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Leading Edge Tips

Wanganui, NZ - 2026-01-10

Last Updated: 10/1/26, 10:17:38 am AEST

🏇 Wanganui Race Meeting

📊 Track Conditions

Condition: Good

Rail Position: True

First Race: 12:00

Total Races: 8

🌤️ Weather Forecast

Weather data unavailable for this track

💡 Track Insights from Recent Form

What Played Out Recently:

  • Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
  • Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys at This Track:

  • C J Grylls: 2 wins from 4 starts (50.0% win rate, 75.0% place rate)
  • B Queiroz: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3% win rate, 33.3% place rate)
  • K Chowdhoory: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6% win rate, 57.1% place rate)
  • J K Riddell: 2 wins from 8 starts (25.0% win rate, 62.5% place rate)
  • L Sutherland: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2% win rate, 55.6% place rate)

Barrier Strategy: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace Profile: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

Race 1: Wanganui Function Centre Mdn

1340m | Maiden; | Prize: $25000

Full Field Analysis

1
Think I Got Cha (11) J: Elen Nicholas
proven at distance
42%
2
Derrick (17) J:
flying form, inconsistent
11%
3
Ocean Beau (14) J: Jim Chung
form a concern, inconsistent
4%
4
Optimus Prime (6) J: Rohan Mudhoo
inconsistent
1%
5
Sloshed (5) J: Bruno Queiroz
looking for others
11%
6
Street Appeal (13) J: Kelly Myers
in good form
13%
7
Feel The Noise (1) J: Chris Dell
inconsistent
9%
8
Mischief (9) J: K R Hercock
inconsistent
16%
9
Sea Star Win (3) J: Mereana Hudson
inconsistent
1%
10
Stone Street (8) J: Liam Kauri
form a concern, inconsistent
9%
11
Liquid Dynamite (4) J: Toni Davies
in good form, inconsistent
11%
12
Petite Rocher (12) J: Hayley Hassman
form a concern, inconsistent
13
Banquella (2) J: Samantha Collett
inconsistent
2%
14
Bantry (10) J:
in good form
7%
15
Backhand Serve (10) J: Madan Singh
inconsistent
4%
16
Rose Du Jeu (8) J:
form a concern, inconsistent
2%
17
Brian (7) J: Wiremu Pinn
form a concern, inconsistent
10%

Top Selections

#1 Think I Got Cha - Barrier 11 (Elen Nicholas) Rating: 42% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#8 Mischief - Barrier 9 (K R Hercock) Rating: 16% | Place Only
#2 Derrick - Barrier 17 ( ) Rating: 11% | No Bet
#6 Street Appeal - Barrier 13 (Kelly Myers) Rating: 13% | No Bet

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Think I Got Cha (Score: 165.7, Leads field by 89.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.5 pts)
#2 - #8 Mischief (Score: 127.2, Leads field by 54.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#3 - #2 Derrick (Score: 123.5, Leads field by 54.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 2: Wanganui-Taranaki Racehorse Owners Association Hcp

1340m | Open; | Prize: $50000

Full Field Analysis

1
Herbert (1) J: K R Hercock
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
12%
2
Cosentino (5) J: Bruno Queiroz
in good form
10%
3
Sindee (3) J: Kelly Myers
solid track record, in good form, proven at level
67%
4
Duneagle (2) J: Mereana Hudson
solid track record, proven at distance
27%
5
Basel Warrior (4) J: Samantha Collett
proven at distance, in good form, proven at level
27%

Top Selections

#3 Sindee - Barrier 3 (Kelly Myers) Rating: 67% | Win
#5 Basel Warrior - Barrier 4 (Samantha Collett) Rating: 27% | Place Only
#4 Duneagle - Barrier 2 (Mereana Hudson) Rating: 27% | Place Only
#1 Herbert - Barrier 1 (K R Hercock) Rating: 12% | No Bet

