Townsville
2026-02-27
Soft
Rail: +1m Entire
Updated: 13:39 AEST
10
Races Analysed
6
Bets Found
Super Freeze
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Townsville
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- I Fry: 7W from 30 (23.3% win, 36.7% place)
- Aidan Holt: 6W from 32 (18.8% win, 50.0% place)
- G D Kliese: 6W from 39 (15.4% win, 35.9% place)
- Adam Sewell: 4W from 15 (26.7% win, 66.7% place)
- A C Goindasamy: 4W from 16 (25.0% win, 43.8% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $23000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | March Madness Wanderson D'Avila |
9 | 76% | $$2.65 | BEST |
| 2 | She's Got Lyrics Nathan Thomas |
8 | 24% | $$8.87 | DANGER |
| 3 | Lady De Vega Fiona Sandkuhl |
6 | 23% | $$9.47 | |
| 4 | Parppy 'n' Me Adam Sewell |
4 | 18% | $$10.82 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
7%
Coventry Lane (2) J: Aidan Holt
in good form, inconsistent
2
11%
Tyrannical (10) J: Chelsea Jokic
looking for others
#4
3
18%
Parppy 'n' Me (4) J: Adam Sewell
looking for others
4
14%
I Swim I Win (3) J: Chris Meehan
inconsistent
5
19%
Shadyvale Al (7) J: Ivo Fry
inconsistent
#2
6
24%
She's Got Lyrics (8) J: Nathan Thomas
place chance
7
16%
Calamaris (1) J: Gabrielle Semmens
inconsistent
#3
8
23%
Lady De Vega (6) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
place chance
#1
9
76%
March Madness (9) J: Wanderson D'Avila
proven at distance, in good form
10
17%
Volare (5) J: McKenzie Apel
inconsistent
R2 • 1200m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $23000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Sobriety Adam Sewell |
4 | 44% | $$3.96 | BEST |
| 2 | Airwaves Aidan Holt |
5 | 34% | $$5.37 | DANGER |
| 3 | Frosty Queen Fiona Sandkuhl |
3 | 24% | $$7.26 | |
| 4 | Amelia's Prince Gabrielle Semmens |
7 | 17% | $$8.38 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
34%
Airwaves (5) J: Aidan Holt
inconsistent
#4
2
17%
Amelia's Prince (7) J: Gabrielle Semmens
inconsistent
3
10%
Mighty Conqueror (8) J: Micheal Mc Donald
flying form, inconsistent
4
12%
Standard Gladiator (6) J: Peta Edwards
inconsistent
5Who Asked Zou (5)SCR
#3
6
24%
Frosty Queen (3) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
inconsistent
#1
7
44%
High Sobriety (4) J: Adam Sewell
suited to trip
8
15%
Jot Girl (2) J: Lacey Morrison
inconsistent
9Proper Bender (6)SCR
10
19%
Valadore (1) J: Ivo Fry
inconsistent
R3 • 1609m • Benchmark 60;
Med Value Bet
Benchmark 60; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whirlwind Fiona Sandkuhl |
2 | 47% | $$2.66 | BEST |
| 2 | Mooloolaba Ryan Wiggins |
3 | 32% | $$4.49 | DANGER |
| 3 | Release Le Missile McKenzie Apel |
5 | 31% | $$4.71 | |
| 4 | Unifies Lacey Morrison |
1 | 17% | $$10.26 |
WIN#2 Whirlwind1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#3
1
31%
Release Le Missile (5) J: McKenzie Apel
solid track record, proven at distance
#1
2
47%
Whirlwind (2) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#2
3
32%
Mooloolaba (3) J: Ryan Wiggins
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
#4
4
17%
Unifies (1) J: Lacey Morrison
solid track record
5Vouchers (7)SCR
6
13%
Khamis (6) J: Nathan Thomas
inconsistent
7
11%
Stellar Legend (4) J: Wanderson D'Avila
looking for others
Exotics
Exacta: Whirlwind / Mooloolaba, Release Le Missile
Trifecta: Box: Whirlwind, Mooloolaba, Release Le Missile, Unifies
R4 • 1000m • Open;
PASS
Open; • Prize: $25000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gone Country Adam Sewell |
2 | 71% | $$1.87 | BEST |
| 2 | Better Blitzem Aidan Holt |
5 | 37% | $$4.03 | DANGER |
| 3 | Scarlena Fiona Sandkuhl |
6 | 15% | $$10.88 | |
| 4 | Dub Stepping Ryan Wiggins |
1 | 13% | $$16.77 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
37%
