LIVE TRACK BIAS DETECTED

STRONG outside barrier bias (75% of winners from outer 1/3). STRONG closer bias (75% of winners were closers). (4 races analysed, confidence: MODERATE)
4 races analysed | Confidence: MODERATE

Doomben

2026-06-03
Good Rail: +7m Entire
Updated: 07:34 AEST
8
Races Analysed
2
Bets Found
Easy Love
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Doomben

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Low barriers (1-5) are critical. Outside draws face significant challenges getting into position.

Pace: Leaders and on-pace runners completely dominate. Back-markers face a nearly impossible task. Forward running is essential for success.

R1 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $40000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Shamiela
Damien Boche
6 32% $$4.92 BEST
2 Bottles Of Shells
Ryan Maloney
3 26% $$5.98 DANGER
3 Had It All
Nozi Tomizawa
5 23% $$6.01
4 La Barrita
Ben E Thompson
4 20% $$6.48
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Shamiela (6) J: Damien Boche
form a concern, inconsistent
32%
2
Arctic Bright (1) J: Cejay Graham
solid track record
20%
#2 3
Bottles Of Shells (3) J: Ryan Maloney
proven at distance, in good form
26%
4
Flying Poppi (2) J: Boris Thornton
in good form, inconsistent
10%
#3 5
Had It All (5) J: Nozi Tomizawa
proven at distance, in good form
23%
6
Lights Will Guide (7) J: Emily Lang
place chance
23%
7Luminous Girl (7)SCR
8Major Hot (10)SCR
9Our Girl Scarlett (8)SCR
#4 10
La Barrita (4) J: Ben E Thompson
flying form
20%

R2 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $40000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Disparate
Jace McMurray
7 31% $$4.85 BEST
2 Iconify
Ben E Thompson
4 31% $$5.26 DANGER
3 Teddy Too Cheap
Ryan Maloney
1 25% $$6.76
4 Parading Gus
Cejay Graham
6 25% $$7.25
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Iconify (4) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance, in good form
31%
2Teelg (3)SCR
3Ardie Three (8)SCR
4
Bowling Harry (2) J: Damien Boche
flying form, top jockey, inconsistent
12%
#1 5
Disparate (7) J: Jace McMurray
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
31%
6
Magna Eruption (5) J: Chelsea Baker
flying form, inconsistent
11%
7Mr Biggs (4)SCR
#4 8
Parading Gus (6) J: Cejay Graham
in good form
25%
9
Rough Cause (3) J: Emily Lang
flying form, top jockey
19%
#3 10
Teddy Too Cheap (1) J: Ryan Maloney
in good form, quality stable, inconsistent
25%

R3 • 1110m • Open;

PASS
Open; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Duke Of Albemarle
Kyle Wilson-Taylor
8 31% $$7.63 BEST
2 Nozomu
Nozi Tomizawa
11 28% $$8.93 DANGER
3 Holy Terror
Ron Stewart
4 21% $$10.05
4 Pinkish Hue
Mark Du Plessis
6 21% $$10.61
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Duke Of Albemarle (8) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
31%
2
Cool Gent (12) J: Corey Sutherland
flying form
24%
3
Sniper Boom (1) J: Damien Boche
in good form, top jockey
22%
#3 4
Holy Terror (4) J: Ron Stewart
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
5Jet Two Mars (10)SCR
#2 6
Nozomu (11) J: Nozi Tomizawa
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
28%
7
Puharich (9) J: Ryan Maloney
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
12%
8Punishment Day (15)SCR
9
Tengun Tommy (10) J: Ben E Thompson
flying form
20%
10
Treasury Lane (3) J: Adin Thompson
flying form, quality stable, inconsistent
13%
11
True Intent (2) J: Benjamin Osmond
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
13%
#4 12
Pinkish Hue (6) J: Mark Du Plessis
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
21%
13
Dancing By (7) J: Jake Bayliss
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
15%
14
Invincible Chase (5) J: Cejay Graham
flying form, inconsistent
14%
15Blacksmith (6)SCR
16Zia Maria (15)SCR

R4 • 1350m • Benchmark 70;

Low Value Bet
Benchmark 70; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Glass Of Rose
Fiona Sandkuhl
8 38% $$4.80 BEST
2 Echo Hunter
Michael Rodd
3 28% $$6.62 DANGER
3 Trapedo
Cejay Graham
5 27% $$7.18
4 Kaffir Lily
Jake Bayliss
4 23% $$8.36
WINTab 1 Glass Of Rose1 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Glass Of Rose (8) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
38%
2
Bollinger Miss (9) J: Ryan Maloney
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
22%
3Fortuneer (10)SCR
4Voodoo Lass (2)SCR
5
Damehood (6) J: Ben E Thompson
place chance
21%
#3 6
Trapedo (5) J: Cejay Graham
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
27%
7Every Heart (9)SCR
#2 8
Echo Hunter (3) J: Michael Rodd
proven at distance, top jockey
28%
9
Hellarious (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
19%
#4 10
Kaffir Lily (4) J: Jake Bayliss
track specialist, proven at level, top jockey, quality stable
23%
11
Kelanoa (1) J: Emily Lang
in good form, top jockey
21%

R5 • 1350m • Benchmark 70;