Top Selection: #3 Sindee - Barrier 3 (Kelly Myers)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #3 Sindee (Score: 201.6, Leads field by 38.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.9 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #5 Basel Warrior (Score: 179.0, Leads field by 20.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.6 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #4 Duneagle (Score: 177.1, Leads field by 28.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 3: La Nuova Dry Cleaners 3yo

1200m | Open; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Waka (5) J: Kelly Myers
flying form, inconsistent
1%
2
Diplomatic (4) J: Elen Nicholas
flying form, inconsistent
7%
3
Queen's Evidence (6) J: Wiremu Pinn
proven at distance, class edge
25%
4
Cremant (2) J: K R Hercock
proven at distance, flying form, inconsistent
5%
5
Belle Noire (1) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance, in good form
63%
6
Hello My Dear (7) J: Bruno Queiroz
in good form
28%
7
Pauatui (3) J: Mereana Hudson
inconsistent
8%

Top Selections

#5 Belle Noire - Barrier 1 (Hayley Hassman) Rating: 63% | Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
#6 Hello My Dear - Barrier 7 (Bruno Queiroz) Rating: 28% | Place Only
#3 Queen's Evidence - Barrier 6 (Wiremu Pinn) Rating: 25% | Place Only
#2 Diplomatic - Barrier 4 (Elen Nicholas) Rating: 7% | No Bet

Top Selection: #5 Belle Noire - Barrier 1 (Hayley Hassman)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
Stake: 3% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #5 Belle Noire (Score: 176.4, Leads field by 68.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.8 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #6 Hello My Dear (Score: 154.5, Leads field by 55.8 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (29.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (11.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.3 pts)
#3 - #3 Queen's Evidence (Score: 149.8, Leads field by 63.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (12.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.9 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Belle Noire / Hello My Dear, Queen's Evidence
Trifecta: Box: Belle Noire, Hello My Dear, Queen's Evidence, Diplomatic

Race 4: Terry Brothers (Bm75)

1200m | Benchmark 75; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Showbastian Coe (5) J: Elen Nicholas
proven at distance
9%
2
Tolstoy (2) J: K R Hercock
proven at distance, in good form
8%
3
Cooper (6) J: Bruno Queiroz
solid track record, proven at distance
22%
4
Egyptian Queen (9) J: Hayley Hassman
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
21%
5
Platinum Designs (1) J: Liam Kauri
in good form, class edge
7%
6
Gohugo (8) J: Kelly Myers
solid track record, proven at distance
14%
7
Rabega (7) J: Wiremu Pinn
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
33%
8
Scelta Di Elena (11) J: Toni Davies
solid track record, proven at distance
19%
9
Ardroe (10) J: Chris Dell
solid track record, proven at distance
11%
10
Mr Fortrus (4) J: Jasmine Fawcett
solid track record, proven at distance
16%
11
Charmer (1) J:
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
8%
12
Debbi Harri (3) J: Samantha Collett
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form
25%

Top Selections

#7 Rabega - Barrier 7 (Wiremu Pinn) Rating: 33% | Win
#12 Debbi Harri - Barrier 3 (Samantha Collett) Rating: 25% | Place Only
#3 Cooper - Barrier 6 (Bruno Queiroz) Rating: 22% | Place Only
#4 Egyptian Queen - Barrier 9 (Hayley Hassman) Rating: 21% | No Bet

Top Selection: #7 Rabega - Barrier 7 (Wiremu Pinn)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #7 Rabega (Score: 208.9, Leads field by 47.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (25.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (13.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #12 Debbi Harri (Score: 198.6, Leads field by 41.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (10.9 pts)
  • Strong class rating (12.2 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.8 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.5 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #3 Cooper (Score: 198.4, Leads field by 45.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (28.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.3 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Rabega / Debbi Harri, Cooper
Trifecta: Box: Rabega, Debbi Harri, Cooper, Egyptian Queen
First 4: Box: Rabega, Debbi Harri, Cooper, Egyptian Queen, Scelta Di Elena

