Balaklava
2026-06-03
Heavy
Rail: +3m 950m to 450m, True Remainder.
Updated: 08:23 AEST
Track Insights — Balaklava
Recent Patterns:
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Campbell Rawiller: 2W from 3 (66.7% win, 66.7% place)
- Alysha Warren: 2W from 8 (25.0% win, 37.5% place)
- Connor Murtagh: 2W from 9 (22.2% win, 44.4% place)
- Todd Pannell: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
- Jacob Opperman: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 2200m • Class 1;
PASS
Class 1; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Kailee's Boy Connor Murtagh |
6 |
26% |
$$7.75 |
BEST |
| 2 |
The Highlander Alyssa Webb |
4 |
27% |
$$8.10 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Irlandais Anna Jordsjo |
2 |
24% |
$$8.87 |
|
| 4 |
Star Studded Belle Brooke King |
7 |
26% |
$$8.97 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Black Sea (9)SCR
2Hamner Springs (6)SCR
#3
3
Irlandais (2) J: Anna Jordsjo
proven at distance
24%
#1
4
Kailee's Boy (6) J: Connor Murtagh
solid track record, proven at distance
26%
#2
5
The Highlander (4) J: Alyssa Webb
place chance
27%
6
Empress Of Soul (3) J: Alysha Warren
solid track record, proven at distance
24%
7
Harsh (8) J: Harry Grace
solid track record, proven at distance
25%
8Red Sparks (13)SCR
9
Roll Start (5) J: Caitlin Tootell
looking for others
19%
#4
10
Star Studded Belle (7) J: Brooke King
form a concern, inconsistent
26%
11
Blue Isles (9) J: Will Price
solid track record
19%
12
Goodwin Guru (1) J: Taylor Johnstone
solid track record
15%
13
Kelorik (10) J: Teagan Voorham
inconsistent
12%
R2 • 1050m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Belle Montagne Will Price |
13 |
38% |
$$7.02 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Funny Feeling Jackson Murphy |
10 |
34% |
$$8.31 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Extra Fling Todd Pannell |
7 |
27% |
$$9.07 |
|
| 4 |
No Bail Teagan Voorham |
3 |
20% |
$$12.00 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Sir Monica (9) J: Alysha Warren
in good form, top jockey
21%
2
Caesour's Tomb (2) J: Tala Hutchinson
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
12%
#3
3
Extra Fling (7) J: Todd Pannell
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
27%
#4
4
No Bail (3) J: Teagan Voorham
flying form, quality stable
20%
5Polunin (15)SCR
6
All Too Elegant (6) J: Andrew Stead
quality stable, inconsistent
19%
7
Firefinch (12) J: Rochelle Milnes
in good form
15%
8
First Feeling (4) J: Wesley Cave
looking for others
20%
9
Infected (8) J: Lauren Stojakovic
form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
10
Nina's Comet (5) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
18%
#1
11
Belle Montagne (13) J: Will Price
track specialist, proven at distance, flying form, top jockey
38%
12Go Ask Alice (12)SCR
13My Cherie Amor (16)SCR
14
Wings Of Destiny (1) J: Kayla Crowther
quality stable
17%
15
Nyeve (11) J: Jemma Gutte
top jockey, quality stable
16%
#2
16
Funny Feeling (10) J: Jackson Murphy
quality stable, inconsistent
34%
R3 • 1300m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Let Me Shine Rochelle Milnes |
9 |
31% |
$$5.31 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Lady Nancy Sophie Logan |
8 |
23% |
$$6.93 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Mystrix Kayla Crowther |
6 |
22% |
$$7.92 |
|
| 4 |
No Need To Rush Margaret Collett |
2 |
18% |
$$9.77 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Mr Ribtickler (5) J: Dominic Tourneur
flying form
16%
2
Tassoro (4) J: Tala Hutchinson
in good form, top jockey
19%
3Thavma (14)SCR
4
Vamore (1) J: Teagan Voorham
quality stable
18%
5A Time To Kill (12)SCR
6Healthandhappiness (16)SCR
#1
7
Let Me Shine (9) J: Rochelle Milnes
place chance
31%
8
Took Gardner (3) J: Alysha Warren
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
14%
9
Toast For Becky (7) J: Wesley Cave
inconsistent
16%
#3
10
Mystrix (6) J: Kayla Crowther
track specialist, in good form
22%
11Princess Of Smiles (13)SCR
12Stagetime (15)SCR
13Want It Bad (1)SCR
14Nevawasanangel (5)SCR
#4
15
No Need To Rush (2) J: Margaret Collett
inconsistent
18%
16Tennessee Valley (6)SCR
17Snow Doubt (8)SCR
#2
18
Lady Nancy (8) J: Sophie Logan
quality stable, inconsistent
23%
