Canberra

2026-09-04

Heavy Rail: True

Updated: 10:42 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

N/A

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Canberra

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Dale Cole: 2W from 7 (28.6% win, 42.9% place)
Claire Ramsbotham: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
S Guymer: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 60.0% place)
Pierre Boudvillain: 1W from 6 (16.7% win, 83.3% place)
Ms L Day: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 0.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1600m • Benchmark 65;

PASS

Benchmark 65; • Prize: $22000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Think I Do Jordan Quince	8	26%	$$5.78	BEST
2	Miss Stalwart Deon Le Roux	4	29%	$$6.00	DANGER
3	Feazabeel Brodie Loy	6	24%	$$6.62
4	Remadosi Quayde Krogh	3	24%	$$6.65

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Philadelphia Storm (2) J: Dale Cole

proven at distance

26%

Helluva Soiree (5) J: Claire Ramsbotham

form a concern

18%

#1 3

Think I Do (8) J: Jordan Quince

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

26%

#3 4

Feazabeel (6) J: Brodie Loy

proven at distance, in good form

24%

#2 5

Miss Stalwart (4) J: Deon Le Roux

solid track record, proven at distance

29%

#4 6

Remadosi (3) J: Quayde Krogh

solid track record, proven at distance

24%

The Eyes Have It (7) J: Pierre Boudvillain

solid track record, in good form, proven at level

19%

8Give Me Joy (1)SCR

R2 • 1000m • Benchmark 50;

PASS

Benchmark 50; • Prize: $16000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Vainstream Deon Le Roux	3	30%	$$8.09	BEST
2	Prophet Time Sairyn Fawke	1	29%	$$8.17	DANGER
3	Into The Fire Jessica Brookes	2	26%	$$9.11
4	Soho Sushi Shaun Guymer	8	23%	$$10.92

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Off Shaw (11) J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent

14%

Hello Jack (9) J: Brodie Loy

track specialist, suited to trip

22%

Inna Zou (5) J: Emma Ly

place chance

21%

#2 4

Prophet Time (1) J: Sairyn Fawke

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

29%

#1 5

Vainstream (3) J: Deon Le Roux

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

30%

#3 6

Into The Fire (2) J: Jessica Brookes

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

26%

Santolini (10) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

22%

Taluk (4) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

proven at distance

21%

Time And Rhythm (6) J: Pierre Boudvillain

suited to trip

20%

#4 10

Soho Sushi (8) J: Shaun Guymer

proven at distance, quality stable

23%

Papaver Miner (7) J: Deep Shanker

solid track record

20%

R3 • 1000m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Parker's Paradise Jeff Penza	2	25%	$$7.25	BEST
2	Stormy Reign Teaghan Martin	5	31%	$$7.62	DANGER
3	Souk Emma Ly	1	23%	$$8.04
4	Defiance Brodie Loy	10	26%	$$8.23

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Defiance (10) J: Brodie Loy

in good form, quality stable

26%

Groundcover (6) J: Nick Heywood

flying form, quality stable

20%

#3 3

Souk (1) J: Emma Ly

proven at distance

23%

Sweet Harry (4) J: Claire Ramsbotham

flying form, inconsistent

14%

Highwire Artist (9) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

flying form, inconsistent

13%

#1 6

Parker's Paradise (2) J: Jeff Penza

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

25%

Nanami (3) J: Dale Cole

in good form, inconsistent

11%

Prairie Legend (8) J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

quality stable, inconsistent

20%

Steffiewah (7) J: Quayde Krogh

looking for others

17%

#2 10

Stormy Reign (5) J: Teaghan Martin

solid track record, suited to trip, quality stable

31%

R4 • 2000m • Class 1;

PASS

Class 1; • Prize: $22000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Liyah's Girl Grant Buckley	8	29%	$$8.13	BEST
2	Powerful Prayer Brock Ryan	1	24%	$$8.19	DANGER
3	Cool As Popeye Coriah Keatings	6	28%	$$9.08
4	Pontiac Rebecca Bronett Prag	10	26%	$$10.09

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Pontiac (10) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

track specialist, proven at distance

26%

#2 2

Powerful Prayer (1) J: Brock Ryan

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

24%

#3 3

Cool As Popeye (6) J: Coriah Keatings

quality stable

28%

#1 4

Liyah's Girl (8) J: Grant Buckley

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

29%

Star Turn Dancer (3) J: Claire Ramsbotham

quality stable

19%

C'mon Wicksy (9) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

quality stable

20%

Fill Up (5) J: Quayde Krogh

in good form

20%

He Likes To Party (2) J: Sairyn Fawke

quality stable, inconsistent

18%

Prized Gesture (7) J: Michael Heagney

inconsistent

21%

Revuelto (4) J: Adam Farragher

quality stable, inconsistent

14%

Star Chic (11) J: Robyn Freeman

quality stable, inconsistent

22%

R5 • 1400m • Benchmark 55;

PASS

Benchmark 55; • Prize: $22000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Alabama Hussy Nick Heywood	8	27%	$$15.75	BEST
2	Ikon Park Brodie Loy	15	22%	$$15.92	DANGER
3	Deeply Pierre Boudvillain	12	25%	$$16.10
4	Tsarina Diamonds	14	26%	$$16.22