Better Blitzem (5) J: Aidan Holt
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
#4
2
13%
Dub Stepping (1) J: Ryan Wiggins
flying form
#1
3
71%
Gone Country (2) J: Adam Sewell
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
#3
4
15%
Scarlena (6) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
5
8%
Mersey Lass (7) J: Leslie Tilley
in good form
6
8%
Tambo's Sister (4) J: Lacey Morrison
flying form
7
2%
Cryptic Mistress (3) J: Ivo Fry
flying form, inconsistent
R5 • 1000m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $23000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Storm Capital Aidan Holt |
12 | 60% | $$4.63 | BEST |
| 2 | Rock On Angel Amanda Thomson |
11 | 45% | $$6.60 | DANGER |
| 3 | Middle Child Fiona Sandkuhl |
13 | 38% | $$7.53 | |
| 4 | King Canute Micheal Mc Donald |
14 | 25% | $$13.23 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
25%
King Canute (14) J: Micheal Mc Donald
solid track record
2
23%
Radio Waves (5) J: Adam Sewell
inconsistent
#1
3
60%
Storm Capital (12) J: Aidan Holt
solid track record, suited to trip
4
7%
Only Crunchie (6) J: Lacey Morrison
in good form, inconsistent
5Who Asked Zou (3)SCR
6
14%
Arancia (8) J: Ryan Wiggins
flying form, inconsistent
7
10%
Belinda's Rubi (7) J: Graham Kliese
in good form
8
15%
Just For Love (2) J: Chris Meehan
form a concern, inconsistent
#3
9
38%
Middle Child (13) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
proven at distance
10
14%
Princess Shanghai (4) J: Wanderson D'Avila
looking for others
#2
11
45%
Rock On Angel (11) J: Amanda Thomson
proven at distance
12
11%
Boom Bunny (9) J: Sean Cormack
looking for others
13
16%
Omnipresent (1) J: Ivo Fry
inconsistent
14
9%
Tutu Toulouse (10) J: Gabrielle Semmens
in good form, inconsistent
15
24%
Van Der Woodsen (15) J: McKenzie Apel
place chance
R6 • 1300m • Open;
Med Value Bet
Open; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Pride Aidan Holt |
1 | 42% | $$4.72 | BEST |
| 2 | Sweet Kisses Fiona Sandkuhl |
2 | 34% | $$5.50 | DANGER |
| 3 | Tycoon Beau Sean Cormack |
7 | 37% | $$5.59 | |
| 4 | Beau Rain Lacey Morrison |
9 | 34% | $$6.13 |
WIN#1 Northern Pride1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
42%
Northern Pride (1) J: Aidan Holt
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
2
12%
Hopeful (8) J: Frank Edwards
class edge, inconsistent
#4
3
34%
Beau Rain (9) J: Lacey Morrison
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
4
17%
Stats (3) J: Ryan Wiggins
solid track record
#2
5
34%
Sweet Kisses (2) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
solid track record, proven at distance
#3
6
37%
Tycoon Beau (7) J: Sean Cormack
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
7
20%
Burraneer Buoy (6) J: Ivo Fry
solid track record, in good form
8
20%
Journalism (5) J: Adam Sewell
proven at distance
9
10%
Savvy Thinker (4) J: Nathan Thomas
form a concern, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: Northern Pride, Sweet Kisses
Exacta: Northern Pride / Sweet Kisses, Tycoon Beau
Trifecta: Box: Northern Pride, Sweet Kisses, Tycoon Beau, Beau Rain
First 4: Box: Northern Pride, Sweet Kisses, Tycoon Beau, Beau Rain, Journalism
R7 • 1400m • Benchmark 55;
Med Value Bet
Benchmark 55; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flourish Chelsea Jokic |
1 | 46% | $$5.74 | BEST |
| 2 | Valubious Adam Sewell |
12 | 38% | $$6.61 | DANGER |
| 3 | Supid Date Nathan Thomas |
2 | 36% | $$7.66 | |
| 4 | Oh So Thrilling Fiona Sandkuhl |
13 | 22% | $$10.92 |
WIN#6 Flourish1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
20%
Rhegion (4) J: Ryan Wiggins
looking for others
#4
2
22%
Oh So Thrilling (13) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
proven at distance
3Looming One (6)SCR
4
20%
