Leading Edge Tips - Ipswich 2026-01-10

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🏇 Ipswich Race Meeting

📊 Track Conditions

Condition: Soft

Rail Position: True

First Race: 12:00

Total Races: 8

🌤️ Weather Forecast

Location: Ipswich, QLD

Temperature: 21°C - 34°C

Rain Chance: 53%

Wind: 19 km/h ENE

💡 Track Insights from Recent Form

What Played Out Recently:

Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys at This Track:

Damien Thornton: 2 wins from 5 starts (40.0% win rate, 40.0% place rate)
Angela Jones: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3% win rate, 66.7% place rate)
Justin Huxtable: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6% win rate, 57.1% place rate)
M R Du Plessis: 1 wins from 3 starts (33.3% win rate, 33.3% place rate)
A Mallyon: 1 wins from 4 starts (25.0% win rate, 50.0% place rate)

Barrier Strategy: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace Profile: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

Race 1: TAB Mdn Plate

800m | Maiden; | Prize: $30000

Full Field Analysis

Air Control (11) J: Jason Taylor

inconsistent

Bold Louie (3) J: Ryan Wiggins

inconsistent

Claw Machine (6) J: Bella Youngberry

looking for others

Doom City (12) J: Olivia Kendal

in good form, inconsistent

Bellah's Hope (4) J: Georgina Cartwright

looking for others

Bloods A Rushin' (1) J: Dale Smith

inconsistent

Brave Emma (7) J: Montanna Savva

proven at distance, in good form

32%

Ibegood (8) J: Anthony Allen

flying form

39%

Better Sweet (9) J: Olivia Webb

flying form

30%

Elizahro (9) J:

flying form, inconsistent

I'lltellyoui'min (2) J: Wayne O'Connell

inconsistent

Kvas (10) J: Frederick Larson

looking for others

Staffo (5) J: Leah Martyn

flying form

Top Selections

#8 Ibegood - Barrier 8 (Anthony Allen) Rating: 39% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#9 Better Sweet - Barrier 9 (Olivia Webb) Rating: 30% | Win

#7 Brave Emma - Barrier 7 (Montanna Savva) Rating: 32% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#11 I'lltellyoui'min - Barrier 2 (Wayne O'Connell) Rating: 7% | No Bet

Top Selection: #8 Ibegood - Barrier 8 (Anthony Allen)

Bet Type: Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #8 Ibegood (Score: 156.6, Leads field by 80.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

In-form recent runs (15.3 pts)
Top jockey partnership (9.6 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

#2 - #9 Better Sweet (Score: 150.2, Leads field by 80.8 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

In-form recent runs (20.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#3 - #7 Brave Emma (Score: 150.0, Leads field by 88.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (26.4 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 800m (16.4 pts)
In-form recent runs (10.5 pts)
Top jockey partnership (8.2 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Exotics

Quinella: Ibegood, Better Sweet

Exacta: Ibegood / Better Sweet, Brave Emma

Trifecta: Box: Ibegood, Better Sweet, Brave Emma, I'lltellyoui'min

Race 2: Schweppes (Bm58)

1100m | Benchmark 58; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

I'm Nelson (4) J: Corey Sutherland

flying form

10%

Jimmy's Brother (5) J: Jasper Franklin

in good form

11%

The Wheelbarrow (3) J: Jett Newman

in good form

Propaganda (2) J: Anthony Allen

flying form, inconsistent

Hannabana (5) J:

solid track record, proven at distance

13%

Elronte (6) J:

in good form

Miss Leana (1) J: Georgina Cartwright

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

91%

Mishani Breeze (2) J:

looking for others

Mishani Steller (5) J:

proven at distance

Top Selections

#7 Miss Leana - Barrier 1 (Georgina Cartwright) Rating: 91% | Win

#5 Hannabana - Barrier 5 ( ) Rating: 13% | No Bet

#1 I'm Nelson - Barrier 4 (Corey Sutherland) Rating: 10% | No Bet

#2 Jimmy's Brother - Barrier 5 (Jasper Franklin) Rating: 11% | No Bet

Top Selection: #7 Miss Leana - Barrier 1 (Georgina Cartwright)

