Belmont Park

2026-06-03

Soft Rail: +17m, cutaway in the straight

Updated: 10:11 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Opal Tango

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Belmont Park

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Holly Nottle: 3W from 12 (25.0% win, 41.7% place)
Chanel Cooper: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 60.0% place)
Lucy Fiore: 2W from 9 (22.2% win, 77.8% place)
W Pike: 2W from 10 (20.0% win, 70.0% place)
Damien Boutet: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1000m • Class 1;

Low Value Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Spirited Strike Jason Whiting	4	34%	$$3.95	BEST
2	Snippagent Rocky Cheung	5	32%	$$4.45	DANGER
3	Brazen Butcher William Pike	2	29%	$$5.00
4	Written Words Holly Nottle	3	21%	$$6.87

WINTab 1 Spirited Strike0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Spirited Strike (4) J: Jason Whiting

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

34%

#3 2

Brazen Butcher (2) J: William Pike

in good form, proven at level

29%

Silent Amarda (6) J: Lucy F Fiore

looking for others

14%

#4 4

Written Words (3) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance

21%

5London's Rascal (4)SCR

Snip Of Romance (1) J: Natika Riordan

inconsistent

16%

#2 7

Snippagent (5) J: Rocky Cheung

form a concern, inconsistent

32%

Exotics

Quinella: Spirited Strike, Snippagent

Exacta: Spirited Strike / Snippagent, Brazen Butcher

Trifecta: Box: Spirited Strike, Snippagent, Brazen Butcher, Written Words

First 4: Box: Spirited Strike, Snippagent, Brazen Butcher, Written Words, Silent Amarda

R2 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Carrigane Boy Rocky Cheung	10	51%	$$3.94	BEST
2	Kashmira Troy Turner	8	35%	$$6.28	DANGER
3	Ace Queen Suited Lucy F Fiore	1	21%	$$9.49
4	Lucy Red Cassey Martinan	9	22%	$$10.42

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Carrigane Boy (10) J: Rocky Cheung

inconsistent

51%

Ken (6) J: Joey Azzopardi

looking for others

13%

Our Spiceman (7) J: Jason Brown

in good form

15%

Thunder Isle (5) J: Steven Parnham

flying form

16%

Twice The Rain (4) J: Jade Mc Naught

in good form, inconsistent

10%

#3 6

Ace Queen Suited (1) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, in good form

21%

#4 7

Lucy Red (9) J: Cassey Martinan

place chance

22%

#2 8

Kashmira (8) J: Troy Turner

place chance

35%

Arabian Charm (3) J: William Pike

flying form, inconsistent

11%

Bella Roccia (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

looking for others

14%

R3 • 1000m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Tigero'riley Brad Parnham	8	34%	$$4.21	BEST
2	Busy Fingers William Pike	1	28%	$$5.81	DANGER
3	Pilbra Jessica Valas	6	20%	$$7.75
4	Cawarra Chris Parnham	4	23%	$$9.93

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Busy Fingers (1) J: William Pike

proven at distance, in good form

28%

#3 2

Pilbra (6) J: Jessica Valas

inconsistent

20%

#1 3

Tigero'riley (8) J: Brad Parnham

place chance

34%

Rock The Fox (5) J: Troy Turner

flying form

15%

5Bambino Chino (6)SCR

#4 6

Cawarra (4) J: Chris Parnham

place chance

23%

Sonic Breeze (7) J: Natika Riordan

looking for others

18%

Air Terjun (3) J: Jason Whiting

in good form

19%

Kala Rose (2) J: Madi Derrick

looking for others

13%

R4 • 1000m • Class 5;

PASS

Class 5; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Under Influence William Pike	2	29%	$$6.73	BEST
2	Cherry Can Run Jason Whiting	7	21%	$$7.08	DANGER
3	Allentown Shaun Mc Gruddy	6	28%	$$7.13
4	Atlantic Spirit Brad Parnham	5	27%	$$7.48

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Masamune (3) J: Holly Nottle

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

26%

#4 2

Atlantic Spirit (5) J: Brad Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

27%

#2 3

Cherry Can Run (7) J: Jason Whiting

solid track record

21%

#1 4

Under Influence (2) J: William Pike

solid track record, proven at distance

29%

#3 5

Allentown (6) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy

solid track record, proven at distance

28%

Gold Vancouver (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly

proven at distance

24%

Hang Glider (1) J: Troy Turner

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

17%

8Magnachine (1)SCR

Swim Through (4) J: Natasha Faithfull

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

17%

R5 • 2200m • BenchMark 54+;

Low Value Bet

BenchMark 54+; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Opal Tango Shaun O'Donnell	7	35%	$$7.93	BEST
2	Arnray Alex Hearn	11	27%	$$10.31	DANGER
3	Thor's Angel Lucy F Fiore	2	24%	$$10.40
4	Pointless Praise Brandon Louis	5	23%	$$11.12

