Ballina

2026-02-27

Soft Rail: True

Updated: 13:42 AEST

Races Analysed

Bets Found

Mofeed

Best Bet

None

Best Value

100%

Data Quality

Track Insights — Ballina

Recent Patterns:

Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys Here:

L P Rolls: 4W from 13 (30.8% win, 53.8% place)
D L Turner: 2W from 3 (66.7% win, 100.0% place)
Yvette Lewis: 1W from 4 (25.0% win, 25.0% place)
Jett Newman: 1W from 8 (12.5% win, 37.5% place)
D Peisley: 0W from 3 (0.0% win, 33.3% place)

Barriers: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

R1 • 1000m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Joanjett Jake Bayliss	8	57%	$$2.72	BEST
2	Dance Gavin Dance Danny Peisley	6	34%	$$4.21	DANGER
3	Graceful Warrior Jett Newman	7	22%	$$8.12
4	Egyptian Lass Chris Whiteley	5	17%	$$13.83

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Dance Gavin Dance (6) J: Danny Peisley

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

34%

#1 2

Joanjett (8) J: Jake Bayliss

solid track record, in good form

57%

Paris Victory (2) J: Jasen Watkins

in good form, inconsistent

11%

Prestige Blue (3) J: Luke Rolls

flying form, inconsistent

Dellucy (1) J: Yvette Lewis

inconsistent

14%

#4 6

Egyptian Lass (5) J: Chris Whiteley

proven at distance

17%

#3 7

Graceful Warrior (7) J: Jett Newman

proven at distance

22%

Washik (4) J: Noriyuki Masuda

form a concern, inconsistent

R2 • 1250m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Britannia Rose Andrew Mallyon	8	28%	$$6.46	BEST
2	Skeleton Crew Danny Peisley	9	25%	$$6.81	DANGER
3	Farnesina Benjamin Osmond	4	25%	$$7.27
4	We Do Remember Noriyuki Masuda	3	23%	$$8.93

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Concordia's Grace (2) J: Luke Rolls

inconsistent

22%

#3 2

Farnesina (4) J: Benjamin Osmond

place chance

25%

Powerful Dolphins (1) J: Grady Spokes

inconsistent

23%

Reva's Choice (7) J: Shakira Bailey

inconsistent

16%

Uncle Darby'sdream (5) J: Bailie Baker

inconsistent

19%

#1 6

Britannia Rose (8) J: Andrew Mallyon

place chance

28%

Momory (6) J: Nozi Tomizawa

form a concern, inconsistent

11%

#2 8

Skeleton Crew (9) J: Danny Peisley

in good form

25%

#4 9

We Do Remember (3) J: Noriyuki Masuda

inconsistent

23%

R3 • 1250m • Maiden;

PASS

Maiden; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Launcher Karl Zechner	3	35%	$$5.88	BEST
2	Righteous Brother Danny Peisley	7	35%	$$6.04	DANGER
3	Lucky Artie Boris Thornton	10	28%	$$7.62
4	Poised Tycoon Nozi Tomizawa	6	26%	$$8.32

No edge detected — race passed.

Full Field Analysis

Chop Chop Go (4) J: Jake Bayliss

looking for others

19%

Claw Machine (1) J: Michael J Murphy

proven at distance

22%

Kiss'n Dance (5) J: Luke Rolls

looking for others

13%

#1 4

Launcher (3) J: Karl Zechner

place chance

35%

#3 5

Lucky Artie (10) J: Boris Thornton

place chance

28%

#2 6

Righteous Brother (7) J: Danny Peisley

place chance

35%

7Scion (6)SCR

And One (8) J: Yvette Lewis

in good form, inconsistent

Luke Skywalker (2) J: Andrew Mallyon

looking for others

19%

Pacific Reel (9) J: Grady Spokes

inconsistent

13%

#4 11

Poised Tycoon (6) J: Nozi Tomizawa

place chance

26%

R4 • 1000m • Class 3;

Med Standard Bet

Class 3; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Mofeed	9	51%	$$3.81	BEST
2	Gaylord Grady Spokes	1	31%	$$6.09	DANGER
3	Back On De Quo Luke Rolls	6	34%	$$6.26
4	Immortality Boris Thornton	4	28%	$$7.02