Bet Type: Win

Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #7 Miss Leana (Score: 243.4, Leads field by 104.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (12.5 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#2 - #5 Hannabana (Score: 175.8, Leads field by 42.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#3 - #1 I'm Nelson (Score: 172.6, Leads field by 45.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

In-form recent runs (15.6 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (8.2 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 3: Great Northern Mdn Hcp

1350m | Maiden; | Prize: $30000

Full Field Analysis

Pass The Peak (9) J: Adin Thompson

flying form, inconsistent

Tulong (3) J: Julie Busuttin

in good form

23%

Apollo Cream (8) J:

inconsistent

Cautionary Tail (6) J:

looking for others

Frankely Sublime (15) J:

looking for others

12%

Melaten (7) J: Jaden Lloyd

inconsistent

Bad Boy Boone (11) J: Michael J Murphy

looking for others

Dashing Mars (1) J: Karl Zechner

looking for others

15%

Kurithea (13) J:

looking for others

13%

Jamcart (5) J: Harrison Shaw

looking for others

Madame Cody (2) J: Sean Cormack

in good form

20%

Peak Miss (4) J: Vlad Duric

place chance

27%

She's A Fizz (12) J: Olivia Kendal

inconsistent

Holler Dash (16) J:

inconsistent

Up Over'n Gone (10) J: Georgina Cartwright

looking for others

Volcanic Park (6) J: Tahlia Fenlon

inconsistent

Icey (8) J: Leslie Tilley

inconsistent

10%

Fergus En Marche (13) J: Jason Taylor

form a concern, inconsistent

Top Selections

#12 Peak Miss - Barrier 4 (Vlad Duric) Rating: 27% | Place Only

#11 Madame Cody - Barrier 2 (Sean Cormack) Rating: 20% | No Bet

#2 Tulong - Barrier 3 (Julie Busuttin) Rating: 23% | Win

#8 Dashing Mars - Barrier 1 (Karl Zechner) Rating: 15% | Place Only

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #12 Peak Miss (Score: 173.7, Leads field by 76.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

#2 - #11 Madame Cody (Score: 170.3, Leads field by 78.1 pts)

Best Attribute: recencyFitness (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

In-form recent runs (13.3 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#3 - #2 Tulong (Score: 163.9, Leads field by 76.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

In-form recent runs (11.0 pts)
Top jockey partnership (8.1 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 4: Ian Leavers Memorial (Bm62)

2150m | Benchmark 62; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

Demarcay (1) J: Fiona Sandkuhl

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

41%

Enterprise Private (14) J:

in good form

Loyalty Counts (7) J: Karl Zechner

looking for others

Tewkesbury (10) J: Adin Thompson

looking for others

Aboveforty (2) J: Danny Peisley

solid track record, proven at distance

10%

Good Philly (12) J: Corey Sutherland

solid track record, proven at distance

35%

Techna (4) J: Harrison Shaw

solid track record

Up And Comer (8) J: Damien Boche

proven at distance, in good form

Will It Snow (5) J: Jaden Lloyd

in good form

Lovey Dovey (3) J: Brandon Lerena

solid track record

12%

Jimmy Nails (9) J: Dylan Turner

proven at distance

11%

Papal Miss (9) J:

proven at distance

10%

Change The Deel (6) J: Sean Cormack

looking for others

Pleadeel (13) J:

looking for others

Key Component (11) J: Dale Smith

looking for others

Top Selections

#1 Demarcay - Barrier 1 (Fiona Sandkuhl) Rating: 41% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)

#6 Good Philly - Barrier 12 (Corey Sutherland) Rating: 35% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#10 Lovey Dovey - Barrier 3 (Brandon Lerena) Rating: 12% | No Bet

#5 Aboveforty - Barrier 2 (Danny Peisley) Rating: 10% | No Bet

Top Selection: #1 Demarcay - Barrier 1 (Fiona Sandkuhl)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)

Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Demarcay (Score: 214.4, Leads field by 77.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (29.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 2150m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (10.8 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#2 - #6 Good Philly (Score: 214.1, Leads field by 83.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 2150m (16.4 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (8.1 pts)

