Belmont Park
2026-07-18
Soft
Rail: +10m Entire
Updated: 09:59 AEST
8
Races Analysed
1
Bets Found
Kelora
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Belmont Park
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Chris Parnham: 8W from 27 (29.6% win, 48.1% place)
- C Johnston-Porter: 7W from 24 (29.2% win, 62.5% place)
- W Pike: 6W from 16 (37.5% win, 75.0% place)
- T Turner: 4W from 11 (36.4% win, 63.6% place)
- Ms L Staples: 3W from 9 (33.3% win, 55.6% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1200m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Axopar Natika Riordan |
1 | 30% | $$9.40 | BEST |
| 2 | Capall Gasta Chloe Azzopardi |
8 | 29% | $$10.01 | DANGER |
| 3 | Da Hinchi Belle Shaun O'Donnell |
12 | 30% | $$10.02 | |
| 4 | They'reallsisters Paul Harvey |
14 | 21% | $$13.45 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
21%
They'reallsisters (14) J: Paul Harvey
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#2
2
29%
Capall Gasta (8) J: Chloe Azzopardi
form a concern, quality stable, inconsistent
3Rifleman (11)SCR
4
19%
Crypto Conqueror (13) J: Holly Watson
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
5
18%
Diggers Shout (7) J: William Pike
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
6
16%
Flying Temptation (10) J: Brayden Gaerth
flying form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
7
21%
Godspeed (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
8
17%
Head And Shoulders (5) J: Steven Parnham
in good form, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
9
17%
Lifetime Dream (2) J: Chris Parnham
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
10
19%
Non Reflective (3) J: Brad Parnham
flying form, top jockey
11
21%
The Persian God (6) J: Patrick Carbery
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#1
12
30%
Axopar (1) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
13Spinarella (15)SCR
#3
14
30%
Da Hinchi Belle (12) J: Shaun O'Donnell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
15
20%
Supersmash (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly
in good form, top jockey
16
14%
Rockabye Hussh (11) J: Joey Azzopardi
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
R2 • 1000m • Rst 0 Met Win-LY;
Low Value Bet
Rst 0 Met Win-LY; • Prize: $40000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Surfside Session Jordan Turner |
6 | 33% | $$7.11 | BEST |
| 2 | Wicked Venom Holly Watson |
1 | 30% | $$8.00 | DANGER |
| 3 | Mai Aloha William Pike |
7 | 28% | $$8.92 | |
| 4 | Sniper's Son Natika Riordan |
3 | 28% | $$9.15 |
WINTab 1 Surfside Session0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
33%
Surfside Session (6) J: Jordan Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
2
23%
Art Session (4) J: Natasha Faithfull
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#2
3
30%
Wicked Venom (1) J: Holly Watson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4Best Mood (10)SCR
5
24%
Desert Dancing (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
6Queen Of Hawks (10)SCR
#4
7
28%
Sniper's Son (3) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#3
8
28%
Mai Aloha (7) J: William Pike
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
9
23%
Ripper Farooq (5) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter
proven at distance, in good form, class edge, top jockey
10
26%
Sesh (8) J: Troy Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
11
23%
Divine Impact (2) J: Steven Parnham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
12
15%
Star Supreme (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly
track specialist, suited to trip, top jockey
R3 • 2200m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $125000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westbound Clint Johnston-Porter |
1 | 30% | $$5.47 | BEST |
| 2 | Pony Up Lisa Staples |
3 | 30% | $$5.50 | DANGER |
| 3 | Ladies Pro William Pike |
4 | 30% | $$5.56 | |
| 4 | Special Counsel Lucy F Fiore |
6 | 22% | $$7.71 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
30%
Westbound (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
2
22%
Special Counsel (6) J: Lucy F Fiore
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#3
3
30%
Ladies Pro (4) J: William Pike
track specialist, flying form, class edge, top jockey
#2
4
30%
Pony Up (3) J: Lisa Staples
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
