Goulburn

2026-02-27

Soft Rail: +3m Entire

Updated: 17:04 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Maritime Express

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Goulburn

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical

Top Jockeys Here:

Nick Heywood: 4W from 7 (57.1% win, 71.4% place)
Pierre Boudvillain: 3W from 10 (30.0% win, 80.0% place)
Rebecca Bronett Prag: 0W from 4 (0.0% win, 50.0% place)
K S Latham: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)
L P Beuzelin: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 0.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Closethedoordarcy Robyn Freeman	1	36%	$$4.04	BEST
2	Millie's Memory Keagan Latham	6	28%	$$4.88	DANGER
3	Cruizingthestars Pierre Boudvillain	5	22%	$$6.68
4	The Glen Dale Cole	4	17%	$$8.25

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Stern Reminder (7) J: Nick Heywood

proven at distance

14%

Stormy Woo (3) J: Damon Budler

looking for others

17%

#4 3

The Glen (4) J: Dale Cole

in good form, inconsistent

17%

#1 4

Closethedoordarcy (1) J: Robyn Freeman

place chance

36%

#2 5

Millie's Memory (6) J: Keagan Latham

proven at distance, in good form

28%

#3 6

Cruizingthestars (5) J: Pierre Boudvillain

flying form

22%

7Thegirlfromprague (5)SCR

Sloopy Girl (2) J: Zac Wadick

looking for others

R2 • 1200m • Class 3;

Med Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Romanticism Pierre Boudvillain	7	42%	$$4.13	BEST
2	Cyclone Rupert Keagan Latham	4	27%	$$6.13	DANGER
3	Merchant Reign Richard Bensley	8	28%	$$6.70
4	Savaii Alysha Collett	6	19%	$$8.58

WIN#6 Romanticism1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Savaii (6) J: Alysha Collett

solid track record

19%

#2 2

Cyclone Rupert (4) J: Keagan Latham

proven at distance

27%

Party Doll (1) J: Claire Ramsbotham

suited to trip

22%

Golden Warrior (3) J: Dale Cole

proven at distance

19%

Media Frenzy (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire

solid track record, proven at distance

21%

#1 6

Romanticism (7) J: Pierre Boudvillain

solid track record, proven at distance, flying form

42%

La Mer Bleue (2) J: Teaghan Martin

looking for others

13%

#3 8

Merchant Reign (8) J: Richard Bensley

proven at distance

28%

Exotics

Exacta: Romanticism / Cyclone Rupert, Merchant Reign

Trifecta: Box: Romanticism, Cyclone Rupert, Merchant Reign, Savaii

First 4: Box: Romanticism, Cyclone Rupert, Merchant Reign, Savaii, Media Frenzy

R3 • 1400m • Class 1;

High Top Pick

Class 1; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Maritime Express Nick Heywood	3	65%	$$2.52	BEST
2	Bulla Vinaka Teaghan Martin	2	33%	$$5.09	DANGER
3	Royaltown Pierre Boudvillain	5	17%	$$9.70
4	Missile Defence Dale Cole	1	19%	$$13.40

WIN#1 Maritime Express3.5% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Maritime Express (3) J: Nick Heywood

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

65%

#4 2

Missile Defence (1) J: Dale Cole

suited to trip, proven at level

19%

Ripping Missile (7) J: Olivia Chambers

looking for others

14%

#3 4

Royaltown (5) J: Pierre Boudvillain

solid track record, flying form, inconsistent

17%

#2 5

Bulla Vinaka (2) J: Teaghan Martin

proven at distance, in good form

33%

6Fire Your Guns (5)SCR

Group Chat (4) J: Alysha Collett

looking for others

19%

Performing Diva (6) J: Shaun Guymer

looking for others

16%

Zouwase (8) J: Quayde Krogh

looking for others

12%

R4 • 1100m • Benchmark 58;

Med Value Bet

Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Silver Serenade Pierre Boudvillain	3	46%	$$4.77	BEST
2	Vainstream Teaghan Martin	4	38%	$$4.82	DANGER
3	Zoutempus Nick Heywood	10	30%	$$7.14
4	Abstruse Jack Martin	6	26%	$$10.28

WIN#2 Silver Serenade1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Abstruse (6) J: Jack Martin

proven at distance, in good form, proven at level

26%

#1 2

Silver Serenade (3) J: Pierre Boudvillain

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

46%

#2 3

Vainstream (4) J: Teaghan Martin

proven at distance, in good form, class edge

38%

Howie Do It (5) J: Shaun Guymer

flying form

12%

#3 5

Zoutempus (10) J: Nick Heywood

solid track record, proven at distance

30%

Rippana (2) J: Keagan Latham

looking for others

17%

Dame Annie (7) J: Louise Day

proven at distance

22%

Magic Bertie (9) J: Amy Mc Lucas

proven at distance

10%

Shoreman (1) J: Jeff Penza

looking for others

Into The Fire (8) J: Ellen Hennessy

proven at distance

18%

Exotics

Quinella: Silver Serenade, Vainstream

Exacta: Silver Serenade / Vainstream, Zoutempus

Trifecta: Box: Silver Serenade, Vainstream, Zoutempus, Abstruse

First 4: Box: Silver Serenade, Vainstream, Zoutempus, Abstruse, Dame Annie

R5 • 1500m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Tartan Tiger Olivia Chambers	3	30%	$$5.43	BEST
2	Hammurabi Jeff Penza	5	27%	$$7.15	DANGER
3	Ivy Princess Lee Magorrian	4	22%	$$7.64
4	Yesglenn Keagan Latham	7	27%	$$8.17