#3 - #10 Lovey Dovey (Score: 164.4, Leads field by 36.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (25.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 5: Gordon's Gin Hcp (C4)

1666m | Class 4; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

Merchant Flyer (7) J: Dale Smith

proven at distance

39%

Power Pack (4) J: Anthony Allen

proven at distance

11%

Bitoftheblarney (11) J:

solid track record, proven at distance

14%

One Beat No Beat (5) J:

proven at distance

18%

Maurice's Medad (2) J: Leslie Tilley

proven at distance, class edge

North Court (6) J: Georgina Cartwright

in good form

12%

Sir Goldalot (1) J: Leah Martyn

proven at distance

16%

Flying Celica (9) J: Emily Lang

proven at distance, in good form

24%

Sir Beveridge (3) J: Jason Taylor

suited to trip, in good form

Going To The Sun (8) J: Tiffani Brooker

proven at distance

Flying Rothe (5) J: Olivia Kendal

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

Top Selections

#1 Merchant Flyer - Barrier 7 (Dale Smith) Rating: 39% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#8 Flying Celica - Barrier 9 (Emily Lang) Rating: 24% | Place Only

#4 One Beat No Beat - Barrier 5 ( ) Rating: 18% | No Bet

#7 Sir Goldalot - Barrier 1 (Leah Martyn) Rating: 16% | Place Only

Top Selection: #1 Merchant Flyer - Barrier 7 (Dale Smith)

Bet Type: Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Merchant Flyer (Score: 197.4, Leads field by 51.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 1666m (20.0 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)

#2 - #8 Flying Celica (Score: 182.7, Leads field by 40.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (22.8 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 1666m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (10.4 pts)
Quality trainer record (8.6 pts)

#3 - #4 One Beat No Beat (Score: 169.3, Leads field by 30.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.8 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 1666m (20.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 6: Barrier Reef Pools (Bm65)

1200m | Benchmark 65; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

Resurrected (2) J: Jett Newman

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

17%

Majestic Boom (2) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent

Fighting Idol (4) J: Julie Busuttin

proven at distance

10%

Cardiologist (7) J: Brandon Lerena

proven at distance, in good form, proven at level

14%

Been A Secret (1) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

44%

Thee Creek (1) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

18%

Runaway Tycoon (10) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

29%

All I Want Is You (1) J: Leslie Tilley

suited to trip, in good form

Maragical (5) J: Emily Lang

proven at distance

Nightcapped (6) J: Damien Boche

proven at distance

13%

Blantons Run (3) J: Sean Cormack

solid track record, suited to trip

12%

The Wheelbarrow (13) J:

in good form

Alfa Lily (8) J: Georgina Cartwright

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

Top Selections

#5 Been A Secret - Barrier 1 ( ) Rating: 44% | Win

#7 Runaway Tycoon - Barrier 10 ( ) Rating: 29% | Place Only

#4 Cardiologist - Barrier 7 (Brandon Lerena) Rating: 14% | No Bet

#6 Thee Creek - Barrier 1 ( ) Rating: 18% | Place Only

Top Selection: #5 Been A Secret - Barrier 1 ( )

Bet Type: Win

Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #5 Been A Secret (Score: 232.9, Leads field by 70.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (26.1 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (11.3 pts)
Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (13.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#2 - #7 Runaway Tycoon (Score: 215.4, Leads field by 58.1 pts)

Best Attribute: advancedFeatures (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 1200m (16.4 pts)
In-form recent runs (13.1 pts)
Quality trainer record (9.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#3 - #4 Cardiologist (Score: 195.9, Leads field by 42.4 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (11.6 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (8.5 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 7: Seven (Bm78)

