Ipswich
2026-02-26
Good
Rail: +8m Entire
Updated: 07:54 AEST
Track Insights — Ipswich
Recent Patterns:
- Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
- Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage
Top Jockeys Here:
- Cejay Graham: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 60.0% place)
- Angela Jones: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
- B Lerena: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 75.0% place)
- Olivia Kendal: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
- Adin Thompson: 0W from 4 (0.0% win, 0.0% place)
Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.
Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.
R1 • 1350m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Our Mate Locky Jake Bayliss |
4 |
37% |
$$3.94 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Flashmaster Vlad Duric |
1 |
35% |
$$4.60 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Bent Bridge Ben E Thompson |
7 |
26% |
$$6.18 |
|
| 4 |
Bodysnatcher Micheal Hellyer |
8 |
23% |
$$7.61 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Amalfi Boy (6) J: Daniel Moor
looking for others
12%
#1
2
Our Mate Locky (4) J: Jake Bayliss
place chance
37%
#3
3
Bent Bridge (7) J: Ben E Thompson
place chance
26%
4
Spanish Rage (5) J: Jett Newman
looking for others
10%
#4
5
Bodysnatcher (8) J: Micheal Hellyer
place chance
23%
6
Outta Reef (2) J: Ryan Maloney
inconsistent
14%
7Miss Adrift (9)SCR
8Bossiri (3)SCR
9Mishani Treasure (4)SCR
#2
10
Flashmaster (1) J: Vlad Duric
place chance
35%
R2 • 1350m • Class 6;
Med
Value Bet
Class 6; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Tribeca Star Jett Newman |
4 |
44% |
$$3.21 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Noble Decree Ben E Thompson |
6 |
35% |
$$4.74 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Russian Sub Bella Youngberry |
1 |
33% |
$$5.07 |
|
| 4 |
Liberty Steps Corey Sutherland |
2 |
22% |
$$8.76 |
|
WIN#2 Tribeca Star1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1
Custo (3) J: Cejay Graham
inconsistent
10%
#1
2
Tribeca Star (4) J: Jett Newman
solid track record, proven at distance
44%
#4
3
Liberty Steps (2) J: Corey Sutherland
solid track record, class edge
22%
#3
4
Russian Sub (1) J: Bella Youngberry
solid track record, proven at distance
33%
5
Zoology (7) J: Mark Du Plessis
class edge
19%
#2
6
Noble Decree (6) J: Ben E Thompson
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
35%
7
Rubaahy (5) J: Kelsey Lenton
looking for others
11%
Exotics
Quinella: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree
Exacta: Tribeca Star / Noble Decree, Russian Sub
Trifecta: Box: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree, Russian Sub, Liberty Steps
First 4: Box: Tribeca Star, Noble Decree, Russian Sub, Liberty Steps, Zoology
R3 • 1350m • Class 1;
Med
Strong Bet
Class 1; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Ratenotice Brandon Lerena |
4 |
59% |
$$2.79 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Hermione Prancer Ryan Maloney |
8 |
25% |
$$7.95 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Our Jewel Ben E Thompson |
1 |
24% |
$$7.98 |
|
| 4 |
Caitlin Kelsey Lenton |
7 |
17% |
$$9.27 |
|
WIN#9 Ratenotice3% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1Chevallum (8)SCR
2
Pretty Dubious (3) J: Vlad Duric
looking for others
14%
3
Busker (2) J: Bella Youngberry
looking for others
20%
#4
4
Caitlin (7) J: Kelsey Lenton
flying form, inconsistent
17%
#2
5
Hermione Prancer (8) J: Ryan Maloney
in good form
25%
6
Cavaretta (5) J: Damien Thornton
looking for others
18%
7
Lou Vega (6) J: Adin Thompson
looking for others
12%
#3
8
Our Jewel (1) J: Ben E Thompson
in good form
24%
#1
9
Ratenotice (4) J: Brandon Lerena
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
59%
Exotics
Exacta: Ratenotice / Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel
Trifecta: Box: Ratenotice, Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel, Caitlin
First 4: Box: Ratenotice, Hermione Prancer, Our Jewel, Caitlin, Busker
R4 • 1700m • Maiden;
PASS
Maiden; • Prize: $30000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Pass The Peak Brandon Lerena |
8 |
32% |
$$8.37 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Oakfield Galaxy Jaden Lloyd |
3 |
30% |
$$8.41 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Weekend Spirit Ryan Maloney |
5 |
26% |
$$8.94 |
|
| 4 |
Gas Brigade Mark Du Plessis |
6 |
27% |
$$9.49 |
|
No edge detected — race passed.
