Coffs Harbour

NSW • 2026-09-03

Soft Rail: +2m 1600m-1000m, +4m 1000m-350, True remainder

Updated: 07:15 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Humphree Bear

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Coffs Harbour

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

O A Dalton: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 40.0% place)
G Spokes: 2W from 9 (22.2% win, 55.6% place)
R Spokes: 2W from 12 (16.7% win, 50.0% place)
P Graham: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
L P Rolls: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1412m • Maiden;12:00

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	La Regina Archie Mc Colm	6	33%	N/A	BEST
2	Sorrenti Ashley Morgan	3	27%	$$22.89	DANGER
3	Birdy Girl Bailie Baker	8	26%	$$1.12
4	Zweigelt Andrew Mallyon	7	20%	$$21.57

Placed 3rd of 9 last start (0.6L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Has tried 1412m without placing — distance may not suit.
Excuses last start — hampered in running at Coffs Harbour. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

⚖️

SPEED MAP

1412m

EVEN PACE

True run race - genuine test

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

—

None

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

La Regina

Barrier 6

PRESSER

—

In Bocca Al Lupe

Barrier 1

PRESSER

—

Sorrenti

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

—

Zweigelt

Barrier 7

MIDFIELD

—

Sea Turtle

Barrier 5

MIDFIELD

—

Birdy Girl

Barrier 8

BACKMARKER

—

Kitsilano

Barrier 2

BACKMARKER

—

Armoury

Barrier 4

BACKMARKER

—

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

Armoury (4) J: Daniel Smith

looking for others

18%

In Bocca Al Lupe (1) J: Raymond Spokes

solid track record

23%

Kitsilano (2) J: Peter Graham

suited to trip, quality stable

22%

Sea Turtle (5) J: Mikayla Weir

inconsistent

19%

#2 5

Sorrenti (3) J: Ashley Morgan

in good form, quality stable

27%

#4 6

Zweigelt (7) J: Andrew Mallyon

in good form, quality stable

20%

#3 7

Birdy Girl (8) J: Bailie Baker

track specialist, proven at distance

26%

#1 8

La Regina (6) J: Archie Mc Colm

proven at distance

33%

R2 • 1212m • Maiden;12:00

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Insain Chaos Grady Spokes	8	34%	$$5.37	BEST
2	Kobi Express Grace Palmer	4	27%	$$6.06	DANGER
3	Rum And Kirk Andrew Mallyon	1	29%	$$6.11
4	Flying Monarch Ashley Morgan	6	18%	$$8.69

Placed 2nd of 6 last start (5.5L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Excuses last start — wide throughout at Coffs Harbour. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

⚖️

SPEED MAP

1212m

EVEN PACE

True run race - genuine test

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

—

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Kobi Express

Barrier 4

LEADER

—

Rum And Kirk

Barrier 1

PRESSER

—

Piolla

Barrier 5

PRESSER

—

Insain Chaos

Barrier 8

MIDFIELD

—

Flying Monarch

Barrier 6

MIDFIELD

—

Pearl Pendant

Barrier 2

MIDFIELD

—

Pietiero

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

—

Sizzling Suzie

Barrier 7

BACKMARKER

—

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Rum And Kirk (1) J: Andrew Mallyon

in good form, quality stable

29%

#1 2

Insain Chaos (8) J: Grady Spokes

solid track record, in good form, quality stable

34%

#4 3

Flying Monarch (6) J: Ashley Morgan

flying form, inconsistent

18%

Sizzling Suzie (7) J: Madeline Owen

looking for others

14%

#2 5

Kobi Express (4) J: Grace Palmer

solid track record, quality stable

27%

Pearl Pendant (2) J: Benjamin Osmond

quality stable

20%

Pietiero (3) J: Andrew Gibbons

quality stable

18%

Piolla (5) J: Liberty Smyth

in good form, quality stable, inconsistent

12%

R3 • 1010m • Maiden;12:00

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Funky Cold Medina Grace Palmer	1	31%	$$6.59	BEST
2	Rubinsky Jenny Duggan	10	31%	$$7.02	DANGER
3	Long Live Ashley Morgan	9	26%	$$7.31
4	Monsieur Wolf Liberty Smyth	5	24%	$$8.85

Placed 2nd of 6 last start (4.0L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
Excuses last start — wide throughout at Gatton. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

