Coleraine
2026-07-19
Soft
Rail: True Entire Circuit
Updated: 11:57 AEST
7
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Flying Witness
Best Bet
None
Best Value
97%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Coleraine
Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.
Jockey Notes: Leading local riders with recent track wins dominate through superior course knowledge. Jockeys riding multiple winners at the venue in the past month carry momentum and understanding of current biases.
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 3300m • Maiden Hurdle;
PASS
Maiden Hurdle; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highness Martin Kelly |
9 | 39% | $$5.06 | BEST |
| 2 | Zedwilldo Cillin Leonard |
1 | 27% | $$6.82 | DANGER |
| 3 | Gripping Steven Pateman |
7 | 21% | $$9.15 | |
| 4 | High Heeled Jordan Hart |
4 | 21% | $$9.62 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
18%
Cherokee Brave (6) J: David Mulcahy
top jockey
2
17%
Embezzler (5) J: Dean Parker
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
#3
3
21%
Gripping (7) J: Steven Pateman
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
4
39%
Highness (9) J: Martin Kelly
proven at distance
5
14%
Mash And Gravy (2) J: Bradley Shane Rantall
looking for others
6
19%
Omeo (8) J: Nathan Newton
looking for others
7
19%
Shogun Express (3) J: Tom Ryan
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
8Step In Time (8)SCR
#2
9
27%
Zedwilldo (1) J: Cillin Leonard
top jockey
#4
10
21%
High Heeled (4) J: Jordan Hart
top jockey, quality stable
R2 • 3300m • Hurdle;
Low Value Bet
Hurdle; • Prize: $35000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flying Witness Dean Parker |
2 | 38% | $$2.54 | BEST |
| 2 | Ferago Daniel Small |
1 | 25% | $$4.61 | DANGER |
| 3 | Split Steven Pateman |
3 | 17% | $$6.29 | |
| 4 | Flashlight Will Gordon |
5 | 19% | $$7.09 |
WINTab 5 Flying Witness1 units
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
25%
Ferago (1) J: Daniel Small
flying form, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
2
8%
Gambu (4) J: Martin Kelly
in good form, quality stable
#4
3
19%
Flashlight (5) J: Will Gordon
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
4
17%
Split (3) J: Steven Pateman
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
5
38%
Flying Witness (2) J: Dean Parker
class edge, top jockey
R3 • 3600m • Steeple;
Low Value Bet
Steeple; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Not Usual Dream Bradley Shane Rantall |
8 | 33% | $$4.77 | BEST |
| 2 | Saint Eustace Steven Pateman |
1 | 28% | $$6.34 | DANGER |
| 3 | Bazini Dean Parker |
4 | 24% | $$6.92 | |
| 4 | Nightfall Jordan Hart |
6 | 20% | $$8.41 |
WINTab 4 Not Usual Dream0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
24%
Bazini (4) J: Dean Parker
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
2
15%
Karburan (3) J: Will Gordon
top jockey
#2
3
28%
Saint Eustace (1) J: Steven Pateman
track specialist, in good form, class edge, top jockey
#1
4
33%
Not Usual Dream (8) J: Bradley Shane Rantall
track specialist, proven at distance
#4
5
20%
Nightfall (6) J: Jordan Hart
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
16%
Raise The Note (2) J: Tom Ryan
in good form, top jockey
7
14%
Mungerannie (5) J: David Mulcahy
top jockey, quality stable
8
19%
Lucky Chance (7) J: Martin Kelly
in good form, quality stable
Exotics
Exacta: Not Usual Dream / Saint Eustace, Bazini
Trifecta: Box: Not Usual Dream, Saint Eustace, Bazini, Nightfall
First 4: Box: Not Usual Dream, Saint Eustace, Bazini, Nightfall, Karburan
R4 • 1600m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Court Jordan Hart |
3 | 37% | $$4.92 | BEST |
| 2 | Our Little Cracker Cillin Leonard |
5 | 27% | $$6.90 | DANGER |
| 3 | War No More Martin Kelly |
6 | 31% | $$7.20 | |
| 4 | Flying Shelby Will Gordon |
4 | 21% | $$9.85 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Ask The Captain (4)SCR
#4
2
21%
Flying Shelby (4) J: Will Gordon
top jockey, inconsistent
3
22%
Helter Peltzer (2) J: Darryl Horner
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
4
Hemi Two Barrell (8) J: Tom Ryan
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
5
13%
Knucklehead (9) J: David Mulcahy
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
23%
Tilzattack (1) J: Micheal Casey
quality stable, inconsistent
#3
7
31%