1350m | Benchmark 78; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

Secret Plan (11) J:

proven at distance

Spanish Fox (6) J: Jasper Franklin

looking for others

Capo Strada (6) J:

in good form

Treporti (4) J: Adin Thompson

solid track record, proven at distance, class edge

18%

Influential (5) J: Corey Sutherland

proven at distance, proven at level

12%

Twyford (8) J: Danny Peisley

solid track record, proven at distance

15%

Diana's Affair (1) J: Jett Newman

solid track record, proven at distance

33%

Fake Magic (7) J: Michael J Murphy

proven at distance

Aspen Colorado (9) J: Karl Zechner

looking for others

Mishani Crown (10) J: Olivia Kendal

solid track record, in good form

Southern Charm (3) J: Tahlia Fenlon

solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level

16%

Been A Secret (2) J: Leslie Tilley

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

39%

Top Selections

#12 Been A Secret - Barrier 2 (Leslie Tilley) Rating: 39% | Win

#7 Diana's Affair - Barrier 1 (Jett Newman) Rating: 33% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#4 Treporti - Barrier 4 (Adin Thompson) Rating: 18% | Place Only

#11 Southern Charm - Barrier 3 (Tahlia Fenlon) Rating: 16% | Place Only

Top Selection: #12 Been A Secret - Barrier 2 (Leslie Tilley)

Bet Type: Win

Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #12 Been A Secret (Score: 219.5, Leads field by 58.6 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (11.3 pts)
Proven at 1350m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (13.0 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#2 - #7 Diana's Affair (Score: 215.1, Leads field by 59.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (23.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 1350m (20.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (9.0 pts)

#3 - #4 Treporti (Score: 188.7, Leads field by 36.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (18.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

Proven at 1350m (16.4 pts)
Strong class rating (12.2 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 8: Tempus Two Plate (C2)

1100m | Class 2; | Prize: $28000

Full Field Analysis

Coincide (11) J:

solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level

Jimmyinthejungle (10) J:

in good form

16%

Poseidon's Son (4) J:

proven at distance

Rum Diary (4) J: Leslie Tilley

proven at distance, in good form

12%

Runaway Tycoon (2) J: Jett Newman

solid track record, in good form, proven at level

31%

Snitzond (7) J: Corey Sutherland

solid track record, in good form

20%

Sweetpea Moochi (13) J:

suited to trip

Doyle (3) J:

inconsistent

I'm Lucky Two (8) J:

proven at distance

Maikrow (4) J:

proven at distance

Hello In There (1) J: Micheal Hellyer

proven at distance

Jenchick Boom (5) J: Leah Martyn

solid track record, proven at distance, in good form

42%

Savagery Vibe (6) J: Emily Lang

proven at distance, class edge

18%

Cindersea (3) J: Jasper Franklin

in good form

Top Selections

#12 Jenchick Boom - Barrier 5 (Leah Martyn) Rating: 42% | Win

#5 Runaway Tycoon - Barrier 2 (Jett Newman) Rating: 31% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)

#6 Snitzond - Barrier 7 (Corey Sutherland) Rating: 20% | Place Only

#2 Jimmyinthejungle - Barrier 10 ( ) Rating: 16% | No Bet

Top Selection: #12 Jenchick Boom - Barrier 5 (Leah Martyn)

Bet Type: Win

Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #12 Jenchick Boom (Score: 233.5, Leads field by 84.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (28.9 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (11.6 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (8.9 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#2 - #5 Runaway Tycoon (Score: 222.3, Leads field by 79.4 pts)

Best Attribute: advancedFeatures (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (13.1 pts)
Quality trainer record (9.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

#3 - #6 Snitzond (Score: 205.3, Leads field by 68.1 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (23.6 pts)

Key Strengths:

Excellent Ipswich form (12.0 pts)
In-form recent runs (13.7 pts)
Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Quinella: Jenchick Boom, Runaway Tycoon

Exacta: Jenchick Boom / Runaway Tycoon, Snitzond

Trifecta: Box: Jenchick Boom, Runaway Tycoon, Snitzond, Jimmyinthejungle

First 4: Box: Jenchick Boom, Runaway Tycoon, Snitzond, Jimmyinthejungle, Savagery Vibe