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Deekaygeebee (5) J: Dale Cole

in good form, quality stable

23%

Xerxes (10) J: Jordan Quince

proven at distance, in good form

25%

#2 3

Ikon Park (15) J: Brodie Loy

flying form

22%

#1 4

Alabama Hussy (8) J: Nick Heywood

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

27%

Seguro (3) J: Teaghan Martin

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

26%

Mystic Diva (11) J: Deon Le Roux

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

23%

7Zielle (20)SCR

Hell Of A Show (17) J:

track specialist, in good form, quality stable

20%

#3 9

Deeply (12) J: Pierre Boudvillain

in good form, quality stable

25%

Hard Grunt (2) J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

solid track record, in good form, quality stable

22%

On Point Pixie (6) J: Louise Day

proven at distance

22%

12Splendid Magnus (16)SCR

Eye For Style (18) J: Jess Taylor

proven at distance

20%

She'sadare (9) J: Coriah Keatings

track specialist, quality stable

16%

Vanrosa (1) J: Molly Bourke

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

19%

#4 16

Tsarina Diamonds (14) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

26%

Kotaishi (13) J:

track specialist, proven at distance, form a concern

23%

Freddy's Shock (4) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

proven at distance, in good form

20%

Golden Warrior (16) J:

proven at distance, inconsistent

17%

Go Gazza (7) J: Quayde Krogh

proven at distance, in good form

20%

R6 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $22000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Ring Of Fire Blaike Mc Dougall	5	30%	$$10.09	BEST
2	Wendell Amy Mc Lucas	12	26%	$$11.36	DANGER
3	Boujee Gold Coriah Keatings	1	25%	$$11.41
4	Beautiful You Mollie Fitzgerald	2	22%	$$11.90

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Balmain Warrior (7) J: Molly Bourke

quality stable

18%

Lunar Dancer (10) J: Nick Heywood

flying form, quality stable, inconsistent

17%

#1 3

Ring Of Fire (5) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

30%

Slater's Boy (6) J: Brodie Loy

quality stable

21%

Waves Of Wisdom (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire

flying form, quality stable, inconsistent

22%

Better Bloom (13) J: Shaun Guymer

quality stable

17%

Isotropic (8) J: Adrian Layt

suited to trip

18%

Cool Aza Dude (9) J: Robyn Freeman

in good form

17%

The One (11) J:

in good form, quality stable, inconsistent

15%

#2 10

Wendell (12) J: Amy Mc Lucas

in good form

26%

#4 11

Beautiful You (2) J: Mollie Fitzgerald

flying form

22%

#3 12

Boujee Gold (1) J: Coriah Keatings

proven at distance, in good form

25%

Morosini (14) J: Louise Day

quality stable, inconsistent

17%

14Sunquist (5)SCR

Iconic Promise (3) J:

quality stable, inconsistent

13%

R7 • 1300m • Open;

PASS

Open; • Prize: $35000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	King Gutho Coriah Keatings	2	25%	$$12.15	BEST
2	Master Of Disguise	5	23%	$$12.97	DANGER
3	Rose Aye	11	24%	$$13.02
4	Who But Roo Deon Le Roux	9	22%	$$13.35

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Who But Roo (9) J: Deon Le Roux

class edge, quality stable

22%

Belleistic Kids (3) J: Jordan Quince

track specialist, proven at distance

23%

#1 3

King Gutho (2) J: Coriah Keatings

quality stable

25%

Good Prize (6) J: Quayde Krogh

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable, inconsistent

23%

Alottosay (13) J: Louise Day

quality stable

21%

Cougars (4) J: Pierre Boudvillain

place chance

21%

Blow In (1) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

quality stable

21%

Hurry Miss (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire

proven at distance, quality stable

22%

#2 9

Master Of Disguise (5) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

23%

#3 10

Rose Aye (11) J:

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

24%

Gatchan (10) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

track specialist, proven at distance

23%

Hellinda (8) J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

quality stable

21%

Miss Emma (12) J: Sairyn Fawke

suited to trip, quality stable

26%

Champions League (14) J: Adam Farragher

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

22%

R8 • 1200m • Class 2;

PASS

Class 2; • Prize: $22000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Pure Melody Blaike Mc Dougall	5	31%	$$6.88	BEST
2	Bon Elton Jeff Penza	8	24%	$$7.27	DANGER
3	Kendalia Louise Day	9	28%	$$7.63
4	Gem Tycoon Dale Cole	1	26%	$$7.85

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Cholante (7) J: Brodie Loy

in good form, proven at level, quality stable

17%

Cashbook (6) J: Sairyn Fawke

proven at distance

24%

#3 3

Kendalia (9) J: Louise Day

solid track record, proven at distance, quality stable

28%

4Give Me Joy (6)SCR

5Must Be Sain (5)SCR

#4 6

Gem Tycoon (1) J: Dale Cole

proven at distance, quality stable

26%

#1 7

Pure Melody (5) J: Blaike Mc Dougall

solid track record, in good form

31%

#2 8

Bon Elton (8) J: Jeff Penza

proven at distance

24%

Martha Lavinia (3) J: Michael Heagney

proven at distance

18%

Roullottie (4) J: Molly Bourke

suited to trip

17%

Spiritual Mystery (2) J: Quayde Krogh

looking for others

15%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

No confident bets for this meeting

Total Stake: 0.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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