EACH WAYTab 10 Opal Tango (0.5 unit win + 0.5 unit place)1 units

Full Field Analysis

1Pony Up (5)SCR

Royal Crest (10) J: Jefferson Tsang

place chance

22%

Renovation Show (6) J: Taj Dyson

looking for others

18%

Redrye (8) J: William Pike

place chance

23%

#3 5

Thor's Angel (2) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

24%

6Aurora Queen (3)SCR

Fioreyes (4) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy

proven at distance, inconsistent

21%

Gold Enigma (12) J: Holly Nottle

place chance

21%

Kirrily (9) J: Natasha Faithfull

looking for others

18%

#1 10

Opal Tango (7) J: Shaun O'Donnell

place chance

35%

#4 11

Pointless Praise (5) J: Brandon Louis

proven at distance, inconsistent

23%

Zoomachino (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly

proven at distance

24%

#2 13

Arnray (11) J: Alex Hearn

proven at distance

27%

Pecos (3) J: Natika Riordan

looking for others

20%

15Lakeview Lightning (9)SCR

R6 • 1400m • Class 3;

PASS

Class 3; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Strictly Cash Rocky Cheung	5	31%	$$9.46	BEST
2	Talkaway Brad Parnham	7	29%	$$10.08	DANGER
3	Nine Ball Clint Johnston-Porter	3	28%	$$10.70
4	Ranyx Lucy F Fiore	4	26%	$$11.36

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Ranyx (4) J: Lucy F Fiore

proven at distance

26%

Soso Lucky (1) J: Chris Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

23%

Too Much Talk (2) J: Natika Riordan

solid track record, proven at distance

20%

Belvedere Rock (8) J: Joey Azzopardi

proven at distance, in good form

18%

Masterly (11) J: Steven Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

25%

#3 6

Nine Ball (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

solid track record, proven at distance

28%

Bird On A Wire (6) J: Holly Watson

solid track record, proven at distance

23%

Leetron (12) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance

26%

#2 9

Talkaway (7) J: Brad Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

29%

Conchetta's Dream (9) J: William Pike

solid track record, in good form

22%

#1 11

Strictly Cash (5) J: Rocky Cheung

proven at distance, inconsistent

31%

Surf Point (10) J: Jade Mc Naught

inconsistent

22%

R7 • 1400m • Class 3;

Low Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Miss Ava Laqdar Ramoly	10	32%	$$8.73	BEST
2	Itzabeast Cassey Martinan	2	32%	$$9.46	DANGER
3	True Fiction Rocky Cheung	6	28%	$$10.34
4	Sandfire Rose Holly Nottle	7	25%	$$11.44

EACH WAYTab 3 Miss Ava (0.25 unit win + 0.25 unit place)0.5 units

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Itzabeast (2) J: Cassey Martinan

solid track record, proven at distance

32%

#3 2

True Fiction (6) J: Rocky Cheung

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

28%

#1 3

Miss Ava (10) J: Laqdar Ramoly

solid track record, proven at distance

32%

Publicise (11) J: Lucy F Fiore

proven at distance

21%

Amaretto Bo (12) J: Sharni Webster

looking for others

17%

Apparatus (13) J: Chloe Azzopardi

solid track record, proven at distance

25%

Nickelplay (8) J: Steven Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level

25%

Capable Angel (5) J: Jefferson Tsang

solid track record, proven at distance

27%

#4 9

Sandfire Rose (7) J: Holly Nottle

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

25%

Age Of Grace (4) J: William Pike

looking for others

18%

Random Rewards (9) J: Holly Watson

proven at distance

22%

Real Senor (3) J: Brandon Louis

suited to trip, inconsistent

17%

Who Saz Yes (1) J: Natika Riordan

proven at distance

22%

R8 • 1200m • Rst 0 Met Win-LY;

PASS

Rst 0 Met Win-LY; • Prize: $35000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Linden's Gold Jefferson Tsang	12	31%	$$9.87	BEST
2	Cleanemup Chris Parnham	7	31%	$$10.05	DANGER
3	Rainline Holly Nottle	9	30%	$$10.50
4	Our Rocky Bay Brayden Gaerth	2	27%	$$11.58

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Linden's Gold (12) J: Jefferson Tsang

proven at distance

31%

#2 2

Cleanemup (7) J: Chris Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

31%

#3 3

Rainline (9) J: Holly Nottle

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

30%

#4 4

Our Rocky Bay (2) J: Brayden Gaerth

proven at distance

27%

Divine Inanna (13) J: Rocky Cheung

solid track record, proven at distance

22%

Cruise To Rio (6) J: Natika Riordan

proven at distance

26%

Armino (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter

form a concern

15%

Vandoula Jet (5) J: Steven Parnham

proven at distance

22%

Zouboltz (10) J: Jason Li

solid track record, proven at distance

24%

Get Out Mick (4) J: Jade Mc Naught

proven at distance, inconsistent

20%

Lipstick Jungle (3) J: Shaun O'Donnell

solid track record, proven at distance

26%

Pretty Devine (11) J: Madi Derrick

proven at distance

14%

13Teabiscuit (11)SCR

Village Girl (1) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

21%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R5: Tab 10 Opal Tango (Barrier 7)
Model: $7.93
1 units

Total Stake: 1.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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