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Foursixty Squadron (9) J: Richard Bensley

form a concern, inconsistent

10%

Son O' War (8) J: Deep Shanker

suited to trip, inconsistent

21%

#4 3

Yesglenn (7) J: Keagan Latham

solid track record

27%

#2 4

Hammurabi (5) J: Jeff Penza

place chance

27%

Milchel (6) J: Shaun Guymer

inconsistent

15%

Vincentvangee (2) J: Chad Lever

inconsistent

14%

#3 7

Ivy Princess (4) J: Lee Magorrian

inconsistent

22%

8Mountain Queen (5)SCR

#1 9

Tartan Tiger (3) J: Olivia Chambers

in good form

30%

Valiant Dreamer (1) J: Andrew Calder

looking for others

17%

R6 • 2120m • Benchmark 58;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 58; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Midnight Affair Zac Wadick	5	37%	$$6.89	BEST
2	Tavijewel Robyn Freeman	9	32%	$$7.42	DANGER
3	Doutelle Chad Lever	3	23%	$$10.50
4	Flashy Icon Jessica Brookes	1	23%	$$10.91

WIN#7 Midnight Affair1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Flashy Icon (1) J: Jessica Brookes

in good form

23%

Tabor (8) J: Keagan Latham

looking for others

20%

Tjaka (10) J: Dale Cole

looking for others

18%

Party It Down (6) J: Alysha Collett

looking for others

20%

Juan Pablo (11) J: Rochelle Wedrat-Kroezen

proven at distance

17%

Pretty Please (4) J: Brock Ryan

place chance

24%

#1 7

Midnight Affair (5) J: Zac Wadick

solid track record, proven at distance

37%

#2 8

Tavijewel (9) J: Robyn Freeman

proven at distance, in good form

32%

Delago Serg (2) J: Damon Budler

looking for others

13%

#3 10

Doutelle (3) J: Chad Lever

proven at distance

23%

Great Week (12) J: Teaghan Martin

looking for others

14%

Big Time Charlie (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire

place chance

22%

Exotics

Quinella: Midnight Affair, Tavijewel

Exacta: Midnight Affair / Tavijewel, Doutelle

Trifecta: Box: Midnight Affair, Tavijewel, Doutelle, Flashy Icon

First 4: Box: Midnight Affair, Tavijewel, Doutelle, Flashy Icon, Pretty Please

R7 • 1500m • Benchmark 66;

PASS

Benchmark 66; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Canadian Fling Zac Wadick	3	50%	$$3.77	BEST
2	Devils Daughter Andrew Calder	1	35%	$$6.52	DANGER
3	Battle Abbey Jeff Penza	4	26%	$$7.59
4	Astrogazer Robyn Freeman	7	24%	$$9.20

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

County Kilkenny (6) J: Dale Cole

proven at distance, inconsistent

14%

Burn The Sky (5) J: Keagan Latham

looking for others

14%

Victory At Omaha (8) J: Louise Day

inconsistent

14%

#4 4

Astrogazer (7) J: Robyn Freeman

in good form

24%

#2 5

Devils Daughter (1) J: Andrew Calder

solid track record

35%

Chairman's List (9) J: Ryan Bradley

inconsistent

11%

#1 7

Canadian Fling (3) J: Zac Wadick

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

50%

You're On Mute (2) J: Teaghan Martin

solid track record, inconsistent

18%

Rule Of Faith (10) J: Shaun Guymer

proven at distance, in good form

13%

#3 10

Battle Abbey (4) J: Jeff Penza

solid track record, proven at distance

26%

R8 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Nafanua Winona Costin	6	70%	$$3.66	BEST
2	Deluce	14	28%	$$9.61	DANGER
3	Miss Maclaine Brock Ryan	4	26%	$$9.70
4	Zousari Alysha Collett	7	23%	$$12.42

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Zousari (7) J: Alysha Collett

place chance

23%

Alabama Showdown (13) J: Nick Heywood

in good form

11%

#2 3

Deluce (14) J:

proven at distance, in good form

28%

4No Verdict (6)SCR

#1 5

Nafanua (6) J: Winona Costin

proven at distance, in good form

70%

6Celestial Grace (10)SCR

Eastern Beauty (1) J: Chad Lever

looking for others

10%

Lady Capitalist (5) J: Zac Wadick

in good form, inconsistent

10%

Mayleigh (8) J: Jeff Penza

inconsistent

13%

#3 10

Miss Maclaine (4) J: Brock Ryan

flying form

26%

Wave Dancer (2) J: Louise Day

in good form, inconsistent

17%

Prankaj (3) J: Lee Magorrian

looking for others

13%

Ivory Frost (10) J: Pierre Boudvillain

looking for others

15%

Sunday Punch (12) J:

inconsistent

Rambova (11) J: Keagan Latham

inconsistent

19%

Tendi (9) J:

looking for others

18%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R2: #6 Romanticism (Barrier 7)
Model: $4.13
1% of bank

R3: #1 Maritime Express (Barrier 3)
Model: $2.52
3.5% of bank

R4: #2 Silver Serenade (Barrier 3)
Model: $4.77
1% of bank

R6: #7 Midnight Affair (Barrier 5)
Model: $6.89
1% of bank

Total Stake: 6.5%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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