War No More (6) J: Martin Kelly
proven at distance, in good form
#1
8
37%
French Court (3) J: Jordan Hart
top jockey, inconsistent
9
18%
Gasoline Rainbow (7) J: Dean Parker
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#2
10
27%
Our Little Cracker (5) J: Cillin Leonard
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
R5 • 1300m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atomic Tommy Daniel Small |
10 | 38% | $$6.10 | BEST |
| 2 | Keepy Uppy Micheal Casey |
3 | 32% | $$7.43 | DANGER |
| 3 | The Noble Steed Cillin Leonard |
1 | 28% | $$8.69 | |
| 4 | Aqua Storm Tom Ryan |
8 | 27% | $$8.89 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
27%
Aqua Storm (8) J: Tom Ryan
in good form
#1
2
38%
Atomic Tommy (10) J: Daniel Small
inconsistent
3
24%
Back Of The Boat (11) J: Steven Pateman
suited to trip
4
11%
Chercover's Award (9) J: Martin Kelly
inconsistent
5
21%
Daniel Boone (2) J: Dean Parker
inconsistent
6
Granite Hill (6) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
#2
7
32%
Keepy Uppy (3) J: Micheal Casey
form a concern, inconsistent
8
18%
Seeing Red (4) J: Jordan Hart
inconsistent
9
20%
Tamwood (5) J: Darryl Horner
inconsistent
#3
10
28%
The Noble Steed (1) J: Cillin Leonard
inconsistent
11
19%
Flying Nic (7) J: Will Gordon
looking for others
12Monsoon Indi (9)SCR
R6 • 1300m • Benchmark 56;
PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drover's Yarn |
10 | 29% | $$9.29 | BEST |
| 2 | State Of Maine Luca Remondet |
6 | 29% | $$11.22 | DANGER |
| 3 | Thinking Sensation Tom Ryan |
1 | 26% | $$12.51 | |
| 4 | Elphaba Jordan Ratcliffe |
9 | 26% | $$12.93 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Powering Away (1)SCR
2
25%
Darts Daly (5) J: Dean Parker
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
3
21%
Royal Inference (3) J: Daniel Small
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
4
22%
Mosquito Award (7) J: Steven Pateman
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
5
26%
Thinking Sensation (1) J: Tom Ryan
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
23%
Matrooshi (13) J: Will Gordon
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
7
22%
Hot Stepping Hippy (14) J:
proven at distance
#4
8
26%
Elphaba (9) J: Jordan Ratcliffe
quality stable
9
19%
Chica Con Suerte (2) J: Bradley Shane Rantall
proven at distance
10
16%
Coastal Whispers (12) J: Martin Kelly
quality stable
11
19%
Irish Bliss (8) J: Micheal Casey
proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent
#2
12
29%
State Of Maine (6) J: Luca Remondet
track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable
13
18%
Cortain (11) J: Cillin Leonard
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
14
25%
Smart Elissim (4) J:
suited to trip, class edge, inconsistent
#1
15
29%
Drover's Yarn (10) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
R7 • 2250m • Benchmark 56;
PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smokin' Rohie Luca Remondet |
2 | 30% | $$9.72 | BEST |
| 2 | Circa Bradley Shane Rantall |
5 | 27% | $$11.52 | DANGER |
| 3 | Chartwell House Steven Pateman |
10 | 28% | $$11.55 | |
| 4 | Sadlers Symphony Dean Parker |
3 | 24% | $$12.42 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
21%
Hula Beat (14) J: Darryl Horner
form a concern, top jockey
#4
2
24%
Sadlers Symphony (3) J: Dean Parker
top jockey, quality stable
#3
3
28%
Chartwell House (10) J: Steven Pateman
top jockey, quality stable
4
22%
Initial Moment (4) J: Tom Ryan
proven at distance, top jockey
#1
5
30%
Smokin' Rohie (2) J: Luca Remondet
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
6
19%
Tulchan (9) J: David Mulcahy
top jockey
7
21%
Brave Eight (12) J: Martin Kelly
place chance
8
25%
Octahedron (1) J: Cillin Leonard
top jockey, quality stable
#2
9
27%
Circa (5) J: Bradley Shane Rantall
place chance
10
18%
Turntyne (6) J: Will Gordon
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
11
16%
Donam (7) J: Micheal Casey
quality stable, inconsistent
12
27%
A Blue Star (8) J: Jordan Hart
top jockey
13
24%
El Amigos (13) J:
proven at distance, form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
14
11%
Isosceles (11) J: Nathan Newton
inconsistent
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
Tab 5 Flying Witness (Barrier 2)
Model: $2.54
1 units
Model: $2.54
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 18/07/2026, 11:57:34 am