Bunbury

2026-02-26

Good Rail: +4m Entire

Updated: 10:03 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Safedeel

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Bunbury

Recent Patterns:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

Rocky Cheung: 2W from 5 (40.0% win, 80.0% place)
Madi Derrick: 2W from 6 (33.3% win, 50.0% place)
Holly Nottle: 1W from 3 (33.3% win, 33.3% place)
Victoria Corver: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
Chris Parnham: 1W from 5 (20.0% win, 60.0% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1100m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Longtimebeliever Natasha Faithfull	3	41%	$$4.65	BEST
2	Maythisbetheone Holly Watson	8	38%	$$4.73	DANGER
3	Buderim Lucy F Fiore	5	32%	$$5.80
4	Cassenite Kyra Yuill	4	34%	$$6.05

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Buderim (5) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, in good form

32%

#4 2

Cassenite (4) J: Kyra Yuill

solid track record, proven at distance

34%

#1 3

Longtimebeliever (3) J: Natasha Faithfull

proven at distance, in good form

41%

Bred Not Brought (1) J: Alan Kennedy

looking for others

11%

Chason Wins (7) J: Jefferson Tsang

looking for others

13%

River Beauty (2) J: Chanel Cooper

suited to trip

17%

#2 7

Maythisbetheone (8) J: Holly Watson

solid track record, in good form

38%

Mamma Says So (6) J: Brad Parnham

in good form

10%

Lucky Lea (9) J: Jade Mc Naught

in good form

R2 • 1200m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Bit Tired Actually Lucy F Fiore	10	57%	$$4.07	BEST
2	Leafice Chris Parnham	3	31%	$$7.51	DANGER
3	So Much Serenity Brad Parnham	9	30%	$$7.85
4	Coracao Troy Turner	4	30%	$$8.63

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Cosmic Gem (2) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy

looking for others

20%

Pipe Down Chachi (8) J: Rocky Cheung

inconsistent

16%

Banffshire (12) J: Alex Hearn

inconsistent

#4 4

Coracao (4) J: Troy Turner

place chance

30%

#3 5

So Much Serenity (9) J: Brad Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

30%

#1 6

Bit Tired Actually (10) J: Lucy F Fiore

proven at distance

57%

#2 7

Leafice (3) J: Chris Parnham

place chance

31%

Duopoly (5) J: Steven Parnham

inconsistent

13%

Lexan'ruby (1) J: Holly Watson

looking for others

14%

Sponge Cake (6) J: William Pike

looking for others

10%

American Boogie (11) J: Jade Mc Naught

inconsistent

Guard The Gold (7) J: Natasha Faithfull

inconsistent

R3 • 1400m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Hope To Admire Holly Watson	11	41%	$$5.89	BEST
2	Luna Ballet Alan Kennedy	8	39%	$$6.33	DANGER
3	Extreme Ruler Alex Hearn	10	39%	$$6.34
4	Yankee Ace Steven Parnham	5	29%	$$9.53

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Profound Benefit (1) J: Lucy F Fiore

looking for others

20%

#3 2

Extreme Ruler (10) J: Alex Hearn

proven at distance

39%

#1 3

Hope To Admire (11) J: Holly Watson

proven at distance

41%

Findout (2) J: Jason Whiting

looking for others

19%

#4 5

Yankee Ace (5) J: Steven Parnham

place chance

29%

Jesa Lupa (7) J: William Pike

place chance

24%

Mr Frodo (9) J: Victoria Corver

looking for others

16%

Sovereign Salute (4) J: Natasha Faithfull

flying form

19%

Pretey Royal (6) J: Brayden Gaerth

looking for others

17%

#2 10

Luna Ballet (8) J: Alan Kennedy

proven at distance

39%

Honey Boo (3) J: Holly Nottle

inconsistent

R4 • 1695m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $25000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Magic Carats Alex Hearn	3	65%	$$3.78	BEST
2	Streak Of God William Pike	7	37%	$$6.80	DANGER
3	La Nocciola Natasha Faithfull	4	37%	$$7.55
4	Vampi Queen Chris Parnham	1	21%	$$11.73

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#1 1

Magic Carats (3) J: Alex Hearn

solid track record, proven at distance

65%

Ain'tnocureforlove (11) J: Jade Mc Naught

inconsistent

13%

Gold Beau (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly

looking for others

12%

#2 4

Streak Of God (7) J: William Pike

in good form

37%

Mystacheeno (2) J: Brad Parnham

looking for others

12%

Carentan (9) J: Jason Whiting

inconsistent

19%

Pacific Frost (5) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter

inconsistent

10%

Billionaire's Row (10) J: Lucy F Fiore

inconsistent

11%

Hype Machine (12) J: Steven Parnham

inconsistent

10%

Tabba Tabba Boom (8) J: Joey Azzopardi

looking for others

19%

#3 11

La Nocciola (4) J: Natasha Faithfull

place chance

37%

#4 12

Vampi Queen (1) J: Chris Parnham

in good form

21%

R5 • 1000m • Class 3;

