Sunshine Coast
2026-02-27
Soft
Rail: True
Updated: 11:33 AEST
8
Races Analysed
4
Bets Found
Seneschal
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality
Track Insights — Sunshine Coast
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- M A Butler: 2W from 4 (50.0% win, 50.0% place)
- Jag Guthmann-Chester: 2W from 8 (25.0% win, 50.0% place)
- Cody Collis: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Kyle Wilson-Taylor: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 66.7% place)
- Tiffani Brooker: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 2400m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevecchio Jaden Lloyd |
2 | 33% | $$3.08 | BEST |
| 2 | Cooloundra Paul Hamblin |
3 | 26% | $$4.09 | DANGER |
| 3 | Rubos Harrison Shaw |
1 | 23% | $$5.00 | |
| 4 | Preachabull Jason Taylor |
4 | 17% | $$7.53 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1Hopetoun Park (5)SCR
#1
2
33%
Montevecchio (2) J: Jaden Lloyd
place chance
#3
3
23%
Rubos (1) J: Harrison Shaw
inconsistent
#2
4
26%
Cooloundra (3) J: Paul Hamblin
inconsistent
5
14%
Our Esprit (5) J: Julie Busuttin
form a concern, inconsistent
#4
6
17%
Preachabull (4) J: Jason Taylor
inconsistent
R2 • 1200m • Class 4;
Low Value Bet
Class 4; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seneschal Stephanie Tierney |
1 | 39% | $$4.22 | BEST |
| 2 | Just Precious Ben E Thompson |
4 | 41% | $$4.32 | DANGER |
| 3 | Joy A Plenty Cody Collis |
6 | 35% | $$5.37 | |
| 4 | Code In Time Daniel Moor |
3 | 20% | $$9.86 |
WIN#1 Seneschal1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
39%
Seneschal (1) J: Stephanie Tierney
solid track record, proven at distance
#4
2
20%
Code In Time (3) J: Daniel Moor
proven at distance
#2
3
41%
Just Precious (4) J: Ben E Thompson
solid track record, proven at distance
#3
4
35%
Joy A Plenty (6) J: Cody Collis
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
5
16%
Inca Trail (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
solid track record, in good form
6
4%
Rustic Tzar (8) J:
looking for others
7
9%
He's For The Girls (5) J: Taylor Marshall
suited to trip
8
23%
Sir Maurice (2) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
9Rubydoo (3)SCR
Exotics
Quinella: Seneschal, Just Precious
Exacta: Seneschal / Just Precious, Joy A Plenty
Trifecta: Box: Seneschal, Just Precious, Joy A Plenty, Code In Time
First 4: Box: Seneschal, Just Precious, Joy A Plenty, Code In Time, Sir Maurice
R3 • 1000m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Head Of The River Daniel Moor |
9 | 49% | $$3.89 | BEST |
| 2 | Magic Invader Corey Sutherland |
6 | 42% | $$4.57 | DANGER |
| 3 | Yaranga Luke P Dempsey |
3 | 35% | $$5.56 | |
| 4 | Hello Punters Brandon Lerena |
1 | 35% | $$5.68 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
7%
Peanuts (5) J: Leah Martyn
flying form, inconsistent
2
5%
Trip Hazard (7) J: Cody Collis
inconsistent
#3
3
35%
Yaranga (3) J: Luke P Dempsey
proven at distance, flying form
#4
4
35%
Hello Punters (1) J: Brandon Lerena
suited to trip, in good form
5
6%
Mr Brite (8) J: Kayla Johnston
in good form
#2
6
42%
Magic Invader (6) J: Corey Sutherland
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
7
8%
Kaipaki Road (2) J: Sophie Wilcock
flying form
8
5%
Windigo (4) J: Ben E Thompson
flying form, inconsistent
#1
9
49%
Head Of The River (9) J: Daniel Moor