Race 5: Smart Naturals (Bm65)

1340m | Benchmark 65; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Oban (7) J: Elen Nicholas
proven at distance
4%
2
Lantern Way (8) J: Mereana Hudson
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
17%
3
Horonuku (6) J: Madan Singh
proven at distance
11%
4
The Liquidator (1) J: K R Hercock
proven at distance, in good form
18%
5
Kia Kaha (2) J: Erin M Leighton
proven at distance, in good form
22%
6
Stipulator (15) J:
suited to trip
11%
7
La Dulcin'ee (13) J: Liam Kauri
solid track record, proven at distance
15%
8
Only The Lonely (11) J: Jim Chung
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
34%
9
Tears Of Victory (3) J: Toni Davies
proven at distance, class edge
8%
10
Lady Rosabella (4) J: Wiremu Pinn
solid track record, proven at distance
7%
11
Anushka Shesastar (12) J: Samantha Collett
suited to trip
9%
12
Shacktime (5) J: Kelly Myers
in good form
6%
13
Pinhook (9) J: Courtney Barnes
looking for others
2%
14
Tivaci's Affair (10) J: Bruno Queiroz
proven at distance
10%
15
Chester Boy (14) J: Hayley Hassman
proven at distance
5%

Top Selections

#8 Only The Lonely - Barrier 11 (Jim Chung) Rating: 34% | Win
#5 Kia Kaha - Barrier 2 (Erin M Leighton) Rating: 22% | Place Only
#7 La Dulcin'ee - Barrier 13 (Liam Kauri) Rating: 15% | Place Only
#4 The Liquidator - Barrier 1 (K R Hercock) Rating: 18% | Place Only

Top Selection: #8 Only The Lonely - Barrier 11 (Jim Chung)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #8 Only The Lonely (Score: 207.4, Leads field by 67.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.1 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #5 Kia Kaha (Score: 195.3, Leads field by 59.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (29.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.8 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #7 La Dulcin'ee (Score: 178.4, Leads field by 46.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1340m (20.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 6: St Johns Club Golfers (Bm65)

1600m | Benchmark 65; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Ruji (2) J: Liam Kauri
in good form
6%
2
Songwriter (7) J: Madan Singh
proven at distance
21%
3
Jaeger (1) J: Courtney Barnes
in good form
8%
4
Litigator (8) J: Chris Dell
looking for others
6%
5
Eizus (5) J: Kelly Myers
proven at distance, in good form
45%
6
Cotton Roca (6) J: Samantha Collett
solid track record, proven at level
16%
7
Magic Charm (9) J: Elen Nicholas
looking for others
6%
8
Betterbeyou (10) J: Toni Davies
proven at distance
32%
9
Alation (4) J: Mereana Hudson
proven at distance
25%
10
Lady Anglesea (3) J: K R Hercock
form a concern
4%

Top Selections

#5 Eizus - Barrier 5 (Kelly Myers) Rating: 45% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#8 Betterbeyou - Barrier 10 (Toni Davies) Rating: 32% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
#9 Alation - Barrier 4 (Mereana Hudson) Rating: 25% | Place Only
#2 Songwriter - Barrier 7 (Madan Singh) Rating: 21% | Place Only

Top Selection: #5 Eizus - Barrier 5 (Kelly Myers)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #5 Eizus (Score: 182.4, Leads field by 62.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (16.4 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (14.1 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.9 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #8 Betterbeyou (Score: 170.3, Leads field by 56.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.5 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.4 pts)
#3 - #9 Alation (Score: 162.4, Leads field by 55.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Exotics

Quinella: Eizus, Betterbeyou
Exacta: Eizus / Betterbeyou, Alation
Trifecta: Box: Eizus, Betterbeyou, Alation, Songwriter
First 4: Box: Eizus, Betterbeyou, Alation, Songwriter, Cotton Roca

Race 7: River City Cabs (Bm65)

