Belmont Park

2026-09-02

Soft Rail: +18m with a cutaway

Updated: 10:06 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Guarantor

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Belmont Park

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Laqdar Ramoly: 3W from 21 (14.3% win, 19.0% place)
Chloe Azzopardi: 2W from 10 (20.0% win, 40.0% place)
Natasha Faithfull: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
P Harvey: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 20.0% place)
Austin Galati: 1W from 6 (16.7% win, 33.3% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1000m • Class 1;

Low Value Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Guarantor Chris Parnham	5	34%	$$3.40	BEST
2	Joyoh Natasha Faithfull	4	22%	$$4.87	DANGER
3	Hez Got The Safe Jason Whiting	1	25%	$$4.94
4	Varazze Jade Mc Naught	2	16%	$$6.33

WINTab 4 Guarantor0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Hez Got The Safe (1) J: Jason Whiting

proven at distance

25%

On Cue (3) J: Brayden Gaerth

quality stable

21%

3So Si God (6)SCR

#1 4

Guarantor (5) J: Chris Parnham

proven at distance, in good form

34%

#2 5

Joyoh (4) J: Natasha Faithfull

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

22%

#4 6

Varazze (2) J: Jade Mc Naught

proven at distance

16%

R2 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Boutique Belle Jefferson Tsang	12	28%	$$9.92	BEST
2	Vampi Queen Clint Johnston-Porter	6	29%	$$10.35	DANGER
3	Wrexham Patrick Carbery	8	28%	$$12.27
4	Just Yes Chris Parnham	13	23%	$$13.09

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Energetic (4) J: Brandon Louis

place chance

24%

Damage Control (2) J: Austin Galati

place chance

26%

#3 3

Wrexham (8) J: Patrick Carbery

solid track record

28%

Youanmi (14) J: Jordan Turner

place chance

22%

#4 5

Just Yes (13) J: Chris Parnham

in good form

23%

Wicked Riley (10) J: Jessica Valas

looking for others

20%

God Bless (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly

inconsistent

19%

No Days Off (9) J: Lucy F Fiore

looking for others

17%

#1 9

Boutique Belle (12) J: Jefferson Tsang

in good form

28%

#2 10

Vampi Queen (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

proven at distance, in good form

29%

She's Some Craic (11) J: Joey Azzopardi

place chance

22%

Fortgang (5) J: Natika Riordan

inconsistent

20%

Believe Again (7) J: William Pike

flying form

20%

14Biscuits (13)SCR

Costa Del Darlo (3) J: Steven Parnham

place chance

24%

16Threespirit (9)SCR

17State Of Boom (5)SCR

R3 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Oscars No Grouch Jason Whiting	11	33%	$$9.93	BEST
2	Bubbles In Rio Austin Galati	7	29%	$$11.14	DANGER
3	Faradio Zephen Johnston-Porter	8	28%	$$12.20
4	Newhaven Prince Jarrad Noske	13	29%	$$12.27

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Oscars No Grouch (11) J: Jason Whiting

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

33%

#3 2

Faradio (8) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter

in good form, quality stable

28%

#4 3

Newhaven Prince (13) J: Jarrad Noske

solid track record, in good form, quality stable

29%

All The Stars (3) J: Lucy F Fiore

proven at distance, in good form

19%

Telum (14) J: Brandon Louis

looking for others

18%

#2 6

Bubbles In Rio (7) J: Austin Galati

in good form

29%

Midnight Tango (6) J: Brayden Gaerth

inconsistent

17%

Squealer (12) J: Chanel Cooper

flying form, quality stable

21%

General Napoleon (10) J: William Pike

in good form, quality stable, inconsistent

18%

Just Can't Say No (4) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy

in good form

17%

Aura Magna (5) J: Holly Nottle

in good form, quality stable

20%

Deserted Artie (9) J: Chris Parnham

quality stable, inconsistent

17%

Farnessa (2) J: Natasha Faithfull

inconsistent

17%

Vaulting Spirit (1) J: Jade Mc Naught

flying form, inconsistent

18%

15Hamadryad (17)SCR

16Shooters (4)SCR

17Choux'n'whiskey (1)SCR

18She's Da Val (9)SCR

R4 • 1200m • Rst 0 Met Win-LY;

PASS

Rst 0 Met Win-LY; • Prize: $35000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Lucky I Am Chanel Cooper	8	31%	$$6.93	BEST
2	Champagne Crusader Jefferson Tsang	7	31%	$$7.04	DANGER
3	Dubai's Daughter Natasha Faithfull	5	26%	$$7.81
4	Under Influence Clint Johnston-Porter	6	28%	$$8.18

