ron Stewart
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8Our Huntress (5)SCR
9
15%
Tassortium (9) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
10
28%
Carbonara (10) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
24%
Lovecats (11) J: Jake Bayliss
track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, quality stable
12
25%
Ready For Aimee (1) J: Leah Martyn
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
13
27%
Sequel (5) J: Tahlia Fenlon
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
#2
14
29%
Stein (2) J: Mark Du Plessis
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
15Starvecchio (15)SCR
R6 • 1350m • Class 6;
Low Value Bet
Class 6; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dirty Dancing Jace McMurray |
4 | 36% | $$5.00 | BEST |
| 2 | North Pole Jag Guthmann-Chester |
3 | 31% | $$6.24 | DANGER |
| 3 | Set To Shine Leah Martyn |
8 | 27% | $$7.45 | |
| 4 | Bluepinot Kyle Wilson-Taylor |
1 | 26% | $$8.15 |
WINTab 8 Dirty Dancing1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
26%
John Rambo (2) J: Cejay Graham
track specialist, in good form, quality stable
2
17%
Just Flying (6) J: Jake Bayliss
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
#2
3
31%
North Pole (3) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4Ocean Alps (7)SCR
#3
5
27%
Set To Shine (8) J: Leah Martyn
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#4
6
26%
Bluepinot (1) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
track specialist, proven at distance, proven at level, top jockey
7Mirra Impact (9)SCR
#1
8
36%
Dirty Dancing (4) J: Jace McMurray
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, quality stable
9Daggers (11)SCR
10
23%
Robrick (5) J: Michael Rodd
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
15%
Winston Hills (7) J: Craig Newitt
top jockey, quality stable
12Just In Time (5)SCR
13Pocketmoney (7)SCR
R7 • 1200m • Rest 1 Metro Win;
PASS
Rest 1 Metro Win; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taltarni Fields Jace McMurray |
3 | 29% | $$7.58 | BEST |
| 2 | Too Many Thoughts Ashley Butler |
2 | 26% | $$8.19 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sultry Siren Taylor Marshall |
7 | 28% | $$8.25 | |
| 4 | Beaux Rumble Robbie Dolan |
1 | 27% | $$8.60 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
29%
Taltarni Fields (3) J: Jace McMurray
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
2King Yoshi (11)SCR
#4
3
27%
Beaux Rumble (1) J: Robbie Dolan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
4Scud (11)SCR
5
25%
She's Exotic (5) J: Craig Newitt
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
6
23%
Laydownlily (4) J: Tiffani Brooker
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
7
24%
Maximum Vortex (6) J: Cejay Graham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
8Becamo (14)SCR
9Electric Arrow (9)SCR
#2
10
26%
Too Many Thoughts (2) J: Ashley Butler
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
11
22%
Break Free (10) J: Jake Bayliss
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
12Oberoi Princess (11)SCR
#3
13
28%
Sultry Siren (7) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
14
21%
Surprise Honey (8) J: Ben E Thompson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R8 • 1615m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Express Payment Craig Newitt |
7 | 29% | $$5.96 | BEST |
| 2 | Yet He Moves Kyle Wilson-Taylor |
6 | 27% | $$6.11 | DANGER |
| 3 | Rising Pacific Robbie Dolan |
8 | 25% | $$6.40 | |
| 4 | The Inflictor Corey Sutherland |
2 | 20% | $$7.29 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
20%
The Inflictor (2) J: Corey Sutherland
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#3
2
25%
Rising Pacific (8) J: Robbie Dolan
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
3
23%
Esjay (4) J: Jace McMurray
class edge, quality stable
#2
4
27%
Yet He Moves (6) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
5
24%
Warby (3) J: Ben E Thompson
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#1
6
29%
Express Payment (7) J: Craig Newitt
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
7Pasima (10)SCR
8Boys Night Out (3)SCR
9Felix The Scat (1)SCR
10
22%
Galano (5) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R9 • 1615m • Class 6;
Low Value Bet
Class 6; • Prize: $85000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Social Outcast Craig Newitt |
3 | 36% | $$5.16 | BEST |
| 2 | Eclair Awesome Taylor Marshall |
10 | 28% | $$7.15 | DANGER |
| 3 | Sosino Jace McMurray |
11 | 23% | $$7.25 | |
| 4 | Whisky Dream Cejay Graham |
4 | 25% | $$7.58 |
EACH WAYTab 11 Social Outcast (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1Boys Night Out (2)SCR
2Felix The Scat (13)SCR
3Pasima (8)SCR
4Daggers (2)SCR
#3
5
23%
Sosino (11) J: Jace McMurray
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
6
22%
Cunnamulla Fella (6) J: Michael Rodd
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
20%
Deep Respect (7) J: Ashley Butler
track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
8
17%
High Dandy (1) J: Courtney Bellamy
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, quality stable
9
17%
Naval Trader (9) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
#2
10
28%
Eclair Awesome (10) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
11
36%
Social Outcast (3) J: Craig Newitt
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
12Pocketmoney (5)SCR
#4
13
25%
Whisky Dream (4) J: Cejay Graham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R6:
Tab 8 Dirty Dancing (Barrier 4)
Model: $5.00
1 units
Model: $5.00
1 units
R9:
Tab 11 Social Outcast (Barrier 3)
Model: $5.16
1 units
Model: $5.16
1 units
Total Stake: 2.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 18/07/2026, 7:44:14 am