WIN#3 Mofeed2% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#2 1

Gaylord (1) J: Grady Spokes

proven at distance, in good form

31%

#4 2

Immortality (4) J: Boris Thornton

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

28%

#1 3

Mofeed (9) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

51%

Jaggery (5) J: Damien Boche

proven at distance

21%

Onigiri (8) J: Kirk Matheson

proven at level

6Tribbiani (9)SCR

#3 7

Back On De Quo (6) J: Luke Rolls

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

34%

8Hey Daisy (4)SCR

Charlotte's Here (2) J: Bailie Baker

looking for others

12%

Te Pani (7) J: Nozi Tomizawa

proven at distance, proven at level

14%

Kyogle Kid (3) J: Amelia Heinrich

looking for others

11%

Exotics

Exacta: Mofeed / Gaylord, Back On De Quo

Trifecta: Box: Mofeed, Gaylord, Back On De Quo, Immortality

First 4: Box: Mofeed, Gaylord, Back On De Quo, Immortality, Jaggery

R5 • 1250m • Benchmark 58;

Med Value Bet

Benchmark 58; • Prize: $30000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	It'sallsaidandone Noriyuki Masuda	1	46%	$$4.54	BEST
2	Diamondsaremio Grady Spokes	7	42%	$$5.10	DANGER
3	Lesgo Don Ella Drew	11	27%	$$7.50
4	Cosmic Fortune Andrew Mallyon	4	23%	$$8.80

WIN#7 It'sallsaidandone1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Cabsav (9) J: Luke Rolls

proven at distance

27%

Key Legend (6) J: Kirk Matheson

proven at distance, form a concern

15%

#3 3

Lesgo Don (11) J: Ella Drew

place chance

27%

Sea Of Qi (2) J: Danny Peisley

inconsistent

16%

#2 5

Diamondsaremio (7) J: Grady Spokes

solid track record, proven at distance

42%

Aureate (10) J: Yvette Lewis

looking for others

11%

#1 7

It'sallsaidandone (1) J: Noriyuki Masuda

solid track record, proven at distance

46%

Dupont (8) J: Jasen Watkins

looking for others

14%

#4 9

Cosmic Fortune (4) J: Andrew Mallyon

solid track record

23%

10Miss Waterline (5)SCR

Son Of Heroic (3) J: Nozi Tomizawa

inconsistent

14%

Exotics

Quinella: It'sallsaidandone, Diamondsaremio

Exacta: It'sallsaidandone / Diamondsaremio, Lesgo Don

Trifecta: Box: It'sallsaidandone, Diamondsaremio, Lesgo Don, Cosmic Fortune

First 4: Box: It'sallsaidandone, Diamondsaremio, Lesgo Don, Cosmic Fortune, Cabsav

R6 • 1400m • Benchmark 66;

Low Value Bet

Benchmark 66; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Do It For You Luke Rolls	6	35%	$$5.89	BEST
2	Under Twenty Two Grady Spokes	7	35%	$$6.64	DANGER
3	Rashford Benjamin Osmond	10	31%	$$6.92
4	Monarch Express Boris Thornton	8	22%	$$10.20

WIN#7 Do It For You1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Kickatinalong (4) J: Nozi Tomizawa

proven at distance

19%

#3 2

Rashford (10) J: Benjamin Osmond

proven at distance

31%

He's A Copy Boy (3) J: Amelia Heinrich

proven at distance

19%

Picasso's Dream (1) J: Yvette Lewis

looking for others

16%

#4 5

Monarch Express (8) J: Boris Thornton

solid track record, suited to trip, in good form

22%

#2 6

Under Twenty Two (7) J: Grady Spokes

solid track record, proven at distance

35%

#1 7

Do It For You (6) J: Luke Rolls

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

35%

Gavin (2) J: Andrew Mallyon

suited to trip

23%

Lady Alabama (9) J: Kirk Matheson

proven at distance, in good form

21%

My Girl Zarlie (5) J:

proven at distance, form a concern

12%

Exotics

Quinella: Do It For You, Under Twenty Two

Exacta: Do It For You / Under Twenty Two, Rashford

Trifecta: Box: Do It For You, Under Twenty Two, Rashford, Monarch Express

First 4: Box: Do It For You, Under Twenty Two, Rashford, Monarch Express, Lady Alabama

R7 • 1590m • Class 1;

Med Value Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Spicy Wings Andrew Mallyon	12	46%	$$6.60	BEST
2	Highland Hustle Raymond Spokes	11	38%	$$7.65	DANGER
3	Andros Yvette Lewis	8	30%	$$11.18
4	Rock The Machine Noriyuki Masuda	4	23%	$$13.82

