Kyneton

2026-02-27
Soft Rail: Out 6m Entire Circuit
Updated: 18:31 AEST
8
Races Analysed
4
Bets Found
Duke Of Bedford
Best Bet
None
Best Value
96%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Kyneton

Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1218m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Fondled
John Allen
3 78% $$3.46 BEST
2 Her Legacy
Cian Macredmond
2 24% $$12.48 DANGER
3 Cuttin' Class
Declan Bates
10 20% $$12.49
4 Il Patrigno
Liam Riordan
8 24% $$13.61
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1Arwyn (17)SCR
#4 2
Il Patrigno (8) J: Liam Riordan
proven at distance
24%
#3 3
Cuttin' Class (10) J: Declan Bates
looking for others
20%
4Wonboyn (10)SCR
#1 5
Fondled (3) J: John Allen
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
78%
6
Sparkles (14) J: John Keating
inconsistent
16%
7
Tomorrows Prospect (7) J: Logan McNeil
looking for others
16%
8
Divine Empress (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf
in good form, inconsistent
18%
9
Fairfolly (4) J: Harry Coffey
inconsistent
13%
#2 10
Her Legacy (2) J: Cian Macredmond
in good form
24%
11
Prague Pride (13) J:
in good form, inconsistent
17%
12
Toy Maker (9) J: Jack Hill
in good form, inconsistent
18%
13
Zephartie (6) J: Jett Stanley
inconsistent
10%
14
Himalayan (11) J: Will Gordon
form a concern, inconsistent
9%
15Cider With Rosie (15)SCR
16
Gypsy Moon (5) J:
inconsistent
13%
17
Packers Journey (12) J:
suited to trip
23%

R2 • 1479m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Lufitaah
Dean Yendall
2 36% $$7.37 BEST
2 Kokonda
Jake Duffy
10 30% $$7.83 DANGER
3 Temu Tilly
Jake Noonan
7 30% $$7.88
4 Charlecote Mill
Alana Kelly
6 30% $$8.71
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Jive Dancer (9) J: Lachlan King
form a concern, inconsistent
#2 2
Kokonda (10) J: Jake Duffy
flying form, inconsistent
30%
3
Labelmaker (13) J: Zac Moore
form a concern, inconsistent
7%
4
Snitzel Von Kirk (12) J: Dylan Dunn
form a concern, inconsistent
5
Ideas Galore (11) J: Sam Kennedy
inconsistent
19%
6
Lucindra (5) J: Declan Bates
in good form, inconsistent
21%
#1 7
Lufitaah (2) J: Dean Yendall
proven at distance
36%
8
Notiramisuforyou (4) J: Jett Stanley
form a concern, inconsistent
9
Woollen (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf
form a concern, inconsistent
9%
#3 10
Temu Tilly (7) J: Jake Noonan
flying form, inconsistent
30%
11
Irish Wave (3) J: Cian Macredmond
inconsistent
28%
#4 12
Charlecote Mill (6) J: Alana Kelly
place chance
30%
13
Olympia Fields (8) J: Harry Coffey
inconsistent
22%

R3 • 1479m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Pick Wisely
Will Gordon
4 41% $$5.83 BEST
2 Yatchaw
Cian Macredmond
3 41% $$5.99 DANGER
3 Bolshie
Ruby Lamont
10 31% $$7.68
4 Adamana
Harry Coffey
5 24% $$10.43
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1
Bolshie (10) J: Ruby Lamont
suited to trip, inconsistent
31%
2
I Am Vengeance (11) J: Logan McNeil
place chance
21%
#1 3
Pick Wisely (4) J: Will Gordon
has claims
41%
4
Terrortorian (2) J: Liam Riordan
place chance
26%
5
Titan's Spirit (12) J: Jason Maskiell
inconsistent
22%
6Zamparini Spirit (13)SCR
#4 7
Adamana (5) J: Harry Coffey
proven at distance
24%
8
Wizardess (8) J: Jack Hill
form a concern, inconsistent
#2 9
Yatchaw (3) J: Cian Macredmond
proven at distance
41%
10
It's All Calm (9) J: Jake Noonan
looking for others
14%
11
Mull It Over (7) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
8%
12
Scoparia (6) J:
inconsistent
11%
13
The King And I (1) J: Liana Wood
form a concern, inconsistent
8%