1600m | Benchmark 65; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Bay Express (5) J: Jim Chung
proven at distance
47%
2
Piercing Arrow (6) J: Courtney Barnes
proven at distance
40%
3
John Doe (4) J: Chris Dell
in good form
6%
4
Oceans Roar (2) J: Madan Singh
looking for others
1%
5
Uncle Ken (4) J: Bruno Queiroz
in good form
5%
6
First Edition (1) J: Samantha Collett
looking for others
14%
7
Leica Pearl (3) J: Wiremu Pinn
in good form, inconsistent
8%
8
Redana (9) J: K R Hercock
solid track record
13%
9
Orleans Belle (7) J: Mereana Hudson
inconsistent
10%
10
Say I Do (8) J: Hayley Hassman
inconsistent
9%

Top Selections

#1 Bay Express - Barrier 5 (Jim Chung) Rating: 47% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#2 Piercing Arrow - Barrier 6 (Courtney Barnes) Rating: 40% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#7 Leica Pearl - Barrier 3 (Wiremu Pinn) Rating: 8% | No Bet
#8 Redana - Barrier 9 (K R Hercock) Rating: 13% | No Bet

Top Selection: #1 Bay Express - Barrier 5 (Jim Chung)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Bay Express (Score: 173.9, Leads field by 55.1 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.3 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #2 Piercing Arrow (Score: 168.1, Leads field by 55.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (20.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #7 Leica Pearl (Score: 128.1, Leads field by 17.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (14.7 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 8: Liquorland Wanganui (Bm75)

2040m | Benchmark 75; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Mckhan (7) J: Liam Kauri
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
19%
2
Tregor (2) J: Toni Davies
in good form
1%
3
Uncle Arch (10) J: Bruno Queiroz
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
29%
4
Coulthard (8) J: Samantha Collett
solid track record, proven at level
16%
5
Freebelle (3) J: Kelly Myers
looking for others
6%
6
Proboy (1) J: Jasmine Fawcett
proven at level
8%
7
Blue Jeanie (11) J: Mereana Hudson
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
22%
8
Ayteem (6) J: Chris Dell
proven at distance, class edge
44%
9
Grey Invador (4) J: K R Hercock
solid track record, proven at distance
9%
10
Amyer Star (9) J: Wiremu Pinn
in good form
11%
11
Highly Lethal (5) J: Jim Chung
proven at distance
9%

Top Selections

#8 Ayteem - Barrier 6 (Chris Dell) Rating: 44% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#3 Uncle Arch - Barrier 10 (Bruno Queiroz) Rating: 29% | Place Only
#7 Blue Jeanie - Barrier 11 (Mereana Hudson) Rating: 22% | Place Only
#1 Mckhan - Barrier 7 (Liam Kauri) Rating: 19% | Place Only

Top Selection: #8 Ayteem - Barrier 6 (Chris Dell)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #8 Ayteem (Score: 218.3, Leads field by 64.1 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 2040m (16.4 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #3 Uncle Arch (Score: 200.3, Leads field by 51.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (20.1 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 2040m (16.4 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.6 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #7 Blue Jeanie (Score: 189.5, Leads field by 45.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.8 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Wanganui form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 2040m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.5 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Ayteem / Uncle Arch, Blue Jeanie
Trifecta: Box: Ayteem, Uncle Arch, Blue Jeanie, Mckhan
First 4: Box: Ayteem, Uncle Arch, Blue Jeanie, Mckhan, Amyer Star

Exotics for Wanganui

Quaddies

Last 4 Quaddie
Race 3 Avg: 39%
5 Belle Noire 63%
6 Hello My Dear 28%
3 Queen's Evidence 25%
Race 7 Avg: 44%
1 Bay Express 47%
2 Piercing Arrow 40%
Race 6 Avg: 31%
5 Eizus 45%
8 Betterbeyou 32%
9 Alation 25%
2 Songwriter 21%
Race 8 Avg: 29%
8 Ayteem 44%
3 Uncle Arch 29%
7 Blue Jeanie 22%
1 Mckhan 19%
Staking: 96 combos | $96.00 for 100%
$10 = 10% | $20 = 21%