Tosinsky (14) J: Micheal Mc Donald
suited to trip
5Vouchers (5)SCR
#1
6
46%
Flourish (1) J: Chelsea Jokic
proven at distance, in good form
7
22%
Miss Shu (7) J: Lacey Morrison
place chance
8Mission Ridge (15)SCR
9
15%
Winning Saga (8) J: Graham Kliese
solid track record
10
18%
Seeress (11) J: Leslie Tilley
proven at distance, proven at level, inconsistent
11
19%
Store Beach (10) J: Wanderson D'Avila
solid track record, proven at distance
#2
12
38%
Valubious (12) J: Adam Sewell
solid track record, proven at distance
#3
13
36%
Supid Date (2) J: Nathan Thomas
solid track record
14
16%
Ain't Nobody (9) J: Isabella Teh
looking for others
15
20%
Craicaro (3) J: McKenzie Apel
solid track record, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: Flourish, Valubious
Exacta: Flourish / Valubious, Supid Date
Trifecta: Box: Flourish, Valubious, Supid Date, Oh So Thrilling
First 4: Box: Flourish, Valubious, Supid Date, Oh So Thrilling, Tosinsky
R8 • 1000m • Benchmark 72;
Med Strong Bet
Benchmark 72; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Freeze Leslie Tilley |
2 | 57% | $$4.77 | BEST |
| 2 | Singular Ryan Wiggins |
10 | 34% | $$8.87 | DANGER |
| 3 | Lucky Rolla Chelsea Jokic |
8 | 29% | $$10.92 | |
| 4 | Rubunkar Sean Cormack |
9 | 25% | $$11.98 |
WIN#7 Super Freeze3% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
Family Star (4) J: Ivo Fry
solid track record, proven at distance
2
23%
Captain Bond (11) J: Micheal Mc Donald
solid track record, proven at distance
#4
3
25%
Rubunkar (9) J: Sean Cormack
solid track record, proven at distance
4
15%
Outsmarted (5) J: McKenzie Apel
looking for others
5
20%
Cole's Best (3) J: Aidan Holt
looking for others
#2
6
34%
Singular (10) J: Ryan Wiggins
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#1
7
57%
Super Freeze (2) J: Leslie Tilley
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
8
19%
Ruby Chicks (7) J: Gabrielle Semmens
proven at distance
#3
9
29%
Lucky Rolla (8) J: Chelsea Jokic
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
10
27%
Time To Prophet (1) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
solid track record, proven at distance
11
16%
Upstart Legend (6) J: Wanderson D'Avila
proven at distance
12
20%
Northernontap (12) J: Lacey Morrison
solid track record, proven at distance
13
21%
No Love Lost (13) J: Adam Sewell
proven at distance, in good form
Exotics
Exacta: Super Freeze / Singular, Lucky Rolla
Trifecta: Box: Super Freeze, Singular, Lucky Rolla, Rubunkar
First 4: Box: Super Freeze, Singular, Lucky Rolla, Rubunkar, Time To Prophet
R9 • 1000m • Class 3;
Med Value Bet
Class 3; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chartwell Aidan Holt |
3 | 46% | $$10.01 | BEST |
| 2 | Mind Over Matter Sean Cormack |
17 | 40% | $$11.78 | DANGER |
| 3 | Brave Intent Adam Sewell |
9 | 40% | $$11.80 | |
| 4 | Colours Of Autumn Gabrielle Semmens |
12 | 33% | $$13.33 |
EACH WAY#1 Chartwell (0.5% win + 0.5% place)1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
46%
Chartwell (3) J: Aidan Holt
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
2
12%
Maximum Power (15) J: Lacey Morrison
looking for others
3
20%
Remember Roy (16) J: Graham Kliese
proven at distance
4
31%
Talons (6) J: Ivo Fry
solid track record, proven at distance
5
28%
Baggage Handler (10) J: Ryan Wiggins
proven at distance
6
23%
La Petite Maison (5) J:
proven at distance
7
19%
Mr Damage (19) J: McKenzie Apel
proven at distance, form a concern
8
21%
Pro Forma (1) J: Leslie Tilley
proven at distance
#3
9
40%
Brave Intent (9) J: Adam Sewell
solid track record, proven at distance
#4
10
33%
Colours Of Autumn (12) J: Gabrielle Semmens
solid track record, in good form, proven at level
11
20%
Materialist (14) J: Chelsea Jokic
in good form
12
22%
Tow The Line (8) J: Wanderson D'Avila