⚖️

SPEED MAP

1010m

EVEN PACE

True run race - genuine test

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

—

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Rubinsky

Barrier 10

LEADER

—

Long Live

Barrier 9

PRESSER

—

Hear The Wolf Cry

Barrier 4

PRESSER

—

Funky Cold Medina

Barrier 1

MIDFIELD

—

Rockin' Red

Barrier 8

MIDFIELD

—

Sunset Adios

Barrier 7

MIDFIELD

—

Pointy End

Barrier 6

MIDFIELD

—

Who Loves A Harley

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

—

Monsieur Wolf

Barrier 5

BACKMARKER

—

Irenova

Barrier 2

BACKMARKER

—

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Funky Cold Medina (1) J: Grace Palmer

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

31%

Hear The Wolf Cry (4) J: Stephen Traecey

flying form, inconsistent

13%

#3 3

Long Live (9) J: Ashley Morgan

in good form, quality stable

26%

#4 4

Monsieur Wolf (5) J: Liberty Smyth

solid track record, proven at distance

24%

Rockin' Red (8) J: Grady Spokes

in good form, quality stable

23%

Who Loves A Harley (3) J: Raymond Spokes

inconsistent

10%

#2 7

Rubinsky (10) J: Jenny Duggan

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

31%

Sunset Adios (7) J: Danny Peisley

in good form

18%

Irenova (2) J: Archie Mc Colm

in good form, quality stable

15%

Pointy End (6) J: Andrew Gibbons

flying form, quality stable

15%

R4 • 1212m • Benchmark 66;12:00

PASS

Benchmark 66; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Certified Copy Archie Mc Colm	2	32%	$$75.14	BEST
2	Jewels Statement Olivia Dalton	8	29%	$$3.42	DANGER
3	Golden Copper Andrew Mallyon	7	23%	$$7.20
4	Flying Shelly Liberty Smyth	6	27%	$$29.86

Placed 2nd of 13 last start (0.9L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
Excuses last start — blocked for run at Coffs Harbour. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

⚖️

SPEED MAP

1212m

EVEN PACE

True run race - genuine test

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

—

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Golden Copper

Barrier 7

LEADER

—

Flying Shelly

Barrier 6

PRESSER

—

Introducing

Barrier 9

PRESSER

—

Certified Copy

Barrier 2

MIDFIELD

—

Jewels Statement

Barrier 8

MIDFIELD

—

Patrioticintention

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

—

A Touch From Fayt

Barrier 4

MIDFIELD

—

Wanjina Rose

Barrier 5

BACKMARKER

—

Cardsharp

Barrier 1

BACKMARKER

—

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Certified Copy (2) J: Archie Mc Colm

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

32%

Patrioticintention (3) J: Grace Palmer

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

26%

#2 3

Jewels Statement (8) J: Olivia Dalton

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

29%

#4 4

Flying Shelly (6) J: Liberty Smyth

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

27%

#3 5

Golden Copper (7) J: Andrew Mallyon

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

23%

Introducing (9) J: Mikayla Weir

proven at level, inconsistent

17%

Wanjina Rose (5) J: Grady Spokes

track specialist, proven at distance

24%

Cardsharp (1) J: Danny Peisley

track specialist, quality stable

21%

A Touch From Fayt (4) J: Raymond Spokes

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

21%

R5 • 1212m • Class 1;12:00

PASS

Class 1; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Jade Trees Grady Spokes	11	31%	$$10.25	BEST
2	Prince De Vega Ashley Morgan	6	31%	$$10.80	DANGER
3	Benriach Grace Palmer	7	26%	$$25.70
4	Lord Vettori Jack Baker	8	23%	$$68.43

Placed 3rd of 6 last start (6.0L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
Excuses last start — blocked for run at Grafton. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

🔥

SPEED MAP

1212m

HOT PACE

Multiple early speed - closers advantaged

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

▲▲

▲

—

▼

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Prince De Vega

Barrier 6

LEADER

▼

Jade Trees

Barrier 11

PRESSER

—

Lord Vettori

Barrier 8

PRESSER

—

Felis Chaus

Barrier 1

PRESSER

—

Rosenblum

Barrier 12

PRESSER

—

Dirty Does It

Barrier 14

MIDFIELD

▲

Stern Dispute

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

▲

River Biscotte

Barrier 4

MIDFIELD

▲

Lucky Ozzie

Barrier 15

MIDFIELD

▲

Oakfield Universe

Barrier 5

MIDFIELD

▲

Outoftheoffice

Barrier 10

MIDFIELD

▲

Benriach

Barrier 7

BACKMARKER

▲▲

Crashmyplaya

Barrier 13

BACKMARKER

▲▲

Dundee Tales

Barrier 2

BACKMARKER

▲▲

On Her Word

Barrier 9

BACKMARKER

▲▲

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Lord Vettori (8) J: Jack Baker