Exotics for Ipswich

Quaddies

Last 4 Quaddie

Race 7 Avg: 27%

12 Been A Secret 39%

7 Diana's Affair 33%

4 Treporti 18%

11 Southern Charm 16%

Race 5 Avg: 24%

1 Merchant Flyer 39%

8 Flying Celica 24%

4 One Beat No Beat 18%

7 Sir Goldalot 16%

Race 6 Avg: 30%

5 Been A Secret 44%

7 Runaway Tycoon 29%

6 Thee Creek 18%

Race 8 Avg: 27%

12 Jenchick Boom 42%

5 Runaway Tycoon 31%

6 Snitzond 20%

2 Jimmyinthejungle 16%

Staking: 192 combos | $192.00 for 100%
$10 = 5% | $20 = 10%

📊 Condensed Betting Summary

🎯 Intelligent Staking

Bet only when confident

R1: #8 Ibegood (Barrier 8)
1% of bank

R2: #7 Miss Leana (Barrier 1)
5% of bank

R4: #1 Demarcay (Barrier 1)
2% of bank

R5: #1 Merchant Flyer (Barrier 7)
1% of bank

R6: #5 Been A Secret (Barrier 1)
2% of bank

R7: #12 Been A Secret (Barrier 2)
1% of bank

R8: #12 Jenchick Boom (Barrier 5)
2% of bank

Total Stake: 14.0%

🔥 Degen Staking

Bet every race

R1: #8 Ibegood (Barrier 8)
1% of bank

R2: #7 Miss Leana (Barrier 1)
5% of bank

R3: #12 Peak Miss (Barrier 4)
0.5% (Saver)

R4: #1 Demarcay (Barrier 1)
2% of bank

R5: #1 Merchant Flyer (Barrier 7)
1% of bank

R6: #5 Been A Secret (Barrier 1)
2% of bank

R7: #12 Been A Secret (Barrier 2)
1% of bank

R8: #12 Jenchick Boom (Barrier 5)
2% of bank

Total Stake: 14.5%

Staking Explanation:
Intelligent: Conservative approach - only bet when we have strong confidence (≥1% stake)
Degen: Aggressive approach - bet every race, including 0.5% savers on uncertain races

📊 Understanding The System

🚫 Race Classifications (Why Some Races Are STAY OUT)

STAY OUT: Low-confidence races where the form is too unreliable to bet. Common in:

Maidens: Horses with no wins make form analysis highly speculative
Wet tracks: Track conditions can drastically change form - our system performs best on Good/Firm tracks
Limited form data: When runners lack sufficient race history for accurate assessment
Unpredictable fields: When no clear standout emerges from our analysis

Skipping these races protects your bankroll - sometimes the best bet is no bet.

💰 Staking System Explained

Stakes are allocated as a percentage of your total betting bank:

5%: Maximum confidence - clear standout with strong form
3-4%: High confidence - solid form meets ideal conditions
2%: Good confidence - respectable chance in competitive race
1%: Moderate confidence - each-way potential or value play
0.5%: Saver bet - long shot with slim chance (Degen plan only)

Intelligent Plan: Only backs selections ≥1% stake (high confidence only)

Degen Plan: Bets every race including 0.5% savers (higher variance, higher risk)

⭐ Confidence Rating Breakdown

Our confidence score (0-100%) reflects multiple factors:

Recent form: Last 3-5 starts weighted heavily
Track/distance suitability: Proven performance at this venue
Class/weight match: Competitive at current handicap level
Jockey/trainer combo: Winning partnerships boost confidence
Track bias: Rail position and pace patterns at this venue

Confidence ≥ 70% = Load job (strong chance, consider backing heavily)

⚠️ System Limitations & Disclaimers

Wet tracks: System accuracy drops significantly in Heavy/Soft conditions - track form less reliable
Maidens: Unproven horses make predictions highly speculative - avoid or tread carefully
Barrier draws: Treated as low priority - we don't exclude good horses with wide barriers
Late scratchings: Can impact race dynamics - check for changes before betting
Market movements: Our suggested prices may differ from actual markets at jump time
Not infallible: This is form analysis, not fortune telling - losing runs will happen

⚠️ GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY ⚠️

These tips are statistical analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Racing is entertainment - bet within your limits.

Leading Edge Tips - Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 1/10/2026, 10:17:37 AM

Gamble responsibly. These are tips only and do not guarantee results.