LIVE TRACK BIAS DETECTED

STRONG outside barrier bias (100% of winners from outer 1/3). (4 races analysed, confidence: MODERATE)
4 races analysed | Confidence: MODERATE

Ipswich

2026-02-26
Good Rail: +8m Entire
Updated: 07:54 AEST
6
Races Analysed
4
Bets Found
Ratenotice
Best Bet
None
Best Value
100%
Data Quality

Track Insights — Ipswich

Recent Patterns:

Top Jockeys Here:

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1350m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Our Mate Locky
Jake Bayliss
4 37% $$3.94 BEST
2 Flashmaster
Vlad Duric
1 35% $$4.60 DANGER
3 Bent Bridge
Ben E Thompson
7 26% $$6.18
4 Bodysnatcher
Micheal Hellyer
8 23% $$7.61
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Amalfi Boy (6) J: Daniel Moor
looking for others
12%
#1 2
Our Mate Locky (4) J: Jake Bayliss
place chance
37%
#3 3
Bent Bridge (7) J: Ben E Thompson
place chance
26%
4
Spanish Rage (5) J: Jett Newman
looking for others
10%
#4 5
Bodysnatcher (8) J: Micheal Hellyer
place chance
23%
6
Outta Reef (2) J: Ryan Maloney
inconsistent
14%
7Miss Adrift (9)SCR
8Bossiri (3)SCR
9Mishani Treasure (4)SCR
#2 10
Flashmaster (1) J: Vlad Duric
place chance
35%

R2 • 1350m • Class 6;

Med Value Bet
Class 6; • Prize: $28000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Tribeca Star
Jett Newman
4 44% $$3.21 BEST
2 Noble Decree
Ben E Thompson
6 35% $$4.74 DANGER
3 Russian Sub
Bella Youngberry
1 33% $$5.07
4 Liberty Steps
Corey Sutherland
2 22% $$8.76
WIN#2 Tribeca Star1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1
Custo (3) J: Cejay Graham
inconsistent
10%
#1 2
Tribeca Star (4) J: Jett Newman
solid track record, proven at distance
44%
#4 3
Liberty Steps (2) J: Corey Sutherland
solid track record, class edge
22%
#3 4
Russian Sub (1) J: Bella Youngberry
solid track record, proven at distance
33%
5
Zoology (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
class edge
19%
#2 6
Noble Decree (6) J: Ben E Thompson
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
35%
7
Rubaahy (5) J: Kelsey Lenton
looking for others
11%

Exotics

Quinella: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree
Exacta: Tribeca Star / Noble Decree, Russian Sub
Trifecta: Box: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree, Russian Sub, Liberty Steps
First 4: Box: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree, Russian Sub, Liberty Steps, Zoology

R3 • 1350m • Class 1;

Med Strong Bet
Class 1; • Prize: $28000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Ratenotice
Brandon Lerena
4 59% $$2.79 BEST
2 Hermione Prancer
Ryan Maloney
8 25% $$7.95 DANGER
3 Our Jewel
Ben E Thompson
1 24% $$7.98
4 Caitlin
Kelsey Lenton
7 17% $$9.27
WIN#9 Ratenotice3% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Chevallum (8)SCR
2
Pretty Dubious (3) J: Vlad Duric
looking for others
14%
3
Busker (2) J: Bella Youngberry
looking for others
20%
#4 4
Caitlin (7) J: Kelsey Lenton
flying form, inconsistent
17%
#2 5
Hermione Prancer (8) J: Ryan Maloney
in good form
25%
6
Cavaretta (5) J: Damien Thornton
looking for others
18%
7
Lou Vega (6) J: Adin Thompson
looking for others
12%
#3 8
Our Jewel (1) J: Ben E Thompson
in good form
24%
#1 9
Ratenotice (4) J: Brandon Lerena
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
59%

Exotics

Exacta: Ratenotice / Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel
Trifecta: Box: Ratenotice, Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel, Caitlin
First 4: Box: Ratenotice, Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel, Caitlin, Busker

R4 • 1700m • Maiden;

PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Pass The Peak
Brandon Lerena
8 32% $$8.37 BEST
2 Oakfield Galaxy
Jaden Lloyd
3 30% $$8.41 DANGER
3 Weekend Spirit
Ryan Maloney
5 26% $$8.94
4 Gas Brigade
Mark Du Plessis
6 27% $$9.49
No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

