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Pioneer Park, NT - 2026-01-10

Last Updated: 10/1/26, 10:17:37 am AEST

🏇 Pioneer Park Race Meeting

📊 Track Conditions

Condition: Good

Rail Position: True

First Race: 12:00

Total Races: 6

🌤️ Weather Forecast

Weather data unavailable for this track

💡 Track Insights from Recent Form

What Played Out Recently:

  • Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
  • Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys at This Track:

  • P Denton: 9 wins from 47 starts (19.1% win rate, 63.8% place rate)
  • Hannah Le Blanc: 5 wins from 13 starts (38.5% win rate, 53.8% place rate)
  • Ms S Logan: 5 wins from 19 starts (26.3% win rate, 73.7% place rate)
  • Lek Maloney: 3 wins from 17 starts (17.6% win rate, 41.2% place rate)
  • D A Hirini: 3 wins from 27 starts (11.1% win rate, 51.9% place rate)

Barrier Strategy: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace Profile: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

Race 1: PFD Food Services Hcp (64)

1200m | Restricted 64; | Prize: $21300

Full Field Analysis

1
Black Zous (3) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
63%
2
Throw At Da Stumps (1) J: Ianish Luximon
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
29%
3
Battle Jack (5) J: Jessie Philpot
solid track record, proven at distance
9%
4
Vitesse Breeze (4) J: Paul Denton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
32%
5
Collison (2) J: Raymond Vigar
solid track record
14%
6
Qualis (6) J: Aaron Sweeney
solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent
11%

Top Selections

#1 Black Zous - Barrier 3 (Lek Maloney) Rating: 63% | Win
#4 Vitesse Breeze - Barrier 4 (Paul Denton) Rating: 32% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
#2 Throw At Da Stumps - Barrier 1 (Ianish Luximon) Rating: 29% | Place Only
#5 Collison - Barrier 2 (Raymond Vigar) Rating: 14% | No Bet

Top Selection: #1 Black Zous - Barrier 3 (Lek Maloney)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 3% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Black Zous (Score: 231.9, Leads field by 47.8 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (12.6 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.5 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #4 Vitesse Breeze (Score: 213.7, Leads field by 37.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (22.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #2 Throw At Da Stumps (Score: 210.1, Leads field by 44.5 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (12.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Black Zous / Vitesse Breeze, Throw At Da Stumps
Trifecta: Box: Black Zous, Vitesse Breeze, Throw At Da Stumps, Collison

Race 2: Scope Building Hcp (C2)

1200m | Class 2; | Prize: $21000

Full Field Analysis

1
Delusionaldictator (8) J: Hannah Le Blanc
proven at distance
40%
2
Peace Baby (6) J: Raymond Vigar
solid track record
17%
3
Apolaki (7) J: Paul Denton
solid track record, proven at distance
10%
4
No Cash Here (1) J: Danielle Hirini
solid track record, proven at distance
43%
5
Our Squamosa (4) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record, flying form
24%
6
Tipsy Toronado (5) J:
proven at distance
13%
7
Dolce D'amour (5) J: Ianish Luximon
proven at distance
10%
8
Capistan (2) J: Jessie Philpot
inconsistent
9%
9
Sweetwillhebe (3) J: Aaron Sweeney
looking for others
5%

Top Selections

#4 No Cash Here - Barrier 1 (Danielle Hirini) Rating: 43% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#1 Delusionaldictator - Barrier 8 (Hannah Le Blanc) Rating: 40% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#5 Our Squamosa - Barrier 4 (Lek Maloney) Rating: 24% | No Bet
#2 Peace Baby - Barrier 6 (Raymond Vigar) Rating: 17% | Place Only

Top Selection: #4 No Cash Here - Barrier 1 (Danielle Hirini)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #4 No Cash Here (Score: 212.3, Leads field by 54.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #1 Delusionaldictator (Score: 210.2, Leads field by 59.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.2 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.2 pts)
#3 - #5 Our Squamosa (Score: 198.9, Leads field by 56.3 pts)

Best Attribute: headToHead (19.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (15.1 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Quinella: No Cash Here, Delusionaldictator
Exacta: No Cash Here / Delusionaldictator, Our Squamosa
Trifecta: Box: No Cash Here, Delusionaldictator, Our Squamosa, Peace Baby

Race 3: Alice Springs Toyota Hcp (70)

1100m | Restricted 70; | Prize: $22300

Full Field Analysis

1
Flying Start (1) J: Danielle Hirini
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
24%
2
Rock Of Kryptonite (2) J: Jessie Philpot
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
82%
3
Magic Defense (3) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record, proven at distance
16%
4
Princess Pancakes (4) J: Aaron Sweeney
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form
10%
5
Tellez (5) J: Ianish Luximon
proven at distance
11%

