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Ascot, WA - 2026-01-10

Last Updated: 10/1/26, 10:17:37 am AEST

🏇 Ascot Race Meeting

📊 Track Conditions

Condition: Good

Rail Position: True

First Race: 12:00

Total Races: 9

🌤️ Weather Forecast

Location: Perth, WA

Temperature: 17°C - 30°C

Rain Chance: 0%

Wind: 20 km/h ESE

💡 Track Insights from Recent Form

What Played Out Recently:

  • Recent races featured traffic issues - tactical rides and clear runs critical
  • Multiple reports of wide runs - suggests inside draws holding advantage

Top Jockeys at This Track:

  • Lucy Fiore: 6 wins from 23 starts (26.1% win rate, 52.2% place rate)
  • B Parnham: 5 wins from 29 starts (17.2% win rate, 48.3% place rate)
  • W Pike: 4 wins from 14 starts (28.6% win rate, 64.3% place rate)
  • S O'Donnell: 4 wins from 17 starts (23.5% win rate, 47.1% place rate)
  • Chris Parnham: 3 wins from 12 starts (25.0% win rate, 75.0% place rate)

Barrier Strategy: Middle barriers (4-8) provide the best tactical options, allowing flexibility to settle forward or back depending on pace. Inside barriers excel in smaller fields, while wide draws suit horses with natural speed.

Pace Profile: Sprint races (1000-1200m) favor leaders and on-pace runners. Middle distance (1200-1600m) suits versatile runners who can position midfield. Staying races (1600m+) reward horses with sustained stamina who can finish strongly over the final 400m.

Race 1: TABtouch - Westspeed Platinum (Rs0ly)

1600m | Rst 0 Met Win-LY; | Prize: $40000

Full Field Analysis

1
Brave Contender (8) J: Holly Nottle
suited to trip
10%
2
Gift Of The Heart (5) J: Austin Galati
solid track record, proven at distance
17%
3
Lova Session (10) J: Chanel Cooper
solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level
15%
4
Impressive Jewel (6) J: Joey Azzopardi
in good form
23%
5
Bondi Bay (4) J: Natasha Faithfull
proven at distance
12%
6
Tousled Crown (7) J: Lucy F Fiore
proven at distance, in good form
27%
7
Forever Dreaming (2) J: Troy Turner
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
28%
8
Mystical Man (1) J: Victoria Corver
proven at distance
19%
9
Classic Impact (9) J: Brandon Louis
solid track record
16%
10
Gingerquest (3) J: William Pike
looking for others
11%

Top Selections

#7 Forever Dreaming - Barrier 2 (Troy Turner) Rating: 28% | Place Only
#6 Tousled Crown - Barrier 7 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 27% | Place Only
#4 Impressive Jewel - Barrier 6 (Joey Azzopardi) Rating: 23% | Place Only
#2 Gift Of The Heart - Barrier 5 (Austin Galati) Rating: 17% | Place Only

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #7 Forever Dreaming (Score: 188.6, Leads field by 29.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (18.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (11.6 pts)
  • Proven at 1600m (14.5 pts)
  • Strong class rating (12.2 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#2 - #6 Tousled Crown (Score: 183.1, Leads field by 27.4 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1600m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.7 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.3 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #4 Impressive Jewel (Score: 180.9, Leads field by 28.8 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (25.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (10.7 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 2: Magic Millions Plate

1100m | Open; | Prize: $80000

Full Field Analysis

1
Dawn Dancer (8) J: Steven Parnham
solid track record, flying form
95%
2
Western Splendour (4) J: Patrick Carbery
looking for others
4%
3
Boy Crush (5) J: Holly Watson
flying form, inconsistent
2%
4
Optimus Prime (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
flying form
7%
5
Luz Del Sol (2) J: Madi Derrick
inconsistent
7%
6
Biscuits (7) J: Shaun O'Donnell
flying form, inconsistent
2%
7
Lunar Spark (6) J: Lucy F Fiore
flying form, inconsistent
2%
8
Manhattan Squeeze (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly
in good form, inconsistent
2%
9
Nicaboom (10) J: Joey Azzopardi
flying form, inconsistent
2%
10
They'reallsisters (1) J: William Pike
flying form, inconsistent
3%

Top Selections

#1 Dawn Dancer - Barrier 8 (Steven Parnham) Rating: 95% | Win
#4 Optimus Prime - Barrier 3 (Clint Johnston-Porter) Rating: 7% | No Bet
#5 Luz Del Sol - Barrier 2 (Madi Derrick) Rating: 7% | No Bet
#10 They'reallsisters - Barrier 1 (William Pike) Rating: 3% | No Bet