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

23%

Felis Chaus (1) J: Liberty Smyth

place chance

24%

#1 3

Jade Trees (11) J: Grady Spokes

track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

31%

Lucky Ozzie (15) J:

proven at distance, in good form

21%

#2 5

Prince De Vega (6) J: Ashley Morgan

proven at distance, flying form, quality stable

31%

Oakfield Universe (5) J: Benjamin Osmond

quality stable

21%

Stern Dispute (3) J: Andrew Gibbons

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

24%

#3 8

Benriach (7) J: Grace Palmer

proven at distance, quality stable

26%

Dirty Does It (14) J: Danny Peisley

suited to trip, in good form

27%

River Biscotte (4) J: Jenny Duggan

proven at distance, in good form

22%

Rosenblum (12) J: Raymond Spokes

in good form, quality stable

20%

On Her Word (9) J: Mikayla Weir

suited to trip, quality stable, inconsistent

20%

Crashmyplaya (13) J: Daniel Smith

in good form

25%

Dundee Tales (2) J:

solid track record, proven at distance

25%

Outoftheoffice (10) J:

quality stable

17%

R6 • 1010m • Class 3;12:00

Low Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Humphree Bear Danny Peisley	1	36%	$$5.55	BEST
2	Rich Star Liberty Smyth	7	31%	$$31.98	DANGER
3	The Lupercal Andrew Gibbons	2	25%	$$21.20
4	Aye Aye Skipper Raymond Spokes	9	24%	$$4.24

Placed 3rd of 12 last start (1.2L).
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.

EACH WAYTab 4 Humphree Bear (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

🔥

SPEED MAP

1010m

HOT PACE

Multiple early speed - closers advantaged

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

None

▲

—

▼

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Aye Aye Skipper

Barrier 9

LEADER

▼

Rich Star

Barrier 7

PRESSER

—

The Lupercal

Barrier 2

PRESSER

—

Ex Wife

Barrier 5

PRESSER

—

Soho Artist

Barrier 3

PRESSER

—

Tryanza

Barrier 4

PRESSER

—

The Rookie

Barrier 6

PRESSER

—

Humphree Bear

Barrier 1

MIDFIELD

▲

Pratt

Barrier 8

MIDFIELD

▲

West Germany

Barrier 5

MIDFIELD

▲

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Rich Star (7) J: Liberty Smyth

proven at distance, flying form

31%

Pratt (8) J: Daniel Smith

proven at distance, quality stable

19%

Ex Wife (5) J: Grady Spokes

proven at distance, in good form

21%

#1 4

Humphree Bear (1) J: Danny Peisley

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

36%

Soho Artist (3) J: Andrew Mallyon

proven at distance

16%

The Rookie (6) J: Grace Palmer

proven at distance, in good form

19%

Tryanza (4) J: Mikayla Weir

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

22%

#4 8

Aye Aye Skipper (9) J: Raymond Spokes

track specialist, in good form

24%

#3 9

The Lupercal (2) J: Andrew Gibbons

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

25%

West Germany (5) J:

proven at distance, form a concern

17%

Exotics

Quinella: Humphree Bear, Rich Star

Exacta: Humphree Bear / Rich Star, The Lupercal

Trifecta: Box: Humphree Bear, Rich Star, The Lupercal, Aye Aye Skipper

First 4: Box: Humphree Bear, Rich Star, The Lupercal, Aye Aye Skipper, Ex Wife

R7 • 1612m • Benchmark 58;12:00

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 58; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Venom Wolf Raymond Spokes	10	34%	$$5.03	BEST
2	Ausbred Yahoo Bailie Baker	2	31%	$$6.83	DANGER
3	Secret Keeper Andrew Mallyon	11	28%	$$9.03
4	Zucchero Archie Mc Colm	1	27%	$$10.27

Finished 4th last start, 7.7L off winner.
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Has tried 1612m without placing — distance may not suit.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.