Top Selections

#2 Rock Of Kryptonite - Barrier 2 (Jessie Philpot) Rating: 82% | Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
#1 Flying Start - Barrier 1 (Danielle Hirini) Rating: 24% | Place Only
#3 Magic Defense - Barrier 3 (Lek Maloney) Rating: 16% | Place Only
#4 Princess Pancakes - Barrier 4 (Aaron Sweeney) Rating: 10% | No Bet

Top Selection: #2 Rock Of Kryptonite - Barrier 2 (Jessie Philpot)

Bet Type: Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #2 Rock Of Kryptonite (Score: 247.2, Leads field by 48.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.7 pts)
#2 - #1 Flying Start (Score: 215.4, Leads field by 21.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #3 Magic Defense (Score: 207.4, Leads field by 20.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 4: Ladbrokes Follow The Experts (Bm54)

1000m | Benchmark 54; | Prize: $21000

Full Field Analysis

1
Buckleup Buddy (2) J:
solid track record, in good form
25%
2
Bodmin Boy (5) J: Jessie Philpot
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
66%
3
Starton (2) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record
15%
4
Real Divine (3) J: Ianish Luximon
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
26%
5
Bonny Impact (1) J: Danielle Hirini
proven at distance
7%
6
Saxon Beach (4) J: Paul Denton
solid track record, in good form
15%
7
Suits (6) J: Aaron Sweeney
inconsistent
7%

Top Selections

#2 Bodmin Boy - Barrier 5 (Jessie Philpot) Rating: 66% | Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
#4 Real Divine - Barrier 3 (Ianish Luximon) Rating: 26% | Place Only
#1 Buckleup Buddy - Barrier 2 ( ) Rating: 25% | No Bet
#6 Saxon Beach - Barrier 4 (Paul Denton) Rating: 15% | Place Only

Top Selection: #2 Bodmin Boy - Barrier 5 (Jessie Philpot)

Bet Type: Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #2 Bodmin Boy (Score: 223.0, Leads field by 67.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.7 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.7 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #4 Real Divine (Score: 196.0, Leads field by 48.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (25.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #1 Buckleup Buddy (Score: 194.2, Leads field by 58.1 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (29.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.7 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 5: Rimfire Energy (Bm54)

1000m | Benchmark 54; | Prize: $21000

Full Field Analysis

1
Hellivit (6) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record, proven at distance
32%
2
Quanapirri Bay (5) J: Paul Denton
solid track record, proven at distance
51%
3
Lean On Me (4) J: Aaron Sweeney
solid track record
11%
4
Governor (3) J: Raymond Vigar
solid track record, proven at distance
25%
5
Boss Shelby (1) J: Hannah Le Blanc
proven at distance
29%
6
Highstrung (2) J: Ianish Luximon
looking for others
7%

Top Selections

#2 Quanapirri Bay - Barrier 5 (Paul Denton) Rating: 51% | Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
#1 Hellivit - Barrier 6 (Lek Maloney) Rating: 32% | Win
#5 Boss Shelby - Barrier 1 (Hannah Le Blanc) Rating: 29% | Place Only
#4 Governor - Barrier 3 (Raymond Vigar) Rating: 25% | Place Only

Top Selection: #2 Quanapirri Bay - Barrier 5 (Paul Denton)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
Stake: 3% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #2 Quanapirri Bay (Score: 210.2, Leads field by 38.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #1 Hellivit (Score: 197.3, Leads field by 31.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #5 Boss Shelby (Score: 194.6, Leads field by 39.0 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.2 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Quanapirri Bay / Hellivit, Boss Shelby
Trifecta: Box: Quanapirri Bay, Hellivit, Boss Shelby, Governor

Race 6: Alice Springs Cup Carnival April 11th-May 4th 2026 Hcp

1000m | Open; | Prize: $25500

Full Field Analysis

1
Delago Lad (5) J: Danielle Hirini
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
28%
2
Great Gust (1) J: Lek Maloney
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
73%
3
Bahama Bay (4) J: Ianish Luximon
solid track record, suited to trip, in good form
15%
4
Expert Witness (2) J: Paul Denton
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
20%
5
Down The Wicket (3) J: Hannah Le Blanc
solid track record, in good form
10%
6
Square Cut (6) J: Jessie Philpot
solid track record, proven at distance
9%

Top Selections

#2 Great Gust - Barrier 1 (Lek Maloney) Rating: 73% | Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
#1 Delago Lad - Barrier 5 (Danielle Hirini) Rating: 28% | No Bet
#4 Expert Witness - Barrier 2 (Paul Denton) Rating: 20% | Place Only
#3 Bahama Bay - Barrier 4 (Ianish Luximon) Rating: 15% | Place Only

