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Leading Edge Tips

Glen Innes, NSW - 2026-01-10

Last Updated: 10/1/26, 10:17:38 am AEST

🏇 Glen Innes Race Meeting

📊 Track Conditions

Condition: Good

Rail Position: True

First Race: 12:00

Total Races: 6

🌤️ Weather Forecast

Weather data unavailable for this track

💡 Track Insights from Recent Form

Track Play: Track characteristics vary based on rail position and recent maintenance. Recent winners show the current pattern - horses that can adapt to prevailing conditions have the advantage.

Jockey Advantages: Leading local riders with recent track wins dominate through superior course knowledge. Jockeys riding multiple winners at the venue in the past month carry momentum and understanding of current biases.

Barrier Strategy: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace Profile: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

Race 1: Delux Laundry Services Mdn Plate

1000m | Maiden; | Prize: $16000

Full Field Analysis

1
Music Maestro (4) J: Grady Spokes
flying form, inconsistent
7%
2
Scion (6) J:
suited to trip
11%
3
Stainless Steel (5) J: Nathan Thomas
place chance
28%
4
Soobring It (7) J: Kelsey Lenton
place chance
22%
5
Cosmic Arc (3) J: Shakira Bailey
place chance
37%
6
Share The Honey (1) J: Brooke Stower
flying form, inconsistent
5%
7
Kvas (5) J:
looking for others
13%
8
Loquito (2) J: Ben Looker
in good form
13%
9
Outlier (6) J: Ella Drew
inconsistent
11%

Top Selections

#5 Cosmic Arc - Barrier 3 (Shakira Bailey) Rating: 37% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
#3 Stainless Steel - Barrier 5 (Nathan Thomas) Rating: 28% | Place Only
#4 Soobring It - Barrier 7 (Kelsey Lenton) Rating: 22% | Place Only
#8 Loquito - Barrier 2 (Ben Looker) Rating: 13% | No Bet

Top Selection: #5 Cosmic Arc - Barrier 3 (Shakira Bailey)

Bet Type: Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #5 Cosmic Arc (Score: 134.3, Leads field by 36.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Top jockey partnership (8.7 pts)
#2 - #3 Stainless Steel (Score: 122.8, Leads field by 28.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Quality trainer record (9.1 pts)
#3 - #4 Soobring It (Score: 117.6, Leads field by 26.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Cosmic Arc / Stainless Steel, Soobring It
Trifecta: Box: Cosmic Arc, Stainless Steel, Soobring It, Loquito

Race 2: Duddys Butchery Mdn Hcp

1400m | Maiden; | Prize: $16000

Full Field Analysis

1
Divine Abby (7) J: Nathan Thomas
inconsistent
5%
2
Permission Denied (5) J: Brooke Stower
inconsistent
3%
3
Small Fortune (2) J: Ben Looker
proven at distance, inconsistent
30%
4
Gluttony (4) J: Mikayla Weir
in good form
15%
5
Icey (9) J:
inconsistent
10%
6
Jimmy Plod (6) J: Noriyuki Masuda
inconsistent
4%
7
Montevecchio (1) J: Shakira Bailey
inconsistent
9%
8
Shortfastloud (8) J:
inconsistent
4%
9
Star Of Kongo (8) J: Luke Rolls
looking for others
11%
10
Vizstar (3) J: Kelsey Lenton
proven at distance
59%

Top Selections

#10 Vizstar - Barrier 3 (Kelsey Lenton) Rating: 59% | Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
#3 Small Fortune - Barrier 2 (Ben Looker) Rating: 30% | Win
#4 Gluttony - Barrier 4 (Mikayla Weir) Rating: 15% | Place Only
#9 Star Of Kongo - Barrier 8 (Luke Rolls) Rating: 11% | No Bet

Top Selection: #10 Vizstar - Barrier 3 (Kelsey Lenton)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.5% win + 1.5% place)
Stake: 3% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #10 Vizstar (Score: 169.6, Leads field by 66.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (14.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.5 pts)
#2 - #3 Small Fortune (Score: 149.4, Leads field by 52.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (16.4 pts)
#3 - #4 Gluttony (Score: 127.0, Leads field by 34.4 pts)

Best Attribute: condition (15.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (10.6 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.3 pts)

Race 3: Regional Australia Bank Plate (C2)

1400m | Class 2; | Prize: $16000

Full Field Analysis

1
Airswing (4) J: Reece O'Connell
looking for others
20%
2
Coincide (1) J: Colleen Krahnen
proven at level
20%
3
Red Cobra (2) J: Maddie Mankelow
inconsistent
11%
4
Eternity Star (7) J: Brooke Stower
proven at distance
12%
5
Pop Quiz (5) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance
19%
6
Warilla Gorilla (3) J: Kelsey Lenton
in good form
42%
7
Celestial Bell (6) J: Nathan Thomas
looking for others
19%
8
Ejay's Firefox (9) J: Kayla Barker
looking for others
12%
9
Skeptical (8) J: Ben Looker
solid track record, proven at distance
16%