1
Crypto Magic (1) J: Adin Thompson
place chance
23%
#4 2
Gas Brigade (6) J: Mark Du Plessis
place chance
27%
#2 3
Oakfield Galaxy (3) J: Jaden Lloyd
place chance
30%
4
Rocket Three (2) J: Corey Sutherland
inconsistent
15%
#1 5
Pass The Peak (8) J: Brandon Lerena
in good form
32%
#3 6
Weekend Spirit (5) J: Ryan Maloney
place chance
26%
7
Bold Beauty (10) J: Harrison Shaw
looking for others
13%
8
Classic Shiraz (7) J: Benjamin Osmond
place chance
23%
9
Holler Dash (12) J: Jason Taylor
inconsistent
18%
10
Koolibah (11) J: Ben E Thompson
inconsistent
15%
11
She's A Fizz (4) J: Damien Boche
inconsistent
24%
12
Five Of Us (9) J: Georgina Cartwright
place chance
22%
13Bossiri (8)SCR

R5 • 1700m • Class 2;

Low Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $28000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Simply Fun
Georgina Cartwright
2 35% $$7.64 BEST
2 Skorpios Isle
Cejay Graham
10 35% $$8.02 DANGER
3 Xtra La Vita
Daniel Moor
3 28% $$9.19
4 San Jose Boy
Ben E Thompson
12 30% $$9.52
WIN#4 Simply Fun1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Piston Rebel (9)SCR
2Rashford (7)SCR
#4 3
San Jose Boy (12) J: Ben E Thompson
suited to trip
30%
#1 4
Simply Fun (2) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance
35%
#2 5
Skorpios Isle (10) J: Cejay Graham
solid track record, proven at distance
35%
6
Cool Running (1) J: Angela Jones
place chance
22%
7
Jungle Prince (6) J: Brandon Lerena
proven at level
20%
#3 8
Xtra La Vita (3) J: Daniel Moor
solid track record, proven at distance
28%
9
Lord Danilo (9) J: Kayla Johnston
looking for others
15%
10
Mosamour (7) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record
19%
11
Bonfidelity (4) J: Nathan Thomas
proven at distance, in good form
28%
12
Magadan (5) J: Chelsea Baker
proven at distance, class edge
26%
13
Rockrata (8) J:
place chance
24%
14
Oakfield Eagle (11) J: Wayne O'Connell
looking for others
13%

Exotics

Quinella: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle
Exacta: Simply Fun / Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita
Trifecta: Box: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita, San Jose Boy
First 4: Box: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita, San Jose Boy, Bonfidelity

R6 • 1200m • Class 2;

Med Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $28000
#HorseBarConfPriceTag
1 Bee Exact
Micheal Hellyer
8 40% $$5.68 BEST
2 Ally
Angela Jones
9 37% $$6.27 DANGER
3 Meadowbrook
Vlad Duric
5 35% $$6.39
4 Star Venture
Adin Thompson
4 32% $$7.48
WIN#12 Bee Exact1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Meldubious (10)SCR
#2 2
Ally (9) J: Angela Jones
solid track record, proven at distance
37%
3
Lumens Lenny (2) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance
23%
#3 4
Meadowbrook (5) J: Vlad Duric
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
35%
5Superstitious (10)SCR
6Bad Forest (11)SCR
7
Data Scramble (3) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance
19%
8In No Doubt (11)SCR
#4 9
Star Venture (4) J: Adin Thompson
proven at distance, in good form
32%
10
Hello In There (10) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at distance
14%
11
Private Showtime (6) J: Daniel Moor
in good form
28%
#1 12
Bee Exact (8) J: Micheal Hellyer
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
40%
13
Doyle (1) J: Benjamin Osmond
proven at distance
15%
14
Exceed The Sky (7) J: Jason Taylor
form a concern, inconsistent
5%

Exotics

Quinella: Bee Exact, Ally
Exacta: Bee Exact / Ally, Meadowbrook
Trifecta: Box: Bee Exact, Ally, Meadowbrook, Star Venture
First 4: Box: Bee Exact, Ally, Meadowbrook, Star Venture, Private Showtime

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R2: #2 Tribeca Star (Barrier 4)
Model: $3.21
1% of bank
R3: #9 Ratenotice (Barrier 4)
Model: $2.79
3% of bank
R5: #4 Simply Fun (Barrier 2)
Model: $7.64
1% of bank
R6: #12 Bee Exact (Barrier 8)
Model: $5.68
1% of bank
Total Stake: 6.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

  • Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
  • Strong Bet: Good edge identified
  • Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
  • Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

  • 5%: Max confidence standout
  • 3–4%: High confidence
  • 2%: Good confidence
  • 1%: Moderate / each-way value

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💹 PRICES UPDATED 07:58 am