HIDDEN RUN

WINTab 3 Venom Wolf0.5 units

🐢

SPEED MAP

1612m

SLOW PACE

No pressure - leader advantaged

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

▼

—

▲

None

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

Vermeer

Barrier 6

PRESSER

▲

Venom Wolf

Barrier 10

MIDFIELD

—

Ausbred Yahoo

Barrier 2

MIDFIELD

—

Secret Keeper

Barrier 11

MIDFIELD

—

Zucchero

Barrier 1

MIDFIELD

—

Releasethewolves

Barrier 9

MIDFIELD

—

Dupont

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

—

Mum Knows

Barrier 4

MIDFIELD

—

Herald Angel

Barrier 7

BACKMARKER

▼

Dipierdomenico

Barrier 8

BACKMARKER

▼

Artie Lady

Barrier 5

BACKMARKER

▼

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

Herald Angel (7) J: Liberty Smyth

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

22%

Vermeer (6) J: Noriyuki Masuda

quality stable

21%

#1 3

Venom Wolf (10) J: Raymond Spokes

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

34%

#4 4

Zucchero (1) J: Archie Mc Colm

proven at distance, inconsistent

27%

Dipierdomenico (8) J: Mikayla Weir

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

22%

#3 6

Secret Keeper (11) J: Andrew Mallyon

track specialist, proven at distance

28%

#2 7

Ausbred Yahoo (2) J: Bailie Baker

track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, quality stable

31%

Artie Lady (5) J: Ashley Morgan

quality stable

19%

Releasethewolves (9) J: Siabh Rigley

track specialist, inconsistent

20%

Mum Knows (4) J: Kirk Matheson

track specialist, inconsistent

20%

Dupont (3) J: Grace Palmer

proven at distance, quality stable

19%

R8 • 808m • Benchmark 58;12:00

PASS

Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Cool Fizz Juliet Partridge	1	33%	$$98.04	BEST
2	I Am Voodoo Jordie Thompson	2	28%	$$1.79	DANGER
3	City Of Tears Siabh Rigley	6	24%	$$10.73
4	Close To Midnight Mikayla Weir	8	25%	$$10.93

Finished 5th last start, 3.3L off winner.
Significant class drop — has been competing against stronger opposition.
Sectional times below field average — may struggle in a tight finish.
Excuses last start — hampered in running at Grafton. Rating adjusted upward.

No edge detected — race passed.

🔥

SPEED MAP

808m

HOT PACE

Multiple early speed - closers advantaged

START ←

→ FINISH 🏁

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

None

▲

—

▼

Back

Midfield

Pressers

Leaders

Running Style Breakdown

City Of Tears

Barrier 6

LEADER

▼

Close To Midnight

Barrier 8

LEADER

▼

She's A Wild One

Barrier 11

LEADER

▼

Highland Force

Barrier 5

LEADER

▼

Maxandus

Barrier 12

LEADER

▼

Cool Fizz

Barrier 1

PRESSER

—

I Am Voodoo

Barrier 2

PRESSER

—

Olufsen

Barrier 7

PRESSER

—

Wild Pharaoh

Barrier 10

PRESSER

—

Prize Writer

Barrier 9

PRESSER

—

Mini Angel

Barrier 4

MIDFIELD

▲

Cianwood City

Barrier 3

MIDFIELD

▲

▲▲ Strong advantage ▲ Slight advantage — Neutral ▼ Disadvantaged

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

I Am Voodoo (2) J: Jordie Thompson

in good form, quality stable

28%

#1 2

Cool Fizz (1) J: Juliet Partridge

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

33%

#4 3

Close To Midnight (8) J: Mikayla Weir

in good form

25%

Olufsen (7) J: Bailie Baker

track specialist, quality stable

25%

#3 5

City Of Tears (6) J: Siabh Rigley

track specialist, in good form

24%

Maxandus (12) J:

quality stable

20%

Prize Writer (9) J: Grady Spokes

quality stable

16%

Highland Force (5) J: Archie Mc Colm

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

18%

Mini Angel (4) J: Grace Palmer

quality stable

22%

Wild Pharaoh (10) J:

inconsistent

20%

She's A Wild One (11) J: Daniel Smith

looking for others

20%

Cianwood City (3) J: Liberty Smyth

quality stable

18%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R6: Tab 4 Humphree Bear (Barrier 1)
Model: $5.55
1 units

Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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