Canterbury

2026-02-27

Good Rail: +5m Entire

Updated: 09:27 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Ivan's Hero

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Canterbury

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

J B Mc Donald: 3W from 5 (60.0% win, 80.0% place)
Tommy Berry: 3W from 5 (60.0% win, 100.0% place)
A Adkins: 2W from 3 (66.7% win, 66.7% place)
Braith Nock: 2W from 4 (50.0% win, 50.0% place)
Tom Sherry: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 40.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Euripedes Rachel King	9	77%	$$3.51	BEST
2	Promenade Tommy Berry	11	24%	$$10.96	DANGER
3	Doubella	13	25%	$$11.34
4	Avengers Nash Rawiller	7	22%	$$12.29

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Euripedes (9) J: Rachel King

proven at distance, flying form

77%

Barracks (8) J: Adam Farragher

flying form, inconsistent

12%

Concrete Storm (14) J: Zac Lloyd

flying form, inconsistent

12%

Forest King (4) J: Dylan Gibbons

in good form

12%

Japan (3) J: Adam Hyeronimus

in good form, inconsistent

13%

6Milele (16)SCR

Spring Ruler (10) J: Tom Sherry

in good form

10%

Universe (1) J: James Mc Donald

in good form, inconsistent

11%

9Zensen (16)SCR

The Wildling (12) J: Regan Bayliss

in good form

20%

Affari (6) J: Jason Collett

in good form, inconsistent

#2 12

Promenade (11) J: Tommy Berry

flying form

24%

Ektifire (2) J: Tim Clark

in good form

14%

#3 14

Doubella (13) J:

in good form

25%

#4 15

Avengers (7) J: Nash Rawiller

flying form

22%

Gold Globe (5) J:

in good form

15%

17Central Europe (10)SCR

18Campione D'italia (7)SCR

R2 • 1200m • Benchmark 64;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 64; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Melanite Chad Schofield	5	37%	$$3.84	BEST
2	Rajwa Andrew Adkins	7	30%	$$5.01	DANGER
3	Andrea Shannen Llewellyn	8	27%	$$6.34
4	Penpel Adam Hyeronimus	3	23%	$$7.12

WIN#1 Melanite1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Melanite (5) J: Chad Schofield

in good form, proven at level

37%

Change My Address (2) J: Molly Bourke

class edge

14%

#4 3

Penpel (3) J: Adam Hyeronimus

in good form

23%

#2 4

Rajwa (7) J: Andrew Adkins

solid track record, in good form

30%

#3 5

Andrea (8) J: Shannen Llewellyn

proven at distance

27%

Beverly Hills (4) J: James Mc Donald

looking for others

15%

7Great Heights (1)SCR

Lighthouse Lass (6) J: Zac Lloyd

class edge

21%

Exotics

Quinella: Melanite, Rajwa

Exacta: Melanite / Rajwa, Andrea

Trifecta: Box: Melanite, Rajwa, Andrea, Penpel

First 4: Box: Melanite, Rajwa, Andrea, Penpel, Lighthouse Lass

R3 • 1900m • Benchmark 64;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 64; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Think I Do Claire Ramsbotham	1	39%	$$7.33	BEST
2	Dollars Nash Rawiller	3	32%	$$8.14	DANGER
3	Okami Star	6	31%	$$9.98
4	Defendant James Mc Donald	11	26%	$$11.75

WIN#12 Think I Do1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Dollars (3) J: Nash Rawiller

in good form

32%

Sacro Catino (5) J: Chad Schofield

suited to trip

17%

3Throttle Response (7)SCR

#4 4

Defendant (11) J: James Mc Donald

solid track record, in good form

26%

El Paso (13) J: Dylan Gibbons

place chance

25%

Noises (8) J: Mitch Stapleford

class edge

13%

Velaris (10) J: Siena Grima

in good form

19%

Procean (9) J: Sam Clipperton

looking for others

19%

Savvy Spy (14) J: Tim Clark

solid track record

20%

Strongside (15) J: Zac Lloyd

looking for others

18%

Dezignation (4) J: Jason Collett

looking for others

12%

#1 12

Think I Do (1) J: Claire Ramsbotham

in good form

39%

Sweet Bubbles (2) J:

looking for others

18%

Tjaka (12) J: Anna Roper

place chance

23%

15Pepe (13)SCR

#3 16

Okami Star (6) J:

proven at distance, proven at level

31%

Exotics

Quinella: Think I Do, Dollars

Exacta: Think I Do / Dollars, Okami Star

Trifecta: Box: Think I Do, Dollars, Okami Star, Defendant

First 4: Box: Think I Do, Dollars, Okami Star, Defendant, Savvy Spy

R4 • 1900m • Benchmark 78;