Top Selection: #2 Great Gust - Barrier 1 (Lek Maloney)

Bet Type: Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #2 Great Gust (Score: 254.1, Leads field by 56.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #1 Delago Lad (Score: 231.5, Leads field by 42.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #4 Expert Witness (Score: 216.8, Leads field by 37.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Pioneer Park form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (10.5 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.2 pts)

Exotics for Pioneer Park

Quaddies

Last 4 Quaddie
Race 3 Avg: 53%
2 Rock Of Kryptonite 82%
1 Flying Start 24%
Race 6 Avg: 51%
2 Great Gust 73%
1 Delago Lad 28%
Race 5 Avg: 34%
2 Quanapirri Bay 51%
1 Hellivit 32%
5 Boss Shelby 29%
4 Governor 25%
Race 4 Avg: 46%
2 Bodmin Boy 66%
4 Real Divine 26%
Staking: 32 combos | $32.00 for 100%
$10 = 31% | $20 = 63%

📊 Condensed Betting Summary

🎯 Intelligent Staking

Bet only when confident

R1: #1 Black Zous (Barrier 3)
3% of bank
R2: #4 No Cash Here (Barrier 1)
2% of bank
R3: #2 Rock Of Kryptonite (Barrier 2)
5% of bank
R4: #2 Bodmin Boy (Barrier 5)
5% of bank
R5: #2 Quanapirri Bay (Barrier 5)
3% of bank
R6: #2 Great Gust (Barrier 1)
5% of bank
Total Stake: 23.0%

🔥 Degen Staking

Bet every race

R1: #1 Black Zous (Barrier 3)
3% of bank
R2: #4 No Cash Here (Barrier 1)
2% of bank
R3: #2 Rock Of Kryptonite (Barrier 2)
5% of bank
R4: #2 Bodmin Boy (Barrier 5)
5% of bank
R5: #2 Quanapirri Bay (Barrier 5)
3% of bank
R6: #2 Great Gust (Barrier 1)
5% of bank
Total Stake: 23.0%

Staking Explanation:
Intelligent: Conservative approach - only bet when we have strong confidence (≥1% stake)
Degen: Aggressive approach - bet every race, including 0.5% savers on uncertain races

📊 Understanding The System

🚫 Race Classifications (Why Some Races Are STAY OUT)

STAY OUT: Low-confidence races where the form is too unreliable to bet. Common in:

  • Maidens: Horses with no wins make form analysis highly speculative
  • Wet tracks: Track conditions can drastically change form - our system performs best on Good/Firm tracks
  • Limited form data: When runners lack sufficient race history for accurate assessment
  • Unpredictable fields: When no clear standout emerges from our analysis

Skipping these races protects your bankroll - sometimes the best bet is no bet.

💰 Staking System Explained

Stakes are allocated as a percentage of your total betting bank:

  • 5%: Maximum confidence - clear standout with strong form
  • 3-4%: High confidence - solid form meets ideal conditions
  • 2%: Good confidence - respectable chance in competitive race
  • 1%: Moderate confidence - each-way potential or value play
  • 0.5%: Saver bet - long shot with slim chance (Degen plan only)

Intelligent Plan: Only backs selections ≥1% stake (high confidence only)

Degen Plan: Bets every race including 0.5% savers (higher variance, higher risk)

⭐ Confidence Rating Breakdown

Our confidence score (0-100%) reflects multiple factors:

  • Recent form: Last 3-5 starts weighted heavily
  • Track/distance suitability: Proven performance at this venue
  • Class/weight match: Competitive at current handicap level
  • Jockey/trainer combo: Winning partnerships boost confidence
  • Track bias: Rail position and pace patterns at this venue

Confidence ≥ 70% = Load job (strong chance, consider backing heavily)

⚠️ System Limitations & Disclaimers

  • Wet tracks: System accuracy drops significantly in Heavy/Soft conditions - track form less reliable
  • Maidens: Unproven horses make predictions highly speculative - avoid or tread carefully
  • Barrier draws: Treated as low priority - we don't exclude good horses with wide barriers
  • Late scratchings: Can impact race dynamics - check for changes before betting
  • Market movements: Our suggested prices may differ from actual markets at jump time
  • Not infallible: This is form analysis, not fortune telling - losing runs will happen

⚠️ GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY ⚠️

These tips are statistical analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Racing is entertainment - bet within your limits.

Beat the Bookie

Leading Edge Tips - Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 1/10/2026, 10:17:38 AM

Gamble responsibly. These are tips only and do not guarantee results.