Full Field Analysis
1
Crypto Magic (1) J: Adin Thompson
place chance
23%
#4
2
Gas Brigade (6) J: Mark Du Plessis
place chance
27%
#2
3
Oakfield Galaxy (3) J: Jaden Lloyd
place chance
30%
4
Rocket Three (2) J: Corey Sutherland
inconsistent
15%
#1
5
Pass The Peak (8) J: Brandon Lerena
in good form
32%
#3
6
Weekend Spirit (5) J: Ryan Maloney
place chance
26%
7
Bold Beauty (10) J: Harrison Shaw
looking for others
13%
8
Classic Shiraz (7) J: Benjamin Osmond
place chance
23%
9
Holler Dash (12) J: Jason Taylor
inconsistent
18%
10
Koolibah (11) J: Ben E Thompson
inconsistent
15%
11
She's A Fizz (4) J: Damien Boche
inconsistent
24%
12
Five Of Us (9) J: Georgina Cartwright
place chance
22%
13Bossiri (8)SCR
R5 • 1700m • Class 2;
Low
Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Simply Fun Georgina Cartwright |
2 |
35% |
$$7.64 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Skorpios Isle Cejay Graham |
10 |
35% |
$$8.02 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Xtra La Vita Daniel Moor |
3 |
28% |
$$9.19 |
|
| 4 |
San Jose Boy Ben E Thompson |
12 |
30% |
$$9.52 |
|
WIN#4 Simply Fun1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1Piston Rebel (9)SCR
2Rashford (7)SCR
#4
3
San Jose Boy (12) J: Ben E Thompson
suited to trip
30%
#1
4
Simply Fun (2) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance
35%
#2
5
Skorpios Isle (10) J: Cejay Graham
solid track record, proven at distance
35%
6
Cool Running (1) J: Angela Jones
place chance
22%
7
Jungle Prince (6) J: Brandon Lerena
proven at level
20%
#3
8
Xtra La Vita (3) J: Daniel Moor
solid track record, proven at distance
28%
9
Lord Danilo (9) J: Kayla Johnston
looking for others
15%
10
Mosamour (7) J: Damien Thornton
solid track record
19%
11
Bonfidelity (4) J: Nathan Thomas
proven at distance, in good form
28%
12
Magadan (5) J: Chelsea Baker
proven at distance, class edge
26%
13
Rockrata (8) J:
place chance
24%
14
Oakfield Eagle (11) J: Wayne O'Connell
looking for others
13%
Exotics
Quinella: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle
Exacta: Simply Fun / Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita
Trifecta: Box: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita, San Jose Boy
First 4: Box: Simply Fun, Skorpios Isle, Xtra La Vita, San Jose Boy, Bonfidelity
R6 • 1200m • Class 2;
Med
Value Bet
Class 2; • Prize: $28000
| # | Horse | Bar | Conf | Price | Tag |
| 1 |
Bee Exact Micheal Hellyer |
8 |
40% |
$$5.68 |
BEST |
| 2 |
Ally Angela Jones |
9 |
37% |
$$6.27 |
DANGER |
| 3 |
Meadowbrook Vlad Duric |
5 |
35% |
$$6.39 |
|
| 4 |
Star Venture Adin Thompson |
4 |
32% |
$$7.48 |
|
WIN#12 Bee Exact1% of bank
Full Field Analysis
1Meldubious (10)SCR
#2
2
Ally (9) J: Angela Jones
solid track record, proven at distance
37%
3
Lumens Lenny (2) J: Georgina Cartwright
solid track record, proven at distance
23%
#3
4
Meadowbrook (5) J: Vlad Duric
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
35%
5Superstitious (10)SCR
6Bad Forest (11)SCR
7
Data Scramble (3) J: Damien Thornton
proven at distance
19%
8In No Doubt (11)SCR
#4
9
Star Venture (4) J: Adin Thompson
proven at distance, in good form
32%
10
Hello In There (10) J: Mark Du Plessis
proven at distance
14%
11
Private Showtime (6) J: Daniel Moor
in good form
28%
#1
12
Bee Exact (8) J: Micheal Hellyer
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
40%
13
Doyle (1) J: Benjamin Osmond
proven at distance
15%
14
Exceed The Sky (7) J: Jason Taylor
form a concern, inconsistent
5%
Exotics
Quinella: Bee Exact, Ally
Exacta: Bee Exact / Ally, Meadowbrook
Trifecta: Box: Bee Exact, Ally, Meadowbrook, Star Venture
First 4: Box: Bee Exact, Ally, Meadowbrook, Star Venture, Private Showtime
Betting Summary
Selective staking — bet only when confident
R2:
#2 Tribeca Star (Barrier 4)
Model: $3.21
1% of bank
R3:
#9 Ratenotice (Barrier 4)
Model: $2.79
3% of bank
R5:
#4 Simply Fun (Barrier 2)
Model: $7.64
1% of bank
R6:
#12 Bee Exact (Barrier 8)
Model: $5.68
1% of bank
Total Stake: 6.0%
Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.
Understanding The System
Race Classifications
- Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
- Strong Bet: Good edge identified
- Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
- Pass Race: Insufficient edge
Staking Guide
- 5%: Max confidence standout
- 3–4%: High confidence
- 2%: Good confidence
- 1%: Moderate / each-way value
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