Med Value Bet

Benchmark 78; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Kenmare Bay Dylan Gibbons	9	45%	$$4.29	BEST
2	Pleasure Artist Braith Nock	3	45%	$$4.39	DANGER
3	Powerhouse Tim Clark	7	28%	$$6.21
4	Semper Fortis Jay Ford	4	29%	$$7.71

WIN#5 Kenmare Bay1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Sir Chartwell (5)SCR

#2 2

Pleasure Artist (3) J: Braith Nock

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

45%

One Step Closer (5) J: Zac Lloyd

class edge

11%

Saint Emilion (2) J: Nash Rawiller

class edge, inconsistent

11%

#1 5

Kenmare Bay (9) J: Dylan Gibbons

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

45%

Gentileschi (6) J: Reece Jones

class edge

18%

#3 7

Powerhouse (7) J: Tim Clark

in good form, proven at level

28%

#4 8

Semper Fortis (4) J: Jay Ford

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

29%

Knife's Edge (8) J: Molly Bourke

proven at distance

15%

Strobing (1) J: Siena Grima

proven at distance

12%

Exotics

Quinella: Kenmare Bay, Pleasure Artist

Exacta: Kenmare Bay / Pleasure Artist, Powerhouse

Trifecta: Box: Kenmare Bay, Pleasure Artist, Powerhouse, Semper Fortis

First 4: Box: Kenmare Bay, Pleasure Artist, Powerhouse, Semper Fortis, Gentileschi

R5 • 1250m • Benchmark 72;

High Strong Bet

Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Caesar James Mc Donald	9	78%	$$1.96	BEST
2	Super Bright Dylan Gibbons	4	27%	$$7.25	DANGER
3	Vetwelve Sam Clipperton	8	21%	$$9.47
4	Sacred Rocks Mollie Fitzgerald	7	15%	$$13.35

WIN#6 Caesar1.5% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Sacred Rocks (7) J: Mollie Fitzgerald

looking for others

15%

Diddle Dumpling (1) J: Nash Rawiller

class edge

11%

3Agarwood (6)SCR

#3 4

Vetwelve (8) J: Sam Clipperton

proven at distance

21%

Unstopabull (3) J: Tommy Berry

looking for others

11%

#1 6

Caesar (9) J: James Mc Donald

solid track record, proven at distance, flying form

78%

7Slinky (5)SCR

#2 8

Super Bright (4) J: Dylan Gibbons

solid track record, proven at distance

27%

Mystery Lad (6) J: Mitch Stapleford

in good form

17%

Burj (2) J: Tom Sherry

looking for others

11%

Exotics

Exacta: Caesar / Super Bright, Vetwelve

Trifecta: Box: Caesar, Super Bright, Vetwelve, Sacred Rocks

First 4: Box: Caesar, Super Bright, Vetwelve, Sacred Rocks, Mystery Lad

R6 • 1200m • Benchmark 72;

Med Value Bet

Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Maybe Moet James Mc Donald	1	45%	$$5.27	BEST
2	Southern Heiress Tommy Berry	7	40%	$$5.48	DANGER
3	Ishikari	8	23%	$$11.08
4	Maquisa Tim Clark	2	23%	$$11.74

WIN#3 Maybe Moet1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

1Slinky (8)SCR

#2 2

Southern Heiress (7) J: Tommy Berry

solid track record, in good form

40%

#1 3

Maybe Moet (1) J: James Mc Donald

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

45%

4Jaegers (9)SCR

Let's Go Barbie (6) J: Sam Clipperton

proven at distance, in good form

21%

Miss Jennifer (11) J: Dylan Gibbons

proven at distance

15%

Vanessi (3) J: Siena Grima

solid track record

20%

Mercy Me (10) J: Regan Bayliss

flying form

18%

Lighthouse Lass (6) J: Zac Lloyd

class edge

18%

La Signora Dane (5) J: Tyler Schiller

solid track record

17%

Manaajem (4) J: Jason Collett

solid track record

23%

#4 11

Maquisa (2) J: Tim Clark

proven at distance, in good form

23%

#3 12

Ishikari (8) J:

proven at distance, in good form

23%

14Great Heights (13)SCR

Exotics

Quinella: Maybe Moet, Southern Heiress

Exacta: Maybe Moet / Southern Heiress, Ishikari

Trifecta: Box: Maybe Moet, Southern Heiress, Ishikari, Maquisa

First 4: Box: Maybe Moet, Southern Heiress, Ishikari, Maquisa, Manaajem

R7 • 1100m • Benchmark 78;