R4 • 2200m • Benchmark 56;
Low
Value Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Shadow Hawk Caitlin Tootell |
3 |
32% |
$$8.02 |
BEST |
| 2 |
The True Believer Alyssa Webb |
4 |
27% |
$$8.19 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
American Trouble Lauren Stojakovic |
10 |
28% |
$$9.16 |
|
| 4 |
Bush Inference Jason Holder |
1 |
29% |
$$9.17 |
|
WINTab 10 Shadow Hawk0.5 units
Full Field Analysis
1
Theodor (2) J: Kayla Crowther
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
27%
2
United Legend (12) J: Todd Pannell
in good form, top jockey
15%
#2
3
The True Believer (4) J: Alyssa Webb
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
4
Whatsanamegeorge (6) J: Rochelle Milnes
track specialist, quality stable
13%
5Rikki Rikkardo (5)SCR
#4
6
Bush Inference (1) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
29%
7
Retourne (7) J: Dominic Tourneur
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
27%
8
Tembu Boy (9) J: Emily Finnegan
top jockey, quality stable, inconsistent
10%
9
Jackson Run (11) J: Tala Hutchinson
solid track record, top jockey, inconsistent
20%
#1
10
Shadow Hawk (3) J: Caitlin Tootell
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
32%
11
Master Of Ceremony (5) J: Dylan Caboche
inconsistent
17%
12Fiorente Spritz (14)SCR
13
Prickly Poppy (8) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
top jockey, inconsistent
14%
#3
14
American Trouble (10) J: Lauren Stojakovic
proven at distance, form a concern, top jockey, inconsistent
28%
Exotics
Exacta: Shadow Hawk / The True Believer, American Trouble
Trifecta: Box: Shadow Hawk, The True Believer, American Trouble, Bush Inference
First 4: Box: Shadow Hawk, The True Believer, American Trouble, Bush Inference, Retourne
R5 • 1200m • Class 1;
PASS
Class 1; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Brimarvi Rosemarie Connor Murtagh |
6 |
27% |
$$9.57 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Frontpoint Sophie Logan |
10 |
28% |
$$10.81 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Fussy As Harry Grace |
4 |
27% |
$$10.88 |
|
| 4 |
Gazelle Alysha Warren |
11 |
26% |
$$11.02 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Precipice (12) J: Jason Holder
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
2
Fast Tempo (5) J: Matthew Chadwick
looking for others
18%
3
Sethnique (13) J: Emily Finnegan
proven at distance, top jockey
23%
4Aramoso (7)SCR
#3
5
Fussy As (4) J: Harry Grace
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey
27%
#4
6
Gazelle (11) J: Alysha Warren
proven at distance, flying form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
7
Maldivica (8) J: Teagan Voorham
in good form, proven at level, quality stable
23%
#1
8
Brimarvi Rosemarie (6) J: Connor Murtagh
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
27%
#2
9
Frontpoint (10) J: Sophie Logan
proven at distance, quality stable
28%
10
Kiss And Kaboom (1) J: Todd Pannell
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
26%
11Artistic Angel (8)SCR
12
I Run On Air (3) J: Andrew Stead
track specialist, quality stable
20%
13
Unwind (7) J: Dominic Tourneur
proven at distance
21%
14
Star Decorum (9) J: Lauren Stojakovic
top jockey
14%
15
Lady Emilia (2) J: Margaret Collett
looking for others
20%
16Tequila Sunset (3)SCR
R6 • 1050m • Restricted 56;
PASS
Restricted 56; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Here Comes Hogan Tala Hutchinson |
3 |
31% |
$$9.00 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Aloha Blue Jason Holder |
8 |
29% |
$$9.89 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Cosmic Interlude Teagan Voorham |
4 |
26% |
$$10.04 |
|
| 4 |
Utah Joe Jemma Gutte |
7 |
24% |
$$10.58 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Alpha Flight (12)SCR
2
Casper De Lune (12) J: Dylan Caboche
in good form, quality stable
21%
#1
3
Here Comes Hogan (3) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
31%
4
Je City (10) J: S H Sit
top jockey, quality stable
17%
5
Shikanic (1) J: Lauren Stojakovic
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
23%
6Lakehurst (6)SCR
7
Sioux Warrior (5) J: Brooke King
track specialist, proven at distance, inconsistent
26%
#2
8
Aloha Blue (8) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