solid track record, proven at distance
10Nelsons Bay (8)SCR
R4 • 1000m • Benchmark 70;
Med Value Bet
Benchmark 70; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Spirit Stephanie Tierney |
5 | 48% | $$3.18 | BEST |
| 2 | Never Say Nay Harrison Shaw |
4 | 38% | $$4.15 | DANGER |
| 3 | Territory Ash Cejay Graham |
2 | 22% | $$8.97 | |
| 4 | Jaggery Leah Martyn |
7 | 21% | $$10.07 |
WIN#2 King Spirit1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
15%
Trapeze Warrior (6) J: Corey Sutherland
proven at distance
#1
2
48%
King Spirit (5) J: Stephanie Tierney
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#2
3
38%
Never Say Nay (4) J: Harrison Shaw
proven at distance
4
14%
Outweighed (1) J: Bella Youngberry
solid track record, proven at distance
#4
5
21%
Jaggery (7) J: Leah Martyn
solid track record, proven at distance
6
14%
Ritualize (3) J: Ben E Thompson
flying form
7Rubydoo (8)SCR
#3
8
22%
Territory Ash (2) J: Cejay Graham
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge, inconsistent
Exotics
Quinella: King Spirit, Never Say Nay
Exacta: King Spirit / Never Say Nay, Territory Ash
Trifecta: Box: King Spirit, Never Say Nay, Territory Ash, Jaggery
First 4: Box: King Spirit, Never Say Nay, Territory Ash, Jaggery, Ritualize
R5 • 1000m • Restricted 58;
Med Value Bet
Restricted 58; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extreme Ally Georgina Cartwright |
4 | 41% | $$4.51 | BEST |
| 2 | Revitup Charlie Ben E Thompson |
5 | 34% | $$6.21 | DANGER |
| 3 | On The Target Daniel Moor |
8 | 29% | $$7.14 | |
| 4 | Unfaithful Tiffani Brooker |
3 | 28% | $$7.75 |
WIN#6 Extreme Ally1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
22%
A Lot Of Booty (1) J: Leah Martyn
solid track record
2Drums Of War (4)SCR
3
19%
In No Doubt (7) J: Corey Sutherland
looking for others
4
15%
Minor Key (9) J: Cejay Graham
looking for others
5
19%
Eagles Beware (6) J: Bella Youngberry
suited to trip
#1
6
41%
Extreme Ally (4) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#4
7
28%
Unfaithful (3) J: Tiffani Brooker
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
8
14%
Herecomesantorini (2) J: Taylor Marshall
inconsistent
#2
9
34%
Revitup Charlie (5) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance, in good form
#3
10
29%
On The Target (8) J: Daniel Moor
proven at distance
Exotics
Quinella: Extreme Ally, Revitup Charlie
Exacta: Extreme Ally / Revitup Charlie, On The Target
Trifecta: Box: Extreme Ally, Revitup Charlie, On The Target, Unfaithful
First 4: Box: Extreme Ally, Revitup Charlie, On The Target, Unfaithful, A Lot Of Booty
R6 • 1400m • Benchmark 65;
Med Value Bet
Benchmark 65; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fifth Force Bella Youngberry |
4 | 40% | $$4.86 | BEST |
| 2 | Double Whammy Jag Guthmann-Chester |
6 | 32% | $$6.81 | DANGER |
| 3 | Out Of Aces Ben E Thompson |
2 | 29% | $$7.52 | |
| 4 | Hereditary Corey Sutherland |
8 | 27% | $$8.48 |
WIN#2 Fifth Force1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
#4
1
27%
Hereditary (8) J: Corey Sutherland
solid track record, in good form
#1
2
40%
Fifth Force (4) J: Bella Youngberry
solid track record
3
24%
Cool Panels (10) J: Georgina Cartwright
in good form
4
24%
Our Orator (1) J: Julie Busuttin
solid track record, proven at distance
#2
5
32%
Double Whammy (6) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
#3
6
29%
Out Of Aces (2) J: Ben E Thompson