PASS

Benchmark 78; • Prize: $80000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Shalaa Gold Rachel King	4	31%	$$5.07	BEST
2	Kimberley Secrets Braith Nock	1	31%	$$6.32	DANGER
3	Fine Vintage William A Stanley	6	29%	$$6.36
4	Bev's Nine James Mc Donald	8	23%	$$7.03

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#4 1

Bev's Nine (8) J: James Mc Donald

proven at distance, flying form

23%

Piastri (5) J: Mollie Fitzgerald

proven at distance

21%

#3 3

Fine Vintage (6) J: William A Stanley

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form, class edge

29%

#2 4

Kimberley Secrets (1) J: Braith Nock

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

31%

The Face (2) J: Siena Grima

proven at distance, class edge

19%

#1 6

Shalaa Gold (4) J: Rachel King

solid track record, proven at distance

31%

Iron Will (9) J: Dylan Gibbons

in good form

13%

8Jaegers (3)SCR

Jambalaya (7) J: Zac Lloyd

solid track record, proven at distance

23%

R8 • 1550m • Benchmark 72;

Med Standard Bet

Benchmark 72; • Prize: $60000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Ivan's Hero Siena Grima	4	50%	$$5.96	BEST
2	Copacabana Tyler Schiller	2	41%	$$6.83	DANGER
3	Satness Adam Hyeronimus	3	37%	$$8.65
4	Taipan Legend Nash Rawiller	5	25%	$$13.16

WIN#5 Ivan's Hero2% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Knights Armour (10) J: Rebecca Bronett Prag

looking for others

16%

O'sheamus (9) J: Dylan Gibbons

class edge

22%

#3 3

Satness (3) J: Adam Hyeronimus

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

37%

#4 4

Taipan Legend (5) J: Nash Rawiller

in good form

25%

#1 5

Ivan's Hero (4) J: Siena Grima

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

50%

Fioprospero (8) J: Sam Clipperton

looking for others

18%

Mornington Pier (1) J: Jason Collett

proven at distance, class edge

16%

Caltsar (14) J: Regan Bayliss

in good form

19%

Piperita (7) J: Anna Roper

in good form, proven at level

18%

10Concordia Wind (10)SCR

Malabar (12) J: Shannen Llewellyn

proven at distance

19%

#2 12

Copacabana (2) J: Tyler Schiller

proven at distance, in good form, class edge

41%

Pensativa (11) J: Braith Nock

looking for others

18%

Cellarmaster (6) J: Zac Lloyd

in good form

19%

Belleistic Kids (13) J: Mollie Fitzgerald

suited to trip

14%

16Throttle Response (10)SCR

Exotics

Quinella: Ivan's Hero, Copacabana

Exacta: Ivan's Hero / Copacabana, Satness

Trifecta: Box: Ivan's Hero, Copacabana, Satness, Taipan Legend

First 4: Box: Ivan's Hero, Copacabana, Satness, Taipan Legend, Malabar

Exotics — Canterbury

Quaddies

Last 4 Quaddie

Leg 1 — R5 BANKER ★

6 Caesar 78%

Leg 2 — R6 OPEN

3 Maybe Moet 45%

2 Southern Heiress 40%

12 Ishikari 23%

Leg 3 — R7 AVOID

6 Shalaa Gold 31%

4 Kimberley Secrets 31%

3 Fine Vintage 29%

1 Bev's Nine 23%

Leg 4 — R8 OPEN

5 Ivan's Hero 50%

12 Copacabana 41%

3 Satness 37%

Staking: 36 combos | $36.00 for 100%
$20 = 56% | $50 = 139%

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R2: #1 Melanite (Barrier 5)
Model: $3.84
1% of bank

R3: #12 Think I Do (Barrier 1)
Model: $7.33
1% of bank

R4: #5 Kenmare Bay (Barrier 9)
Model: $4.29
1% of bank

R5: #6 Caesar (Barrier 9)
Model: $1.96
1.5% of bank

R6: #3 Maybe Moet (Barrier 1)
Model: $5.27
1% of bank

R8: #5 Ivan's Hero (Barrier 4)
Model: $5.96
2% of bank

Total Stake: 7.5%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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