5
21%
Royal Guardian (5) J: Natasha Faithfull
in good form, top jockey
6
18%
Autumn Gem (2) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
7
22%
Savienne (7) J: Holly Watson
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
R4 • 1650m • BenchMark 72+;
PASS
BenchMark 72+; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Currimundi Shaun Mc Gruddy |
10 | 26% | $$7.93 | BEST |
| 2 | Snippy Which Natika Riordan |
6 | 30% | $$8.20 | DANGER |
| 3 | Battle Commander Cassey Martinan |
2 | 30% | $$8.24 | |
| 4 | Major Mario Holly Watson |
4 | 27% | $$8.96 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
30%
Snippy Which (6) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
#1
2
26%
Currimundi (10) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy
track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
#3
3
30%
Battle Commander (2) J: Cassey Martinan
proven at distance, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
4
23%
Noteworthy (7) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter
track specialist, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
5
22%
Simply Thinkin' (8) J: Chanel Cooper
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
6
21%
Zaza Rock (5) J: Chloe Azzopardi
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
7Olympic Park (1)SCR
8
17%
Auto Cruise (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
9
27%
Major Mario (4) J: Holly Watson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
10
20%
Our Mate Archie (1) J: Brad Parnham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
15%
Odinaka (3) J: Jordan Turner
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
R5 • 1650m • Rest 1 Metro Win;
Low Value Bet
Rest 1 Metro Win; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelora Laqdar Ramoly |
2 | 37% | $$8.07 | BEST |
| 2 | Shimonoseki Shaun O'Donnell |
9 | 26% | $$12.02 | DANGER |
| 3 | Glanced Chanel Cooper |
7 | 26% | $$12.29 | |
| 4 | Two Time Charlie Clint Johnston-Porter |
1 | 26% | $$12.65 |
EACH WAYTab 12 Kelora (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Thehorseman (10) J: Joey Azzopardi
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
2
19%
Changing Guard (3) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#4
3
26%
Two Time Charlie (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
4
23%
Linchpin (11) J: Paul Harvey
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
5Moonwalk (3)SCR
6
23%
Cruise To Rio (5) J: Natika Riordan
top jockey, quality stable
#3
7
26%
Glanced (7) J: Chanel Cooper
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#2
8
26%
Shimonoseki (9) J: Shaun O'Donnell
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
9
25%
Californication (6) J: Holly Watson
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
10
23%
Forgotten Son (13) J: Brandon Louis
solid track record, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
11
18%
Statewide (4) J: Steven Parnham
class edge, top jockey
#1
12
37%
Kelora (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly
solid track record, top jockey
13
23%
Must Be Nice (8) J: Natasha Faithfull
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
14
22%
Western Miss (12) J: William Pike
track specialist, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
R6 • 1400m • BenchMark 66+;
PASS
BenchMark 66+; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supernatural Clint Johnston-Porter |
5 | 28% | $$11.51 | BEST |
| 2 | Bird's The Word Steven Parnham |
8 | 31% | $$11.72 | DANGER |
| 3 | Hey Pino Chanel Cooper |
15 | 29% | $$12.51 | |
| 4 | Brave Spirit Natasha Faithfull |
1 | 29% | $$12.80 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Memory Parade (13) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
2
23%
The Merryman (4) J: Brad Parnham
suited to trip, class edge, top jockey, quality stable
3
24%
All Grunt (9) J: Jarrad Noske
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
#1
4
28%
Supernatural (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
5
20%
Too Soon (7) J: William Pike
proven at distance, flying form, proven at level, top jockey
#3
6
29%
Hey Pino (15) J: Chanel Cooper
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
7
24%
Eliteone (2) J: Chris Parnham
track specialist, top jockey, quality stable
8
27%
Mt Shirataku (3) J: Lucy F Fiore
track specialist, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