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Under Influence (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

28%

#2 2

Champagne Crusader (7) J: Jefferson Tsang

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

31%

#1 3

Lucky I Am (8) J: Chanel Cooper

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

31%

Spectacular Park (9) J: Brayden Gaerth

proven at distance

21%

Cherry Can Run (1) J: Jason Whiting

solid track record, proven at distance

18%

Cleanemup (2) J: Chris Parnham

track specialist, proven at distance

26%

#3 7

Dubai's Daughter (5) J: Natasha Faithfull

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

26%

Get Out Mick (4) J: Jade Mc Naught

proven at distance, in good form

22%

Leetron (3) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance, quality stable

24%

R5 • 1700m • Class 1;

PASS

Class 1; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Grandad's Adiction Clint Johnston-Porter	4	31%	$$8.24	BEST
2	Point Gibraltar Steven Parnham	7	26%	$$8.84	DANGER
3	So Many Stories Jade Mc Naught	9	26%	$$10.73
4	Valanne Dawn Holly Nottle	1	26%	$$10.99

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Point Gibraltar (7) J: Steven Parnham

track specialist, quality stable

26%

Gold Beau (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly

place chance

21%

Jesa Lupa (11) J: Chris Parnham

quality stable

23%

Astonisher (2) J: Austin Galati

quality stable

21%

Guns Away (10) J: Paul Harvey

track specialist, quality stable

21%

Ginger And Tonic (6) J: Lisa Staples

proven at level, quality stable, inconsistent

26%

#4 7

Valanne Dawn (1) J: Holly Nottle

place chance

26%

#1 8

Grandad's Adiction (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

proven at distance, in good form

31%

Ah Kum (3) J: Natika Riordan

place chance

23%

Gaspardo (8) J: Brayden Gaerth

inconsistent

20%

#3 11

So Many Stories (9) J: Jade Mc Naught

place chance

26%

R6 • 2200m • BenchMark 54+;

PASS

BenchMark 54+; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Eternal Romance Natasha Faithfull	4	29%	$$9.09	BEST
2	Sister Mary Lisa Staples	9	30%	$$9.94	DANGER
3	Dandy's Gem Paul Harvey	7	29%	$$10.28
4	Delicate Warrior Holly Nottle	5	29%	$$10.35

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Here For Cheques (3) J: Patrick Carbery

proven at distance

27%

Argyle Star (1) J: William Pike

proven at distance, quality stable

26%

#4 3

Delicate Warrior (5) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance, in good form

29%

#1 4

Eternal Romance (4) J: Natasha Faithfull

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

29%

5Granite Rock (14)SCR

Luka Magic (6) J: Chanel Cooper

proven at distance, quality stable

23%

#2 7

Sister Mary (9) J: Lisa Staples

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

30%

Sluice Box (10) J: Shaun O'Donnell

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

24%

Awesome Force (12) J: Joey Azzopardi

solid track record, in good form, quality stable

25%

L'il Capri (2) J: Taj Dyson

quality stable, inconsistent

19%

#3 11

Dandy's Gem (7) J: Paul Harvey

track specialist, suited to trip, quality stable

29%

Whiskers Harbour (11) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

quality stable

24%

Hot Like Chili (8) J: Jessica Valas

in good form

21%

14Global Trip (8)SCR

15Olden (14)SCR

16Flash Paddy (4)SCR

R7 • 1400m • Class 3;

Low Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Centre Bond Jason Whiting	10	33%	$$7.97	BEST
2	Radiant Light Natika Riordan	5	31%	$$8.42	DANGER
3	Choux Shoe Jefferson Tsang	9	28%	$$9.93
4	Pure Obsession Jordan Turner	8	24%	$$10.23

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Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Centre Bond (10) J: Jason Whiting

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

33%

#4 2

Pure Obsession (8) J: Jordan Turner

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

24%

Razmas (2) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

24%

#3 4

Choux Shoe (9) J: Jefferson Tsang

track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable

28%

About Turn (1) J: Jarrad Noske

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

26%

Boussac (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly

proven at distance

21%

Good Show (4) J: Austin Galati

proven at distance

19%

#2 8

Radiant Light (5) J: Natika Riordan

track specialist, proven at distance, in good form

31%

Classic Ruler (7) J: William Pike

in good form, quality stable

25%

Cosmic Treat (3) J: Lucy F Fiore

proven at distance, in good form, quality stable

25%

Sky River (6) J: Jason Li

proven at distance

19%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

No confident bets for this meeting

Total Stake: 0.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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