R4 • 1887m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $32000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Nothin' Wong Here
Mitchell Aitken
10 39% $$7.12 BEST
2 Lady Thinkabell
Liam Riordan
9 39% $$7.35 DANGER
3 Otto's Dream
Harry Coffey
3 30% $$9.34
4 Luigi The Brave
Jake Noonan
12 32% $$9.64
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Duke Of Clarence (14) J: Liana Wood
looking for others
13%
#4 2
Luigi The Brave (12) J: Jake Noonan
solid track record, proven at distance
32%
#1 3
Nothin' Wong Here (10) J: Mitchell Aitken
flying form
39%
4Olympiad (17)SCR
#3 5
Otto's Dream (3) J: Harry Coffey
in good form
30%
6
Siva Tau (11) J: Will Gordon
flying form
22%
7
Sonic Bender (5) J: John Allen
inconsistent
11%
8Tryst And Doubt (4)SCR
9
Downtherabbithole (8) J: Jackie Beriman
inconsistent
20%
#2 10
Lady Thinkabell (9) J: Liam Riordan
solid track record, in good form
39%
11
Princess Painton (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf
in good form
25%
12
Lady Colonist (4) J: Ryan Hurdle
flying form, inconsistent
14%
13
Princess Of Sol (7) J: Linda Meech
in good form
15%
14Te Taniwha (12)SCR
15
Shezonahigh (2) J: Valentin Le Boeuf
inconsistent
10%
16
Noble Falcon (6) J:
inconsistent
7%
17
I'm Hot Too (13) J:
looking for others
11%

R5 • 1887m • Benchmark 56;

Med Strong Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Duke Of Bedford
Jack Hill
4 57% $$5.01 BEST
2 Cable De Vega
Koby Jennings
13 35% $$7.50 DANGER
3 Turfie
Jason Maskiell
9 30% $$10.20
4 Filadeel
John Allen
5 23% $$14.02
WIN#1 Duke Of Bedford3% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#1 1
Duke Of Bedford (4) J: Jack Hill
in good form
57%
2
Sinhalese (10) J: Caitlin Hollowood
place chance
24%
3Rippa Buddy (1)SCR
4
Patsy's Star (7) J: Neil Farley
inconsistent
15%
5Prestige Geoffrey (11)SCR
6
Star Ruler (8) J: Jett Stanley
looking for others
18%
7
Lane Changer (14) J: Will Gordon
looking for others
17%
8
So Long Ago (1) J: Jake Noonan
looking for others
16%
#3 9
Turfie (9) J: Jason Maskiell
place chance
30%
10
French Graffiti (6) J: Jackie Beriman
form a concern
15%
11
Mahogwise Honour (2) J: Chelsea Taylor
looking for others
19%
12
Hawkestone (3) J: Sam Kennedy
inconsistent
19%
13Downtown Man (7)SCR
14
Horace (11) J: Brendon Newport
inconsistent
13%
15
Star Of The Nile (12) J: Liam Riordan
looking for others
14%
#4 16
Filadeel (5) J: John Allen
place chance
23%
#2 17
Cable De Vega (13) J: Koby Jennings
in good form
35%

Exotics

Exacta: Duke Of Bedford / Cable De Vega, Turfie
Trifecta: Box: Duke Of Bedford, Cable De Vega, Turfie, Filadeel
First 4: Box: Duke Of Bedford, Cable De Vega, Turfie, Filadeel, Sinhalese

R6 • 1479m • Benchmark 56;

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Diamanda
Liam Riordan
8 42% $$5.96 BEST
2 Elvis
Logan McNeil
1 34% $$7.92 DANGER
3 Ryanman
Amy Herrmann
2 28% $$10.43
4 Runway Ruler
Jake Noonan
5 27% $$10.52
WIN#9 Diamanda1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1
Rock The Bar (10) J: Will Gordon
solid track record, proven at distance
26%
2
It's Gnarly (4) J: Jordyn Weatherley
flying form
16%
#2 3
Elvis (1) J: Logan McNeil
solid track record, proven at distance
34%
4
Jaz Tycoon (6) J: Cian Macredmond
looking for others
18%
#3 5
Ryanman (2) J: Amy Herrmann
proven at distance
28%
6
Eyes Wide Shut (7) J: Harry Coffey
looking for others
15%
#4 7
Runway Ruler (5) J: Jake Noonan
proven at level
27%
8
Seattle Hope (12) J: Jake Duffy
solid track record
15%
#1 9
Diamanda (8) J: Liam Riordan
proven at distance, flying form
42%
10
Shal Exceed (13) J: Neil Farley
looking for others
14%
11
Kansherun (9) J: Rhys Mc Leod
in good form
21%
12
Hustle (11) J: Koby Jennings
looking for others
15%
13
All In Vain (3) J:
proven at distance
17%

Exotics

Quinella: Diamanda, Elvis
Exacta: Diamanda / Elvis, Ryanman
Trifecta: Box: Diamanda, Elvis, Ryanman, Runway Ruler
First 4: Box: Diamanda, Elvis, Ryanman, Runway Ruler, Rock The Bar