#4
9
29%
Brave Spirit (1) J: Natasha Faithfull
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
#2
10
31%
Bird's The Word (8) J: Steven Parnham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
11
23%
Hedawood (12) J: Holly Watson
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
12
25%
Daytona Pete (6) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
13
17%
Gold Beau (14) J: Laqdar Ramoly
in good form, top jockey
14
21%
Starwalker (10) J: Shaun O'Donnell
suited to trip, top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
15
19%
With Discretion (11) J: Patrick Carbery
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
R7 • 1200m • BenchMark 72+;
PASS
BenchMark 72+; • Prize: $80000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Girls Day Out Lucy F Fiore |
4 | 31% | $$10.98 | BEST |
| 2 | Want A Winner William Pike |
1 | 30% | $$11.52 | DANGER |
| 3 | Without Reg Zephen Johnston-Porter |
13 | 26% | $$12.09 | |
| 4 | Speed Dream Jason Whiting |
10 | 28% | $$12.17 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Angel Undercover (2) J: Natika Riordan
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#3
2
26%
Without Reg (13) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
3
23%
Norich (5) J: Taj Dyson
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
#4
4
28%
Speed Dream (10) J: Jason Whiting
track specialist, proven at distance, class edge, top jockey
5
27%
Supersession (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
6
22%
Lillian (8) J: Chris Parnham
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
7
25%
Too Dardy (9) J: Shaun O'Donnell
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
8
25%
The Calabrese (11) J: Steven Parnham
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#2
9
30%
Want A Winner (1) J: William Pike
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
10
24%
Atlantic Spirit (3) J: Brad Parnham
track specialist, suited to trip, in good form, class edge
11
24%
Magnique (12) J: Chanel Cooper
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
#1
12
31%
Girls Day Out (4) J: Lucy F Fiore
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
13
22%
Jelly Can Run (14) J: Jessica Valas
track specialist, proven at distance
14
24%
Urquharts Bluff (6) J: Lisa Staples
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
R8 • 1200m • Rest 1 Metro Win;
Low Value Bet
Rest 1 Metro Win; • Prize: $60000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Champagne Crusader Chloe Azzopardi |
4 | 33% | $$11.35 | BEST |
| 2 | Bookends William Pike |
9 | 29% | $$13.37 | DANGER |
| 3 | Gold Flakes Natika Riordan |
6 | 29% | $$13.49 | |
| 4 | Great Emotion Chris Parnham |
10 | 27% | $$14.87 |
WINTab 4 Champagne Crusader0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
24%
Deel Her In (13) J: Steven Parnham
proven at distance
2
21%
Let's Talk (5) J: Chanel Cooper
solid track record, proven at distance
3
27%
Cleanemup (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly
solid track record, proven at distance
#1
4
33%
Champagne Crusader (4) J: Chloe Azzopardi
solid track record, proven at distance
5
22%
Yes I Know (15) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
proven at distance
6
22%
Armino (16) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance
#3
7
29%
Gold Flakes (6) J: Natika Riordan
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
#4
8
27%
Great Emotion (10) J: Chris Parnham
proven at distance, in good form
9
24%
Hez Got The Safe (2) J: Jason Whiting
solid track record, proven at distance
10
24%
En Plein Air (11) J: Natasha Faithfull
proven at distance
11
26%
Main Act (8) J: Jessica Valas
proven at distance
12
25%
Riva Aquarama (14) J: Brad Parnham
solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level
13
21%
In Confidence (7) J: Lucy F Fiore
proven at distance, in good form
14Power Missile (10)SCR
15
21%
Silent Diva (12) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at level
#2
16
29%
Bookends (9) J: William Pike
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
17
25%
Sonic Breeze (3) J: Patrick Carbery
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
18Forbidden Apple (10)SCR
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R5:
Tab 12 Kelora (Barrier 2)
Model: $8.07
1 units
Model: $8.07
1 units
Total Stake: 1.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 18/07/2026, 9:59:18 am