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Dawn Dancer (Score: 216.9, Leads field by 118.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #4 Optimus Prime (Score: 141.8, Leads field by 49.2 pts)

Best Attribute: recent (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • In-form recent runs (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.5 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #5 Luz Del Sol (Score: 120.1, Leads field by 31.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 3: Mrs Mac's (Bm66+)

1000m | BenchMark 66+; | Prize: $80000

Full Field Analysis

1
Pin Deep (7) J: Steven Parnham
proven at distance
17%
2
Simply Thinkin' (1) J: Lucy F Fiore
proven at distance, in good form
15%
3
Sonoftheboss (4) J: Chanel Cooper
solid track record, proven at distance
10%
4
Tycoon Harry (8) J: Holly Nottle
solid track record, proven at distance
19%
5
Capre Omnia (2) J: Austin Galati
proven at distance, inconsistent
6%
6
Amaroo Star (5) J: William Pike
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
79%
7
Wicked Venom (3) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance
16%
8
Highland Flair (6) J: Keshaw Dhurun
looking for others
7%

Top Selections

#6 Amaroo Star - Barrier 5 (William Pike) Rating: 79% | Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
#4 Tycoon Harry - Barrier 8 (Holly Nottle) Rating: 19% | Place Only
#1 Pin Deep - Barrier 7 (Steven Parnham) Rating: 17% | Place Only
#2 Simply Thinkin' - Barrier 1 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 15% | Place Only

Top Selection: #6 Amaroo Star - Barrier 5 (William Pike)

Bet Type: Each Way (2.5% win + 2.5% place)
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #6 Amaroo Star (Score: 266.8, Leads field by 77.2 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.4 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #4 Tycoon Harry (Score: 220.4, Leads field by 35.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (22.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #1 Pin Deep (Score: 215.0, Leads field by 36.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1000m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 4: Glenroy Chaff Plate

1400m | Open; | Prize: $80000

Full Field Analysis

1
Major Flirt (9) J: Austin Galati
solid track record, in good form
11%
2
Western Ace (4) J: William Pike
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
84%
3
Beau's A Lad (3) J: Luke Campbell
suited to trip
16%
4
Backchatting (5) J: Keshaw Dhurun
solid track record
10%
5
Pembeton (7) J: Steven Parnham
proven at distance
12%
6
Bradbury's Moment (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
looking for others
7%
7
Morf (1) J: Holly Nottle
looking for others
6%
8
Reminiscence (10) J: Lucy F Fiore
flying form
2%
9
Somethink (6) J: Jason Whiting
inconsistent
3%
10
Tora Bora (5) J: Shaun O'Donnell
proven at distance, in good form
15%
11
Radio Silence (2) J: Patrick Carbery
inconsistent
4%

Top Selections

#2 Western Ace - Barrier 4 (William Pike) Rating: 84% | Win
#10 Tora Bora - Barrier 5 (Shaun O'Donnell) Rating: 15% | Place Only
#3 Beau's A Lad - Barrier 3 (Luke Campbell) Rating: 16% | Place Only
#1 Major Flirt - Barrier 9 (Austin Galati) Rating: 11% | No Bet

Top Selection: #2 Western Ace - Barrier 4 (William Pike)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #2 Western Ace (Score: 246.5, Leads field by 111.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (21.8 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (14.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.4 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #10 Tora Bora (Score: 182.0, Leads field by 51.6 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #3 Beau's A Lad (Score: 181.3, Leads field by 57.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1400m (10.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 5: Happy 80th Sean Twomey (Bm66+)

2200m | BenchMark 66+; | Prize: $80000

Full Field Analysis

1
Iowa (1) J: Chanel Cooper
proven at distance, class edge, inconsistent
8%
2
Kisses From Kelly (2) J: Holly Nottle
solid track record, proven at distance
15%
3
Grand Reserve (8) J: Lucy F Fiore
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
33%
4
Candlelight Supper (6) J: Troy Turner
solid track record, proven at distance, inconsistent
12%
5
Amazing Cheat (7) J: Joey Azzopardi
looking for others
10%
6
Armino (5) J: Jordan Turner
proven at distance
8%
7
Audio Boy (4) J: William Pike
solid track record
17%
8
Hard Questions (11) J: Steven Parnham
looking for others
8%
9
Long Genes (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
44%
10
Royal Splendour (3) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance
19%
11
Starwalker (9) J: Shaun O'Donnell
proven at distance
12%