R7 • 1218m • Benchmark 56;

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Soho Princess
Melea Castle
2 45% $$7.06 BEST
2 Olivia's Scandal
Chelsea Taylor
1 31% $$10.20 DANGER
3 Rosie's Prophecy
Brendan Ward
5 33% $$10.53
4 Symphonite
Jordyn Weatherley
3 29% $$12.21
WIN#10 Soho Princess1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#2 1
Olivia's Scandal (1) J: Chelsea Taylor
solid track record, proven at distance
31%
2
Crickets Chirping (4) J: Will Gordon
looking for others
10%
#4 3
Symphonite (3) J: Jordyn Weatherley
proven at distance, in good form
29%
4Brazen Fling (2)SCR
5
Brutify (6) J: Jack Hill
proven at distance, in good form
23%
6
Jackie's Maid (7) J: Harry Coffey
solid track record, proven at distance
21%
#3 7
Rosie's Prophecy (5) J: Brendan Ward
proven at distance, in good form
33%
8
Snappy Pierro (10) J: Jason Maskiell
solid track record, in good form
20%
9
Faithinher (16) J: Billy Egan
proven at distance
18%
#1 10
Soho Princess (2) J: Melea Castle
solid track record, proven at distance
45%
11
That's All Good (14) J: Liam Riordan
proven at distance, in good form
24%
12
Il Americana (8) J: Jessica Booth
looking for others
19%
13
Balgowan (9) J: Sam Kennedy
proven at distance
18%
14
Final Quarter (12) J: Alana Kelly
suited to trip
19%
15
Anthophila (13) J: Ruby Lamont
proven at distance
18%
16
Miss Himalaya (15) J: Olivia East
proven at distance
15%
17
Masina (11) J:
suited to trip, inconsistent
9%

Exotics

Quinella: Soho Princess, Olivia's Scandal
Exacta: Soho Princess / Olivia's Scandal, Rosie's Prophecy
Trifecta: Box: Soho Princess, Olivia's Scandal, Rosie's Prophecy, Symphonite
First 4: Box: Soho Princess, Olivia's Scandal, Rosie's Prophecy, Symphonite, Brutify

R8 • 1218m • Benchmark 56;

Med Value Bet
Benchmark 56; • Prize: $22000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Snappy Tycoon
Jason Maskiell
13 43% $$6.48 BEST
2 Benefitsofmine
Cian Macredmond
6 30% $$10.54 DANGER
3 Trust In Chad
Brendan Ward
2 28% $$11.64
4 Secret Hell
Bree Temple
4 22% $$11.71
WIN#4 Snappy Tycoon1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Marty Mcfly (12)SCR
2
Naval Force (12) J: Will Gordon
place chance
21%
#4 3
Secret Hell (4) J: Bree Temple
proven at distance, flying form
22%
#1 4
Snappy Tycoon (13) J: Jason Maskiell
solid track record, proven at distance
43%
#2 5
Benefitsofmine (6) J: Cian Macredmond
proven at distance
30%
6
Camp Cable (7) J: Billy Egan
in good form
20%
7
Gatsby Crown (1) J: Dakotah Keane
in good form
13%
8
Geegee Jet By (11) J: Mitchell Aitken
proven at distance, inconsistent
22%
9
Stand By Me Ned (9) J: Rhys Mc Leod
place chance
21%
#3 10
Trust In Chad (2) J: Brendan Ward
proven at distance, in good form
28%
11
Ideelistic (8) J: John Keating
looking for others
14%
12Foxy Heart (10)SCR
13
Whiskey And Beer (3) J: Liam Riordan
proven at distance, inconsistent
19%
14
Palentine's Day (5) J: Alice Kennedy
proven at distance
20%
15
Squagaga (14) J:
looking for others
18%
16Bare To Witness (17)SCR
17
Montgomery Bay (10) J: Melea Castle
proven at distance
20%

Exotics

Quinella: Snappy Tycoon, Benefitsofmine
Exacta: Snappy Tycoon / Benefitsofmine, Trust In Chad
Trifecta: Box: Snappy Tycoon, Benefitsofmine, Trust In Chad, Secret Hell
First 4: Box: Snappy Tycoon, Benefitsofmine, Trust In Chad, Secret Hell, Camp Cable

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R5: #1 Duke Of Bedford (Barrier 4)
Model: $5.01
3% of bank
R6: #9 Diamanda (Barrier 8)
Model: $5.96
1% of bank
R7: #10 Soho Princess (Barrier 2)
Model: $7.06
1% of bank
R8: #4 Snappy Tycoon (Barrier 13)
Model: $6.48
1% of bank
Total Stake: 6.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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Tips are analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.