Top Selections

#6 Warilla Gorilla - Barrier 3 (Kelsey Lenton) Rating: 42% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#1 Airswing - Barrier 4 (Reece O'Connell) Rating: 20% | Place Only
#2 Coincide - Barrier 1 (Colleen Krahnen) Rating: 20% | Place Only
#7 Celestial Bell - Barrier 6 (Nathan Thomas) Rating: 19% | Place Only

Top Selection: #6 Warilla Gorilla - Barrier 3 (Kelsey Lenton)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #6 Warilla Gorilla (Score: 175.0, Leads field by 36.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (11.2 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.2 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #1 Airswing (Score: 154.6, Leads field by 18.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Top jockey partnership (9.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.8 pts)
#3 - #2 Coincide (Score: 151.1, Leads field by 16.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (24.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Exotics

Trifecta: Box: Warilla Gorilla, Airswing, Coincide, Celestial Bell
First 4: Box: Warilla Gorilla, Airswing, Coincide, Celestial Bell, Pop Quiz

Race 4: Roberts & Morrow (Bm58)

1200m | Benchmark 58; | Prize: $16000

Full Field Analysis

1
Winged (10) J:
proven at distance, in good form
19%
2
Outta De Lady (6) J:
suited to trip
23%
3
Purple Esprit (8) J: Kayla Barker
suited to trip, in good form
28%
4
Shut Eye (4) J: Ben Looker
proven at distance
27%
5
Este Dia (5) J: Reece O'Connell
proven at distance, in good form
26%
6
Western Conqueror (6) J: Billy Cray
form a concern
6%
7
Dubious Six (7) J: Kelsey Lenton
suited to trip
10%
8
Heza Romeo (9) J: Mikayla Weir
suited to trip, in good form
7%
9
Sweetpea Moochi (3) J: Gary Geran
proven at distance
11%
10
Gerety (1) J: Ella Drew
proven at distance
19%
11
Thief By Night (2) J: Colleen Krahnen
proven at distance
12%

Top Selections

#4 Shut Eye - Barrier 4 (Ben Looker) Rating: 27% | No Bet
#3 Purple Esprit - Barrier 8 (Kayla Barker) Rating: 28% | Win
#5 Este Dia - Barrier 5 (Reece O'Connell) Rating: 26% | Place Only
#2 Outta De Lady - Barrier 6 ( ) Rating: 23% | Place Only

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #4 Shut Eye (Score: 199.0, Leads field by 42.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.5 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #3 Purple Esprit (Score: 197.2, Leads field by 44.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (12.7 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.4 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #5 Este Dia (Score: 195.1, Leads field by 48.2 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.9 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.8 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 5: Glen Innes Services Club Glen Innes Cup (Bm74)

1400m | Benchmark 74; | Prize: $19000

Full Field Analysis

1
Capo Strada (5) J: Colleen Krahnen
proven at distance, in good form
25%
2
Shamedy (8) J: Ben Looker
proven at distance
16%
3
Under The Cap (11) J: Reece O'Connell
proven at distance
10%
4
Bold Hoi Ho (1) J: Grady Spokes
proven at distance
28%
5
Kiptanui (4) J: Shakira Bailey
proven at distance
7%
6
Intoxel (7) J: Nathan Thomas
proven at distance
11%
7
Chasing Jackley (10) J: Mikayla Weir
in good form
12%
8
Gidday Gidday (12) J: Kelsey Lenton
proven at distance
18%
9
Unleash (2) J: Gary Geran
proven at distance
23%
10
Accrue (9) J: Brooke Stower
proven at distance
17%
11
He's A Copy Boy (3) J: Luke Rolls
proven at distance
14%
12
Royal Charge (6) J: Noriyuki Masuda
proven at distance, inconsistent
14%

Top Selections

#4 Bold Hoi Ho - Barrier 1 (Grady Spokes) Rating: 28% | Place Only
#1 Capo Strada - Barrier 5 (Colleen Krahnen) Rating: 25% | No Bet
#9 Unleash - Barrier 2 (Gary Geran) Rating: 23% | Place Only
#10 Accrue - Barrier 9 (Brooke Stower) Rating: 17% | Place Only

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #4 Bold Hoi Ho (Score: 186.7, Leads field by 32.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (28.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #1 Capo Strada (Score: 182.4, Leads field by 30.8 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #9 Unleash (Score: 178.5, Leads field by 29.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.3 pts)

Race 6: Maximus New England North (Bm58)