Top Selections

#9 Long Genes - Barrier 10 (Clint Johnston-Porter) Rating: 44% | Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
#3 Grand Reserve - Barrier 8 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 33% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
#10 Royal Splendour - Barrier 3 (Holly Watson) Rating: 19% | Place Only
#7 Audio Boy - Barrier 4 (William Pike) Rating: 17% | Place Only

Top Selection: #9 Long Genes - Barrier 10 (Clint Johnston-Porter)

Bet Type: Each Way (1.0% win + 1.0% place)
Stake: 2% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #9 Long Genes (Score: 234.7, Leads field by 60.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (27.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 2200m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.5 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #3 Grand Reserve (Score: 228.1, Leads field by 59.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (22.1 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 2200m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.7 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #10 Royal Splendour (Score: 208.5, Leads field by 44.7 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 2200m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)

Race 6: Vale Gerard Patterson (Bm72+)

1400m | BenchMark 72+; | Prize: $80000

Full Field Analysis

1
Lord Gannicus (3) J: Chanel Cooper
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
36%
2
Cold Shizzle (1) J: Holly Nottle
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
34%
3
Silver Eye (2) J: Shaun O'Donnell
looking for others
10%
4
Famous Dain (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance
6%
5
Timeless Gem (4) J: William Pike
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
31%
6
Cashel Palace (9) J: Lucy F Fiore
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
22%
7
Snazzler (6) J: Holly Watson
proven at distance
9%
8
Dug Another Hole (10) J: Steven Parnham
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
16%
9
Cherry Can Run (7) J: Jason Whiting
solid track record
5%
10
Uncle Gerard (8) J: Troy Turner
proven at distance
6%

Top Selections

#1 Lord Gannicus - Barrier 3 (Chanel Cooper) Rating: 36% | Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
#2 Cold Shizzle - Barrier 1 (Holly Nottle) Rating: 34% | Win
#5 Timeless Gem - Barrier 4 (William Pike) Rating: 31% | Win
#6 Cashel Palace - Barrier 9 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 22% | Place Only

Top Selection: #1 Lord Gannicus - Barrier 3 (Chanel Cooper)

Bet Type: Each Way (0.5% win + 0.5% place)
Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 Lord Gannicus (Score: 242.8, Leads field by 51.4 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.3 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.1 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #2 Cold Shizzle (Score: 241.2, Leads field by 56.0 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#3 - #5 Timeless Gem (Score: 236.9, Leads field by 59.1 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (14.9 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Quinella: Lord Gannicus, Cold Shizzle
Exacta: Lord Gannicus / Cold Shizzle, Timeless Gem
Trifecta: Box: Lord Gannicus, Cold Shizzle, Timeless Gem, Cashel Palace
First 4: Box: Lord Gannicus, Cold Shizzle, Timeless Gem, Cashel Palace, Dug Another Hole

Race 7: Morley Growers Market (Rs1mw)

1200m | Rest 1 Metro Win; | Prize: $60000

Full Field Analysis

1
All Grunt (1) J: Luke Campbell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
75%
2
Manhattan Strip (7) J: Holly Nottle
solid track record, proven at distance
10%
3
De Grandhomme (4) J: Lucy F Fiore
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
17%
4
Howdy (12) J: Jason Brown
proven at distance
8%
5
Sunbronzed (11) J: Austin Galati
suited to trip
9%
6
Chino La Diva (8) J: Jason Whiting
proven at distance
14%
7
Lucky I Am (3) J: Chanel Cooper
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
17%
8
Shooting Spirit (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance
13%
9
Starring Knight (2) J: Sasha Starley
solid track record, proven at distance
9%
10
Big Shots (9) J: Jessica Gray
proven at distance, class edge
9%
11
Caporetto (10) J: Steven Parnham
solid track record, proven at distance
6%
12
Rapid Rock (5) J: Brandon Louis
proven at distance
9%

Top Selections

#1 All Grunt - Barrier 1 (Luke Campbell) Rating: 75% | Win
#7 Lucky I Am - Barrier 3 (Chanel Cooper) Rating: 17% | Place Only
#3 De Grandhomme - Barrier 4 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 17% | Place Only
#6 Chino La Diva - Barrier 8 (Jason Whiting) Rating: 14% | No Bet

Top Selection: #1 All Grunt - Barrier 1 (Luke Campbell)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 5% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #1 All Grunt (Score: 276.6, Leads field by 96.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (12.5 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #7 Lucky I Am (Score: 226.3, Leads field by 51.3 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (11.3 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #3 De Grandhomme (Score: 218.5, Leads field by 48.3 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1200m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (14.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (8.7 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 8: Miss Andretti Stakes