Med Value Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	So Immaculate Rocky Cheung	7	48%	$$3.61	BEST
2	Hezangelic Giaan O'Donnell	5	40%	$$4.57	DANGER
3	G'day Bloke Jason Whiting	4	22%	$$9.89
4	Blue Can Talk Lucy F Fiore	2	19%	$$10.11

WIN#7 So Immaculate1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Hezangelic (5) J: Giaan O'Donnell

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

40%

Mantua (6) J: Chloe Azzopardi

proven at distance

19%

#4 3

Blue Can Talk (2) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, proven at distance

19%

Desert Life (8) J: Brad Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

18%

#3 5

G'day Bloke (4) J: Jason Whiting

proven at distance

22%

Magnasonic (3) J: Peter Farrell

solid track record, proven at distance

19%

#1 7

So Immaculate (7) J: Rocky Cheung

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

48%

Eternal Wine (1) J: Chris Parnham

in good form

11%

9Magnum Class (5)SCR

Exotics

Quinella: So Immaculate, Hezangelic

Exacta: So Immaculate / Hezangelic, G'day Bloke

Trifecta: Box: So Immaculate, Hezangelic, G'day Bloke, Blue Can Talk

First 4: Box: So Immaculate, Hezangelic, G'day Bloke, Blue Can Talk, Desert Life

R6 • 1400m • Class 1;

Med Standard Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Safedeel Chris Parnham	2	51%	$$4.39	BEST
2	Nickelplay Steven Parnham	6	35%	$$7.44	DANGER
3	Aurora Queen William Pike	7	27%	$$8.73
4	Icandoit Onmyown Jade Mc Naught	4	30%	$$8.95

WIN#3 Safedeel2% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Grandad's Adiction (3) J: Alan Kennedy

solid track record, proven at distance

18%

Alabrae (10) J: Zephen Johnston-Porter

looking for others

13%

#1 3

Safedeel (2) J: Chris Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

51%

Miss Veuve (8) J: Chloe Azzopardi

place chance

27%

Jazalot (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly

suited to trip

23%

#3 6

Aurora Queen (7) J: William Pike

proven at distance

27%

#2 7

Nickelplay (6) J: Steven Parnham

solid track record, proven at distance

35%

Solo Vega (5) J: Victoria Corver

solid track record

17%

9Aitch Montana (6)SCR

#4 10

Icandoit Onmyown (4) J: Jade Mc Naught

solid track record, proven at distance

30%

Gingers Sister (11) J: Shaun Mc Gruddy

looking for others

13%

Willpower (9) J: Ava Catarino

form a concern

14%

Exotics

Exacta: Safedeel / Nickelplay, Aurora Queen

Trifecta: Box: Safedeel, Nickelplay, Aurora Queen, Icandoit Onmyown

First 4: Box: Safedeel, Nickelplay, Aurora Queen, Icandoit Onmyown, Miss Veuve

R7 • 1400m • Class 5;

Low Value Bet

Class 5; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Return Of The Mach Lucy F Fiore	3	39%	$$7.49	BEST
2	Azena Holly Nottle	13	35%	$$7.73	DANGER
3	Decoration Rocky Cheung	7	34%	$$8.05
4	Three Grand Madi Derrick	1	35%	$$8.51

WIN#10 Return Of The Mach1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Otheroneson (9) J: Natika Riordan

proven at distance

14%

#3 2

Decoration (7) J: Rocky Cheung

proven at distance, in good form

34%

Feuding (2) J: Brad Parnham

proven at distance

23%

Manhattan Strip (5) J: William Pike

solid track record, proven at distance

25%

Ton Of Grunt (8) J: Troy Turner

looking for others

14%

#2 6

Azena (13) J: Holly Nottle

proven at distance, in good form

35%

Seindeel (10) J: Chris Parnham

proven at distance

18%

Dynamic One (12) J: Luke Campbell

proven at distance

21%

Best Of The Gods (6) J: Brayden Gaerth

solid track record

15%

#1 10

Return Of The Mach (3) J: Lucy F Fiore

solid track record, suited to trip

39%

Renovation Show (4) J: Sharni Webster

proven at distance, inconsistent

16%

State Of Fury (11) J: Chloe Azzopardi

solid track record, proven at distance

21%

#4 13

Three Grand (1) J: Madi Derrick

solid track record, suited to trip

35%

Exotics

Quinella: Return Of The Mach, Azena

Exacta: Return Of The Mach / Azena, Decoration

Trifecta: Box: Return Of The Mach, Azena, Decoration, Three Grand

First 4: Box: Return Of The Mach, Azena, Decoration, Three Grand, Manhattan Strip

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R5: #7 So Immaculate (Barrier 7)
Model: $3.61
1% of bank

R6: #3 Safedeel (Barrier 2)
Model: $4.39
2% of bank

R7: #10 Return Of The Mach (Barrier 3)
Model: $7.49
1% of bank

Total Stake: 4.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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