WIN#6 Spicy Wings1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

#3 1

Andros (8) J: Yvette Lewis

suited to trip, in good form

30%

Beearetee (14) J: Jett Newman

solid track record, in good form

21%

Explosive Power (15) J: Grady Spokes

solid track record

15%

#4 4

Rock The Machine (4) J: Noriyuki Masuda

solid track record

23%

Constellation (9) J: Luke Rolls

proven at distance

20%

Sources Link (10) J: Kirk Matheson

looking for others

16%

#1 6

Spicy Wings (12) J: Andrew Mallyon

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

46%

Wakadaisho (6) J: Luke Rolls

looking for others

11%

Headstrong (5) J: Boris Thornton

looking for others

14%

9Kirkall (16)SCR

Brain Wave (13) J: Adin Thompson

solid track record

20%

#2 11

Highland Hustle (11) J: Raymond Spokes

solid track record, proven at distance

38%

Libby (3) J: Danny Peisley

proven at distance

22%

Shooting Firm (2) J: Nozi Tomizawa

proven at distance

23%

Dual Mastery (1) J: Damien Boche

inconsistent

12%

Calvary (7) J:

proven at distance, inconsistent

16%

Exotics

Quinella: Spicy Wings, Highland Hustle

Exacta: Spicy Wings / Highland Hustle, Andros

Trifecta: Box: Spicy Wings, Highland Hustle, Andros, Rock The Machine

First 4: Box: Spicy Wings, Highland Hustle, Andros, Rock The Machine, Libby

R8 • 1300m • Class 1;

Med Value Bet

Class 1; • Prize: $27000

#	Horse	Bar	Conf	Price	Tag
1	Darling Take Care Andrew Mallyon	10	42%	$$5.98	BEST
2	Jade Trees Grady Spokes	8	35%	$$7.25	DANGER
3	The Rookie Yvette Lewis	7	29%	$$8.22
4	All Too Foxy Jake Bayliss	5	26%	$$9.66

WIN#9 Darling Take Care1% of bank

Full Field Analysis

Coco Dreaming (1) J: Danny Peisley

looking for others

17%

Decadad (11) J: Adin Thompson

flying form

23%

#2 3

Jade Trees (8) J: Grady Spokes

flying form

35%

Boom Court (3) J: Nozi Tomizawa

proven at distance, inconsistent

18%

Constellation (9) J: Luke Rolls

proven at distance

19%

6Ratenotice (11)SCR

#3 7

The Rookie (7) J: Yvette Lewis

solid track record, in good form

29%

#4 8

All Too Foxy (5) J: Jake Bayliss

in good form

26%

#1 9

Darling Take Care (10) J: Andrew Mallyon

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

42%

Brutal Sue (6) J: Benjamin Osmond

proven at distance

18%

11Miss Waterline (10)SCR

Cianwood City (12) J: Jett Newman

looking for others

13%

Cats Quarters (2) J:

suited to trip

13%

Calvary (7) J:

proven at distance, inconsistent

14%

Exotics

Quinella: Darling Take Care, Jade Trees

Exacta: Darling Take Care / Jade Trees, The Rookie

Trifecta: Box: Darling Take Care, Jade Trees, The Rookie, All Too Foxy

First 4: Box: Darling Take Care, Jade Trees, The Rookie, All Too Foxy, Decadad

Betting Summary

Selective staking — bet only when confident

R4: #3 Mofeed (Barrier 9)
Model: $3.81
2% of bank

R5: #7 It'sallsaidandone (Barrier 1)
Model: $4.54
1% of bank

R6: #7 Do It For You (Barrier 6)
Model: $5.89
1% of bank

R7: #6 Spicy Wings (Barrier 12)
Model: $6.60
1% of bank

R8: #9 Darling Take Care (Barrier 10)
Model: $5.98
1% of bank

Total Stake: 6.0%

Approach: Only bet with ≥1% stake confidence. STAY OUT races excluded — sometimes the best bet is no bet.

Understanding The System

Race Classifications

Top Pick: High-confidence, strong form
Strong Bet: Good edge identified
Exotics Only: Include in exotic bets
Pass Race: Insufficient edge

Staking Guide

5%: Max confidence standout
3–4%: High confidence
2%: Good confidence
1%: Moderate / each-way value

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Tips are analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.