1100m | Open; | Prize: $125000

Full Field Analysis

1
Mojo Rhythm (13) J: Patrick Carbery
solid track record, class edge
10%
2
Acromantula (7) J: Lucy F Fiore
solid track record, class edge
19%
3
Man Crush (10) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
9%
4
Clemenceau (3) J: Jordan Turner
proven at distance, class edge, inconsistent
8%
5
Wind And The Lion (9) J: Jade Mc Naught
solid track record, in good form, class edge
12%
6
Madhi Girl (11) J: William Pike
solid track record, flying form
23%
7
Cut The Talk (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
19%
8
Ice Pick Nick (8) J: Steven Parnham
solid track record, proven at distance
13%
9
Jaz Session (6) J: Shaun O'Donnell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
24%
10
Keep Reading (2) J: Jason Whiting
proven at distance, class edge
10%
11
Richanco (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
18%
12
Sinful Living (4) J: Natasha Faithfull
solid track record, proven at distance, class edge
23%
13
Sky Duke (7) J: Luke Campbell
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
13%
14
Wubin Gold (12) J: Troy Turner
solid track record
9%

Top Selections

#12 Sinful Living - Barrier 4 (Natasha Faithfull) Rating: 23% | Place Only
#6 Madhi Girl - Barrier 11 (William Pike) Rating: 23% | Win
#9 Jaz Session - Barrier 6 (Shaun O'Donnell) Rating: 24% | Place Only
#2 Acromantula - Barrier 7 (Lucy F Fiore) Rating: 19% | Place Only

Pass - No Bet

No clear value in this race

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #12 Sinful Living (Score: 232.1, Leads field by 41.4 pts)

Best Attribute: distance (20.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
  • Strong class rating (15.3 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #6 Madhi Girl (Score: 231.9, Leads field by 44.6 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (20.3 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (17.2 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (9.4 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (9.4 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#3 - #9 Jaz Session (Score: 228.9, Leads field by 45.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (22.4 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1100m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (13.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Race 9: MCA Polytrack (Rs1mw)

1400m | Rest 1 Metro Win; | Prize: $60000

Full Field Analysis

1
Defending (11) J: Chanel Cooper
proven at distance
8%
2
Stylish Lord (6) J: Holly Nottle
solid track record, proven at distance
14%
3
Great Fortune (3) J: Holly Watson
solid track record, proven at distance
12%
4
Bolta (12) J: Austin Galati
solid track record, proven at distance, flying form
21%
5
Rally The Troops (10) J: Natasha Faithfull
solid track record, proven at distance, in good form
39%
6
Amamus (5) J: Steven Parnham
looking for others
8%
7
Gambler's Gold (4) J: Jessica Gray
proven at distance
7%
8
Triple The Chant (9) J: Joey Azzopardi
in good form
7%
9
Divine Inanna (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly
proven at distance, in good form
19%
10
Antique Queen (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter
in good form
12%
11
Snippy Sean (8) J: Luke Campbell
solid track record, proven at distance, proven at level
28%
12
Return Of The Mach (1) J: Lucy F Fiore
proven at distance, in good form
15%

Top Selections

#5 Rally The Troops - Barrier 10 (Natasha Faithfull) Rating: 39% | Win
#11 Snippy Sean - Barrier 8 (Luke Campbell) Rating: 28% | Place Only
#4 Bolta - Barrier 12 (Austin Galati) Rating: 21% | Win
#9 Divine Inanna - Barrier 2 (Laqdar Ramoly) Rating: 19% | Place Only

Top Selection: #5 Rally The Troops - Barrier 10 (Natasha Faithfull)

Bet Type: Win
Stake: 1% of bank

🎯 Why These Picks?

#1 - #5 Rally The Troops (Score: 241.1, Leads field by 52.4 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (20.5 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (11.3 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (13.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)
#2 - #11 Snippy Sean (Score: 228.6, Leads field by 43.9 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (23.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
#3 - #4 Bolta (Score: 222.1, Leads field by 41.5 pts)

Best Attribute: speedFigure (30.0 pts)

Key Strengths:

  • Excellent Ascot form (12.0 pts)
  • Proven at 1400m (20.0 pts)
  • In-form recent runs (16.1 pts)
  • Top jockey partnership (10.0 pts)
  • Quality trainer record (10.0 pts)
  • Consistent performer (10.3 pts)

Exotics

Exacta: Rally The Troops / Snippy Sean, Bolta
Trifecta: Box: Rally The Troops, Snippy Sean, Bolta, Divine Inanna
First 4: Box: Rally The Troops, Snippy Sean, Bolta, Divine Inanna, Return Of The Mach