1000m | Benchmark 58; | Prize: $16000

Full Field Analysis

1
Inatick (1) J: Kayla Barker
proven at distance
22%
2
Takemine (8) J: Luke Rolls
proven at distance
14%
3
Toyger (11) J: Shakira Bailey
proven at distance, in good form
16%
4
Littlemisscancan (5) J: Maddie Mankelow
looking for others
10%
5
Divine Feminine (7) J: Kelsey Lenton
proven at distance
9%
6
Koondeeman (12) J: Billy Cray
looking for others
11%
7
Powerstone (9) J: Brooke Stower
proven at distance
11%
8
Prucia (10) J: Mikayla Weir
proven at distance, flying form
9%
9
Ellati (6) J: Ben Looker
proven at distance, flying form
22%
10
Miss Indi (3) J: Nathan Thomas
proven at distance
9%
11
Heavenly Az (2) J: Noriyuki Masuda
inconsistent
7%
12
Invincible Faith (6) J:
proven at distance
10%
13
Outta De Lady (4) J: Grady Spokes
proven at distance
47%

Top Selections

#13 Outta De Lady - Barrier 4 (Grady Spokes) Rating: 47% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#9 Ellati - Barrier 6 (Ben Looker) Rating: 22% | Win
#1 Inatick - Barrier 1 (Kayla Barker) Rating: 22% | Place Only
#3 Toyger - Barrier 11 (Shakira Bailey) Rating: 16% | Place Only

Top Selection: #13 Outta De Lady - Barrier 4 (Grady Spokes)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #13 Outta De Lady (Score: 213.7, Leads field by 69.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #9 Ellati (Score: 192.9, Leads field by 53.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (16.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.5 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #1 Inatick (Score: 183.4, Leads field by 47.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (26.4 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (8.6 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Trifecta: Box: Outta De Lady, Ellati, Inatick, Toyger

📊 Condensed Betting Summary

🎯 Intelligent Staking

Bet only when confident

R1: #5 Cosmic Arc (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R2: #10 Vizstar (Barrier 3)
3% of bank
R3: #6 Warilla Gorilla (Barrier 3)
2% of bank
R6: #13 Outta De Lady (Barrier 4)
2% of bank
Total Stake: 8.0%

🔥 Degen Staking

Bet every race

R1: #5 Cosmic Arc (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R2: #10 Vizstar (Barrier 3)
3% of bank
R3: #6 Warilla Gorilla (Barrier 3)
2% of bank
R4: #4 Shut Eye (Barrier 4)
0.5% (Saver)
R5: #4 Bold Hoi Ho (Barrier 1)
0.5% (Saver)
R6: #13 Outta De Lady (Barrier 4)
2% of bank
Total Stake: 9.0%

Staking Explanation:
Intelligent: Conservative approach - only bet when we have strong confidence (≥1% stake)
Degen: Aggressive approach - bet every race, including 0.5% savers on uncertain races

📊 Understanding The System

🚫 Race Classifications (Why Some Races Are STAY OUT)

STAY OUT: Low-confidence races where the form is too unreliable to bet. Common in:

  • Maidens: Horses with no wins make form analysis highly speculative
  • Wet tracks: Track conditions can drastically change form - our system performs best on Good/Firm tracks
  • Limited form data: When runners lack sufficient race history for accurate assessment
  • Unpredictable fields: When no clear standout emerges from our analysis

Skipping these races protects your bankroll - sometimes the best bet is no bet.

💰 Staking System Explained

Stakes are allocated as a percentage of your total betting bank:

  • 5%: Maximum confidence - clear standout with strong form
  • 3-4%: High confidence - solid form meets ideal conditions
  • 2%: Good confidence - respectable chance in competitive race
  • 1%: Moderate confidence - each-way potential or value play
  • 0.5%: Saver bet - long shot with slim chance (Degen plan only)

Intelligent Plan: Only backs selections ≥1% stake (high confidence only)

Degen Plan: Bets every race including 0.5% savers (higher variance, higher risk)

⭐ Confidence Rating Breakdown

Our confidence score (0-100%) reflects multiple factors:

  • Recent form: Last 3-5 starts weighted heavily
  • Track/distance suitability: Proven performance at this venue
  • Class/weight match: Competitive at current handicap level
  • Jockey/trainer combo: Winning partnerships boost confidence
  • Track bias: Rail position and pace patterns at this venue

Confidence ≥ 70% = Load job (strong chance, consider backing heavily)

⚠️ System Limitations & Disclaimers

  • Wet tracks: System accuracy drops significantly in Heavy/Soft conditions - track form less reliable
  • Maidens: Unproven horses make predictions highly speculative - avoid or tread carefully
  • Barrier draws: Treated as low priority - we don't exclude good horses with wide barriers
  • Late scratchings: Can impact race dynamics - check for changes before betting
  • Market movements: Our suggested prices may differ from actual markets at jump time
  • Not infallible: This is form analysis, not fortune telling - losing runs will happen

⚠️ GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY ⚠️

These tips are statistical analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Racing is entertainment - bet within your limits.

Beat the Bookie

Leading Edge Tips - Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 1/10/2026, 10:17:38 AM

Gamble responsibly. These are tips only and do not guarantee results.