PASS
Benchmark 70; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Giapponese
Dylan Turner
5 29% $$5.54 BEST
2 Saint Aldwyn
Corey Sutherland
2 33% $$5.82 DANGER
3 Bluepinot
Kyle Wilson-Taylor
3 27% $$7.47
4 Liberty Steps
Rob Thorburn
1 27% $$7.52
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1
Liberty Steps (1) J: Rob Thorburn
proven at distance, class edge
27%
2Kohler Kid (4)SCR
#3 3
Bluepinot (3) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
track specialist, in good form, proven at level, quality stable
27%
#2 4
Saint Aldwyn (2) J: Corey Sutherland
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable
33%
5
Savaii (8) J: Ben E Thompson
in good form
16%
6Smart Action (9)SCR
7
Billionair Baby (4) J: Michael Rodd
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
27%
#1 8
Giapponese (5) J: Dylan Turner
flying form, proven at level, top jockey
29%
9
Holy Flash (6) J: Jake Bayliss
proven at distance, top jockey
24%
10
Raffish (7) J: Damien Boche
top jockey
15%

R6 • 1640m • Class 4;

Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Easy Love
Jag Guthmann-Chester
3 35% $$6.68 BEST
2 He'sgotthesay
Boris Thornton
10 29% $$7.82 DANGER
3 Krumac
Mark Du Plessis
7 29% $$8.31
4 Golden Mikki
Fiona Sandkuhl
6 24% $$9.79
WINTab 3 Easy Love1 units

Full Field Analysis

1
Blazing Harry (5) J: Bella Youngberry
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
20%
2
Farnborough (4) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
24%
#1 3
Easy Love (3) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
35%
4
Wowzino (8) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
20%
5Divakara (13)SCR
6La Cometa (1)SCR
#2 7
He'sgotthesay (10) J: Boris Thornton
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
29%
8Smart Action (10)SCR
9
Don Stefano (9) J: Emily Lang
proven at distance, top jockey, inconsistent
17%
#4 10
Golden Mikki (6) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
proven at distance, top jockey
24%
11
Addition (2) J: Robbie Dolan
proven at distance, in good form
24%
12
Rubydoo (11) J: Cejay Graham
in good form
20%
#3 13
Krumac (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
29%
14Damiani (1)SCR

R7 • 1200m • Class 4;

PASS
Class 4; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Synergy In Motion
Bella Youngberry
10 28% $$6.97 BEST
2 First Mission
Kyle Wilson-Taylor
5 31% $$7.15 DANGER
3 Scheherazade
Dylan Turner
6 30% $$7.44
4 Break Free
Jag Guthmann-Chester
8 28% $$8.05
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Ouroboros (7) J: Boris Thornton
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge
28%
2
Aldolfito (1) J: Jake Bayliss
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#2 3
First Mission (5) J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
31%
4Moravia (18)SCR
5
Scoundrel (3) J: Ben E Thompson
in good form, quality stable
18%
#1 6
Synergy In Motion (10) J: Bella Youngberry
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
28%
#4 7
Break Free (8) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
28%
8Fasvara (10)SCR
9Petite Palace (16)SCR
#3 10
Scheherazade (6) J: Dylan Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
30%
11
Yendy (4) J: Michael Rodd
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
20%
12Caxton Lass (3)SCR
13
Davikar (2) J: Robbie Dolan
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
18%
14Voodoo Lass (6)SCR
15Keep Safe (9)SCR
16Bring Me Saki (6)SCR
17Gagnante Enchere (11)SCR
18Damiani (11)SCR

R8 • 1110m • Benchmark 65;

PASS
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $38000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Financially Famous
Taylor Marshall
6 39% $$4.61 BEST
2 Enterprise Lucia
Corey Sutherland
10 23% $$6.91 DANGER
3 Thankyou Henry
Chelsea Baker
2 27% $$7.55
4 Esprit Du Jour
Ben E Thompson
7 23% $$8.80
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Enterprise Lucia (10) J: Corey Sutherland
proven at distance
23%
#3 2
Thankyou Henry (2) J: Chelsea Baker
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
27%
3Petite Palace (8)SCR
4Bring Me Saki (10)SCR
5
Tornado Express (5) J: Benjamin Osmond
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
6Gaylord (17)SCR
7Metal Man (11)SCR
8
Statement Of Truth (4) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
in good form, quality stable
21%
9Breezin' (13)SCR
10Nepravda (5)SCR
11Caxton Lass (3)SCR
#1 12
Financially Famous (6) J: Taylor Marshall
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
39%
13
Excenia (9) J: Ryan Maloney
proven at distance, in good form
21%
14Miss Funny Honey (17)SCR
15
Bad Forest (1) J: Olivia Kendal
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
22%
#4 16
Esprit Du Jour (7) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance, flying form
23%
17Mofeed (17)SCR
18Flying Shelly (15)SCR
19Chantilly (4)SCR
20Boomshanka (14)SCR
21Keep Safe (13)SCR
22Fortysecondstreet (15)SCR

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R4: Tab 1 Glass Of Rose (Barrier 8)
Model: $4.80
1 units
R6: Tab 3 Easy Love (Barrier 3)
Model: $6.68
1 units
Total Stake: 2.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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