proven at distance
#2
13
40%
Mind Over Matter (17) J: Sean Cormack
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
14Hell Of A Bentley (13)SCR
15
21%
Whitsunday Session (2) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
suited to trip
16
30%
Carohvic (21) J: Nathan Thomas
solid track record, proven at distance
17
16%
Theregos (4) J: Isabella Teh
proven at distance
18
17%
Cyclone Coco (7) J: Chris Meehan
proven at distance, inconsistent
19
15%
Brave Eddy (18) J: Amanda Thomson
proven at distance
20
27%
Secret Boom (20) J:
solid track record, proven at distance
21
21%
Office Politics (22) J:
proven at distance
22
14%
Inala Aticus (11) J:
proven at distance
Exotics
Quinella: Chartwell, Mind Over Matter
Exacta: Chartwell / Mind Over Matter, Brave Intent
Trifecta: Box: Chartwell, Mind Over Matter, Brave Intent, Colours Of Autumn
First 4: Box: Chartwell, Mind Over Matter, Brave Intent, Colours Of Autumn, Talons
R10 • 1200m • Restricted 55;
Med Value Bet
Restricted 55; • Prize: $21000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laser Beam Lauren Guernier |
7 | 41% | $$8.61 | BEST |
| 2 | She's A Sweet Star Sean Cormack |
4 | 34% | $$11.02 | DANGER |
| 3 | Blondie's Secret Fiona Sandkuhl |
8 | 28% | $$11.43 | |
| 4 | Wired For Fun Ivo Fry |
6 | 28% | $$12.61 |
EACH WAY#1 Laser Beam (0.5% win + 0.5% place)1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
41%
Laser Beam (7) J: Lauren Guernier
proven at distance, in good form
2Looming One (11)SCR
3
30%
Super Twenty Three (16) J: Aidan Holt
solid track record, proven at distance
4
20%
Ultimate (2) J: Micheal Mc Donald
solid track record
5
26%
Burlington Arcade (10) J: Ryan Wiggins
solid track record, flying form
6
19%
To Love Somebody (14) J: Peta Edwards
proven at distance
7Hell Of A Bentley (12)SCR
8Mission Ridge (20)SCR
9Nosey Neo (15)SCR
10
11%
Faraway Downs (3) J: Leslie Tilley
flying form, inconsistent
11
27%
Bubbles'n'froth (1) J: Lacey Morrison
solid track record, suited to trip
12
29%
Mississippi Dream (13) J: Adam Sewell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
13Mister Tia (10)SCR
#4
14
28%
Wired For Fun (6) J: Ivo Fry
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#2
15
34%
She's A Sweet Star (4) J: Sean Cormack
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
16
25%
Miss Kiyoshi (9) J: Chris Meehan
proven at distance, flying form
17
25%
Geraldine's Wish (15) J: Gabrielle Semmens
proven at distance, in good form
18Properleigh (11)SCR
#3
19
28%
Blondie's Secret (8) J: Fiona Sandkuhl
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
20
21%
Majestic Blaze (12) J: Chelsea Jokic
solid track record, proven at distance
21
15%
Ginger Mick (5) J: McKenzie Apel
solid track record, proven at distance
22Five Bulls (2)SCR
23
14%
Vee Eight Power (11) J:
proven at distance, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: Laser Beam, She's A Sweet Star
Exacta: Laser Beam / She's A Sweet Star, Blondie's Secret
Trifecta: Box: Laser Beam, She's A Sweet Star, Blondie's Secret, Wired For Fun
First 4: Box: Laser Beam, She's A Sweet Star, Blondie's Secret, Wired For Fun, Super Twenty Three
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R3:
#2 Whirlwind (Barrier 2)
Model: $2.66
1% of bank
Model: $2.66
1% of bank
R6:
#1 Northern Pride (Barrier 1)
Model: $4.72
1% of bank
Model: $4.72
1% of bank
R7:
#6 Flourish (Barrier 1)
Model: $5.74
1% of bank
Model: $5.74
1% of bank
R8:
#7 Super Freeze (Barrier 2)
Model: $4.77
3% of bank
Model: $4.77
3% of bank
R9:
#1 Chartwell (Barrier 3)
Model: $10.01
1% of bank
Model: $10.01
1% of bank
R10:
#1 Laser Beam (Barrier 7)
Model: $8.61
1% of bank
Model: $8.61
1% of bank
Total Stake: 8.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 26/02/2026, 1:39:25 pm