📊 Condensed Betting Summary

🎯 Intelligent Staking

Bet only when confident

R1: #1 Think I Got Cha (Barrier 11)
2% of bank
R2: #3 Sindee (Barrier 3)
5% of bank
R3: #5 Belle Noire (Barrier 1)
3% of bank
R4: #7 Rabega (Barrier 7)
1% of bank
R5: #8 Only The Lonely (Barrier 11)
1% of bank
R6: #5 Eizus (Barrier 5)
2% of bank
R7: #1 Bay Express (Barrier 5)
2% of bank
R8: #8 Ayteem (Barrier 6)
2% of bank
Total Stake: 18.0%

🔥 Degen Staking

Bet every race

R1: #1 Think I Got Cha (Barrier 11)
2% of bank
R2: #3 Sindee (Barrier 3)
5% of bank
R3: #5 Belle Noire (Barrier 1)
3% of bank
R4: #7 Rabega (Barrier 7)
1% of bank
R5: #8 Only The Lonely (Barrier 11)
1% of bank
R6: #5 Eizus (Barrier 5)
2% of bank
R7: #1 Bay Express (Barrier 5)
2% of bank
R8: #8 Ayteem (Barrier 6)
2% of bank
Total Stake: 18.0%

Staking Explanation:
Intelligent: Conservative approach - only bet when we have strong confidence (≥1% stake)
Degen: Aggressive approach - bet every race, including 0.5% savers on uncertain races

📊 Understanding The System

🚫 Race Classifications (Why Some Races Are STAY OUT)

STAY OUT: Low-confidence races where the form is too unreliable to bet. Common in:

  • Maidens: Horses with no wins make form analysis highly speculative
  • Wet tracks: Track conditions can drastically change form - our system performs best on Good/Firm tracks
  • Limited form data: When runners lack sufficient race history for accurate assessment
  • Unpredictable fields: When no clear standout emerges from our analysis

Skipping these races protects your bankroll - sometimes the best bet is no bet.

💰 Staking System Explained

Stakes are allocated as a percentage of your total betting bank:

  • 5%: Maximum confidence - clear standout with strong form
  • 3-4%: High confidence - solid form meets ideal conditions
  • 2%: Good confidence - respectable chance in competitive race
  • 1%: Moderate confidence - each-way potential or value play
  • 0.5%: Saver bet - long shot with slim chance (Degen plan only)

Intelligent Plan: Only backs selections ≥1% stake (high confidence only)

Degen Plan: Bets every race including 0.5% savers (higher variance, higher risk)

⭐ Confidence Rating Breakdown

Our confidence score (0-100%) reflects multiple factors:

  • Recent form: Last 3-5 starts weighted heavily
  • Track/distance suitability: Proven performance at this venue
  • Class/weight match: Competitive at current handicap level
  • Jockey/trainer combo: Winning partnerships boost confidence
  • Track bias: Rail position and pace patterns at this venue

Confidence ≥ 70% = Load job (strong chance, consider backing heavily)

⚠️ System Limitations & Disclaimers

  • Wet tracks: System accuracy drops significantly in Heavy/Soft conditions - track form less reliable
  • Maidens: Unproven horses make predictions highly speculative - avoid or tread carefully
  • Barrier draws: Treated as low priority - we don't exclude good horses with wide barriers
  • Late scratchings: Can impact race dynamics - check for changes before betting
  • Market movements: Our suggested prices may differ from actual markets at jump time
  • Not infallible: This is form analysis, not fortune telling - losing runs will happen

⚠️ GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY ⚠️

These tips are statistical analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Racing is entertainment - bet within your limits.

Beat the Bookie

Leading Edge Tips - Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 1/10/2026, 10:17:38 AM

Gamble responsibly. These are tips only and do not guarantee results.