proven at distance
7Decimus (11)SCR
8
9%
Galeka (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at level
9
23%
Castello Grande (5) J: Vlad Duric
solid track record
10
12%
Zingalong (3) J: Kayla Johnston
solid track record, class edge, inconsistent
11Itza Motza (9)SCR
Exotics
Quinella: Fifth Force, Double Whammy
Exacta: Fifth Force / Double Whammy, Out Of Aces
Trifecta: Box: Fifth Force, Double Whammy, Out Of Aces, Hereditary
First 4: Box: Fifth Force, Double Whammy, Out Of Aces, Hereditary, Cool Panels
R7 • 1400m • Restricted 58;
PASS
Restricted 58; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chance With Wolves Georgina Cartwright |
4 | 34% | $$8.00 | BEST |
| 2 | Vredefort Corey Sutherland |
10 | 30% | $$8.66 | DANGER |
| 3 | Hey Chardonnay Cejay Graham |
6 | 30% | $$9.30 | |
| 4 | Touchofclass Mark Du Plessis |
3 | 31% | $$9.35 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#2
1
30%
Vredefort (10) J: Corey Sutherland
place chance
2
26%
Storm Force Ten (8) J: Jake Bayliss
place chance
3Itza Motza (14)SCR
4Constant Cafe (11)SCR
5
21%
Stylish Joker (11) J: Brandon Lerena
solid track record
#3
6
30%
Hey Chardonnay (6) J: Cejay Graham
proven at distance
7
12%
Rothecate (9) J: Cody Collis
looking for others
#1
8
34%
Chance With Wolves (4) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance
9
22%
Dashing Hope (12) J: Ben E Thompson
solid track record
10
17%
Devine Falls (5) J: Morgan Butler
proven at distance, inconsistent
11
19%
Galactic Legend (1) J: Kayla Johnston
solid track record
#4
12
31%
Touchofclass (3) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at distance
13
23%
Eight Cylinders (2) J: Tiffani Brooker
proven at distance, inconsistent
14
20%
Daintree Dreaming (7) J: Leah Martyn
solid track record, suited to trip
R8 • 1400m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eraja Stephanie Tierney |
2 | 33% | $$6.34 | BEST |
| 2 | Bodysnatcher Micheal Hellyer |
4 | 31% | $$7.27 | DANGER |
| 3 | Miss Adrift Mark Du Plessis |
8 | 33% | $$7.36 | |
| 4 | Gratification Ben E Thompson |
10 | 33% | $$7.43 |
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
#1
1
33%
Eraja (2) J: Stephanie Tierney
in good form
2
9%
Rubick's Shadow (9) J: Tiffani Brooker
in good form, inconsistent
3
14%
Hard Knox (3) J: Jake Bayliss
inconsistent
4Amalfi Boy (6)SCR
5
15%
Moana Nui (11) J: Corey Sutherland
inconsistent
6Spanish Rage (1)SCR
#2
7
31%
Bodysnatcher (4) J: Micheal Hellyer
proven at distance
#3
8
33%
Miss Adrift (8) J: Mark Du Plessis
solid track record
9
12%
Voltessa (5) J: Cejay Graham
in good form
#4
10
33%
Gratification (10) J: Ben E Thompson
suited to trip
11
20%
Te Elcee (7) J: Cody Collis
looking for others
12
21%
Kamigamo (6) J: Julie Busuttin
inconsistent
13
24%
Inquicktime (1) J: Leah Martyn
place chance
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
#1 Seneschal (Barrier 1)
Model: $4.22
1% of bank
Model: $4.22
1% of bank
R4:
#2 King Spirit (Barrier 5)
Model: $3.18
1% of bank
Model: $3.18
1% of bank
R5:
#6 Extreme Ally (Barrier 4)
Model: $4.51
1% of bank
Model: $4.51
1% of bank
R6:
#2 Fifth Force (Barrier 4)
Model: $4.86
1% of bank
Model: $4.86
1% of bank
Total Stake: 4.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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Leading Edge Tips — Professional Racing Analysis
Generated 26/02/2026, 11:33:24 am