29%
#3
9
Cosmic Interlude (4) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
26%
10
My Ruby (2) J: Connor Murtagh
proven at distance, inconsistent
21%
11
Reine Of Nine (9) J: Harry Grace
suited to trip, top jockey
20%
#4
12
Utah Joe (7) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
24%
13Sha Na Na (6)SCR
14
Whoops A Daisy (13) J: Dominic Tourneur
track specialist, proven at distance
19%
15
Dylan's Lad (11) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
top jockey, quality stable
11%
16Astromancer (2)SCR
17
Scandalist (6) J: Jackson Murphy
track specialist, quality stable, inconsistent
17%
18Emmooki Magic (12)SCR
R7 • 1400m • Benchmark 56;
PASS
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Full Commitment Harry Grace |
4 |
27% |
$$9.41 |
BEST |
| 2 |
I Am Ralph Dominic Tourneur |
3 |
29% |
$$9.90 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Magic Princess Teagan Voorham |
9 |
24% |
$$10.16 |
|
| 4 |
High Garden Connor Murtagh |
1 |
24% |
$$11.10 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Ioane (2) J: Alyssa Webb
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
21%
2Canny Defense (10)SCR
3Duo Perna (4)SCR
4Shaddap (14)SCR
5
Southern Monarch (6) J: Jemma Gutte
flying form, top jockey, quality stable
17%
6City Pro (3)SCR
#2
7
I Am Ralph (3) J: Dominic Tourneur
proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
29%
8
Flyway (8) J: Jason Holder
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
17%
#4
9
High Garden (1) J: Connor Murtagh
track specialist, proven at distance
24%
10She Rex (9)SCR
11
It's Only Magic (11) J: Margaret Collett
solid track record
19%
12
Belle From Hell (12) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
top jockey, quality stable
18%
13
Fiabesca (5) J: Rochelle Milnes
proven at distance
26%
#1
14
Full Commitment (4) J: Harry Grace
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey
27%
#3
15
Magic Princess (9) J: Teagan Voorham
track specialist, proven at distance, quality stable
24%
16
Off The Cuff (10) J: Polly Brewster
track specialist, proven at distance, in good form
23%
17
Willaston (7) J: Tala Hutchinson
track specialist, in good form, top jockey
23%
R8 • 1600m • Restricted 56;
PASS
Restricted 56; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Chance Taken Matthew Chadwick |
2 |
29% |
$$11.44 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Chartin Taylor Johnstone |
9 |
26% |
$$13.53 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Morlaix Rochelle Milnes |
13 |
28% |
$$13.60 |
|
| 4 |
Loca Bella Jason Holder |
10 |
27% |
$$13.60 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Cracken Good Time (8) J: Brooke King
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
24%
2
Mr Trafficanti (12) J: Tala Hutchinson
in good form, top jockey, quality stable
20%
3
Taipan Tommy (3) J: Jemma Gutte
proven at distance, in good form, top jockey, quality stable
22%
4I'm Kenny (12)SCR
5
Reciprocal (5) J: Harry Grace
top jockey
24%
6
Sea Roads (14) J: Alyssa Webb
in good form, top jockey
19%
#1
7
Chance Taken (2) J: Matthew Chadwick
proven at distance, class edge, quality stable, inconsistent
29%
8
Lettemgo (15) J: Polly Brewster
proven at distance, quality stable
20%
#3
9
Morlaix (13) J: Rochelle Milnes
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, quality stable
28%
10Peerless Lad (17)SCR
11
Fine Ace (16) J: Jade Doyle
proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
20%
#4
12
Loca Bella (10) J: Jason Holder
track specialist, proven at distance, top jockey, quality stable
27%
13
Geetee Forty (1) J: Dominic Tourneur
proven at distance, form a concern
23%
14
Cradle Of Jazz (4) J: Andrew Stead
quality stable
17%
15
Lady Lupara (6) J: Ashvin Goindasamy
in good form, top jockey
18%
16
Ludina (7) J: Will Price
solid track record, proven at distance, top jockey
21%
#2
17
Chartin (9) J: Taylor Johnstone
solid track record, proven at distance
26%
18
Cowley's Creek (11) J: Wesley Cave
proven at distance, quality stable
22%
19Hubristic (8)SCR
20I Love This Song (17)SCR
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
No confident bets for this meeting
Total Stake: 0.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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