Exotics for Ascot

Quaddies

Last 4 Quaddie
Race 4 Avg: 50%
2 Western Ace 84%
10 Tora Bora 15%
Race 8 Avg: 22%
12 Sinful Living 23%
6 Madhi Girl 23%
9 Jaz Session 24%
2 Acromantula 19%
Race 9 Avg: 27%
5 Rally The Troops 39%
11 Snippy Sean 28%
4 Bolta 21%
9 Divine Inanna 19%
Race 7 Avg: 46%
1 All Grunt 75%
7 Lucky I Am 17%
Staking: 64 combos | $64.00 for 100%
$10 = 16% | $20 = 31%

Multis

Load Job Multi: $4.65 - 2-3% of bank

📊 Condensed Betting Summary

🎯 Intelligent Staking

Bet only when confident

R2: #1 Dawn Dancer (Barrier 8)
5% of bank
R3: #6 Amaroo Star (Barrier 5)
5% of bank
R4: #2 Western Ace (Barrier 4)
5% of bank
R5: #9 Long Genes (Barrier 10)
2% of bank
R6: #1 Lord Gannicus (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R7: #1 All Grunt (Barrier 1)
5% of bank
R9: #5 Rally The Troops (Barrier 10)
1% of bank
Total Stake: 24.0%

🔥 Degen Staking

Bet every race

R1: #7 Forever Dreaming (Barrier 2)
0.5% (Saver)
R2: #1 Dawn Dancer (Barrier 8)
5% of bank
R3: #6 Amaroo Star (Barrier 5)
5% of bank
R4: #2 Western Ace (Barrier 4)
5% of bank
R5: #9 Long Genes (Barrier 10)
2% of bank
R6: #1 Lord Gannicus (Barrier 3)
1% of bank
R7: #1 All Grunt (Barrier 1)
5% of bank
R8: #12 Sinful Living (Barrier 4)
0.5% (Saver)
R9: #5 Rally The Troops (Barrier 10)
1% of bank
Total Stake: 25.0%

Staking Explanation:
Intelligent: Conservative approach - only bet when we have strong confidence (≥1% stake)
Degen: Aggressive approach - bet every race, including 0.5% savers on uncertain races

📊 Understanding The System

🚫 Race Classifications (Why Some Races Are STAY OUT)

STAY OUT: Low-confidence races where the form is too unreliable to bet. Common in:

  • Maidens: Horses with no wins make form analysis highly speculative
  • Wet tracks: Track conditions can drastically change form - our system performs best on Good/Firm tracks
  • Limited form data: When runners lack sufficient race history for accurate assessment
  • Unpredictable fields: When no clear standout emerges from our analysis

Skipping these races protects your bankroll - sometimes the best bet is no bet.

💰 Staking System Explained

Stakes are allocated as a percentage of your total betting bank:

  • 5%: Maximum confidence - clear standout with strong form
  • 3-4%: High confidence - solid form meets ideal conditions
  • 2%: Good confidence - respectable chance in competitive race
  • 1%: Moderate confidence - each-way potential or value play
  • 0.5%: Saver bet - long shot with slim chance (Degen plan only)

Intelligent Plan: Only backs selections ≥1% stake (high confidence only)

Degen Plan: Bets every race including 0.5% savers (higher variance, higher risk)

⭐ Confidence Rating Breakdown

Our confidence score (0-100%) reflects multiple factors:

  • Recent form: Last 3-5 starts weighted heavily
  • Track/distance suitability: Proven performance at this venue
  • Class/weight match: Competitive at current handicap level
  • Jockey/trainer combo: Winning partnerships boost confidence
  • Track bias: Rail position and pace patterns at this venue

Confidence ≥ 70% = Load job (strong chance, consider backing heavily)

⚠️ System Limitations & Disclaimers

  • Wet tracks: System accuracy drops significantly in Heavy/Soft conditions - track form less reliable
  • Maidens: Unproven horses make predictions highly speculative - avoid or tread carefully
  • Barrier draws: Treated as low priority - we don't exclude good horses with wide barriers
  • Late scratchings: Can impact race dynamics - check for changes before betting
  • Market movements: Our suggested prices may differ from actual markets at jump time
  • Not infallible: This is form analysis, not fortune telling - losing runs will happen

⚠️ GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY ⚠️

These tips are statistical analysis tools, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Racing is entertainment - bet within your limits.

Beat the Bookie

Leading Edge Tips - Professional Racing Analysis

Generated 1/10/2026, 10:17:37 AM

Gamble responsibly. These are tips only and do not guarantee results.